LAPSE:2020.0658
Published Article
LAPSE:2020.0658
A New Hybrid Prediction Method of Ultra-Short-Term Wind Power Forecasting Based on EEMD-PE and LSSVM Optimized by the GSA
Peng Lu, Lin Ye, Bohao Sun, Cihang Zhang, Yongning Zhao, Jingzhu Teng
June 23, 2020
Wind power time series data always exhibits nonlinear and non-stationary features, making it very difficult to accurately predict. In this paper, a novel hybrid wind power time series prediction model, based on ensemble empirical mode decomposition-permutation entropy (EEMD-PE), the least squares support vector machine model (LSSVM), and gravitational search algorithm (GSA), is proposed to improve accuracy of ultra-short-term wind power forecasting. To process the data, original wind power series were decomposed by EEMD-PE techniques into a number of subsequences with obvious complexity differences. Then, a new heuristic GSA algorithm was utilized to optimize the parameters of the LSSVM. The optimized model was developed for wind power forecasting and improved regression prediction accuracy. The proposed model was validated with practical wind power generation data from the Hebei province, China. A comprehensive error metric analysis was carried out to compare the performance of our method with other approaches. The results showed that the proposed model enhanced forecasting performance compared to other benchmark models.
Keywords
ensemble empirical mode decomposition-permutation entropy (EEMD-PE), heuristic algorithm, least squares support vector machine (LSSVM), wind power prediction
Suggested Citation
Lu P, Ye L, Sun B, Zhang C, Zhao Y, Teng J. A New Hybrid Prediction Method of Ultra-Short-Term Wind Power Forecasting Based on EEMD-PE and LSSVM Optimized by the GSA. (2020). LAPSE:2020.0658
Author Affiliations
Lu P: College of Information and Electrical Engineering, China Agricultural University, Beijing 100083, China
Ye L: College of Information and Electrical Engineering, China Agricultural University, Beijing 100083, China [ORCID]
Sun B: China Electric Power Research Institute, Haidian District, Beijing 100192, China
Zhang C: College of Information and Electrical Engineering, China Agricultural University, Beijing 100083, China
Zhao Y: College of Information and Electrical Engineering, China Agricultural University, Beijing 100083, China [ORCID]
Teng J: College of Information and Electrical Engineering, China Agricultural University, Beijing 100083, China
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Journal Name
Energies
Volume
11
Issue
4
Article Number
E697
Year
2018
Publication Date
2018-03-21
Published Version
ISSN
1996-1073
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PII: en11040697, Publication Type: Journal Article
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LAPSE:2020.0658
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doi:10.3390/en11040697
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Jun 23, 2020
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Calvin Tsay
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