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76. LAPSE:2025.0370
Bayesian uncertainty quantification of graph neural networks using stochastic gradient Hamiltonian Monte Carlo
July 8, 2025 (v2)
Subject: Numerical Methods and Statistics
Keywords: graph neural networks, property prediction, Uncertainty quantification
Graph neural networks (GNNs) have proven state-of-the-art performance in molecular property prediction tasks. However, a significant challenge with GNNs is the reliability of their predictions, particularly in critical domains where quantifying model confidence is essential. Therefore, assessing uncertainty in GNN predictions is crucial to improving their robustness. Existing uncertainty quantification methods, such as Deep ensembles and Monte Carlo Dropout, have been applied to GNNs with some success, but these methods are limited to approximate the full posterior distribution. In this work, we propose a novel approach for scalable uncertainty quantification in molecular property prediction using Stochastic Gradient Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (SGHMC). Additionally, we utilize a cyclical learning rate to facilitate sampling from multiple posterior modes which improves posterior exploration within a single training round. Moreover, we compare the proposed methods with Monte Carlo Dropout a... [more]
77. LAPSE:2025.0580
Exergy Examples for the Chemical Engineering Classroom
July 8, 2025 (v1)
Subject: Uncategorized
Keywords: Design, Education, Energy Efficiency, Energy Integration, Exergy, Heat Pumps, Pinch Analysis, Steam Generation
These are the slides presented at the ESCAPE 35 conference on Monday July 7, 2025, in the talk with the same name. They briefly introduce the concept of exergy with a basic overview, and provide seven easy examples that professors can use in their courses. The topics include heating systems, pinch analysis, energy efficiency, energy integration, steam generation, utilities, heat pumps, organic Rankine cycles, direct air capture of CO2, and CO2 compression and sequestration. See the linked conference paper for more information.
78. LAPSE:2025.0579
Enhancing Predictive Maintenance in Used Oil Re-Refining: a Hybrid Machine Learning Approach
July 8, 2025 (v1)
Subject: Process Operations
Keywords: Algorithms, Artificial Intelligence, Distillation, Industry 4.0, Machine Learning, Modelling, Planning
Maintenance is critical for industrial plants to ensure operational reliability and worker safety. In process industries, fouling, the accumulation of solid residues in equipment, poses a significant challenge, causing inefficiencies and productivity losses. Effective modeling of fouling evolution over time is essential for maintenance planning to prevent equipment from operating under suboptimal conditions. Traditional approaches to fouling prediction include equation-based models, which offer high precision but may struggle with continuously changing process bound-aries, and machine learning techniques, which are more adaptable but less effective at capturing rapidly evolving trends driven by complex underlying physics. This study introduces an innova-tive hybrid machine learning approach for predictive maintenance, combining the strengths of both methods. Pressure differential is modeled using an equation-based approach that links pressure data with fouling thickness, while the foul... [more]
79. LAPSE:2025.0578
Teaching Automatic Control for Chemical Engineers
July 8, 2025 (v1)
Subject: Process Control
In this paper, we present our recent advances and achievements in automatic control course in the engineering study of cybernetics at the Faculty of Chemical and Food Technology STU in Bratislava. We describe the course elements and procedures used to improve teaching, learning, and administration experience. We discuss on-line learning management system, various teaching aids like e-books with/without solutions to practice examples, computer generated questions, video lectures, choice of computation and simulation tools.
The course is provided in the presence form of study for about 20 students, but it relies on on-line tools and methods. Starting from this academic year, flipped design of the course was designed. We describe our experience in the preparation of such a change and some initial feedback from the students.
The course concentrates on input/output linear approximation of processes in chemical and food technology and discusses poles/zeros, process dynamics, frequency and... [more]
The course is provided in the presence form of study for about 20 students, but it relies on on-line tools and methods. Starting from this academic year, flipped design of the course was designed. We describe our experience in the preparation of such a change and some initial feedback from the students.
The course concentrates on input/output linear approximation of processes in chemical and food technology and discusses poles/zeros, process dynamics, frequency and... [more]
80. LAPSE:2025.0577
Pimp my Distillation Sequence – Shortcut-based Screening of Intensified Configurations
July 4, 2025 (v1)
Subject: Process Design
Keywords: Distillation, Energy Integration, Heat Integration, Shortcut Screening, Thermal Coupling
Distillation processes account for a substantial share of the industrial energy demand. Yet, these energy requirements can be reduced by a variety of energy integration methods, including various forms of direct heat integration, multi-effect distillation, thermal coupling and vapor recompression. Consequently, these intensification methods should be evaluated quantitatively in comparison to each other for individual separation tasks, instead of benchmarking single options with conventional sequences or relying on simplified heuristics. In order to overcome the computational burden of a broad assessment of a large number of process alternatives, a computationally-efficient framework for the energetic and economic evaluation of such energy integrated distillation processes is presented, which builds on thermodynamically-sound shortcut models that do not rely on constant relative volatility and constant molar overflow assumptions.
81. LAPSE:2025.0184
A New Method to Assess Performance Loss due to Catalyst Deactivation in Fixed- and Fluidized-bed Reactors
July 2, 2025 (v2)
Subject: Modelling and Simulations
Keywords: Catalyst deactivation, Fixed-bed reactors, Fluidized-bed reactors, Reactor modelling
A new methodology for the assessment of the performance loss in catalytic reactors due to deactivation was developed and applied to fixed- and fluidized-bed CO methanation, with catalyst subject to coking. The methodology is based on the solution of heat and mass balances, by decoupling the reactor and deactivation dynamics. This is possible by using consecutive 1D, steady-state calculations for the characterization of the reactor performance. In this way, the progressively lower values of catalyst activity along the time on stream are computed with the integration of a dedicated dynamic model. This method has shown promising results in the characterization of the loss of performance of the reactor over time. The model correctly describes a progressive deactivation of the catalyst in fixed-bed reactors, while it shows that the decrease in activity is sudden for the whole reactor volume in fluidized bed reactors and occurs after a critical time-on-stream. Besides, it was observed that t... [more]
82. LAPSE:2025.0437
Hybrid Models Identification and Training through Evolutionary Algorithms
July 2, 2025 (v2)
Subject: System Identification
Keywords: automatic identification, differential evolution, epistemic uncertainty, hybrid modelling, Machine Learning
Hybrid modelling is widely employed in chemical engineering to generate highly accurate predictions. Such an approach merges first-principle modelling with machine learning techniques to identify and model the epistemic uncertainty from experimental data. Despite its advantages, this still requires cross-domain competencies that are difficult to find in the chemical industry and high human involvement. The possibility of automating the identification and training model would be significantly beneficial for the widespread adoption of hybrid modelling methodology within the chemical industry. This work presents a novel algorithm for the automatic identification of hybrid models (HMs) starting from the first-principle representation of the system, described by differential equation sets. The methodology formulates the problem as mixed-integer programming, identifying the equation running under uncertainty, identifying the machine learning model hyperparameters, and training the latter. Th... [more]
83. LAPSE:2025.0575
Preface for Systems and Control Transactions volume 4 (ESCAPE 35 Proceedings)
July 1, 2025 (v1)
Subject: Uncategorized
Keywords: Preface
The introduction, peer review policy, and International Scientific Committee for Systems and Control Transactions volume 4 (ESCAPE 35 Proceedings)
84. LAPSE:2025.0574
Front Matter for Systems and Control Transactions volume 4 (ESCAPE 35 Proceedings)
July 1, 2025 (v1)
Subject: Uncategorized
Keywords: Front Matter
This is the cover page and front matter for Systems and Control Transactions volume 4 (ESCAPE 35 Proceedings)
85. LAPSE:2025.0042
A Framework Utilizing a Seamless Integration of Python with AspenPlus® for a Multi-Criteria Process Evaluation - Benchmark case
March 15, 2025 (v1)
Subject: Process Design
Keywords: Aspen Plus, Process Design, Python
While process simulations often are either very rigid and accurate or very flexible and unprecise, informed decision making can only be maintained by establishing a detailed process model as early as possible within the project lifecycle while keeping relevant aspects of the process flexible enough. In this work, we present the development of a framework based on a dynamic interface between AspenPlus® process simulations and Python, enabling enhanced flexibility and automation for process modeling and optimization. This integration leverages the powerful simulation capabilities of AspenPlus® with the versatility of Py-thon for data analysis and optimization, delivering significant improvements in workflow efficiency and process control. By utilizing the dynamic simulation data exchange with Python, extensive parameter studies can be conducted.
In this provided dataset, the necessary input data, as well as the output files for each parameter run are provided. Furthermore, a .runtime an... [more]
In this provided dataset, the necessary input data, as well as the output files for each parameter run are provided. Furthermore, a .runtime an... [more]
86. LAPSE:2025.0038
Decision Support Tool for Sustainable Small to Medium-Volume Natural Gas Utilization
March 14, 2025 (v1)
Subject: Modelling and Simulations
This study presents a simple tool to provide decision-makers data that will facilitate informed decisions in selecting utilization for small- to medium-scale utilization of stranded natural gas resources that would otherwise be flared set to be flared. The methodology involves the simulation of different natural gas utilization technologies on Aspen Plus simulation software and utilizing the results to develop a tool on Python that enables the user to assess recoverable valuable products from different natural gas profiles. Ten utilization technologies were implemented, and six different natural gas profile (rich and lean) were used as case studies to ascertain the capabilities of the tool. The supplimentary material provides the interface of the proposed tool.
87. LAPSE:2025.0573
Process Design of an Industrial Crystallization Based on Degree of Agglomeration
June 27, 2025 (v1)
Subject: Process Design
This study proposes a model-based approach utilizing a hybrid population balance model (PBM) to optimize temperature profiles for minimizing agglomeration and enhancing crystal growth. The PBM incorporates key mechanismsnucleation, growth, dissolution, agglomeration, and deagglomerationand is applied to the crystallization of an industrial active pharmaceutical ingredient (API), Compound K. Parameters were estimated through prior design of experiments (DoE) and refined via additional thermocycle experiments. In-silico DoE simulations demonstrate that the hybrid PBM outperforms traditional methods in assessing process performance under agglomeration-prone conditions. Results confirm that thermocycles effectively reduce agglomeration and promote bulk crystal formation, though their efficiency plateaus beyond a certain cycle number. This model-based approach provides a more robust strategy for agglomeration control compared to conventional methods, offering valuable insights for industr... [more]
88. LAPSE:2025.0572
Modeling the Impact of Non-Ideal Mixing on Continuous Crystallization: A Non-Dimensional Approach
June 27, 2025 (v1)
Subject: Modelling and Simulations
Mathematical modeling is essential for the effective control of many chemical engineering processes, including crystallization. However, most existing crystallization models used in industry and academia assume ideal mixing. As a result, the unclear effects of imperfect mixing on crystallization, reported in experimental studies, remain largely unexplained. In this work we aim to address this gap in understanding by examining antisolvent crystallization processes on a general theoretical level, using a novel dimensionless model. To address the impact of mixing on crystallization, we employ the Engulfment model coupled with a population balance, and we nondimensionalize the model equations. Using this model, we explore the dependence of the mean particle size on the homogenization rate, represented by the Damköhler number for crystallization. Moreover, we study the impact of mixing at various values of the model's kinetic parameters to simulate difference in properties of individual pro... [more]
89. LAPSE:2025.0571
Process analysis of end-to-end continuous pharmaceutical manufacturing using PharmaPy
June 27, 2025 (v1)
Subject: Process Design
Keywords: Pharmaceutical manufacturing, PharmaPy, Process analysis, Process Synthesis
As pharmaceutical manufacturing is transitioning from traditional batch to continuous manufacturing (CM), there is a lack of tools for CM design and development, which can integrate drug substance and drug product unit operations for overall evaluation. Recently, a Python-based PharmaPy framework was proposed to advance the design, simulation, and analysis of continuous pharmaceutical processes. However, the initial library of models only addressed upstream drug substance processing. In this work, new capabilities, including drug product unit operations such as feeder, blender, and tablet press, have been added to the PharmaPy framework, enabling end-to-end study and optimizing the effects of material properties and process conditions on solid oral dosage products. The platform supports computational efficiency and model accuracy by allowing the development of different mechanistic and semi-mechanistic models. Sensitivity analysis is performed on the integrated end-to-end simulator to... [more]
90. LAPSE:2025.0570
Data-driven Digital Design of Pharmaceutical Crystallization Processes
June 27, 2025 (v1)
Subject: Process Design
Keywords: Artificial Intelligence, Machine Learning, Modelling and Simulations, Optimization, Process Design
Mechanistic population balance modeling (PBM) has advanced the design of pharmaceutical crystallization processes, enabling the production of active pharmaceutical ingredient (API) crystals with desired critical quality attributes (CQAs), such as purity and crystal size distribution. However, PBM development can sometimes be resource-intensive, requiring extensive design of experiments (DoE) and high-quality process data, making it impractical under fast-paced industrial development timelines. This study proposes a machine learning (ML)-based workflow for developing fit-for-purpose digital twins of crystallization processes, leveraging industrially available DoE data to link operating conditions with CQAs. Validated on industrial data for a commercial API with complex crystallization challenges, the workflow efficiently identifies optimal operating conditions, demonstrating the potential of data-driven digital twins to accelerate the development of pharmaceutical processes.
91. LAPSE:2025.0569
From Experiment Design to Data-Driven Modeling of Powder Compaction Process
June 27, 2025 (v1)
Subject: Process Monitoring
Keywords: Big Data, Industry 40, Modelling, powder compaction, Process control, Process monitoring, Tableting, UV/Vis spectroscopy
Tableting is a dry granulation process for compacting powder blends into tablets. In this process, a blend of active pharmaceutical ingredients (APIs) and excipients are fed into the hopper of a rotary tablet press via feeders. Inside the tablet press, rotating feed frame paddle wheels fill powder into dies, with tablet mass adjusted by the lower punch position during the die filling process. Pre-compression rolls press air out of the die, while main compression rolls apply the force necessary for compacting the powder into tablets. In this paper, process variables such as feeder screw speeds, feed frame impeller speed, lower punch position during die filling, and punch distance during main compression have been systematically varied. Corresponding responses, including pre-compression force, ejection force, and tablet porosity have been evaluated to optimize the tableting process. After implementing an open platform communications unified architecture (OPC UA) interface, process variab... [more]
92. LAPSE:2025.0568
Development of a Hybrid Model for the Paracetamol Batch Dissolution in Ethanol Using Universal Differential Equations
June 27, 2025 (v1)
Subject: Biosystems
Keywords: Crystallization, hybrid model, pharmaceutical industry
Crystallization is a relevant process in the pharmaceutical industry for product purification and particle production. An efficient crystallization is characterized by crystals produced with the desired attributes. Therefore, modeling this process is a key point to achieve this goal. In this sense, the objective of this work is to propose a hybrid model to describe paracetamol dissolution in ethanol. The universal differential equations methodology is considered in the development of this model, using a neural network to predict the dissolution rate combined with the population balance equations to calculate the moments of the crystal size distribution (CSD) and the concentration. The model was developed using experimental batches. The dataset is composed of concentration measurements obtained using attenuated total reflectance-Fourier transform infrared (ATR-FTIR). The objective function of the optimization problem is to minimize the relative absolute difference between the experiment... [more]
93. LAPSE:2025.0567
Closed-Loop Data-Driven Model Predictive Control For A Wet Granulation Process Of Continuous Pharmaceutical Tablet Production
June 27, 2025 (v1)
Subject: Process Control
Keywords: Continuous pharmaceutical manufacturing, Data-driven control, Quality by control
In 2023, the International Council for Harmonisation (ICH) guideline for the development, implementation, and lifecycle management of pharmaceutical continuous manufacturing (PCM), was implemented in Europe. It promotes quality-by-design (QbD) and quality by control (QbC) strategies as well as the appropriate use of mathematical modelling. This development urges a harmonizing understanding across academia and industry for adoption of interpretable models instead of black-box models for advanced control strategies such as model predictive control (MPC), especially when applied in Good Manufacturing Practice (GMP) regulated areas. To this end, we first propose a comprehensive model development using Dynamic Mode Decomposition with Control (DMDc)to represent complex dynamics in a lower-dimensional space, disambiguating between underlying dynamics and actuation effects. Using data from a digital twin of PCM, our model demonstrates low computational complexity while effectively capturing no... [more]
94. LAPSE:2025.0566
Eco-Designing Pharmaceutical Supply Chains: A Process Engineering Approach to Life Cycle Inventory Generation
June 27, 2025 (v1)
Subject: Modelling and Simulations
Keywords: Aspen Plus, LCI, Life Cycle Assessment
The environmental impacts of pharmaceutical production underscore the need for comprehensive life cycle assessments (LCAs). Offshoring manufacturing, a common cost-saving strategy in the pharmaceutical industry, increases supply chain complexity and reliance on countries like India and China for active pharmaceutical ingredients (APIs). The COVID-19 pandemic exposed Europes vulnerability to global crises, prompting initiatives such as the French governments re-industrialization plan to relocate the production of fifty critical drugs. Paracetamol production has been prioritized, with recent shortages highlighting the urgency to address supply chain risks while considering environmental impacts. This study uses process engineering to generate life cycle inventory (LCI) data for paracetamol production, offering an eco-design perspective. Aspen Plus was employed to model the API manufacturing process, integrating mass and energy balances to address the scarcity of LCI data. The results h... [more]
95. LAPSE:2025.0565
Systematic Model Builder, Model-Based Design of Experiments, and Design Space Identification for A Multistep Pharmaceutical Process Toward Quality by Digital Design
June 27, 2025 (v1)
Subject: System Identification
Keywords: Acceptable Operating Region AOR, Blending, Design Space, Model Based DoE, Model builder, Multistep process, Quality by Digital Design QbDD, Tableting
This study aims at developing a holistic approach to establish robust mathematical models of integrated and interactive multistep processes, while systematically identifying the corresponding design space and acceptable operating region (AOR). The overall objective is to reduce the experimentation costs, enhance accuracy of integrated metathetical models, and deliver built-in quality assurance based on a new Quality by Digital Design (QbDD) paradigm. This methodology starts with the construction of a set of model candidates for different unit operations, based on the prior knowledge and inherent assumptions. Several model candidates of the integrated multistep process are considered. A model discrimination based on model prediction performance reveals the best integrated model for the multistep process. In the next step, the estimability analysis and model-based design of experiment (MBDoE) are implemented to deliver information-rich data and systematically refine the integrated model.... [more]
96. LAPSE:2025.0564
Robust Techno-economic Analysis, Life Cycle Assessment, and Quality and Sustainability by Digital Design of Three Alternative Continuous Pharmaceutical Tablet Manufacturing Processes
June 27, 2025 (v1)
Subject: Environment
Keywords: gProms, Life Cycle Assessment, Modelling and Simulations, Pharmaceutical tableting, Quality and and Sustainability by Digital Design QSbDD, Technoeconomic Analysis
This study presents a comprehensive comparison of the three alternative downstream manufacturing technologies for pharmaceuticals: i) Dry Granulation (DG) through roller compaction, ii) Direct Compaction (DC), and iii) Wet Granulation (WG) based on the economic, environmental and product quality performances. Firstly, the integrated dynamic mathematical models of the different downstream (drug product) processes were developed using gPROMS formulated products based on data from the literature or/and our recent experimental work. The process models were developed and simulated to reliably capture the impact of the different design options, process parameters, and material attributes. Uncertainty analysis was conducted using global sensitivity analysis to identify the set of critical process parameters (CPP) and critical material attributes (CMA) that mostly influence the quality and performance of the final pharmaceutical tablets in each case, captured by the critical quality attribute... [more]
97. LAPSE:2025.0563
Probabilistic Design Space Identification for Upstream Bioprocesses under Limited Data Availability
June 27, 2025 (v1)
Subject: System Identification
Keywords: Biosystems, Flexibility analysis, Probabilistic design space identification, Upstream bioprocesses
Design space identification (DSId) and flexibility analysis are critical in process systems engineering, enabling efficient design of operating conditions. For bioprocess, these tasks are often hindered by the absence of reliable mechanistic models and limited experimental data. This paper presents an algorithm to address these challenges in bioprocesses. The methodology begins by constructing a Gaussian process (GP) model to predict key performance indicators (KPIs) from process inputs. Leveraging the probabilistic nature of GP predictions, we perform probabilistic design space identification (PDSId), characterizing each input point by its probability of feasibility which is the likelihood that constraints imposed on KPIs are satisfied. To visualize and analyse the feasibility space, contours at varying probability levels are identified using alpha shapes, which define deterministic boundaries corresponding to different confidence levels. This enables the quantification of volumetric... [more]
98. LAPSE:2025.0562
Bayesian Optimization for Enhancing Spherical Crystallization Derived from Emulsions: A Case Study on Ibuprofen
June 27, 2025 (v1)
Subject: Optimization
Keywords: Bayesian optimization, Spherical crystallization
The pharmaceutical industry is a highly specialized field where strict quality control and accelerated time-to-market are essential for maintaining competitive advantage. Spherical crystallization has emerged as a promising approach in pharmaceutical manufacturing, offering significant potential to reduce equipment and operating costs, enhancing drug bioavailability, and facilitating compliance with product quality regulations. Emulsions, as an enabling technology for spherical crystallization, present unique advantages. However, the quality of spherical crystallization products derived from emulsions is significantly influenced by the intricate interactions between crystallization phenomena, formulation variables, and solution hydrodynamics. These complexities pose substantial challenges in determining optimal operational conditions to achieve the desired product characteristics. In this study, Bayesian optimization (BO) is employed to refine and optimize the operational conditions fo... [more]
99. LAPSE:2025.0561
Balancing modelling complexity and experimental effort for conducting QbD on lipid nanoparticles (LNPs) systems
June 27, 2025 (v1)
Subject: Materials
Keywords: Design of Experiments DOE, Lipid nanoparticles LNPs, Quality by Design QbD
The promising properties of lipid nanoparticles (LNPs) as drug carriers have been attracting significant attention in the field of drug delivery. However, further research is still required for a better understanding of their integration in the pharmaceutical industry. The Quality by Design (QbD) approach aims at ensuring the safety and efficiency in the development of new drugs, through an holistic, risk-based approach that gathers all sources of knowledge available about the system under analysis. One key resource of the QbD framework is the rich toolkit of Design of Experiments (DOE), to deepen the understanding of how the synthesis of LNPs by microfluidics can be effectively conducted and controlled. This study aimed to explore and understand the effectiveness of different DOE strategies, through an in silico study focused on the impact of factors related to the LNPs synthesis, namely the molar ratio of each lipid component in the lipidic mixture and the N/P ratio, while also consi... [more]
100. LAPSE:2025.0560
Data-driven Modeling of a Continuous Direct Compression Tableting Process using SINDy
June 27, 2025 (v1)
Subject: Modelling and Simulations
Understanding the complex dynamics of continuous processes in pharmaceutical manufacturing is essential to ensure product quality across the production line. This paper presents a data-driven modeling approach using Sparse Identification of Nonlinear Dynamics with Control (SINDYc) to capture the dynamics of a continuous direct compression (CDC) tableting line. By incorporating delayed control inputs into the candidate function library, the model effectively captures deviations from steady state in response to dynamic changes. The proposed model was developed by finding a balance between accuracy and sparsity, with focus on the ability to generalize to a wide range of operating conditions.
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