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Records with Keyword: Big Data
26. LAPSE:2023.17908
Carbon-Responsive Computing: Changing the Nexus between Energy and Computing
March 7, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Environment
Keywords: Big Data, carbon footprint, carbon intensity, data center, demand response, edge computing, linked data, mixed qualitative and quantitative methods, smart grid, social aspects of energy
While extensive research has gone into demand response techniques in data centers, the energy consumed in edge computing systems and in network data transmission remains a significant part of the computing industry’s carbon footprint. The industry also has not fully leveraged the parallel trend of decentralized renewable energy generation, which creates new areas of opportunity for innovation in combined energy and computing systems. Through an interdisciplinary sociotechnical discussion of current energy, computer science and social studies of science and technology (STS) literature, we argue that a more comprehensive set of carbon response techniques needs to be developed that span the continuum of data centers, from the back-end cloud to the network edge. Such techniques need to address the combined needs of decentralized energy and computing systems, alongside the social power dynamics those combinations entail. We call this more comprehensive range “carbon-responsive computing,” a... [more]
27. LAPSE:2023.17905
Accurate Demand Forecasting: A Flexible and Balanced Electric Power Production Big Data Virtualization Based on Photovoltaic Power Plant
March 7, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Process Operations
Keywords: Big Data, big data virtualization, electric power production model, game theory, photovoltaic power plant, power generation systems, Python, R-Studio, renewable, web crawling
This paper has tried to execute accurate demand forecasting by utilizing big data visualization and proposes a flexible and balanced electric power production big data virtualization based on a photovoltaic power plant. First of all, this paper has tried to align electricity demand and supply as much as possible using big data. Second, by using big data to predict the supply of new renewable energy, an attempt was made to incorporate new and renewable energy into the current power supply system and to recommend an efficient energy distribution method. The first presented problem that had to be solved was the improvement in the accuracy of the existing electricity demand for forecasting models. This was explained through the relationship between the power demand and the number of specific words in the paper that use crawling by utilizing big data. The next problem arose because the current electricity production and supply system stores the amount of new renewable energy by changing the... [more]
28. LAPSE:2023.17213
Estimation of Real-World Fuel Consumption Rate of Light-Duty Vehicles Based on the Records Reported by Vehicle Owners
March 6, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Modelling and Simulations
Keywords: Big Data, China, light-duty vehicle, Machine Learning, real-world fuel consumption rate
Private vehicle travel is the most basic mode of transportation, so that an effective way to control the real-world fuel consumption rate of light-duty vehicles plays a vital role in promoting sustainable economic growth as well as achieving a green low-carbon society. Therefore, the factors impacting individual carbon emissions must be elucidated. This study builds five different models to estimate the real-world fuel consumption rate of light-duty vehicles in China. The results reveal that the light gradient boosting machine (LightGBM) model performs better than the linear regression, naïve Bayes regression, neural network regression, and decision tree regression models, with a mean absolute error of 0.911 L/100 km, a mean absolute percentage error of 10.4%, a mean square error of 1.536, and an R-squared (R2) value of 0.642. This study also assesses a large pool of potential factors affecting real-world fuel consumption, from which the three most important factors are extracted, name... [more]
29. LAPSE:2023.16842
Online System for Power Quality Operational Data Management in Frequency Monitoring Using Python and Grafana
March 3, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Process Operations
Keywords: Big Data, dashboard, data acquisition, data exchange, data visualization, frequency measurement, frequency stability, GPS reference, Grafana-based lab, power quality
This article proposes a measurement solution designed to monitor the instantaneous frequency in power systems. It uses a data acquisition module and a GPS receiver for time stamping and traceability. A Python-based module receives data, computes the frequency, and finally transfers the measurement results to a database. The frequency is calculated with two different methods, which are compared in the article. The stored data is visualized using the Grafana platform, thus demonstrating its potential for comparing scientific data. The system as a whole constitutes an efficient, low-cost solution as a data acquisition system.
30. LAPSE:2023.16834
Optimisation of Technological Processes by Solving Inverse Problem through Block-Wise-Transform-Reduction Method Using Open Architecture Sensor Platform
March 3, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Information Management
Keywords: Big Data, cloud computing, internet of things, inverse problem, optimisation, quality of experience, ultrasound tomography
This paper presents an open architecture for a sensor platform for the processing, collection, and image reconstruction from measurement data. This paper focuses on ultrasound tomography in block-wise-transform-reduction image reconstruction. The advantage of the presented solution, which is part of the project “Next-generation industrial tomography platform for process diagnostics and control”, is the ability to analyze spatial data and process it quickly. The developed solution includes industrial tomography, big data, smart sensors, computational intelligence algorithms, and cloud computing. Along with the measurement platform, we validate the methods that incorporate image compression into the reconstruction process, speeding up computation and simplifying the regularisation of solving the inverse tomography problem. The algorithm is based on discrete transformation. This method uses compression on each block of the image separately. According to the experiments, this solution is m... [more]
31. LAPSE:2023.15928
The Big Data, Artificial Intelligence, and Blockchain in True Cost Accounting for Energy Transition in Europe
March 2, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Information Management
Keywords: AI, Big Data, blockchain, energy production, Renewable and Sustainable Energy, True Cost Accounting
The current energy prices do not include the environmental, social, and economic short and long-term external effects. There is a gap in the literature on the decision-making model for the energy transition. True Cost Accounting (TCA) is an accounting management model supporting the decision-making process. This study investigates the challenges and explores how big data, AI, or blockchain could ease the TCA calculation and indirectly contribute to the transition towards more sustainable energy production. The research question addressed is: How can IT help TCA applications in the energy sector in Europe? The study uses qualitative interpretive methodology and is performed in the Netherlands, Germany, and Poland. The findings indicate the technical feasibilities of a big data infrastructure to cope with TCA challenges. The study contributes to the literature by identifying the challenges in TCA application for energy production, showing the readiness potential for big data, AI, and blo... [more]
32. LAPSE:2023.15911
Improving Subsurface Characterisation with ‘Big Data’ Mining and Machine Learning
March 2, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Modelling and Simulations
Keywords: Big Data, hydrocarbon exploration, Machine Learning, multivariant analysis, reservoir, subsurface characterisation, supervised learning, unsupervised learning
Large databases of legacy hydrocarbon reservoir and well data provide an opportunity to use modern data mining techniques to improve our understanding of the subsurface in the presence of uncertainty and improve predictability of reservoir properties. A data mining approach provides a way to screen dependencies in reservoir and fluid data and enable subsurface specialists to estimate absent properties in partial or incomplete datasets. This allows for uncertainty to be managed and reduced. An improvement in reservoir characterisation using machine learning results from the capacity of machine learning methods to detect and model hidden dependencies in large multivariate datasets with noisy and missing data. This study presents a workflow applied to a large basin-scale reservoir characterization database. The study aims to understand the dependencies between reservoir attributes in order to allow for predictions to be made to improve the data coverage. The machine learning workflow comp... [more]
33. LAPSE:2023.14335
MATRYCS—A Big Data Architecture for Advanced Services in the Building Domain
March 1, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Information Management
Keywords: Big Data, building services, building value chain, data analytics, high-level architecture, Internet of Things
The building sector is undergoing a deep transformation to contribute to meeting the climate neutrality goals set by policymakers worldwide. This process entails the transition towards smart energy-aware buildings that have lower consumptions and better efficiency performance. Digitalization is a key part of this process. A huge amount of data is currently generated by sensors, smart meters and a multitude of other devices and data sources, and this trend is expected to exponentially increase in the near future. Exploiting these data for different use cases spanning multiple application scenarios is of utmost importance to capture their full value and build smart and innovative building services. In this context, this paper presents a high-level architecture for big data management in the building domain which aims to foster data sharing, interoperability and the seamless integration of advanced services based on data-driven techniques. This work focuses on the functional description o... [more]
34. LAPSE:2023.14090
Current Status and Future Trends of Power Quality Analysis
March 1, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Energy Management
Keywords: Big Data, observational data analysis, power quality, quality indices
In this article, a systematic literature review of 153 articles on power quality analysis in PV systems published in the last 20 years is presented. This provides readers with an overview on PQ trends in several fields related to instrumental techniques that are being used in the smart grid to visualize the quality of the energy, establishing a solid literature base from which to start future research. A preliminary appreciation allows us to intuit that higher-order statistics are not implemented in measurement equipment and that traditional instrumentation is still used for the performance of measurement campaigns, not yielding the expected results since the information processed does not come from an electrical network from 20 years ago. Instead, current networks contain numerous coupled load effects; thus, new disturbances are not simple; they are usually complex events, the sum of several types of disturbances. Likewise, depending on the type of installation, the objective of the P... [more]
35. LAPSE:2023.13455
Optimal Data Reduction of Training Data in Machine Learning-Based Modelling: A Multidimensional Bin Packing Approach
March 1, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Numerical Methods and Statistics
Keywords: Big Data, discretization, histogram, neural network, numerosity reduction, regression, training data
In these days, when complex, IT-controlled systems have found their way into many areas, models and the data on which they are based are playing an increasingly important role. Due to the constantly growing possibilities of collecting data through sensor technology, extensive data sets are created that need to be mastered. In concrete terms, this means extracting the information required for a specific problem from the data in a high quality. For example, in the field of condition monitoring, this includes relevant system states. Especially in the application field of machine learning, the quality of the data is of significant importance. Here, different methods already exist to reduce the size of data sets without reducing the information value. In this paper, the multidimensional binned reduction (MdBR) method is presented as an approach that has a much lower complexity in comparison on the one hand and deals with regression, instead of classification as most other approaches do, on... [more]
36. LAPSE:2023.13342
Forecast of Community Total Electric Load and HVAC Component Disaggregation through a New LSTM-Based Method
March 1, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Modelling and Simulations
Keywords: air-conditioning, baseload, Big Data, community power, disaggregation, distribution power system, electric load forecasting, heating, HVAC system power, LSTM, Machine Learning, NILM, smart grid, smart meter
The forecast and estimation of total electric power demand of a residential community, its baseload, and its heating ventilation and air-conditioning (HVAC) power component, which represents a very large portion of a community electricity usage, are important enablers for optimal energy controls and utility planning. This paper proposes a method that employs machine learning in a multi-step integrated approach. An LSTM model for total electric power at the main circuit feeder is trained using historic multi-year hourly data, outdoor temperature, and solar irradiance. New key temperature indicators, TmHAVC, corresponding to the standby zero-power operation for HVAC systems for summer cooling and winter heating are introduced using a V-shaped hourly total load curve. The trained LTSM model is additionally run with TmHVAC and zero irradiance inputs yielding an estimated baseload, which is representative of typical occupancy patterns. The HVAC power component is disaggregated as the differ... [more]
37. LAPSE:2023.12400
Low Power Sensor Location Prediction Using Spatial Dimension Transformation and Pattern Recognition
February 28, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Environment
Keywords: AI, Big Data, data science, pattern recognition, prediction location, sensor networks
A method of positioning a location on a specific object using a wireless sensor has been developed for a long time. However, due to the error of wavelengths and various interference factors occurring in three-dimensional space, accurate positioning is difficult, and predicting future locations is even more difficult. It uses IoT-based node pattern recognition technology to overcome positioning errors or inaccurate predictions in wireless sensor networks. It developed a method to improve the current positioning accuracy in a sensor network environment and a method to learn a pattern of position data directly from a wavelength receiver. The developed method consists of two steps: The first step is a method of changing location data in 3D space to location data in 2D space in order to reduce the possibility of positioning errors in 3D space. The second step is to reduce the range of the moving direction angle in which the data changed in two dimensions can be changed in the future and to... [more]
38. LAPSE:2023.10774
Big Data-Based Early Fault Warning of Batteries Combining Short-Text Mining and Grey Correlation
February 27, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Energy Systems
Keywords: Big Data, early fault warning, electric bus, grey correlation, short-text mining
Considering the battery-failure-induced catastrophic events reported frequently, the early fault warning of batteries is essential to the safety of electric vehicles (EVs). Motivated by this, a novel data-driven method for early-stage battery-fault warning is proposed in this paper by the fusion of the short-text mining and the grey correlation. In particular, the short-text mining approach is exploited to identify the fault information recorded in the maintenance and service documents and further to analyze the categories of battery faults in EVs statistically. The grey correlation algorithm is employed to build the relevance between the vehicle states and typical battery faults, which contributes to extracting the key features of corresponding failures. A key fault-prediction model of electric buses based on big data is then established on the key feature variables. Different selections of kernel functions and hyperparameters are scrutinized to optimize the performance of warning. Th... [more]
39. LAPSE:2023.10579
On State Estimation Modeling of Smart Distribution Networks: A Technical Review
February 27, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Energy Management
Keywords: Big Data, distribution generation, energy internet, smart distribution network, smart meter, state estimation, uncertainty
State estimation (SE) is regarded as an essential tool for achieving the secure and efficient operation of distribution networks, and extensive research on SE has been conducted over the past three decades. Nonetheless, the high penetration of distribution generations (DGs) is accompanied by uncertainties and dynamics, and the extensive application of intelligent electronic devices (IEDs) is associated with data processing issues, all of which raise new challenges, and these issues must be taken care of for further development of SE in smart distribution networks. This paper attempts to present a comprehensive literature review of numerous works that address various issues in SE, examining key technical research issues and future perspectives. Hopefully, it will be able to meet the needs for the development of smart distribution networks.
40. LAPSE:2023.9759
A Review of Auto-Regressive Methods Applications to Short-Term Demand Forecasting in Power Systems
February 27, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Modelling and Simulations
Keywords: artificial intelligence methods, autoregressive forecasting methods, Big Data, classical forecasting methods, Data Mining, electrical power demand, Machine Learning, power systems, short-term forecasting
The paper conducts a literature review of applications of autoregressive methods to short-term forecasting of power demand. This need is dictated by the advancement of modern forecasting methods and their achievement in good forecasting efficiency in particular. The annual effectiveness of forecasting power demand for the Polish National Power Grid for the next day is approx. 1%; therefore, the main objective of the review is to verify whether it is possible to improve efficiency while maintaining the minimum financial outlays and time-consuming efforts. The methods that fulfil these conditions are autoregressive methods; therefore, the paper focuses on autoregressive methods, which are less time-consuming and, as a result, cheaper in development and applications. The prepared review ranks the forecasting models in terms of the forecasting effectiveness achieved in the literature on the subject, which enables the selection of models that may improve the currently achieved effectiveness... [more]
41. LAPSE:2023.9617
Proposals for Using the Advanced Tools of Communication between Autonomous Vehicles and Infrastructure in Selected Cases
February 27, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Information Management
Keywords: autonomous vehicle, Big Data, intersection, IoT, personal transporter, railroad crossing, Smart City, V2I
The purpose of this paper is to describe solutions to yet unsolved problems of autonomous vehicles and infrastructure communication via the Internet of Things (IoT). The paper, in the form of a conceptual article, intentionally does not contain research elements, as we plan to conduct simulations in future papers. Each of the many forms of communication between vehicles and infrastructure (V2I) or vice versa offers different possibilities. Here, we describe typical situations and challenges related to the introduction of autonomous vehicles in traffic. An investment in V2I may be necessary to keep the traffic of autonomous vehicles safe, smooth, and energy efficient. Based on the review of existing solutions, we propose several ideas, key elements, algorithms, and hardware. Merely detecting the road infrastructure may not be enough. It is also necessary to consider a new form of travel called the Personal Transporter (PT). The introduction of new systems and solutions offers benefits f... [more]
42. LAPSE:2023.9431
Sensor Technologies for Transmission and Distribution Systems: A Review of the Latest Developments
February 27, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Energy Systems
Keywords: Big Data, condition-based grid maintenance, pervasive sensing, predictive grid maintenance, smart sensors, wide area monitoring system, wireless sensing network (WSN)
The transmission and distribution systems are essential in facilitating power flow from the source multiple loads over large distances with high magnitudes of voltages and currents. Hence, the monitoring and control of various components of these structures are crucial. Traditionally, this was implemented by sensing only the grid current and grid voltage parameters through coils, clamps, or instrument transformers. However, these have bulky structures that restrict them to the substation and have installation and maintenance issues due to their direct contact with high voltage conductors. Currently, the power grid is undergoing various developments e.g., penetration of renewable energy sources, remote control, and automation, bidirectional power flow, etc. These developments call for compact and energy-efficient sensors to sense multiple grid parameters such as the magnetic field data, temperature, humidity, acoustics, etc., to enable real time, wide area monitoring and the predictive... [more]
43. LAPSE:2023.8422
Operation of Power-to-X-Related Processes Based on Advanced Data-Driven Methods: A Comprehensive Review
February 24, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Energy Systems
Keywords: Big Data, electrolysis, IoT, Machine Learning, methanation, power-to-X, synthetic gas
This study is a systematic analysis of selected research articles about power-to-X (P2X)-related processes. The relevance of this resides in the fact that most of the world’s energy is produced using fossil fuels, which has led to a huge amount of greenhouse gas emissions that are the source of global warming. One of the most supported actions against such a phenomenon is to employ renewable energy resources, some of which are intermittent, such as solar and wind. This brings the need for large-scale, longer-period energy storage solutions. In this sense, the P2X process chain could play this role: renewable energy can be converted into storable hydrogen, chemicals, and fuels via electrolysis and subsequent synthesis with CO2. The main contribution of this study is to provide a systematic articulation of advanced data-driven methods and latest technologies such as the Internet of Things (IoT), big data analytics, and machine learning for the efficient operation of P2X-related processes... [more]
44. LAPSE:2023.8289
Machine Learning Approach for Smart Distribution Transformers Load Monitoring and Management System
February 24, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Information Management
Keywords: anomaly detection, Big Data, cloud computing, deep learning, Internet of Things, load monitoring, smart grid
Distribution transformers are an integral part of the power distribution system network and emerging smart grids. With the increasing dynamic service requirements of consumers, there is a higher likelihood of transformer failures due to overloading, feeder line faults, and ineffective cooling. As a consequence, their general longevity has been diminished, and the maintenance efforts of utility providers prove inadequate in efficiently monitoring and detecting transformer conditions. Existing Supervisory Control and Data Acquisition (SCADA) metering points are sparsely allocated in the network, making fault detection in feeder lines limited. To address these issues, this work proposes an IoT system for real-time distribution transformer load monitoring and anomaly detection. The monitoring system consists of a low-cost IoT gateway and sensor module which collects a three-phase load current profile, and oil levels/temperature from a distributed transformer network, specifically at the fe... [more]
45. LAPSE:2023.7250
Identification of Nontechnical Losses in Distribution Systems Adding Exogenous Data and Artificial Intelligence
February 24, 2023 (v1)
Subject: System Identification
Keywords: artificial neural networks, Big Data, data mining, exogenous data, hyperparameter optimization, nontechnical losses, outliers identification, power system distribution
Nontechnical losses (NTL) are irregularities in the consumption of electricity and mainly caused by theft and fraud. NTLs can be characterized as outliers in historical data series. The use of computational tools to identify outliers is the subject of research around the world, and in this context, artificial neural networks (ANN) are applicable. ANNs are machine learning models that learn through experience, and their performance is associated with the quality of the training data together with the optimization of the model’s architecture and hyperparameters. This article proposes a complete solution (end-to-end) using the ANN multilayer perceptron (MLP) model with supervised classification learning. For this, data mining concepts are applied to exogenous data, specifically the ambient temperature, and endogenous data from energy companies. The association of these data results in the improvement of the model’s input data that impact the identification of consumer units with NTLs. The... [more]
46. LAPSE:2023.7066
Deep Learning for Modeling an Offshore Hybrid Wind−Wave Energy System
February 24, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Modelling and Simulations
Keywords: Artificial Intelligence, Big Data, comparative analysis, deep learning, Energy, Machine Learning, offshore, Renewable and Sustainable Energy, Wave Energy, wave power, wind turbine
The combination of an offshore wind turbine and a wave energy converter on an integrated platform is an economical solution for the electrical power demand in coastal countries. Due to the expensive installation cost, a prediction should be used to investigate whether the location is suitable for these sites. For this purpose, this research presents the feasibility of installing a combined hybrid site in the desired coastal location by predicting the net produced power due to the environmental parameters. For combining these two systems, an optimized array includes ten turbines and ten wave energy converters. The mathematical equations of the net force on the two introduced systems and the produced power of the wind turbines are proposed. The turbines’ maximum forces are 4 kN, and for the wave energy converters are 6 kN, respectively. Furthermore, the comparison is conducted in order to find the optimum system. The comparison shows that the most effective system of desired environmenta... [more]
47. LAPSE:2023.5907
HCRNNIDS: Hybrid Convolutional Recurrent Neural Network-Based Network Intrusion Detection System
February 23, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Numerical Methods and Statistics
Keywords: Big Data, convolutional neural network, deep learning, intrusion detection system, Machine Learning, recurrent neural network
Nowadays, network attacks are the most crucial problem of modern society. All networks, from small to large, are vulnerable to network threats. An intrusion detection (ID) system is critical for mitigating and identifying malicious threats in networks. Currently, deep learning (DL) and machine learning (ML) are being applied in different domains, especially information security, for developing effective ID systems. These ID systems are capable of detecting malicious threats automatically and on time. However, malicious threats are occurring and changing continuously, so the network requires a very advanced security solution. Thus, creating an effective and smart ID system is a massive research problem. Various ID datasets are publicly available for ID research. Due to the complex nature of malicious attacks with a constantly changing attack detection mechanism, publicly existing ID datasets must be modified systematically on a regular basis. So, in this paper, a convolutional recurrent... [more]
48. LAPSE:2023.4696
Social Media Strategy Processes for Centralized Payment Network Firms after a War Crisis Outset
February 23, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Process Control
Keywords: Big Data, centralized payment networks (CPN), crisis, decision support systems, fuzzy applications, innovation process, risk management, social media strategy, strategic digital marketing, sustainable supply chain
From the outset of the war in Ukraine, extensive crises in many sectors of the world economy have occurred, with firms offering services and products both online and through physical stores facing serious problems. These problems are mainly related to higher operational costs and the lack of website visibility. For this research study, centralized payment network organizations (CPNs), firms providing online payment services through their networks, were selected and analytical data from their websites were collected for a period of 6 months. The main focus of this research study is to evaluate benefits and the role of social media strategies for CPNs’ digital marketing performance during crisis events and to also assess their utility as a risk-management tool. Following data collection, the authors performed statistical processes (regression and correlation analysis) and stationary modeling with Fuzzy Cognitive Mapping (FCM) tools; finally, dynamic simulations were performed by utilizin... [more]
49. LAPSE:2023.4303
The Learning Path to Neural Network Industrial Application in Distributed Environments
February 22, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Environment
Keywords: algorithm, Big Data, clustering, data visualization, distributed systems, Machine Learning, predictions, process control
Industrial companies focus on efficiency and cost reduction, which is very closely related to production process safety and secured environments enabling production with reduced risks and minimized cost on machines maintenance. Legacy systems are being replaced with new systems built into distributed production environments and equipped with machine learning algorithms that help to make this change more effective and efficient. A distributed control system consists of several subsystems distributed across areas and sites requiring application interfaces built across a control network. Data acquisition and data processing are challenging processes. This contribution aims to present an approach for the data collection based on features standardized in industry and for data classification processed with an applied machine learning algorithm for distinguishing exceptions in a dataset. Files with classified exceptions can be used to train prediction models to make forecasts in a large amoun... [more]
50. LAPSE:2023.2367
The Effects of Logistics Websites’ Technical Factors on the Optimization of Digital Marketing Strategies and Corporate Brand Name
February 21, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Optimization
Keywords: advertising, Big Data, brand name, competitive advantage, digital marketing, logistics, predictive model, SEM, user engagement, web analytics
In a world overwhelmed with unstructured information, logistics companies increasingly depend on their websites to acquire new customers and maintain existing ones. Following this rationale, a series of technical elements may set the ground for differentiating one logistics website from another. Nevertheless, a suitable digital marketing strategy should be adopted in order to build competitive advantage. In this paper, the authors attempt to respond by implementing an innovative methodology building on web analytics and big data. The first phase of the research collects data for 180 days from 7 world-leading logistics companies. The second phase presents the statistical analysis of the gathered data, including regression, correlations, and descriptive statistics. Subsequently, Fuzzy Cognitive Mapping (FCM) was employed to illustrate the cause-and-effect links among the metrics in question. Finally, a predictive simulation model is developed to show the intercorrelation among the metric... [more]