Geothermal power plants are excellent resources for providing low carbon electricity generation with high reliability. However, many geothermal power plants could realize significant improvements in operational efficiency from the application of improved modeling software. Increased integration of digital twins into geothermal operations will not only enable engineers to better understand the complex interplay of components in larger systems but will also enable enhanced exploration of the operational space with the recent advances in artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) tools. Such innovations in geothermal operational analysis have been deterred by several challenges, most notably, the challenge in applying idealized thermodynamic models to imperfect as-built systems with constant degradation of nominal performance. This paper presents GOOML: a new framework for Geothermal Operational Optimization with Machine Learning. By taking a hybrid data-driven thermodynamics... [more]

Machine-learning diagnostic systems are widely used to detect abnormal conditions in electrical equipment. Training robust and accurate diagnostic systems is challenging because only small databases of abnormal-condition data are available. However, the performance of the diagnostic systems depends on the quantity and quality of the data. The training database can be augmented utilizing data augmentation techniques that generate synthetic data to improve diagnostic performance. However, existing data augmentation techniques are generic methods that do not include additional information in the synthetic data. In this paper, we develop a model-based data augmentation technique integrating computer-implementable electromechanical models. Synthetic normal- and abnormal-condition data are generated with an electromechanical model and a stochastic parameter value sampling method. The model-based data augmentation is showcased to detect an abnormal condition of a distribution transformer. Fir... [more]

The achievement of a carbon-free emissions economy is one of the main goals to reduce climate change and its negative effects. Scientists and technological improvements have followed this trend, improving efficiency, and reducing carbon and other compounds that foment climate change. Since the main contributor of these emissions is transportation, detaching this sector from fossil fuels is a necessary step towards an environmentally friendly future. Therefore, an evaluation of alternative fuels will be needed to find a suitable replacement for traditional fossil-based fuels. In this scenario, hydrogen appears as a possible solution. However, the existence of the drawbacks associated with the application of H2-ICE redirects the solution to dual-fuel strategies, which consist of mixing different fuels, to reduce negative aspects of their separate use while enhancing the benefits. In this work, a new combustion modelling approach based on machine learning (ML) modeling is proposed for pre... [more]

The Agrophotovoltaic (APV) system is a novel concept in the field of Renewable Energy Systems. This system enables the generation of solar energy via photo-voltaic (PV) modules above crops, to mitigate harmful impact on food production. This study aims to develop a performance evaluation model for an APV system in a temperate climate region, such as South Korea. To this end, both traditional electricity generation models (solar radiation-based model and climate-based model) of PV modules and two major machine learning (ML) techniques (i.e., polynomial regression and deep learning) have been considered. Electricity generation data was collected via remote sensors installed in the APV system at Jeollanam-do Agricultural Research and Extension Services in South Korea. Moreover, economic analysis in terms of cost and benefit of the subject APV system was conducted to provide information about the return on investment to farmers and government agencies. As a result, farmers, agronomists, an... [more]

The trend of bringing machine learning (ML) to the Internet of Things (IoT) field devices is becoming ever more relevant, also reducing the overall energy need of the applications. ML models are usually trained in the cloud and then deployed on edge devices. Most IoT devices generate large amounts of unlabeled data, which are expensive and challenging to annotate. This paper introduces the self-learning autonomous edge learning and inferencing pipeline (AEP), deployable in a resource-constrained embedded system, which can be used for unsupervised local training and classification. AEP uses two complementary approaches: pseudo-label generation with a confidence measure using k-means clustering and periodic training of one of the supported classifiers, namely decision tree (DT) and k-nearest neighbor (k-NN), exploiting the pseudo-labels. We tested the proposed system on two IoT datasets. The AEP, running on the STM NUCLEO-H743ZI2 microcontroller, achieves comparable accuracy levels as sa... [more]

The real-time application research on the Fuzzy Logic Systems (FLSs) and Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) is vast and, in this paper, a technique for a photovoltaic failure analysis using the type 2 FLS and ANN is proposed. The method is proposed to build T2 FLS with a guaranteed value equal to or lower than T2 and ANN. Several explanations are conducted to illustrate the effectiveness of the methodologies. It is found that both the type 2 Fuzzy and ANN can be configured for productive actions in applications for a PV fault analysis, and choice is typically applied. The methods discussed in this paper lay the groundwork for developing FLSs and ANNs with durable characteristics that will be extremely useful in many functional applications. The result demonstrates that specific fault categories can be detected using the fault identification method, such as damaged PV modules and partial PV unit shades. The average detection performance is similar in both ANN and fuzzy techniques. In comp... [more]

This study presents a novel approach for discovering actionable knowledge and exploring data-based models from data recorded by household smart meters. The proposed framework is supported by a machine learning architecture based on the application of data mining methods and spatial analysis to extract temporal and spatial restricted clusters of characteristic monthly electricity load profiles. In addition, it uses these clusters to perform short-term load forecasting (1 week) using recurrent neural networks. The approach analyses a database with measurements of 1000 smart meters gathered during 4 years in Guayaquil, Ecuador. Results of the proposed methodology led us to obtain a precise and efficient stratification of typical consumption patterns and to extract neighbour information to improve the performance of residential energy consumption forecasting.

The quality of feedstock used in base oil processing depends on the source of the crude oil. Moreover, the refinery is fed with various blends of crude oil to meet the demand of the refining products. These circumstances have caused changes of quality of the feedstock for the base oil production. Often the feedstock properties deviate from the original properties measured during the process design phase. To recalculate and remodel using first principal approaches requires significant costs due to the detailed material characterizations and several pilot-plant runs requirements. To perform all material characterization and pilot plant runs every time the refinery receives a different blend of crude oil will simply multiply the costs. Due to economic reasons, only selected lab characterizations are performed, and the base oil processing plant is operated reactively based on the feedback of the lab analysis of the base oil product. However, this reactive method leads to loss in production... [more]

Battery Management System (BMS) design for Lithium-ion batteries State of Charge (SoC) prediction has a crucial role in Electric Vehicles (EVs) and smart grids development. The need to design compact, light and fast devices requires finding a suitable trade-off between effectiveness and efficiency. In the literature, it is well emphasized that the application of electrochemical-based methods such as the Pseudo-Two-Dimensional (P2D) model is computationally prohibitive and requires significant simplifications. Conversely, plain Equivalent Circuit Models (ECM) are too simple and unable to represent the cell dynamics. The application of an Ensemble Neural Network (ENN) as Equivalent Neural Network Circuit (ENNC) emerged as a promising solution able to synthesize expressive and computationally efficient models. Indeed, with the support of a suitable dataset, an ENN can be configured to represent a given ECM, modeling each lumped parameter through an assigned Neural Network (NN). Accordingl... [more]

Electrical tomography is a non-invasive method of monitoring the interior of objects, which is used in various industries. In particular, it is possible to monitor industrial processes inside reactors and tanks using tomography. Tomography enables real-time observation of crystals or gas bubbles growing in a liquid. However, obtaining high-resolution tomographic images is problematic because it involves solving the so-called ill-posed inverse problem. Noisy input data cause problems, too. Therefore, the use of appropriate hardware solutions to eliminate this phenomenon is necessary. An important cause of obtaining accurate tomographic images may also be the incorrect selection of algorithmic methods used to convert the measurements into the output images. In a dynamically changing environment of a tank reactor, selecting the optimal algorithmic method used to create a tomographic image becomes an optimization problem. This article presents the machine learning method’s original concept... [more]

The alternative control concept using emission from the machine has the potential to reduce energy consumption in HVAC systems. This paper reports on a study of alternative inputs for a control system of HVAC using machine learning algorithms, based on data that are gathered in a welding area of an automotive factory. A data set of CO2, fine dust, temperatures and air velocity was logged using continuous and gravimetric measurements during two typical production weeks. The HVAC system was reduced gradually each day to trigger fluctuations of emission. The data were used to train and test various machine learning models using different statistical indices, consequently to choose a best fit model. Different models were tested and the Long Short-Term Memory model showed the best result, with 0.821 discrepancy on R2. The gravimetric samples proved that the reduction of air exchange rate does not correlate to escalation of fine dust linearly, which means one cannot rely on just gravimetric... [more]

Vehicle-to-grid services make use of the aggregated capacity available from a fleet of vehicles to participate in energy markets, help integrate renewable energy in the grid and balance energy use. In this paper, the critical components of such a service are described in the context of a commercial service that is currently under development. Key among these components is the prediction of available capacity at a future time. In this paper, we extend a previous work that used a deep learning recurrent neural network for this task to include online machine learning, which enables the network to continually refine its predictions based on observed behaviour. The coronavirus pandemic that was declared in 2020 resulted in closures of the university and substantial changes to the behaviour of the university fleet. In this work, the impact of this change in vehicles usage was used to test the predictions of a network initially trained using vehicle trip data from 2019 with and without online... [more]

Modern computing resources, including machine learning-based techniques, are used to maintain stability between the demand and supply of electricity. Machine learning is widely used for the prediction of energy consumption. The researchers present several artificial intelligence and machine learning-based methods to improve the prediction accuracy of energy consumption. However, the discrepancy between actual energy consumption and predicted energy consumption is still challenging. Various factors, including changes in weather, holidays, and weekends, affect prediction accuracy. This article analyses the overall prediction using error curve learning and a hybrid model. Actual energy consumption data of Jeju island, South Korea, has been used for experimental purposes. We have used a hybrid ML model consisting of Catboost, Xgboost, and Multi-layer perceptron for the prediction. Then we analyze the factors that affect the week-ahead (WA) and 48 h prediction results. Mean error on weekday... [more]

The main goal of this paper is to review and evaluate how we can take advantage of state-of-the-art machine learning techniques and apply them in wind energy operation conditions monitoring and fault diagnosis, boosting wind turbines’ availability. To accomplish this, we focus our work on analysing the current techniques in predictive maintenance, which are aimed at acting before a major failure occurs using condition monitoring. In particular, we start framing the predictive maintenance problem as an ML problem to detect patterns that indicate a fault on turbine generators. Then, we extend the problem to detect future faults. Therefore, this review will consist of analysing techniques to tackle the challenges of each machine learning stage, such as data pre-processing, feature engineering, and the selection of the best-suited model. By using specific evaluation metrics, the expected final result of using these techniques will be an improvement in the early prediction of a future fault... [more]

This study focuses on improving the sustainability of electrical supply in the healthcare system in the UK, to contribute to current efforts made towards the 2050 net-zero carbon target. As a case study, we propose a grid-connected hybrid renewable energy system (HRES) for a hospital in the south-east of England. Electrical consumption data were gathered from five wards in the hospital for a period of one year. PV-battery-grid system architecture was selected to ensure practical execution through the installation of PV arrays on the roof of the facility. Selection of the optimal system was conducted through a novel methodology combining multi-objective optimisation and data forecasting. The optimisation was conducted using a genetic algorithm with two objectives (1) minimisation of the levelised cost of energy and (2) CO2 emissions. Advanced data forecasting was used to forecast grid emissions and other cost parameters at two year intervals (2023 and 2025). Several optimisation simulat... [more]

Building an effective Machine Learning (ML) model for a data set is a difficult task involving various steps. One of the most important steps is to compare a substantial amount of generated ML models to find the optimal one for deployment. It is challenging to compare such models with a dynamic number of features. Comparison is more than only finding differences of ML model performance, as users are also interested in the relations between features and model performance such as feature importance for ML explanations. This paper proposes RadialNet Chart, a novel visualisation approach, to compare ML models trained with a different number of features of a given data set while revealing implicit dependent relations. In RadialNet Chart, ML models and features are represented by lines and arcs, respectively. These lines are generated effectively using a recursive function. The dependence of ML models with a dynamic number of features is encoded into the structure of visualisation, where ML... [more]

Short-term load forecasting predetermines how power systems operate because electricity production needs to sustain demand at all times and costs. Most load forecasts for the non-residential consumers are empirically done either by a customer’s employee or supplier personnel based on experience and historical data, which is frequently not consistent. Our objective is to develop viable and market-oriented machine learning models for short-term forecasting for non-residential consumers. Multiple algorithms were implemented and compared to identify the best model for a cluster of industrial and commercial consumers. The article concludes that the sliding window approach for supervised learning with recurrent neural networks can learn short and long-term dependencies in time series. The best method implemented for the 24 h forecast is a Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU) applied for aggregated loads over three months of testing data resulted in 5.28% MAPE and minimized the cost with 5326.17 € comp... [more]

The heterogeneous and interoperable nature of the cyber-physical system (CPS) has enabled the smart grid (SG) to operate near the stability limits with an inconsiderable accuracy margin. This has imposed the need for more intelligent, predictive, fast, and accurate algorithms that are able to operate the grid autonomously to avoid cascading failures and/or blackouts. In this paper, a new comprehensive identification system is proposed that employs various machine learning architectures for classifying stability records in smart grid networks. Specifically, seven machine learning architectures are investigated, including optimizable support vector machine (SVM), decision trees classifier (DTC), logistic regression classifier (LRC), naïve Bayes classifier (NBC), linear discriminant classifier (LDC), k-nearest neighbor (kNN), and ensemble boosted classifier (EBC). The developed models are evaluated and contrasted in terms of various performance evaluation metrics such as accuracy, precisi... [more]

Rockburst is a dynamic rock mass failure occurring during underground mining under unfavorable stress conditions. The rockburst phenomenon concerns openings in different rocks and is generally correlated with high stress in the rock mass. As a result of rockburst, underground excavations lose their functionality, the infrastructure is damaged, and the working conditions become unsafe. Assessing rockburst hazards in underground excavations becomes particularly important with the increasing mining depth and the mining-induced stresses. Nowadays, rockburst risk prediction is based mainly on various indicators. However, some attempts have been made to apply machine learning algorithms for this purpose. For this article, we employed an extensive range of machine learning algorithms, e.g., an artificial neural network, decision tree, random forest, and gradient boosting, to estimate the rockburst risk in galleries in one of the deep hard coal mines in the Upper Silesian Coal Basin, Poland. W... [more]

The high level of energy consumption of buildings is significantly influencing occupant behavior changes towards improved energy efficiency. This paper introduces a systematic literature review with two objectives: to understand the more relevant factors affecting energy consumption of buildings and to find the best intelligent computing (IC) methods capable of classifying and predicting energy consumption of different types of buildings. Adopting the PRISMA method, the paper analyzed 822 manuscripts from 2013 to 2020 and focused on 106, based on title and abstract screening and on manuscripts with experiments. A text mining process and a bibliometric map tool (VOS viewer) were adopted to find the most used terms and their relationships, in the energy and IC domains. Our approach shows that the terms “consumption,” “residential,” and “electricity” are the more relevant terms in the energy domain, in terms of the ratio of important terms (TITs), whereas “cluster” is the more commonly us... [more]

Turbine as a key power unit is vital to the novel supercritical carbon dioxide cycle (sCO2-BC). At the same time, the turbine design and optimization process for the sCO2-BC is complicated, and its relevant investigations are still absent in the literature due to the behavior of supercritical fluid in the vicinity of the critical point. In this regard, the current study entails a multifaceted approach for designing and optimizing a radial turbine system for an 8 MW sCO2 power cycle. Initially, a base design of the turbine is calculated utilizing an in-house radial turbine design and analysis code (RTDC), where sharp variations in the properties of CO2 are implemented by coupling the code with NIST’s Refprop. Later, 600 variants of the base geometry of the turbine are constructed by changing the selected turbine design geometric parameters, i.e., shroud ratio (rs4r3), hub ratio (rs4r3), speed ratio (νs) and inlet flow angle (α3) and are investigated numerically through 3D-RANS simulatio... [more]

In the paper, we present a method of automatic evaluation and optimization of production processes towards low-carbon-emissions products. The method supports the management of production lines and is based on unsupervised machine learning methods, i.e., canopy, k-means, and expectation-maximization clusterization algorithms. For different production processes, a different clustering method may be optimal. Hence, they are validated by classification methods (k-nearest neighbors (kNN), multilayer perceptron (MLP), binary tree C4.5, random forest (RF), and support vector machine (SVM)) that identify the optimal clusterization method. Using the proposed method with real-time production parameters for a given process, we can classify the process as optimal or non-optimal on an ongoing basis. The production manager can react appropriately to sub-optimal production processes. If the process is not optimal, then during the process the manager or production technologist may change the productio... [more]

The world’s energy consumption is outpacing supply due to population growth and technological advancements. For future energy demands, it is critical to progress toward a dependable, cost-effective, and sustainable renewable energy source. Solar energy, along with all other alternative energy sources, is a potential renewable resource to manage these enduring challenges in the energy crisis. Solar power generation is expanding globally as a result of growing energy demands and depleting fossil fuel reserves, which are presently the primary sources of power generation. In the realm of solar power generation, photovoltaic (PV) panels are used to convert solar radiation into energy. They are subjected to the constantly changing state of the environment, resulting in a wide range of defects. These defects should be discovered and remedied as soon as possible so that PV panels efficiency, endurance, and durability are not compromised. This paper focuses on five aspects, namely, (i) the vari... [more]

The test study area is the Miocene reservoir of Nam Con Son Basin, offshore Vietnam. In the study we used unsupervised learning to automatically cluster hydraulic flow units (HU) based on flow zone indicators (FZI) in a core plug dataset. Then we applied supervised learning to predict HU by combining core and well log data. We tested several machine learning algorithms. In the first phase, we derived hydraulic flow unit clustering of porosity and permeability of core data using unsupervised machine learning methods such as Ward’s, K mean, Self-Organize Map (SOM) and Fuzzy C mean (FCM). Then we applied supervised machine learning methods including Artificial Neural Networks (ANN), Support Vector Machines (SVM), Boosted Tree (BT) and Random Forest (RF). We combined both core and log data to predict HU logs for the full well section of the wells without core data. We used four wells with six logs (GR, DT, NPHI, LLD, LSS and RHOB) and 578 cores from the Miocene reservoir to train, validate... [more]

The increasing levels of energy consumption worldwide is raising issues with respect to surpassing supply limits, causing severe effects on the environment, and the exhaustion of energy resources. Buildings are one of the most relevant sectors in terms of energy consumption; as such, efficient Home or Building Management Systems are an important topic of research. This study discusses the use of ensemble techniques in order to improve the performance of artificial neural networks models used for energy forecasting in residential houses. The case study is a residential house, located in Portugal, that is equipped with PV generation and battery storage and controlled by a Home Energy Management System (HEMS). It has been shown that the ensemble forecasting results are superior to single selected models, which were already excellent. A simple procedure was proposed for selecting the models to be used in the ensemble, together with a heuristic to determine the number of models.