Browse
Records Added in May 2023
Records added in May 2023
Change month: January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December
219. LAPSE:2023.35689
Predicting Energy Consumption in Residential Buildings Using Advanced Machine Learning Algorithms
May 23, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Energy Management
Keywords: energy consumption, Machine Learning, Net-Zero, prediction, residential building
The share of residential building energy consumption in global energy consumption has rapidly increased after the COVID-19 crisis. The accurate prediction of energy consumption under different indoor and outdoor conditions is an essential step towards improving energy efficiency and reducing carbon footprints in the residential building sector. In this paper, a PSO-optimized random forest classification algorithm is proposed to identify the most important factors contributing to residential heating energy consumption. A self-organizing map (SOM) approach is applied for feature dimensionality reduction, and an ensemble classification model based on the stacking method is trained on the dimensionality-reduced data. The results show that the stacking model outperforms the other models with an accuracy of 95.4% in energy consumption prediction. Finally, a causal inference method is introduced in addition to Shapley Additive Explanation (SHAP) to explore and analyze the factors influencing... [more]
220. LAPSE:2023.35688
Analysis and Explanation of Resonant Phenomena Involving EHV Transformers during Power System Restoration Tests
May 23, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Energy Systems
Keywords: harmonic resonances, power system restoration, transformer energization, weak networks
This paper deals with the simulation and the experimental confirmation of electromagnetic events that could interfere with the successful formation of the restoration path during the power system restoration procedure. The studied phenomena are more relevant for bulk power systems characterized by a low short circuit power as the restoration backbone. In particular, two case studies have been simulated and analyzed: one related to a transformer energization during the formation of the restoration path, and the other one occurred after the de-energization of some transmission lines and one autotransformer belonging to the restoration path. From the simulation results, it emerged that such events are related to the resonant effects between the supplying transformer and the restored network. Such resonances could have negative effects on the restoration if they are not effectively managed. In order to evaluate the impact of such phenomena in real networks, the measurement recordings of on... [more]
221. LAPSE:2023.35687
Nuclear Power Plant to Support Indonesia’s Net Zero Emissions: A Case Study of Small Modular Reactor Technology Selection Using Technology Readiness Level and Levelized Cost of Electricity Comparing Method
May 23, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Energy Systems
Keywords: levelized cost of electricity, nuclear power plant, small modular reactor, technology readiness level
Most power plants, particularly those that burn fossil fuels such as coal, oil, and gas, create CO2, a greenhouse gas that contributes to climate change. By 2060, the Indonesian government has committed to reach net zero emissions. With the lowest CO2 emissions, nuclear power plants are dependable sources of energy. Small modular reactors (SMRs) are a particular kind of nuclear power plant that has the potential to be Indonesia’s first commercial nuclear power plant because of their small size, low capacity, uncomplicated design, and modular characteristics. The purpose of this study is to examine the economics and technological feasibility of SMRs. In this analysis, the levelized cost of electricity (LCOE) comparative method and the technology readiness level (TRL) approach are both applied. The SMRs with a minimum TRL value of 7 were CAREM-25 (TRL7), KLT-40S (TRL8), and HTR-PM (TRL 8), according to the results of this research. Although CAREM-25 and KLT-40S are still in the demonstra... [more]
222. LAPSE:2023.35686
Elimination of Line Overloads in a Power System Saturated with Renewable Energy Sources
May 23, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Energy Systems
Keywords: line overloads, metaheuristics, optimisation, power system congestion, renewable energy sources, transmission lines
The increasing number of renewable energy sources (RESs) connected to power grids contributes to the emergence of not only balancing problems but also technical ones, such as the overloading of power lines. If renewable sources with a high generation level are planned to be connected in the area under consideration, then a large number of significant overloads should be expected, especially during contingency analysis. As a rule, high-voltage networks have a mesh topology, which is why the concept of using advanced mathematical algorithms was developed, with the help of which the resulting threats can be eliminated. This article presents a proposal for a new method of eliminating line overloads and determining the currently available nodal generation levels. Its innovation is a new method of eliminating problems related to the capacity of power grids. The high efficiency of the method results from the appropriately defined response of properly selected RES sources to the state of netwo... [more]
223. LAPSE:2023.35685
Effect of Plasto-Oil Blended with Diesel Fuel on the Performance and Emission Characteristics of Partly Premixed Charge Compression Ignition Engines with and without Exhaust Gas Recirculation (EGR)
May 23, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Energy Systems
Keywords: diesel engine, municipal mixed plastic waste, PCCI, plasto-oil, thermal brake efficiency
Municipal mixed plastic waste (MMPW) recycling is an innovative way to turn environmental waste into energy fuels. In the present study, a thermochemical process was applied to depolymerize MMPW to produce hydrocarbon fuels known as plasto-oil. The obtained plasto-oil was blended with conventional diesel to test the performance of the PCCI-mode single-cylinder, four-stroke, direct-injection diesel engine. The PCCI combustion mixture was tested with 15% and 30% fuel vapor to ensure homogeneity with and without exhaust gas recirculation. The modified engine findings were compared to a standard conventional engine. At higher loads, PCCI combustion showed reduced emission of carbon monoxide and nitrogen oxides. While the thermal braking efficiency was marginally reduced at all engine loads while using the blends. The results showed that with and without 10% exhaust gas recirculation, an increase in air mix reduced NOx emissions; however, in the case of smoke emissions, an opposite trend wa... [more]
224. LAPSE:2023.35684
Mechanistic Exploration of Dendrite Growth and Inhibition for Lithium Metal Batteries
May 23, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Materials
Keywords: anisotropy intensity of surface energy, dendrite growth, initial nucleation spacing, interfacial electrochemical driving force, Li metal battery, phasefield model
Li metal has been considered an ideal anode in lithium batteries due to its high theoretical capacity of 3860 mAh·g−1 and lowest negative reduction potential of −3.040 V among the standard hydrogen electrodes. However, lithium dendrites can easily grow on the surface of the negative electrode during charging, which results in a short circuit of the battery and reduces its efficiency. This paper investigated dendrite growth and inhibition mechanisms in lithium metal batteries to improve battery life. The impacts of the initial nucleation spacing, surface energy anisotropy strength, and interfacial electrochemical driving force on lithium dendrite growth were analyzed with electrochemical experiments and mathematical models. The results showed that the smaller nucleation spacing inhibits the growth of dendrite side branches and reduces the roughness of lithium metal deposition on the negative electrode. A lower interfacial energy anisotropy strength can slow down the growth of dendrite t... [more]
225. LAPSE:2023.35683
Hydrogen Production from Supercritical Water Gasification of Model Compounds of Crude Glycerol from Biodiesel Industries
May 23, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Energy Systems
Keywords: design of experiments, glycerol, Hydrogen, response surface methodology, supercritical water gasification
Biodiesel production through transesterification results in a large quantity of crude glycerol as a byproduct, the utilization of which is technically and economically challenging. Because of the ability to efficiently process wet feedstocks, supercritical water gasification (SCWG) is utilized in this study to convert crude glycerol into hydrogen-rich syngas. A significant challenge addressed through this study is the decomposition routes of different heterogeneous components of crude glycerol during SCWG. Pure glycerol, methanol and oleic acid were investigated for SCWG as the model compounds of crude glycerol. SCWG of model compounds at temperature, pressure, feedstock concentration and reaction time of 500 °C, 23−25 MPa, 10 wt% and 1 h, respectively, revealed methanol to exhibit the highest H2 yield of 7.7 mmol/g, followed by pure glycerol (4.4 mmol/g) and oleic acid (1.1 mmol/g). The effects of feedstock concentration from 30 wt% to 10 wt% increased H2 yield from all model compound... [more]
226. LAPSE:2023.35682
Numerical Simulation of Gas-Solid Two-Phase Heat Transfer in a Kaolin Cyclone Cooling System
May 23, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Modelling and Simulations
Keywords: cooling systems, cyclone, Eulerian model, heat transfer, kaolin suspension calcination technology, numerical simulation
The kaolin suspension calcination technology is currently gaining attention as a new process of calcining kaolin. In this paper, the cooling system of the kaolin suspension calcination process designed by CBMI Construction Co., Ltd. is simulated using ANSYS Fluent software to analyze the velocity field and temperature field of the gas−solid two-phase flow using the Eulerian model. A compiled UDF (User-Defined Function) is used to simulate the transfer of mass and heat from the downcomer tube to the different elements. The gas, coming from the gas outlet of the cyclone, enters the next level twin-cylinder cyclone in a spiral state. The results show that the airflow in the cyclone consists of an external spiral flow from the top to the bottom and an internal spiral flow from the bottom to the top. During the downward movement of the airflow, the outer spiral flow is continuously transformed into an inner cyclonic flow. The part of the airflow that rotates close to the inner cylinder is l... [more]
227. LAPSE:2023.35681
Numerical Investigation of Flow and Structural Characteristics of a Large High-Head Prototype Pump−Turbine during Turbine Start-Up
May 23, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Energy Systems
Keywords: flow and structural characteristics, fluid–structure coupling, pump–turbine, stress concentration, turbine start-up
Transient processes that occur in pumped storage power plants can cause high-pressure conditions, which in turn can result in vibrations in the pump−turbine structure and even damage to structural components. It is therefore crucial to research the transient process of the large pump−turbine units and the flow-induced vibrations of the structural components. The three-dimensional flow field and structural field models of a high-head prototype pump−turbine were constructed to study its flow characteristics and structural characteristics under the turbine start-up. Calculations and analyses were performed on the pressure variation and the flow-induced stress concentrations of the pump−turbine during start-up in turbine mode. The simulated pressure distributions during the turbine start-up were mapped onto the finite element calculation model of the structures of the pump−turbine to calculate the flow-induced stress concentrations. This study provides a reference to improve the design and... [more]
228. LAPSE:2023.35680
The Evolution of Energy Management Maturity in Organizations Subject to Mandatory Energy Audits: Findings from Italy
May 23, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Energy Management
Keywords: energy audit, Energy Efficiency, energy efficiency directive, energy management, maturity model
Promoting energy efficiency is a key element of the strategic commitment of the European Community. Prominent among the binding measures established by the 2012 Energy Efficiency Directive to further this vision is the requirement for large companies to conduct energy audits every four years. After receiving the second cycle of energy audit reports in December 2019, a new description of the energy situation of Italian companies was made available. This presented the previously inaccessible possibility of comparing the two situations reported in 2015 and 2019 to assess the development of energy efficiency practices in organizations subject to the legislative obligation of energy audits in the country. To this end, in collaboration with the Italian National Agency for New Technologies, Energy and Sustainable Economic Development (ENEA), a project was initiated with the aim of developing the tools and methodologies necessary to assess in more detail the evolution that has occurred in the... [more]
229. LAPSE:2023.35679
A Method for Assessing the Feasibility of Integrating Planned Unidirectional EV Chargers into the Distribution Grid: A Case Study in Danang, Vietnam
May 23, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Energy Systems
Keywords: distribution grid, electric vehicles, fast chargers, unidirectional charger
The journey towards transportation electrification started with electric vehicles and has attracted more and more attention on a global scale in recent years. EVs are seen as a substantial, effective, and urgent solution for transportation electrification. In this paper, we investigate the operation requirements for integrating charger stations into the distribution grid in Vietnam. We also propose a simple evaluation method for assessing the feasibility of integrating planned unidirectional EV chargers into the distribution grid. The assessment method is applied to two main distribution feeders in Danang, Vietnam, where the new charger stations are already planned to be deployed in 2025 and 2030. The results showed that with addition of pre-planned EV chargers, both feeders still meet operation requirements in 2025 and 2030. However, the feeder with voltage indices close to the limit needs to be considered for an upgrade in configuration.
230. LAPSE:2023.35678
Influence of Sustainable Strategic Management on Methane Projects as Exemplified by the Jastrzębska Spółka Węglowa S.A. Mining Company
May 23, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Other
Keywords: analytic hierarchy process, balanced scorecard, methane projects, mining industry, project management, scenario methods, strategic management, sustainable management
This article presents research conducted in one of the largest mining companies in the EU—Jastrzębska Spółka Węglowa S.A. It relates to how the implementation of sustainable strategic management has affected methane projects. In the study, a literature analysis was first conducted, establishing the existence and significance of the research gap. Then, a group of experts from JSW S.A., during moderated workshops, prepared a multidimensional model describing the structure of the implementation of sustainable strategic management. The model was constructed and verified using the AHP method. As a result of the study, it was found that the implementation of sustainable strategic management resulted in a change of the company’s strategic priorities. Significant professionalization of management in the course of these projects was also observed. The most important and beneficial element of the implementation was the adoption of strategic goals related to the production of their very own energ... [more]
231. LAPSE:2023.35677
Prediction of Betavoltaic Battery Parameters
May 23, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Energy Systems
Keywords: betavoltaic cell, predictive accuracy, radioisotope source, semiconductor converter
The approaches for predicting output parameters of betavoltaic batteries are reviewed. The need to develop a strategy for predicting these parameters with sufficient accuracy for the optimization of betavoltaic cell design without using the simple trial and error approach is discussed. The strengths and weaknesses of previously proposed approaches for the prediction are considered. Possible reasons for the difference between the calculated and measured parameters are analyzed. The depth dependencies of beta particles deposited energy for Si, SiC, GaN, and Ga2O3 and 20% purity 63Ni and titanium tritide as radioisotope sources are simulated using the Monte Carlo algorithm taking into account the full beta energy spectrum, the isotropic angular distribution of emitted electrons and the self-absorption inside the radioisotope source for homogeneously distributed emitting points. The maximum short circuit current densities for the same semiconductors and radioisotope sources are calculated.... [more]
232. LAPSE:2023.35676
Optimization of Nanocomposite Films Based on Polyimide−MWCNTs towards Energy Storage Applications
May 23, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Optimization
Keywords: dielectric behavior, electrical charge storage capability, nitrile-based polyimide nanocomposites, thermal properties
In order to obtain polyimide-based composite materials for energy storage applications, four synthetic methods towards a polyimide matrix with 2 wt.% pristine or acid-functionalized MWCNTs have been developed. The polyimide is derived from a nitrile aromatic diamine and a fluorene-containing dianhydride which allowed the formation of flexible free-standing nanocomposite films. The films were thoroughly characterized by means of structural identification, morphology, mechanical, thermal and dielectric behavior, as well as the charge storage performance. The obtained data indicated higher homogeneity of the composites loaded with acid-functionalized MWCNTs that enabled significantly increased dielectric properties compared to the matrix. To assess the electrical charge storage capability, cyclic voltammetry and galvanostatic charge−discharge measurements were employed in a three-electrode cell configuration. Due to the higher conductivity of pristine MWCNTs compared to acid-functionalize... [more]
233. LAPSE:2023.35675
Possibilities of Reducing the Heat Energy Consumption in a Tissue Paper Machine—Case Study
May 23, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Energy Systems
Keywords: heat energy consumption, paper drying, paper machine performance, tissue machine
The article presents studies on the impact of the significant process parameters of a paper machine with a Yankee cylinder on its production capacity and heat energy consumption for drying the paper web. Parameters such as machine speed, web moisture content before and after pressing, parameters of steam supplied to the cylinder and parameters of hot air flowing from the nozzles of the hood were analyzed. The study’s results were used to optimize production to improve the energy efficiency and performance of the machine. In order to use the possible methods of improving the production capacity and heat energy consumption, the parameters of the production process were measured and the basic indicators characterizing the operation of the machine were calculated in the Yankee cylinder−dryer hood system. The correct functioning of the machine components and the possibility of their modernization were also analyzed. Technological and construction changes introduced based on the research res... [more]
234. LAPSE:2023.35674
Can Hydrogen Production Be Economically Viable on the Existing Gas-Fired Power Plant Location? New Empirical Evidence
May 23, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Energy Policy
Keywords: ancillary services, gas-fired power plant, green transition, hydrogen production viability
The paper provides an economic model for the assessment of hydrogen production at the site of an existing thermal power plant, which is then integrated into the existing gas grid. The model uses projections of electricity prices, natural gas prices, and CO2 prices, as well as estimates of the cost of building a power-to-gas system for a 25-year period. The objective of this research is to calculate the yellow hydrogen production price for each lifetime year of the Power-to-gas system to evaluate yellow hydrogen competitiveness compared to the fossil alternatives. We test if an incentive scheme is needed to make this technology economically viable. The research also provides several sensitivity scenarios of electricity, natural gas, and CO2 price changes. Our research results clearly prove that yellow hydrogen is not yet competitive with fossil alternatives and needs incentive mechanisms for the time being. At given natural gas and CO2 prices, the incentive for hydrogen production needs... [more]
235. LAPSE:2023.35673
A Review of Tropical Organic Materials for Biodiesel as a Substitute Energy Source in Internal Combustion Engines: A Viable Solution?
May 23, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Materials
Keywords: biodiesel, internal combustion engines, tropical cultivars
In this article, the most important publications on the subject are compiled to highlight the progress in biodiesel production from tropical cultivars, including energy and environmental potential, raw materials, and the advantages and disadvantages of this biofuel. A critical and objective review of biodiesel production as an alternative fuel for power generation systems and its importance in the energy matrix was conducted. A survey of real applications, new computational and experimental trends, and proposals in internal combustion engines employing organic biofuel was performed. The main findings were as follows: (i) there is the possibility of integration and support in the energy matrix of different countries, as well as the competing with and complementing, energetically, other renewable energy sources, such as solar and wind; (ii) Jatropha curcas, sunflowers, soybean, Moringa oleifera, palm, cottonseed, castor, rubber seed, and coconut are tropical cultivars used to obtained oi... [more]
236. LAPSE:2023.35672
Wireless Battery Chargers Operating at Multiple Switching Frequencies with Improved Performance
May 23, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Energy Systems
Keywords: efficiency, electromagnetic interference, inductive-resonant, spread spectrum, wireless battery charger
The operation of wireless battery chargers at multiple switching frequencies may lead to a noticeable suppression of conducted and radiated electromagnetic interference (EMI) at the cost of decreased efficiency (mainly at lower load resistances) and increased peak and root mean square values of currents of power components of the wireless battery charger. Moreover, the reduction in conducted EMI is only moderate (<8.3 dB). Therefore, a novel approach based on modified resonant circuits and a modified control technique to obtain better reduction in the conducted and radiated EMI without significantly compromising other performance characteristics of the wireless battery charger is proposed and validated by using simulations and experiments. It is shown in this paper that the wireless charger operating at multiple switching frequencies with the proposed approach for the performance improvement has a more effective implementation of the four-switching frequency spread-spectrum techniqu... [more]
237. LAPSE:2023.35671
An Offshore Solar Irradiance Calculator (OSIC) Applied to Photovoltaic Tracking Systems
May 23, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Modelling and Simulations
Keywords: irradiance simulation, offshore solar, photovoltaic panels, solar energy
Offshore photovoltaic installations are the future technology in solar energy since they enable the use of the large amount of maritime space, which is especially important when land space is not available. Various research groups are working to create viable installations. However, there are currently no tools available that an offshore system designer can use to quantify the effect of wave response motion on offshore photovoltaic installations. This research presents a new simulation tool termed the Offshore Solar Irradiance Calculator (OSIC) that is able to quantify this effect. Furthermore, a yearly parametric analysis is presented to show the effects of a characteristic wave equation on different offshore tracking systems; namely, horizontal single-axis tracking, vertical single-axis tracking and dual-axis tracking. Finally, another parametric analysis is presented to show the effects of varying wave amplitudes of oscillations on the incident irradiance received by these tracking... [more]
238. LAPSE:2023.35670
An Experimental EMC Investigation of On-Board Interleaved Buck Converters
May 23, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Energy Systems
Keywords: electromagnetic compatibility, interleaving, satellite power system, switching-mode power supply
On board a satellite, there are different devices that operate from a common energy source called a power bus. Since there are many devices connected to the same power bus and they are in the close vicinity of each other, it is important that they are able to function adequately in the electromagnetic environment of the satellite without introducing intolerable electromagnetic interference to other devices. On-board devices often require voltage levels different from the bus voltage to function, and this is often produced by switching-mode power supplies (SMPS). Their switching-mode operation guarantees that there is less power loss during conversion; however, they also emit conducted and radiated noises into the direction of the power bus and the payloads. In the case of multiple SMPS powered by the same power bus, we can interleave their switching periods. Thus, their noises will cancel each other out on their common input. In this study, we are going to demonstrate the noise reducti... [more]
239. LAPSE:2023.35669
Battery Dynamic Balancing Method Based on Calculation of Cell Voltage Reference Value
May 23, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Energy Systems
Keywords: active balancing of battery cells, average voltage, multi-coordinate energy transmission, multi-element battery, passive balancing of battery cells, reference voltage
The article is devoted to solving the problem of charge equalization of multi-element batteries with rated voltage up to 1000 V, operating in dynamic modes with different charge and discharge depths. This article proposes a method of balancing the voltages of power battery elements. The essence of the proposed method is to form a reference signal equivalent to the reference voltage of the battery element for the current state of charge. The novelty of the method presented in this article, in comparison with relevant existing techniques, lies in active control over the balancing circuit proportional to real cell voltage deviation from the reference value. The proposed method can be used both for passive balancing techniques based on ballast resistors, and for circuits made on electromagnetic energy redistribution systems between galvanic cells. A number of Simulink models were developed to determine the electrical parameters of active and passive balancing circuits. Performance and accu... [more]
240. LAPSE:2023.35668
Thermocatalytic Decomposition of Sesame Waste Biomass over Ni-Co-Doped MCM-41: Kinetics and Physicochemical Properties of the Bio-Oil
May 23, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Energy Systems
Keywords: bio-oil, kinetics, Ni/Co/MCM-41, pyrolysis, sesame waste biomass
The increase in industrialization and development has tremendously diminished fossil fuel resources. Moreover, the excessive use of fossil fuels has resulted in the release of various toxic gases and an increase in global warming. Hence, necessitating the need to search for a renewable energy source. In this study, sesame waste biomass (SWB), which is abundantly available in Pakistan, has been used as feedstock for obtaining bio-oil using the pyrolysis technique. Pyrolysis was carried out using thermogravimetry and a pyrolysis chamber. Firstly, thermogravimetric analysis was performed on biomass with/without a laboratory synthesized catalyst Ni/Co/MCM-41 in nitrogen at different temperature programmed rates of 5, 10, 15, and 20 °C/min. A four-stage weight loss was observed that pointed toward the vaporization of water, and degradation of hemicelluloses, cellulose, and lignin. The kinetics parameters were determined using the Kissinger equation. The activation energy for the decompositi... [more]
241. LAPSE:2023.35667
An Ab Initio RRKM-Based Master Equation Study for Kinetics of OH-Initiated Oxidation of 2-Methyltetrahydrofuran and Its Implications in Kinetic Modeling
May 23, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Modelling and Simulations
Keywords: 2-methyl tetrahydrofuran, ab initio, kinetic modeling, OH radicals, RRKM-ME calculations
Cyclic ethers (CEs) can be promising future biofuel candidates. Most CEs possess physico-chemical and combustion indicators comparable to conventional fuels, making them suitable for internal combustion engines. This work computationally investigates the kinetic behaviors of hydrogen abstraction from 2-methyl tetrahydrofuran (2MTHF), one of the promising CEs, by hydroxyl radicals under combustion and atmospheric relevant conditions. The various reaction pathways were explored using the CCSD(T)/cc-pVTZ//M06-2X/aug-cc-pVTZ level of theory. The Rice−Ramsperger−Kassel−Marcus-based master equation (RRKM-ME) rate model, including treatments for hindered internal rotation and tunneling, was employed to describe time-dependent species profiles and pressure and temperature-dependent rate coefficients. Our kinetic model revealed that the H-abstraction proceeds via an addition-elimination mechanism forming reaction complexes at both the entrance and exit channels. Eight different reaction channel... [more]
242. LAPSE:2023.35666
Development of a Steam Generator Mock-Up for EU DEMO Fusion Reactor: Conceptual Design and Code Assessment
May 23, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Process Design
Keywords: DEMO, experimental installation, once through steam generator (OTSG), RELAP5, STEAM facility, water technologies
Recent R&D activities in nuclear fusion have identified the DEMO reactor as the ITER successor, aiming at demonstrating the technical feasibility of fusion plants, along with their commercial exploitation. However, the pulsed operation of the machine causes an “unconventional” operation of the system, posing unique challenges to the functional feasibility of the steam generator, for which it is necessary to define and qualify a reference configuration for DEMO. In order to facilitate the transitions between different operational regimes, the Once Through Steam Generator (OTSG) is considered to be a suitable choice for the DEMO primary heat transfer systems, being characterized by lower thermal inertia with respect to the most common U-tube steam generators. In this framework, the ENEA has undertaken construction of the STEAM facility at Brasimone R.C., aiming at characterizing the behavior of the DEMO OTSG and related water coolant systems in steady-state and transient conditions. A de... [more]
243. LAPSE:2023.35665
Estimating the Performance Loss Rate of Photovoltaic Systems Using Time Series Change Point Analysis
May 23, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Modelling and Simulations
Keywords: change point techniques, Modelling, nonlinear degradation, performance loss rate, photovoltaics
The accurate quantification of the performance loss rate of photovoltaic systems is critical for project economics. Following the current research activities in the photovoltaic performance and reliability field, this work presents a comparative assessment between common change point methods for performance loss rate estimation of fielded photovoltaic installations. An extensive testing campaign was thus performed to evaluate time series analysis approaches for performance loss rate evaluation of photovoltaic systems. Historical electrical data from eleven photovoltaic systems installed in Nicosia, Cyprus, and the locations’ meteorological measurements over a period of 8 years were used for this investigation. The application of change point detection algorithms on the constructed monthly photovoltaic performance ratio series revealed that the obtained trend might not always be linear. Specifically, thin film photovoltaic systems showed nonlinear behavior, while nonlinearities were als... [more]