Short-term load forecasting plays an indispensable role in electric power systems, which is not only an extremely challenging task but also a concerning issue for all society due to complex nonlinearity characteristics. However, most previous combined forecasting models were based on optimizing weight coefficients to develop a linear combined forecasting model, while ignoring that the linear combined model only considers the contribution of the linear terms to improving the model’s performance, which will lead to poor forecasting results because of the significance of the neglected and potential nonlinear terms. In this paper, a novel nonlinear combined forecasting system, which consists of three modules (improved data pre-processing module, forecasting module and the evaluation module) is developed for short-term load forecasting. Different from the simple data pre-processing of most previous studies, the improved data pre-processing module based on longitudinal data selection is succ... [more]

An adaptive online sequential extreme learning machine (AOS-ELM) is proposed to predict the state-of-charge of the battery cells at different ambient temperatures. With limited samples and sequential data for training during the initial design stage, conventional neural network training gives higher errors and longer computing times when it maps the available inputs to SOC. The use of AOS-ELM allows a gradual increase in the dataset that can be time-consuming to obtain during the initial stage of the neural network training. The SOC prediction using AOS-ELM gives a smaller root mean squared error in testing (and small standard deviation in the trained results) and reasonable training time as compared to other types of ELM-based learnings and gradient-based machine learning. In addition, the subsequent identification of the cells’ static capacity and battery parameters from actual experiments is not required to estimate the SOC of each cell and the battery stack.

In this paper, an assessment on the health index (HI) of transformers is carried out based on Neural-Fuzzy (NF) method. In-service condition assessment data, such as dissolved gases, furans, AC breakdown voltage (ACBDV), moisture, acidity, dissipation factor (DF), color, interfacial tension (IFT), and age were fed as input parameters to the NF network. The NF network were trained individually based on two sets of data, known as in-service condition assessment and Monte Carlo Simulation (MCS) data. HI was also obtained from the scoring method for comparison with the NF method. It is found that the HI of transformers that was obtained by NF trained by MCS method is closer to scoring method than NF trained by in-service condition assessment method. Based on the total of 15 testing transformers, NF trained by MCS data method gives 10 transformers with the same assessments as scoring method as compared to eight transformers given by NF trained by in-service condition data method. Analysis b... [more]

Rapid fluctuation of solar irradiance due to cloud passage causes corresponding variations in the power output of solar PV power plants. This leads to rapid voltage instability at the point of common coupling (PCC) of the connected grid which may cause temporary shutdown of the plant leading to non-availability of energy in the connected load and distribution grid. An estimate of the duration and frequency of this outage is important for solar energy generators to ensure the generation and performance of the solar power plant. A methodology using PVsyst (6.6.4, University of Geneva, Geneva, Switzerland) and PSCAD (4.5, Manitoba HVDC Research Centre, Winnipeg, MB, Canada) simulation has been developed to estimate the duration and frequency of power outages due to rapid fluctuation of solar irradiance throughout the year. It is shown that the outage depends not only on the solar irradiance fluctuation, but also on the grid parameters of the connected distribution grid. A practical case s... [more]

Boundary layer ingestion is a promising method to decrease the propulsive power consumption of an aircraft, and therefore the fuel consumption. This leads to a reduced environmental impact and an improved cost-efficiency. To get a better understanding of this method and to estimate its benefits, the modelling of a propulsor located at the upper rear centerbody of a blended wing body aircraft is presented in this paper. A parallel compressor model approach is used to analyse the impact of the ingested low velocity fluid which leads to a non-uniform inflow. The required boundary layer data are generated with an analysis tool for 2D subsonic airfoils. Some parameter variations are conducted with the developed programme to study their impact on the power saving potential. In addition, a simple estimation for the benefit of embedded aeroengines is given. Despite the drawback from fan efficiency due to the inflow distortion, the results show a significant decrease in required propulsive powe... [more]

The structural and optimal operation of an Energy Hub (EH) has a tremendous influence on the hub’s performance and reliability. This paper envisions an innovative methodology that prominently increases the synergy between structural and operational optimization and targets system cost affordability. The generalized energy system structure is presented theoretically with all selective hub sub-modules, including electric heater (EHe) and solar sources block sub-modules. To minimize energy usage cost, an energy hub is proposed that consists of 12 kinds of elements (i.e., energy resources, conversion, and storage functions) and is modeled mathematically in a General Algebraic Modeling System (GAMS), which indicates the optimal hub structure’s corresponding elements with binary variables (0, 1). Simulation results contrast with 144 various scenarios established in all 144 categories of hub structures, in which for each scenario the corresponding optimal operation cost is previously calculat... [more]

Air leakage and its impact on the energy performance of dwellings has been broadly studied in countries with cold climates in Europe, US, and Canada. However, there is a lack of knowledge in this field in Mediterranean countries. Current Spanish building regulations establish ventilation rates based on ideal airtight envelopes, causing problems of over-ventilation and substantial energy losses. The aim of this paper is to develop a methodology that allows the characterization of the envelope of the housing stock in Spain in order to adjust ventilation rates taking into consideration air leakage. A methodology that is easily applicable to other countries that consider studying the airtightness of the envelope and its energetic behaviour improvement is proposed. A statistical sampling method has been established to determine the dwellings to be tested, considering relevant variables concerning airtightness: climate zone, year of construction, and typology. The air leakage rate is determi... [more]

After more than ten years of operation of EU-ETS trading, it is time to analyse the results and draw lessons from the experience. Economic research typically considers emission price as the main explanatory variables when measuring the effects of Emission Trading Systems. The novelty of this work is to analyse whether or not trade alone, as an institutional change, is effective in reducing greenhouse gases emissions. The objective of this paper is to analyse to what extent the EU-ETS as a “regulatory” instrument of the supply of allowances is responsible for the effectiveness of the carbon market as a basic tool in the reduction of emissions. The analysis also includes other overlapping policies aimed at fighting climate change, for example, the promotion of renewables. For the empirical analysis, an econometric model is estimated using panel data for the 28 European Union countries between 1990 and 2014. The econometric model include three dummy variables to measure the effectiveness... [more]

Wind speed prediction with spatio⁻temporal correlation is among the most challenging tasks in wind speed prediction. In this paper, the problem of predicting wind speed for multiple sites simultaneously is investigated by using spatio⁻temporal correlation. This paper proposes a model for wind speed prediction with spatio⁻temporal correlation, i.e., the predictive deep convolutional neural network (PDCNN). The model is a unified framework, integrating convolutional neural networks (CNNs) and a multi-layer perceptron (MLP). Firstly, the spatial features are extracted by CNNs located at the bottom of the model. Then, the temporal dependencies among these extracted spatial features are captured by the MLP. In this way, the spatial and temporal correlations are captured by PDCNN intrinsically. Finally, PDCNN generates the predicted wind speed by using the learnt spatio⁻temporal correlations. In addition, three error indices are defined to evaluate the prediction accuracy of the model on the... [more]

Synchronous-reference-frame phase-locked loop (SRF-PLL) is widely used in grid synchronization applications. However, under unbalanced, distorted and DC offset mixed grid conditions, its performance tends to worsen. In order to improve the filtering capability of SRF-PLL, a modified three-order generalized integrator (MTOGI) with DC offset rejection capability based on conventional three order generalized integrator (TOGI) and an enhanced delayed signal cancellation (EDSC) are proposed, then dual modified TOGI (DMTOGI) filtering stage is designed and incorporated into the SRF-PLL control loop with EDSC to form a new hybrid filter-based PLL. The proposed PLL can reject the fundamental frequency negative sequence (FFNS) component, DC offset component, and the rest of harmonic components in SRF-PLL input three-phase voltages at the same time with a simple complexity. The proposed PLL in this paper has a faster transient response due to the EDSC reducing the number of DSC operators. A smal... [more]

Because the limitations of water-based fracturing fluids restrict their fracturing efficiency and scope of application, liquid CO₂ is regarded as a promising substitute, owing to its unique characteristics, including its greater environmental friendliness, shorter clean-up time, greater adsorption capacity than CH₄ and less formation damage. Conversely, the disadvantage of high leak-off rate of CO₂ fracturing due to its very low viscosity determines its applicability in gas shales with ultra-low permeability, accurate measurement of shale permeability to CO₂ is therefore crucial to evaluate the appropriate injection rate and total consumption of CO₂. The main purpose of this study is to accurately measure shale permeability to CO₂ flow during hydraulic fracturing, and to compare the leak-off of CO₂ and water fracturing. A series of permeability tests was conducted on cylindrical shale samples 38 mm in diameter and 19 mm long using water, CO₂ in different phases and N₂ considering multi... [more]

Electric Vehicles (EVs) and hybrid Electric vehicles (HEVs) are going to reshape the future of the transportation sector. However, adopting large numbers of EVs and HEVs will impact the electric utilities as well. Managing the charging/discharging of substantial numbers of distributed batteries will be critical for the successful adoption of EVs and HEVs. Therefore, this paper presents a review study about the recent control and optimization strategies for managing the charging/discharging of EVs. The paper covers different control and operation strategies reported in the literature as well as issues related to the real time dispatching of EVs in the smart grids. In addition, challenges related to the stochastic nature of the driving characteristics of EVs are considered. Finally, some open problems related to the energy management of EVs will be presented.

This paper proposes a new DC coil free hybrid excited machine concept, which has no external field windings. The technical novelty is the integration of field windings and armature windings. DC bias current is injected into the excitation and the field windings in the traditional hybrid excited machine are eliminated. Compared with traditional hybrid-excited machines with additional field windings, the proposed machine can realize a higher slot utilization ratio, hence achieve a higher torque density and a wider flux adjusting range. Another advantage of the proposed machine is that the voltage drop associated with flux regulation is small due to the small DC resistance, and the torque generating capability at the flux regulating region can be improved accordingly. The rotor is specifically designed with magnet-iron sequences and a consequent-pole, in which the permanent magnet and iron pole are alternatively employed. A bi-directional flux modulating effect can be achieved, which can... [more]

Maintaining the stability of a conventional power system during under frequency events is partially dominated by a natural behavior called inertial response. Although a variable speed wind turbine (VSWT) is fundamentally deprived from such behavior, it was shown recently that it can virtually emulate this response, hence increasing its output power given to the grid to sustain the power balance. This paper reviews and analyzes the performance of four primary frequency control structures, and provides comparison between these controllers in terms of security indices. The results reflect the superiority of the inertia emulation controller and the droop control type in low and high wind speed respectively. To enhance the system frequency control response and take any inherent advantage of each controller, this paper proposes two novel controllers based on combination (hybridization) strategy between the four controllers. The results show that the combination between the inertia emulation... [more]

The construction of a substation will undoubtedly change the properties of any surrounding native soil. In order to study the influence of backfill material on grounding grid performance and in turn optimize that performance, current distribution, electromagnetic fields, ground, and soil structure analysis (CDEGS) was undertaken to simulate the secondary peak of the step voltage generated by a large backfill soil area. As for the various parameters of the finite soil volume, the influence of the soil length L, the edge gradient tan θ, and the resistivity ρ on the secondary peak of step voltage was researched. Then, a grounding test system was established, the selection process of the protection resistors was clarified, and the usage method of agar gel was improved. The feasibility of simulating backfill material with agar gel was verified, and the influence of resistivity and soil scale on the secondary peak of the step voltage was tested. The results show that the larger the backfill... [more]

Wind power time series data always exhibits nonlinear and non-stationary features, making it very difficult to accurately predict. In this paper, a novel hybrid wind power time series prediction model, based on ensemble empirical mode decomposition-permutation entropy (EEMD-PE), the least squares support vector machine model (LSSVM), and gravitational search algorithm (GSA), is proposed to improve accuracy of ultra-short-term wind power forecasting. To process the data, original wind power series were decomposed by EEMD-PE techniques into a number of subsequences with obvious complexity differences. Then, a new heuristic GSA algorithm was utilized to optimize the parameters of the LSSVM. The optimized model was developed for wind power forecasting and improved regression prediction accuracy. The proposed model was validated with practical wind power generation data from the Hebei province, China. A comprehensive error metric analysis was carried out to compare the performance of our me... [more]

We evaluated the thermogravimetric and devolatilization rates of hemicellulose and cellulose, and the calorimetric behavior of the torrefied biomass, of five tropical woody species (Cupressus lusitanica, Dipteryx panamensis, Gmelina arborea, Tectona grandis and Vochysia ferruginea), at three temperatures (TT) and three torrefaction times (tT) using a thermogravimetric analyzer. Through a multivariate analysis of principal components (MAPC), the most appropriate torrefaction conditions for the different types of woody biomass were identified. The thermogravimetric analysis-derivative thermogravimetry (TGA-DTG) analysis showed that a higher percentage of the hemicellulose component of the biomass degrades, followed by cellulose, so that the hemicellulose energy of activation (Ea) was less than that of cellulose. With an increase in TT and tT, the Ea for hemicellulose decreased but increased for cellulose. The calorimetric analyses showed that hemicellulose is the least stable component i... [more]

The lack of an efficient and reliable power supply is currently one of the bottlenecks restricting the practical application of unmanned ocean detectors. Wave energy is the most widely distributed ocean energy, with the obvious advantages of high energy density and predictability. In this paper, a novel wave energy converter (WEC) for power supply of low-power unmanned ocean detectors is proposed, which is a small-scale counter-rotating self-adaptive point absorber-type WEC. The double-layer counter-rotating absorbers can achieve the torque balance of the whole device. Besides, the self-adaptation of the blade to the water flow can maintain a unidirectional continuous rotation of the single-layer absorber. The WEC has several advantages, including small occupied space, simple exchange process and convenient modular integration. It is expected to meet the power demand of low-power ocean detectors. Through modeling and CFD analysis, it was found that the power and efficiency characterist... [more]

In this paper, a smart distributed DC/DC converter synchronization advanced technique and phase angle optimization algorithm are proposed using to reduce the DC bus overall ripple. A global positioning system-based scheme is used to synchronize the carrier among the distributed converters. The carrier phase angle optimization among the different converters is inspired by Carrier-Sense Multiple Access protocol. The proposed system is simulated and analyzed using Matlab/Simulink program. As a proof of concept of the proposed technique, two case studies have been investigated under equal and unequal load sharing among the distributed generators. The proposed algorithm shows a significant reduction in the DC bus voltage ripple. To prove the concept, a laboratory test-bed has been built and the proposed algorithm has been implemented to validate the theoretical and simulation results. The close agreement between the experimental and simulation results demonstrates the effectiveness and vali... [more]

Square and circular coils are two typical topologies for coupling coils and are applied to wireless charging. However, most of the research on coupling coils is based on the finite element model (FEM), which is a time-consuming process for 3-D structure coils. In this paper, on the basis of Fourier⁻Bessel transformation and Dual Fourier transformation, two theoretical models of square and circular coils between two multilayer media are proposed. With the proposed models, we consider several important parameters such as the size of the coils, thickness, and permeability of each layer. Thus, both the self-inductance and mutual inductance of two planar coils can be calculated without much computational time. Additionally, these theoretical models can help designers figure out the different trends of self-inductance and mutual inductance, which has plenty of benefits for the preliminary pad design. Lastly, a prototype with a size of 600 mm × 600 mm and a 200 mm air gap was built in order t... [more]

In order to improve the simulation speed of the AC/DC hybrid grid, the inductance/capacitance (L/C) switch model for line-commutated converter of high-voltage direct current (LCC-HVDC) is presented in this study. The time domain modeling method is used to analyze the circuit of L/C switch model for the six-pulse system in LCC-HVDC in a switching period. A parameter setting method of L/C switch model is proposed considering the transient response, the steady state performance, switching losses and simulation error of the switch. The inductance/capacitance (L/C) switch model for LCC-HVDC has the advantage of keeping the admittance matrix unchanged regardless of the change of switching state, which improves the simulation efficiency. Finally, the validity of the parameter setting method is verified. Compared with the test results of PSCAD/EMTDC, the accuracy of the proposed LCC-HVDC simulation model is proved. The model is suitable for real-time or offline simulation of AC/DC hybrid grid.

Induction motors consume a great portion of the generated electrical energy. Moreover, most of them work at underloaded conditions, so they have low efficiencies and waste a lot of energy. Because of this, the efficiency estimation of in-service induction motors is a matter of great importance. This efficiency estimation is usually performed through indirect methods, which do not require invasive measurements of torque or speed. One of these methods is the modified Air-Gap Torque (AGT) method, which only requires voltage and current data, the stator resistance value, and the mechanical losses. This paper approaches the computation of a modified stator resistance including the mechanical losses effect to be applied in the AGT method for torque and efficiency estimation of induction motors. Some improvements are proposed in the computation of this resistance by using a direct method, as well as the possibility to estimate this parameter directly from the nameplate data of the induction m... [more]

Optimal operation of energy systems plays an important role to enhance their lifetime security and efficiency. The determination of optimal operating strategies requires intelligent utilization of massive data accumulated during operation or prediction. The investigation of these data solely without combining physical models may run the risk that the established relationships between inputs and outputs, the models which reproduce the behavior of the considered system/component in a wide range of boundary conditions, are invalid for certain boundary conditions, which never occur in the database employed. Therefore, combining big data with physical models via cyber physical systems (CPS) is of great importance to derive highly-reliable and -accurate models and becomes more and more popular in practical applications. In this paper, we focus on the description of a systematic method to apply CPS to the performance analysis and decision making of thermal power plants. We proposed a general... [more]

Astaxanthin is a valuable carotenoid, which has been approved as a food coloring by the US Food and Drug Administration and is considered as a food dye by the European Union (European Commission). This work aimed to attain Rhodosporidium toruloides mutants for enhanced astaxanthin accumulation using ultraviolet (UV) and gamma irradiation mutagenesis. Gamma irradiation was shown to be more efficient than UV for producing astaxanthin-overproducer. Among the screened mutants, G17, a gamma-induced mutant, exhibited the highest astaxanthin production, which was significantly higher than that of the wild strain. Response surface methodology was then applied to optimize the medium compositions for maximizing astaxanthin production by the mutant G17. The optimal medium compositions for the cultivation of G17 were determined as a peptone concentration of 19.75 g/L, malt extract concentration of 13.56 g/L, and glucose concentration of 19.92 g/L, with the maximum astaxanthin yield of 3021.34 µg/L... [more]

Tissue adhesives have been widely used in surgical procedures. Compared to traditional surgical sutures, tissue adhesives provide fast bonding experiences and full closure of wounds. However, current tissue adhesives are mostly fossil-based synthetic products. Therefore, it is of great significance to explore the use of natural materials in tissue adhesives. Whey is a low-end byproduct of cheese manufacturing. Whey protein, a group of small globular proteins, can exhibit adhesive properties if their structures are modified by physical or chemical means. The objectives of this study were to investigate the functional and structural properties of whey protein-based tissue adhesive, along with the antibacterial effect of totarol, a natural antimicrobial agent. Whey protein isolate (WPI) solutions (25%−33% protein) were mixed with different levels (0.1%−0.3% w/w) of totarol. The mixtures were analyzed for total plate count and yeast and mold count. The lap-shear bonding strength was tested... [more]