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Records Added in May 2023
Records added in May 2023
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294. LAPSE:2023.35614
Comparative Analysis of Wind Farm Simulators for Wind Farm Control
May 23, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Process Control
Keywords: power optimization, wake model, wind farm control, wind farm simulator
This paper conducts a comparative analysis of three wind farm simulators, examining the influence of wake on the local wind speed and power output for downstream turbines using experimental data. The study features experiments in three distinct scenarios, evaluating differences among the simulators by calculating the local wind speed and power for each. Each simulator employs a unique wake model, which substantially affects the local wind speed experienced by downstream turbines. Furthermore, the experiment involves adjusting parameter values for each simulator to assess their respective impacts on wind farm performance. The findings of this research are expected to play an important role in investigations related to power optimization and wake effects in the wind farm control.
295. LAPSE:2023.35613
Cavitation Hydrodynamic Performance of 3-D Printed Highly Skewed Stainless Steel Tidal Turbine Rotors
May 23, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Environment
Keywords: blade skewness, cavitation, cavitation tunnel, environmental impact, power generation, structural integrity, tidal turbines
Hydraulic turbines contribute to 60% of renewable energy in the world; however, they also entail some adverse effects on the aquatic ecology system. One such effect is their excessive noise and vibration. To minimize this effect, one of the most effective and feasible solutions is to modify the design of the turbine rotor blade by introducing a skew. In this study, two 0.3-meter tidal turbines with 0-degree (no-skewness) and positive 90-degree skewness made of stainless steel 316L were designed and printed using a 3-D printing powder bed fusion technique. These rotors were then tested at the Emerson Cavitation Tunnel (ECT) at Newcastle University, UK, and the variation in the skewness of the blades of the turbines as a function of the power coefficient on a given tip speed ratio (TSR) value was ascertained. Results showed that the highly skewed rotor had significantly lower drag and torque fluctuations, with a slight decrease in efficiency compared to the non-skewed one, which warrants... [more]
296. LAPSE:2023.35612
TGA-FTIR Analysis of Biomass Samples Based on the Thermal Decomposition Behavior of Hemicellulose, Cellulose, and Lignin
May 23, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Energy Systems
Keywords: olive pomace, pinecone, pyrolysis, sunflower waste, TGA-FTIR
The slow pyrolysis characteristics of lignocellulosic biomass and its three major components via a Thermogravimetric Analyzer coupled with a Fourier Transform Infrared Spectrometer (TGA-FTIR) was studied. Different compositions and ratios of cellulose, hemicellulose, and lignin, olive pomace, sunflower waste, and pinecone were selected. The main decomposition temperature ranges of xylose (hemicellulose) and lignin showed a broad range between 173−690 and 170−835 °C, respectively, whereas that of cellulose was detected to be 291−395 °C. All biomass samples presented a three-stage pyrolysis model that is explained by the superposition of the weight losses of major components. Simultaneous FTIR analysis of the evolved gases demonstrated that the greater the cellulose and hemicellulose contents, the higher the CO and CO2 concentrations. Chemical kinetics were computed with the Coats−Redfern model. The activation energy required for the initiation of the thermal decomposition of biomass sam... [more]
297. LAPSE:2023.35611
A Brief Review of the Impregnation Process with Dielectric Fluids of Cellulosic Materials Used in Electric Power Transformers
May 23, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Materials
Keywords: dielectric fluid, impregnation, power transformer, solid insulation
In the manufacturing of power transformers, the impregnation of the solid electric insulation systems (cellulosic materials) with a dielectric liquid is a key issue for increasing the breakdown voltage of the insulation, and this prevents the apparition of partial discharges that deteriorate the insulation system. After introducing the problem, this article presents the theory of impregnation and later carries out a bibliographical review. Traditionally, mineral oils have been used as the dielectric liquid in electrical transformers, but for environmental (low biodegradability) and safety (low ignition temperature) reasons, since the mid-1980s, their substitution with other ester-type fluids has been studied. However, these liquids have some drawbacks, including their higher viscosity (especially at low temperatures). This property, among other aspects, makes the impregnation of cellulosic materials, which is part of the transformer manufacturing process, difficult, and therefore this... [more]
298. LAPSE:2023.35610
Supercritical Heat Transfer and Pyrolysis Characteristics of n-Decane in Circular and Rectangular Channels
May 23, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Energy Systems
Keywords: circular tube, n-decane, pyrolysis, rectangular tube, supercritical heat transfer
In this research, the effects of different channel cross-section shapes on the flow, heat transfer and pyrolysis characteristics of n-decane were analyzed and compared based on CFD simulations. The interactions between cracking, heat transfer and flow field in a circular tube and a rectangular tube were studied. The results showed that the mean pressure drop in the rectangular channel is 1.18 times as high as that in the circular channel with pyrolysis due to its smaller equivalent diameter. The maximum value of the chemical heat sink in the rectangular channel is 1.6 times as high as that in the circular channel. The high temperature zone of any cross section in the rectangular channel is much larger than that in the circular channel due to the superposition of the boundary layer and lower turbulent kinetic energy in the corners of the rectangular channel. The maximum value of the Nu in the circular channel is 1.3 times as high as that in the rectangular channel with pyrolysis due to... [more]
299. LAPSE:2023.35609
Wind Energy Supply Profiling and Offshore Potential in South Africa
May 23, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Numerical Methods and Statistics
Keywords: energy demand, geographic supply influences, numerical model, offshore wind, power matching, power potential, supply curve, wind profiles
South Africa’s energy network is under severe pressure due to low supply and overwhelming demand. With an increase in renewable energy providers, specifically wind energy, knowing how the supply can satisfy the electricity demand may relieve apprehensions. This research aims to provide insight into the wind energy supply of South Africa and question how well this supply meets the demand of South Africa. The methodology used in this work highlights the importance of access to public datasets to dispel misconceptions in the energy industry. Additionally, the work supports network planning and the arguments for increasing wind energy penetration on the South African grid. Wind profiles and the typical energy production of South African wind farms are compared to electricity demand. The geographical spacing of the operational wind farms is considered. It is observed that wind energy supply assists in the peak electricity hourly demand as well as seasonal peaks. Furthermore, South Africa’s... [more]
300. LAPSE:2023.35608
Experimental and Numerical Studies of the Aerodynamics of Stationary Two-Shaft Gas Turbine Exhaust System
May 23, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Energy Systems
Keywords: 3D flow structure, aerodynamic experiment, aerodynamic integral characteristics, exhaust duct, numerical simulations
In this study, the aerodynamic performance of the exhaust system of a two-shaft gas turbine was investigated experimentally and numerically. The investigation focused on the system “Turbine Stage-Diffuser—Collector Box” and aimed to examine the impact of inlet conditions and geometry particularities on the efficiency of the exhaust system. The experiments were conducted on the Test Ring ET4 (Experimental Turbine-4) at the Peter the Great St.Petersburg Polytechnic University, which was equipped with a special diversion channel to examine the non-axisymmetric outlet of the exhaust duct. The collector box was designed to rotate by 180 degrees around the turbine axis to investigate its impact on the system’s performance. Flow traversing parameters were measured with the five-channel pneumatic pressure probes, and numerical simulations were performed with CFX 15.0. The RANS (Reynolds-averaged Navier−Stokes) equations were closed with the SST (k-ω) turbulence model (Shear Stress Transport mo... [more]
301. LAPSE:2023.35607
Information Value of Individual and Consolidated Financial Statements for Indicative Liquidity Assessment of Polish Energy Groups in 2018−2021
May 23, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Energy Management
Keywords: consolidated financial statement of an energy group, financial information value, indicative analysis, individual financial statement, managing financial information, managing financial liquidity
Electricity is currently one of the most popular sources of energy. Considering such widespread use of electric energy, we may ask, what is the economic cost of producing and supplying it? The climate crisis and the social pressure associated with it have triggered the necessity to make further investments in renewable and low-emission energy sources, while the COVID-19 pandemic has abruptly limited electricity consumption in industry. All these factors can have an impact on disruptions or loss in the liquidity of companies responsible for supplying electricity to end users. Guaranteeing cash flow for energy sector entities is a prerequisite for energy supply continuity. In this context, the selection and application of reliable sources of information are vital for the management of the financial liquidity of energy sector entities. The aim of this article is to prove the value of the financial information of individual (IFR) and consolidated financial statements (CFR) essential for th... [more]
302. LAPSE:2023.35606
Analyzing the Performance of Thermoelectric Generators with Inhomogeneous Legs: Coupled Material−Device Modelling for Mg2X-Based TEG Prototypes
May 23, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Materials
Keywords: constant property model, inhomogeneous material, material modelling, performance analysis, performance modelling, single parabolic band model, TEG characterization, thermoelectrics
Thermoelectric generators (TEGs) possess the ability to generate electrical power from heat. As TEGs are operated under a thermal gradient, inhomogeneous material properties—either by design or due to inhomogeneous material degradation under thermal load—are commonly found. However, this cannot be addressed using standard approaches for performance analysis of TEGs in which spatially homogeneous materials are assumed. Therefore, an innovative method of analysis, which can incorporate inhomogeneous material properties, is presented in this study. This is crucial to understand the measured performance parameters of TEGs and, from this, develop means to improve their longevity. The analysis combines experimental profiling of inhomogeneous material properties, modelling of the material properties using a single parabolic band model, and calculation of device properties using the established Constant Property Model. We compare modeling results assuming homogeneous and inhomogeneous properti... [more]
303. LAPSE:2023.35605
A Review of the Latest Trends in Technical and Economic Aspects of EV Charging Management
May 23, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Planning & Scheduling
Keywords: charging station, distribution system, electric vehicles, EV charging management, EV scheduling, stakeholders, V2G
The transition from internal combustion engines to electric vehicles (EVs) has received significant attention and investment due to its potential in reducing greenhouse gas emissions. The integration of EVs into electric and transport systems presents both benefits and challenges in energy management. The scheduling of EV charging can alleviate congestion in the electric system and reduce waiting times for EV owners. The use of renewable energy sources (RESs) for EV charging and supporting the grid can help mitigate the uncertainty of these energy resources. Vehicle-to-grid (V2G) technology can be used as an alternative approach in the event of sudden high consumption of the grid. Additionally, cost minimization through large-scale coordinated planning is crucial for the future of e-mobility systems. This review paper focuses on the latest trends considering the various approaches and features in coordinated EV scheduling, as well as the influence of different stakeholders, categorized... [more]
304. LAPSE:2023.35604
Green Fiscal Policy and ESG Performance: Evidence from the Energy-Saving and Emission-Reduction Policy in China
May 23, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Energy Policy
Keywords: China, emission-reduction policy, energy conservation policy, ESG, staggered difference-in-differences
To achieve the goal of sustainable development, China has implemented the energy conservation and emission-reduction policy. So far, there is still little evidence of the impact of the policiy on corporate behaviour. Therefore, this study collects data on Chinese A-share listed companies from 2010 to 2017 and applies the staggered difference-in-differences method to analyse the impact of the energy conservation and emission-reduction policy on the environmental, social and governance performance of companies in China. The result shows that the energy conservation and emission-reduction policy reduces environmental, social and governance performance, and this negative effect increases over time. Meanwhile, a further mechanism analysis confirms that the negative impact on environmental, social and governance performance operates through the incentive effect on environmental performance, the crowding-out effect on social performance and the spillover effect on governance performance. Furt... [more]
305. LAPSE:2023.35603
Carbon Nanotubes as an Alternative to Copper Wires in Electrical Machines: A Review
May 23, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Materials
Keywords: carbon nanotube composite materials, carbon nanotubes, electrical properties, electrical wires, mechanical properties
The surge in electric vehicles (EVs) and their electrical appliances requires highly efficient, lightweight electrical machines with better performance. However, conventional wire used for electrical machine windings have certain limits to the current requirements. Copper is a commonly used material in electrical windings, and due to its ohmic resistance, it causes 75% of total losses in electrical machines (copper losses). The high mass of the copper results in a bulky system size, and the winding temperature of copper is always maintained at less than 150 °C to preserve the thermal insulation of the electric machine of the windings. On the other hand, carbon nanotubes and carbon nanotube materials have superior electrical conductivity properties and mechanical properties. Carbon nanotubes ensure 100 MS/m of electrical conductivity, which is higher than the copper electrical conductivity of 59.6 MS/m. In the literature, various carbon nanotubes have been studied based on electrical co... [more]
306. LAPSE:2023.35602
High Heat Flux Testing of Graded W-Steel Joining Concepts for the First Wall
May 23, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Materials
Keywords: atmospheric plasma spraying (APS), functionally graded material (FGM), high heat flux (HHF), spark plasma sintering (SPS), W-steel
The realization of the first wall (FW), which is composed of a protective tungsten (W) armor covering the structural steel material, is a critical challenge in the development of future fusion reactors. Due to the different coefficients of thermal expansion (CTE) of W and steel, the direct joining of them results in cyclic thermal stress at their bonding seam during the operation of the fusion reactor. To address this issue, this study benchmarks two joining concepts. The first concept uses an atmospheric plasma sprayed graded interlayer composed of W/steel composites with a varying content of W and steel to gradually change the CTE. The second concept uses a spark plasma sintered graded interlayer. Furthermore, in order to benchmark these concepts, a directly bonded W-steel reference joint as well as a W-steel joint featuring a vanadium interlayer were also tested. These joints were tested under steady-state high heat flux cyclic loading, starting from a heat flux of 1 MW/m2 up to 4.5... [more]
307. LAPSE:2023.35601
Numerical Analysis of the Influence of Inner Tubes Arrangement on the Thermal Performance of Thermal Energy Storage Unit
May 23, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Energy Systems
Keywords: entropy generation, melting rate, thermal energy storage, tubes arrangement
The container shape and arrangement of the thermal storage systems (TES) play a vital role in enhancing thermal performance. In the current investigation, the impact of inner tube dimensions and arrangements of TES on the thermal performance of a PCM-based triplex-tube latent heat storage exchanger (TTHX) is numerically analyzed. COMSOL Multiphysics commercial software was employed to obtain the numerical solution of the governing equations. Eight different cases with the same volume of PCM and various configurations of the inner tubes were investigated. The results of the current study were presented in terms of temperature contours, liquid fraction, Bejan number, average temperature, and average Nusslet number. The shortest melting time was 48 min, which was achieved by a single inner tube configuration with a quicker melting time of >62% compared to other cases. While for multi-tubes, the shortest time was 78 min, which was achieved by the configuration of three tubes (two horizonta... [more]
308. LAPSE:2023.35600
A Critical Overview of the Impact of Nanoparticles in Ester Fluid for Power Transformers
May 23, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Materials
Keywords: double layer, ester, fire point, heat dissipation, nanofluids, oxidation, polarization, stability, streamer, streaming current, thermal ageing
This paper examines the impact of various nanoparticles on ester fluids with a special focus on their usage towards power transformers. The precautionary measures to be considered on the nanofluids such as preparation methodologies with an appropriate surfactant and its stability is well elucidated. The electrical double layer (EDL) formation around the nanoparticles on its diffusion in the insulating fluid is explained by its different layers away from the particle surface. The partial discharge of ester nanofluids with different detection methods is elaborated on its comparison with conventional IEC 60270 measurements. The field configurations on ester-nanofluids govern the breakdown mechanism with variations in the streamer patterns. The equation of relaxation time towards breakdown is valid only when it is lower than the initiation time for streamers. The flow charges induced at the solid/liquid interface inside transformers depends on the structure of the nanofluid and the conditi... [more]
309. LAPSE:2023.35599
Research on the Impact of Energy Efficiency on Green Development: A Case Study of the Yellow River Basin in China
May 23, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Energy Policy
Keywords: Energy Efficiency, green development, green economy, sustainable development, Yellow River Basin
In order to achieve China’s carbon peaking and carbon neutrality (double carbon) targets and to advance ecological conservation and high-quality development in the Yellow River Basin, it is essential that China reduces its energy intensity and increases its energy efficiency. This research developed an evaluation index system for energy efficiency and green development in the Yellow River Basin based on panel data collected from 64 of its prefecture-level cities and covering the period from 2011 to 2020. Each city’s energy efficiency and green development level index was calculated, and was analyzed together with the characteristics of its spatial pattern progression. The STIRPAT model was then used to investigate the influence mechanism of energy efficiency on green development. The final step in the analysis was to assess the process by which technical innovation influences the rise in energy efficiency from a green development point of view. The findings of this study indicate that:... [more]
310. LAPSE:2023.35598
Free Cooling for Saving Energy: Technical Market Analysis of Dry, Wet, and Hybrid Cooling Based on Manufacturer Data
May 23, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Numerical Methods and Statistics
Keywords: approach temperature, data center, descriptive statistics, dry cooling, Energy Efficiency, environmental impact, evaporative cooling, resource efficiency, thermal capacity, wet cooling
In light of energy and climate targets, free cooling unlocks a major resource-saving potential compared to refrigeration. To fill the knowledge gap in quantifying this saving potential, we aim to specify the physical and technical limits of cooling tower applications and provide comprehensive data on electricity and water consumption. For this purpose, we distinguish six types of package-type cooling towers: dry, closed wet, open wet, and three types of hybrid systems; defining one generalized system for all types enables comparability. Subsequently, we collect data from 6730 system models of 27 manufacturers, using technical information from data sheets and additional material. The analysis reveals, for example, specific ranges of electricity demand from 0.01 to 0.06 kW/kW and highlights influencing factors, including type and operating point. Refrigeration systems would consume approximately ten times more electricity per cooling capacity. Furthermore, the evaluation demonstrates the... [more]
311. LAPSE:2023.35597
Heteroatom-Doped Carbon Supports with Enhanced Corrosion Resistance in Polymer Electrolyte Membrane Fuel Cells
May 23, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Energy Systems
Keywords: carbon corrosion, durability, heteroatom-doped carbon, PEMFC
Polymer Electrolyte Membrane Fuel Cells (PEMFC) are currently considered the most advanced fuel cell technology. However, the industrial implementation of PEMFCs is strongly hindered by deficient durability, especially that of the carbonaceous materials commonly used to support the platinum-based catalyst nanoparticles, which are prone to electrochemical corrosion at the cathode, resulting in a serious performance loss of the entire cell. In the attempt to overcome this issue, many research groups have tried to introduce heteroatoms (N, S, B, P) into the carbon lattice, thus trying to make the electrode corrosion-resistant. Newly developed heteroatom-doped carbons were subjected to corrosion tests in half-cell and single-cell systems to evaluate their stability. This paper reviews the recent studies devoted to corrosion research of heteroatom-doped carbon supports for Pt-based catalysts in PEMFCs. In particular, an overview on N, B, and S dopants and their effects on carbon corrosion i... [more]
312. LAPSE:2023.35596
Analytical Investigation of Magnetic Scalar Potentials Oscillation in Spoke PM Flux Modulation Machines
May 23, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Electricity & Electrical Devices
Keywords: magneto-motive force, modulation flux, potential oscillation, scalar magnetic potential, spoke PM machines
In this paper, the oscillation phenomena of the scalar magnetic potential of iron pieces of spoke permanent magnet (PM) machines are analyzed and the effects of the oscillation on the air gap flux and back electro-motive force (EMF) are deeply investigated, especially for flux modulation machines such as vernier and flux switching PM (FSPM) machines. To these ends, the formula of the scalar magnetic potential is derived for a generalized spoke PM structure. It reveals that the oscillation phenomena depend on the slot/pole combination, consequently resulting in different behavior according to the machine types such as vernier and FSPM machines. Next, each core’s potential given as a discrete function is developed into a continuous function of an air gap magneto-motive force (MMF) rotating and oscillating through Fourier series expansion. Making use of the developed MMF and the specific permeance of air gap, the equations of air gap flux density and back EMF are derived, which enable acc... [more]
313. LAPSE:2023.35595
Resonant Mechanism for a Long-Distance Wireless Power Transfer Using Class E PA and GaN HEMT
May 23, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Electricity & Electrical Devices
Keywords: class E power amplifier (PA), coupling coefficient, GaN, resonant wireless power transfer, voltage gain
This paper presents a study on long-distance wireless power transfer (WPT), which formulates the voltage gain in terms of the coupling coefficient between the power transmitting unit (PTU) and the power receiving unit (PRU) coils. It is proposed that maximum power transfer efficiency (PTE) can be reached when maximum voltage gain is achieved under a matching condition between the coil quality factor and the coupling coefficient. In order to achieve maximum power delivered to load (PDL), we need to elevate the input voltage as high as the high breakdown-voltage of gallium nitride (GaN) high-electron mobility transistors (HEMT) along with class E amplifier circuit topology. In order to promote voltage gain, knowledge of the coupling coefficient between two coils including the factors of the coil diameter, wire diameter, coil turns, and the coil resistance are derived. It was observed that a lower coil resistance leads to a reduced parallel quality, which facilitates long-distance wireles... [more]
314. LAPSE:2023.35594
Large Eddy Simulation of Flow and Heat Transfer in a Ribbed Channel for the Internal Cooling Passage of a Gas Turbine Blade: A Review
May 23, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Energy Systems
Keywords: conjugate heat transfer, large eddy simulation (LES), local heat transfer, rib geometry, rotation
Herein, 50 articles published over the past 20 years on using large eddy simulation (LES) for the internal cooling passage of a gas turbine, especially the mid-chord ribbed channel, are reviewed for the first time. First, the numerical challenges of performing LES on a ribbed channel and experimental verification are summarized. Next, LES data and the major engineering findings that are difficult to obtain experimentally or using Reynolds-averaged Navier−Stokes simulation (RANS) are covered, and heat transfer on and inside the rib, and the effects of rotation and buoyancy are discussed. Next, recent LES studies related to the shape of the ribbed channel are reviewed, and finally, the contribution of using LES for research on the internal cooling of gas turbines in the future, including those with ribbed channels, is anticipated.
315. LAPSE:2023.35593
The Coupling Relationship between Building Morphology and Outdoor Wind Environment in the High-Rise Dormitory Area in China
May 23, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Environment
Keywords: building morphology, high-rise dormitory area, numerical simulation, orthogonal experimental design, outdoor wind environment
A good outdoor wind environment can guarantee the safety and comfort of student activities. It is also conducive to building energy-saving and low-carbon goals. In this study, the high-rise dormitory area of a university was selected as a research object in the cold region. The study used a combination of numerical simulation and orthogonal tests to analyze the weighting of the influencing factors of the wind environment and to recommend the optimal design scheme. The results indicated that the building layout, building length, width, and height all had different degrees of influence on the outdoor wind environment of the dormitory area. For the slab-type high-rise dormitory, the influence weight of the layout was the strongest, followed by the building height, the width, and, finally, the length. The optimal scheme is a staggered layout with a building length of 50 m, width of 18 m, and height of 85.2 m. The wind environment in this situation performed well in winter and summer. For t... [more]
316. LAPSE:2023.35592
Experimental Performance Evaluation of a PV-Powered Center-Pivot Irrigation System for a Three-Year Operation Period
May 23, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Process Operations
Keywords: performance, PV irrigation system, stand-alone PV system, water pumping system
High-power diesel-based or grid-connected irrigation systems are being replaced by battery-free, high-power stand-alone Photovoltaic Irrigation Systems (PVIS) that reduce energy costs by up to 80% and for which no experimental performance data are available. The operation of PVIS is affected by various factors, some unrelated to the quality of the PV system itself, that generate losses that affect their performance: losses that vary with the crop and its irrigation period, losses intrinsic to the PVIS design, and losses that happen as a consequence of the behavior of the end-user. To better understand the impact of each type of loss, the traditional performance ratio was factorized. This paper provides the PV community with experimental data on the performance of a battery-free 160 kWp PV-powered constant-pressure center-pivot irrigation system. The system was analyzed over three years of real operation, during which the performance ratio ranged from 49.0 to 53.2%.
317. LAPSE:2023.35591
Application of Bio-Derived Alternatives for the Assured Flow of Waxy Crude Oil: A Review
May 23, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Energy Systems
Keywords: flow improver, nanoparticle, pour point, wax deposition, waxy crude
High molecular weight paraffin/wax precipitates in the solution of crude oil when the surrounding temperature falls below the wax appearance temperature, which causes the problem of wax deposition in pipelines. To enhance the rheology of the crude oil and lessen wax deposition, pour point depressants (PPDs) and flow enhancers were utilized. These substances change the wax crystals’ morphology, reducing crystal interlocking and preventing wax agglomeration from facilitating wax dispersion. However, recent research prompted a further investigation to improve the performance of conventional polymeric PPD and to address wax accumulation in a safe and environmentally responsible way. This is because of their poor performance at high shearing, expensive preparations, limited biodegradability, and toxicity. The primary objective of this study is to provide a thorough summary of current studies on the use of seed oil extracts rich in unsaturated fatty acids as an alternative for polymeric PPD.... [more]
318. LAPSE:2023.35590
Interpretable Predictive Modeling of Tight Gas Well Productivity with SHAP and LIME Techniques
May 23, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Modelling and Simulations
Keywords: interpretability, LIME, Machine Learning, SHAP, well productivity
Accurately predicting well productivity is crucial for optimizing gas production and maximizing recovery from tight gas reservoirs. Machine learning (ML) techniques have been applied to build predictive models for the well productivity, but their high complexity and low interpretability can hinder their practical application. This study proposes using interpretable ML solutions, SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) and Local Interpretable Model-agnostic Explanations (LIME), to provide explicit explanations of the ML prediction model. The study uses data from the Eastern Sulige tight gas field in the Ordos Basin, China, containing various geological and engineering factors. The results show that the gradient boosting decision tree model exhibits superior predictive performance compared to other ML models. The global interpretation using SHAP provides insights into the overall impact of these factors, while the local interpretation using SHAP and LIME offers individualized explanations o... [more]