This article presents the results of the development of a hybrid research platform for fundamental and empirical modeling and analysis of energy management of shared electric vehicles. The article describes the hybrid model and its specific features in detail. Within the model architecture, a part of the fundamental model, empirical model and data collection tools were interconnected. The uniqueness lies in the models of electric cars created for a specific vehicle using cost-optimal parameterizations, as well as the implementation of a cloud solution, which is based on custom data communication, custom data logger and cost-optimized parameterization of machine learning algorithms. Experimental verification was performed on a real electric car in public traffic. The car is part of casharing platform.

This paper proposes a machine-learning-based framework for voltage quality analytics, where the space phasor model (SPM) of the three-phase voltages before, during, and after the event is applied as input data. The framework proceeds along with three main steps: (a) event extraction, (b) event characterization, and (c) additional information extraction. During the first step, it utilizes a Gaussian-based anomaly detection (GAD) technique to extract the event data from the recording. Principal component analysis (PCA) is adopted during the second step, where it is shown that the principal components correspond to the semi-minor and semi-major axis of the ellipse formed by the SPM. During the third step, these characteristics are interpreted to extract additional information about the underlying cause of the event. The performance of the framework was verified through experiments conducted on datasets containing synthetic and measured power quality events. The results show that the combi... [more]

Accurate prediction of building energy need plays a fundamental role in building design, despite the high computational cost to search for optimal energy saving solutions. An important advancement in the reduction of computational time could come from the application of machine learning models to circumvent energy simulations. With the goal of drastically limiting the number of simulations, in this paper we investigate the regression performance of different machine learning models, i.e., Support Vector Machine, Random Forest, and Extreme Gradient Boosting, trained on a small data-set of energy simulations performed on a case study building. Among the XX algorithms, the tree-based Extreme Gradient Boosting showed the best performance. Overall, we find that machine learning methods offer efficient and interpretable solutions, that could help academics and professionals in shaping better design strategies, informed by feature importance.

The ability to precisely forecast power generation for large wind farms is very important, since such generation is highly unstable and creates problems for Distribution and Transmission System Operators to properly prepare the power system for operation. Forecasts for the next 24 h play an important role in this process. They are also used in energy market transactions. Even a small improvement in the quality of these forecasts translates into more security of the system and savings for the economy. Using two wind farms for statistical analyses and forecasting considerably increases credibility of newly created effective prediction methods and formulated conclusions. In the first part of our study, we have analysed the available data to identify potentially useful explanatory variables for forecasting models with additional development of new input data based on the basic data set. We demonstrate that it is better to use Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) point forecasts for hourly la... [more]

Geothermal exploration has traditionally relied on geological, geochemical, or geophysical surveys for evidence of adequate enthalpy, fluids, and permeability in the subsurface prior to drilling. The recent adoption of play fairway analysis (PFA), a method used in oil and gas exploration, has progressed to include machine learning (ML) for predicting geothermal drill site favorability. This study introduces a novel approach that extends ML PFA predictions with uncertainty characterization. Four ML algorithms—logistic regression, a decision tree, a gradient-boosted forest, and a neural network—are used to evaluate the subsurface enthalpy resource potential for conventional or EGS prospecting. Normalized Shannon entropy is calculated to assess three spatially variable sources of uncertainty in the analysis: model representation, model parameterization, and feature interpolation. When applied to southwest New Mexico, this approach reveals consistent enthalpy trends embedded in a high-dime... [more]

This paper aims to study the applicability of machine-learning algorithms, specifically neural networks, for forecasting the effectiveness of Improved recovery methods. Radial jet drilling is the case operation in this study. Understanding changes in reservoir flow properties and their effect on liquid flow rate is essential to evaluate the radial jet drilling effectiveness. Therefore, liquid flow rate after radial jet drilling is the target variable, while geological and process parameters have been taken as features. The effect of various network parameters on learning quality has been assessed. As a result, conclusions on the applicability of neural networks to evaluate the radial jet drilling potential of wells in various geological conditions of carbonate reservoirs have been made.

The Internet of Vehicles (IoV), where people, fleets of electric vehicles (EVs), utility, power grids, distributed renewable energy, and communications and computing infrastructures are connected, has emerged as the next big leap in smart grids and city sectors for a sustainable society. Meanwhile, decentralized and complex grid edge faces many challenges for planning, operation, and management of power systems. Therefore, providing a reliable communications infrastructure is vital. The fourth industrial revolution, that is, a cyber-physical system in conjunction with the Internet of Things (IoT) and coexistence of edge (fog) and cloud computing brings new ways of dealing with such challenges and helps maximize the benefits of power grids. From this perspective, as a use case of IoV, we present a cloud-based EV charging framework to tackle issues of high demand in charging stations during peak hours. A price incentive scheme and another scheme, electricity supply expansion, are present... [more]

Commercialization of proton exchange membrane fuel cells can only materials provided its performance is closely related to existing technologies useful in commercial application. Other critical parameters like the utilization of cheaper materials should be taken into account during the manufacturing of the cell. A key component in the cell that has direct correlation to the cell performance is the flow plate. The weight coupled with cost of the cell revolves around the flow plate used in the manufacturing of the cell. This study explores materials ideal for the manufacturing of fuel cells in order to improve the overall cell performance. The investigation highlights the critical impact of varying materials used in the manufacturing of flow plates for PEM fuel cells. Stainless steel (SS), aluminium (Al) and copper (Cu) were the materials considered. The flow plate designs considered were serpentine and open pore cellular foam channel. Machine learning using python for the validation of... [more]

A novel Artificial Neural Network (ANN) Based Optimal Feedforward Torque Control (OFTC) strategy is proposed which, after proper ANN design, training and validation, allows to analytically compute the optimal reference currents (minimizing copper and iron losses) for Interior Permanent Magnet Synchronous Machines (IPMSMs) with highly operating point dependent nonlinear electric and magnetic characteristics. In contrast to conventional OFTC, which either utilizes large look-up tables (LUTs; with more than three input parameters) or computes the optimal reference currents numerically or analytically but iteratively (due to the necessary online linearization), the proposed ANN-based OFTC strategy does not require iterations nor a decision tree to find the optimal operation strategy such as e.g., Maximum Torque per Losses (MTPL), Maximum Current (MC) or Field Weakening (FW). Therefore, it is (much) faster and easier to implement while (i) still machine nonlinearities and nonidealities such... [more]

Improving the quality of products remains a challenge. This is due to the turbulent environment and the dynamics of changing customer requirements. Hence, the key action is to predict beneficial changes in products, which will allow one to achieve customer satisfaction and reduce the waste of resources. Therefore, the purpose of this article was to develop a universal model to predict the expected direction of quality improvement. Initially, the purpose of the research was determined by using the SMART(-ER) method. Then, during the brainstorming method (BM), the product criteria and range states of these criteria were determined. Next, a survey with the Likert scale was used to obtain customers’ expectations, i.e., assessing the importance of criteria and customers’ satisfaction with ranges of product criteria states. Based on customer assessments, quality product levels were calculated using the Weighted Sum Model (WSM). Then, the initial customer satisfaction from the product quality... [more]

The control of the battery-thermal-management-system (BTMS) is key to prevent catastrophic events and to ensure long lifespans of the batteries. Nonetheless, to achieve a high-quality control of BTMS, several technical challenges must be faced: safe and homogeneous control in a multi element system with just one actuator, limited computational resources, and energy consumption restrictions. To address those challenges and restrictions, we propose a surrogate BTMS control model consisting of a classification machine-learning model that defines the optimum cooling-heating power of the actuator according to several temperature measurements. The la-belled-data required to build the control model is generated from a simulation environment that integrates model-predictive-control and linear optimization concepts. As a result, a controller that optimally controls the actuator with multi-input temperature signals in a multi-objective optimization problem is constructed. This paper benchmarks t... [more]

Detection and diagnosis of the malfunction of the heating, ventilation, and air conditioning (HVAC) systems result in more energy efficient systems with a higher level of indoor comfort. The information from the system combined with the artificial intelligence methods contributes to powerful fault detection and diagnosis. The paper presents a novel method for the detection and diagnosis of multiple dependent faults in an air handling unit (AHU) of HVAC system of an institutional building during heating season. The proposed method guided the search for faults, by using the information and operation flow between sensors. Support vector regression (SVR) models, developed from building automation system (BAS) trend data, predicted air temperature of two target sensors, under normal operation conditions without known problems. The fault symptom was detected when the residual of measured and predicted values exceeded the threshold. The recurrent neural network (RNN) models predicted the norm... [more]

The underestimation of fuel consumption impacts various aspects. In the vehicle market, manufacturers often advertise fuel economy for marketing. In fact, the fuel consumption reference value provided by the manufacturer is quite different from the real-world fuel consumption of the vehicles. The divergence between reference fuel consumption and real-world fuel consumption also has negative effect on the aspects of policy and environment. In order to effectively promote the sustainable development of transport, it is urged to recognize the real-world fuel consumption of vehicles. The gaps in previous studies includes small sample size, single data dimension, and lack of feature weight evaluation. To fill the research gap, in this study, we conduct a comparative analysis through building five regression models to forecast the real-world fuel consumption rate of light-duty gasoline vehicles in China based on big data from the perspectives of vehicle factors, environment factors, and driv... [more]

Mounting concerns pertaining to energy efficiency have led to the research of load monitoring. By Non-Intrusive Load Monitoring (NILM), detailed information regarding the electric energy consumed by each appliance per day or per hour can be formed. The accuracy of the previous residential load monitoring approach relies heavily on the data acquisition frequency of the energy meters. It brings high overall cost issues, and furthermore, the differentiating algorithm becomes much more complicated. Based on this, we proposed a novel non-Intrusive residential load disaggregation method that only depends on the regular data acquisition speed of active power measurements. Additionally, this approach brings some novelties to the traditionally used denoising Auto-Encoder (dAE), i.e., the reconfiguration of the overlapping parts of the sliding windows. The median filter is used for the data processing of the overlapping window. Two datasets, i.e., the Reference Energy Disaggregation Dataset (RED... [more]

Microgrids should be continuously monitored in order to maintain suitable voltages over time. Microgrids are mainly monitored remotely, and their measurement data transmitted through lossy communication networks are vulnerable to cyberattacks and packet loss. The current study leverages the idea of data fusion to address this problem. Hence, this paper investigates the effects of estimation fusion using various machine-learning (ML) regression methods as data fusion methods by aggregating the distributed Kalman filter (KF)-based state estimates of a linear smart microgrid in order to achieve more accurate and reliable state estimates. This unreliability in measurements is because they are received through a lossy communication network that incorporates packet loss and cyberattacks. In addition to ML regression methods, multi-layer perceptron (MLP) and dependent ordered weighted averaging (DOWA) operators are also employed for further comparisons. The results of simulation on the IEEE 4... [more]

The oil and gas industry has shifted paradigms after seeing the drastic decrease in oil prices since 2015. Companies are now focused as much on cost reduction as much as production maximization to drive profitable operations. This aspect is more prevalent in unconventional plays with the need for long horizontal drilling and hydraulic fracturing (HF) operations to develop and produce from the tight reservoirs. There exists an optimum point between the costs of HF treatment and the expected production. Because of the paradigm shift, many operators are now focused on re-developing existing assets at much lower costs instead of developing newer, more costly assets. Re-fracturing existing wells provides an opportunity for companies to add economical wells to their portfolio. Re-fracturing consists of pumping HF treatments in wells that were previously drilled and completed. Although it may seem that the HF process on a well would be easier the second time around, this is not always the cas... [more]

Faults on individual modules within a photovoltaic (PV) array can have a significant detrimental effect on the power efficiency and reliability of the entire PV system. In addition, PV module faults can create risks to personnel safety and fire hazards if they are not detected quickly. As IoT hardware capabilities increase and machine learning frameworks mature, better fault detection performance may be possible using low-cost sensors running machine learning (ML) models that monitor electrical and thermal parameters at an individual module level. In this paper, to evaluate the performance of ML models that are suitable for embedding in low-cost hardware at the module level, eight different PV module faults and their impacts on PV module output are discussed based on a literature review and simulation. The faults are emulated and applied to a real PV system, allowing the collection and labelling of panel-level measurement data. Then, different ML methods are used to classify these faul... [more]

This paper presents the results of a research project which investigated permeability prediction for the Precipice Sandstone of the Surat Basin. Machine learning techniques were used for permeability estimation based on multiple wireline logs. This information improves the prediction of CO2 injectivity in this formation. Well logs and core data were collected from 5 boreholes in the Surat Basin, where extensive core data and complete sets of conventional well logs exist for the Precipice Sandstone. Four different machine learning (ML) techniques, including Random Forest (RF), Artificial neural network (ANN), Gradient Boosting Regressor (GBR), and Support Vector Regressor (SVR), were independently trained with a wide range of hyper-parameters to ensure that not only is the best model selected, but also the right combination of model parameters is selected. Cross-validation for 20 different combinations of the seven available input logs was used for this study. Based on the performances... [more]

Electrical load forecasting has a fundamental role in the decision-making process of energy system operators. When many users are connected to the grid, high-performance forecasting models are required, posing several problems associated with the availability of historical energy consumption data for each end-user and training, deploying and maintaining a model for each user. Moreover, introducing new end-users to an existing network poses problems relating to their forecasting model. Global models, trained on all available data, are emerging as the best solution in several contexts, because they show higher generalization performance, being able to leverage the patterns that are similar across different time series. In this work, the lodging/residential electricity 1-h-ahead load forecasting of multiple time series for smart grid applications is addressed using global models, suggesting the effectiveness of such an approach also in the energy context. Results obtained on a subset of t... [more]

In view of scarcity of traditional energy resources and environmental issues, renewable energy resources (RERs) are introduced to fulfill the electricity requirement of growing world. Moreover, the effective utilization of RERs to fulfill the varying electricity demands of customers can be achieved via demand response (DR). Furthermore, control techniques, decision variables and offered motivations are the ways to introduce DR into distribution network (DN). This categorization needs to be optimized to balance the supply and demand in DN. Therefore, intelligent algorithms are employed to achieve optimized DR. However, these algorithms are computationally restrained to handle the parametric load of uncertainty involved with RERs and power system. Henceforth, this paper focuses on the limitations of intelligent algorithms for DR. Furthermore, a comparative study of different intelligent algorithms for DR is discussed. Based on conclusions, quantum algorithms are recommended to optimize t... [more]

Owing to their simple construction, cost effectiveness, and high thermal efficiency, pulsating heat pipes (PHPs) are growing in popularity as cooling devices for electronic equipment. While PHPs can be very resilient as passive cooling systems, their operation relies on the establishment and persistence of slug/plug flow as the dominant flow regime. It is, therefore, paramount to predict the flow regime accurately as a function of various operating parameters and design geometry. Flow pattern maps that capture flow regimes as a function of nondimensional numbers (e.g., Froude, Weber, and Bond numbers) have been proposed in the literature. However, the prediction of flow patterns based on deterministic models is a challenging task that relies on the ability of explaining the very complex underlying phenomena or the ability to measure parameters, such as the bubble acceleration, which are very difficult to know beforehand. In contrast, machine learning algorithms require limited a priori... [more]

This paper concerns very-short-term (5-Minute) forecasting of photovoltaic power generation. Developing the methods useful for this type of forecast is the main aim of this study. We prepared a comprehensive study based on fragmentary time series, including 4 full days, of 5 min power generation. This problem is particularly important to microgrids’ operation control, i.e., for the proper operation of small energy micro-systems. The forecasting of power generation by renewable energy sources on a very-short-term horizon, including PV systems, is very important, especially in the island mode of microgrids’ operation. Inaccurate forecasts can lead to the improper operation of microgrids or increasing costs/decreasing profits for microgrid operators. This paper presents a short description of the performance of photovoltaic systems, particularly the main environmental parameters, and a very detailed statistical analysis of data collected from four sample time series of power generation in... [more]

In order to predict the circuit response of a Gas Discharge Tube (GDT) to an electromagnetic pulse, a “black box” model for a GDT based on a machine learning method is proposed and validated in this paper.Firstly, the machine learning model of the Elman neural network is established by taking advantage of the existing measurement data to dampen the sinusoid signal, and then the established model is adopted to predict the response waveform of an unknown injection current grade and frequency.Without considering the complex physical parameters and dynamic behavior of GDTs, the Elman neural network modeling method is simpler than the existing physical or Pspice model.Validation experiments show a good agreement between the predicted and the measured waveforms.

The building-integrated photovoltaic (BIPV) system is provoking mention as a technology for generating the energy consumed in cities with renewable sources. As the number of BIPV systems increases, performance diagnosis through power-generation predictions becomes more essential. In the case of a colored BIPV module that has been installed on a wall, it is more difficult to predict the amount of power generation because the shading loss varies based on the entrance altitude of the irradiance. Recently, artificial intelligence technology that is able to predict power by learning the output data of the system has begun being used. In this paper, the power values of colored BIPV systems that have been installed on walls are predicted, and the system output values are compared. The current-voltage (I−V) curve data are measured to predict the power required changing the intensity of the irradiance, and the linear regression model is derived for the changes in the voltage and current at a ma... [more]

Microwave-driven plasma gasification technology has the potential to produce clean energy from municipal and industrial solid wastes. It can generate temperatures above 2000 K (as high as 30,000 K) in a reactor, leading to complete combustion and reduction of toxic byproducts. Characterizing complex processes inside such a system is however challenging. In previous studies, simulations using computational fluid dynamics (CFD) produced reproducible results, but the simulations are tedious and involve assumptions. In this study, we propose machine-learning models that can be used in tandem with CFD, to accelerate high-fidelity fluid simulation, improve turbulence modeling, and enhance reduced-order models. A two-dimensional microwave-driven plasma gasification reactor was developed in ANSYS (Ansys, Canonsburg, PA, USA) Fluent (a CFD tool), to create 644 (geometry and temperature) datasets for training six machine-learning (ML) models. When fed with just geometry datasets, these ML models... [more]