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Records with Keyword: Machine Learning
Showing records 398 to 422 of 847. [First] Page: 1 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 Last
Evaluation of Anomaly Detection of an Autoencoder Based on Maintenace Information and Scada-Data
Marc-Alexander Lutz, Stephan Vogt, Volker Berkhout, Stefan Faulstich, Steffen Dienst, Urs Steinmetz, Christian Gück, Andres Ortega
March 23, 2023 (v1)
Keywords: autoencoder, data driven model, Machine Learning, maintenance, performance, reliability, service, wind turbine
The usage of machine learning techniques is widely spread and has also been implemented in the wind industry in the last years. Many of these techniques have shown great success but need to constantly prove the expectation of functionality. This paper describes a new method to monitor the health of a wind turbine using an undercomplete autoencoder. To evaluate the health monitoring quality of the autoencoder, the number of anomalies before an event has happened are to be considered. The results show that around 35% of all historical events that have resulted into a failure show many anomalies. Furthermore, the wind turbine subsystems which are subject to good detectability are the rotor system and the control system. If only one third of the service duties can be planned in advance, and thereby the scheduling time can be reduced, huge cost saving potentials can be seen.
Simulation Study on the Electricity Data Streams Time Series Clustering
Krzysztof Gajowniczek, Marcin Bator, Tomasz Ząbkowski, Arkadiusz Orłowski, Chu Kiong Loo
March 22, 2023 (v1)
Keywords: clustering, data stream, Machine Learning, smart metering, time series
Currently, thanks to the rapid development of wireless sensor networks and network traffic monitoring, the data stream is gradually becoming one of the most popular data generating processes. The data stream is different from traditional static data. Cluster analysis is an important technology for data mining, which is why many researchers pay attention to grouping streaming data. In the literature, there are many data stream clustering techniques, unfortunately, very few of them try to solve the problem of clustering data streams coming from multiple sources. In this article, we present an algorithm with a tree structure for grouping data streams (in the form of a time series) that have similar properties and behaviors. We have evaluated our algorithm over real multivariate data streams generated by smart meter sensors—the Irish Commission for Energy Regulation data set. There were several measures used to analyze the various characteristics of a tree-like clustering structure (comput... [more]
A Novel Algebraic Stress Model with Machine-Learning-Assisted Parameterization
Chao Jiang, Junyi Mi, Shujin Laima, Hui Li
March 22, 2023 (v1)
Keywords: Machine Learning, nonlocal effects, turbulence modeling
Reynolds-stress closure modeling is critical to Reynolds-averaged Navier-Stokes (RANS) analysis, and it remains a challenging issue in reducing both structural and parametric inaccuracies. This study first proposes a novel algebraic stress model named as tensorial quadratic eddy-viscosity model (TQEVM), in which nonlinear terms improve previous model-form failure due to neglection of nonlocal effects. Then a data-driven regression model based on a fully-connected deep neural network is designed to determine the TQEVM coefficients. The well-trained data-driven model using high-fidelity direct numerical simulation (DNS) data successfully learned the underlying input-output relationships, further obtaining spatial-dependent optimal values of these coefficients. Finally, detailed validations are made in wall-bounded flows where nonlocal effects are expected to be significant. Comparative results indicate that TQEVM provides improvements both for the stress-strain misalignment and stress an... [more]
The Effect of Offshore Wind Capacity Expansion on Uncertainties in Germany’s Day-Ahead Wind Energy Forecasts
David Schönheit, Dominik Möst
March 21, 2023 (v1)
Keywords: day-ahead wind energy uncertainties, Extra Trees, Machine Learning, offshore capacity expansion, wind energy forecasts
Germany has experienced rapid growth in onshore wind capacities over the past two decades. Substantial capacities of offshore wind turbines have been added since 2013. On a local, highly-resolved level, this analysis evaluated if differences in wind speed forecast errors exist for offshore and onshore locations regarding magnitude and variation. A model based on the Extra Trees algorithm is proposed and found to be a viable method to transform local wind speeds and capacities into aggregated wind energy feed-in. This model was used to analyze if offshore and onshore wind power expansion lead to different distributions of day-ahead wind energy forecast errors in Germany. The Extra Trees model results indicate that offshore wind capacity expansion entails an energy forecast error distribution with more frequent medium to high deviations, stemming from larger and more variable wind speed deviations of offshore locations combined with greater geographical concentration of offshore wind tur... [more]
Partial Discharge Classification Using Deep Learning Methods—Survey of Recent Progress
Sonia Barrios, David Buldain, María Paz Comech, Ian Gilbert, Iñaki Orue
March 21, 2023 (v1)
Keywords: deep learning, deep neural network, fault diagnosis, fault recognition, Machine Learning, partial discharges
This paper examines the recent advances made in the field of Deep Learning (DL) methods for the automated identification of Partial Discharges (PD). PD activity is an indication of the state and operational conditions of electrical equipment systems. There are several techniques for on-line PD measurements, but the typical classification and recognition method is made off-line and involves an expert manually extracting appropriate features from raw data and then using these to diagnose PD type and severity. Many methods have been developed over the years, so that the appropriate features expertly extracted are used as input for Machine Learning (ML) algorithms. More recently, with the developments in computation and data storage, DL methods have been used for automated features extraction and classification. Several contributions have demonstrated that Deep Neural Networks (DNN) have better accuracy than the typical ML methods providing more efficient automated identification technique... [more]
Control Oriented Prediction of Driver Brake Intention and Intensity Using a Composite Machine Learning Approach
Jianhao Zhou, Jing Sun, Longqiang He, Yi Ding, Hanzhang Cao, Wanzhong Zhao
March 21, 2023 (v1)
Keywords: brake intensity, Brake intention, electric vehicle, Machine Learning, regenerative brake
Driver perception, decision, and control behaviors are easily affected by traffic conditions and driving style, showing the tendency of randomness and personalization. Brake intention and intensity are integrated and control-oriented parameters that are crucial to the development of an intelligent braking system. In this paper, a composite machine learning approach was proposed to predict driver brake intention and intensity with a proper prediction horizon. Various driving data were collected from Controller Area Network (CAN) bus under a real driving condition, which mainly contained urban and rural road types. ReliefF and RReliefF (they don’t have abbreviations) algorithms were employed as feature subset selection methods and applied in a prepossessing step before the training. The rank importance of selected predictors exhibited different trends or even negative trends when predicting brake intention and intensity. A soft clustering algorithm, Fuzzy C-means, was adopted to label th... [more]
A New Cloud-Based IoT Solution for Soiling Ratio Measurement of PV Systems Using Artificial Neural Network
Mussawir Ul Mehmood, Abasin Ulasyar, Waleed Ali, Kamran Zeb, Haris Sheh Zad, Waqar Uddin, Hee-Je Kim
March 20, 2023 (v1)
Keywords: cloud, edge device, internet of things, Machine Learning, solar efficiency, solar energy
Solar energy is considered the most abundant form of energy available on earth. However, the efficiency of photovoltaic (PV) panels is greatly reduced due to the accumulation of dust particles on the surface of PV panels. The optimization of the cleaning cycles of a PV power plant through condition monitoring of PV panels is crucial for its optimal performance. Specialized equipment and weather stations are deployed for large-scale PV plants to monitor the amount of soil accumulated on panel surface. However, not much focus is given to small- and medium-scale PV plants, where the costs associated with specialized weather stations cannot be justified. To overcome this hurdle, a cost-effective and scalable solution is required. Therefore, a new centralized cloud-based solar conversion recovery system (SCRS) is proposed in this research work. The proposed system utilizes the Internet of Things (IoT) and cloud-based centralized architecture, which allows users to remotely monitor the amoun... [more]
Forecasting Energy Consumption of a Public Building Using Transformer and Support Vector Regression
Junhui Huang, Sakdirat Kaewunruen
March 20, 2023 (v1)
Keywords: Artificial Intelligence, building energy performance, building physics, CO2 emissions, energy consumption, Machine Learning, net zero energy building, transformer
Most of the Artificial Intelligence (AI) models currently used in energy forecasting are traditional and deterministic. Recently, a novel deep learning paradigm, called ‘transformer’, has been developed, which adopts the mechanism of self-attention. Transformers are designed to better process and predict sequential data sets (i.e., historical time records) as well as to track any relationship in the sequential data. So far, a few transformer-based applications have been established, but no industry-scale application exists to build energy forecasts. Accordingly, this study is the world’s first to establish a transformer-based model to estimate the energy consumption of a real-scale university library and benchmark with a baseline model (Support Vector Regression) SVR. With a large dataset from 1 September 2017 to 13 November 2021 with 30 min granularity, the results using four historical electricity readings to estimate one future reading demonstrate that the SVR (an R2 of 0.92) presen... [more]
Wind Farm Power Prediction Considering Layout and Wake Effect: Case Study of Saudi Arabia
Khadijah Barashid, Amr Munshi, Ahmad Alhindi
March 20, 2023 (v1)
Keywords: Machine Learning, regression, Renewable and Sustainable Energy, wake effect, wind energy, wind power
The world’s technological and economic advancements have led to a sharp increase in the demand for electrical energy. Saudi Arabia is experiencing rapid economic and demographic growth, which is resulting in higher energy needs. The limits of fossil fuel reserves and their disruption to the environment have motivated the pursuit of alternative energy options such as wind energy. In order to regulate the power system to maintain safe and dependable operation, projections of current and daily power generation are crucial. Thus, this work focuses on wind power prediction and the statistical analysis of wind characteristics using wind data from a meteorological station in Makkah, Saudi Arabia. The data were collected over four years from January 2015 to July 2018. More than twelve thousand data points were collected and analyzed. Layout and wake effect studies were carried out. Furthermore, the near wake length downstream from the rotor disc between 1 and 5 rotor diameters (1D to 5D) was t... [more]
Nowcasting Hourly-Averaged Tilt Angles of Acceptance for Solar Collector Applications Using Machine Learning Models
Ronewa Collen Nemalili, Lordwell Jhamba, Joseph Kiprono Kirui, Caston Sigauke
March 20, 2023 (v1)
Keywords: global horizontal irradiance, gradient boosting, KNN, LSTM, Machine Learning, nowcasting, random forest, Renewable and Sustainable Energy, solar irradiance, tilt angle
Challenges in utilising fossil fuels for generating energy call for the adoption of renewable energy sources. This study focuses on modelling and nowcasting optimal tilt angle(s) of solar energy harnessing using historical time series data collected from one of South Africa’s radiometric stations, USAid Venda station in Limpopo Province. In the study, we compared random forest (RF), K-nearest neighbours (KNN), and long short-term memory (LSTM) in nowcasting of optimum tilt angle. Gradient boosting (GB) is used as the benchmark model to compare the model’s predictive accuracy. The performance measures of mean absolute error (MAE), mean square error (MSE), root mean square error (RMSE) and R2 were used, and the results showed LSTM to have the best performance in nowcasting optimum tilt angle compared to other models, followed by the RF and GB, whereas KNN was the worst-performing model.
Convolutional Neural Networks for Classifying Electronic Components in Industrial Applications
Stanisław Hożyń
March 20, 2023 (v1)
Keywords: computer vision, convolutional neural network, deep learning, electronic component, image classification, image features, industrial application, Machine Learning, pretrained neural network
Electronic component classification often constitutes the uncomplicated task of classifying a single object on a simple background. It is because, in many applications, a technological process employs constant lighting conditions, a fixed camera position, and a designated set of classified components. To date, there has not been an adequate attempt to develop a method for object classification under the above conditions in industrial applications. Therefore, this work focuses on the classification problem of a particular technological process. The process classifies electronic components on an assembly line using a fixed-mounted camera. The research investigated all the essential steps required to build a classification system, such as image acquisition, database creation, and neural network development. The first part of the experiment was devoted to creating an image dataset utilising the proposed image acquisition system. Then, custom and pre-trained networks were developed and test... [more]
Intelligent Identification Method for Drilling Conditions Based on Stacking Model Fusion
Yonghai Gao, Xin Yu, Yufa Su, Zhiming Yin, Xuerui Wang, Shaoqiang Li
March 20, 2023 (v1)
Keywords: drilling, intelligent identification, Machine Learning, stacking model fusion
Due to the complex and changing drilling conditions and the large scale of logging data, it is extremely difficult to process the data in real time and identify dangerous working conditions. Based on the multi-classification intelligent algorithm of Stacking model fusion, the 24 h actual working conditions of an XX well are classified and identified. The drilling conditions are divided into standpipe connection, tripping out, tripping in, Reaming, back Reaming, circulation, drilling, and other conditions. In the Stacking fusion model, the accuracy of the integrated model and the base learner is compared, and the confusion matrix of the drilling multi-condition recognition results is output, which verifies the effectiveness of the Stacking model fusion. Based on the variation in the parameter characteristics of different working conditions, a real-time working condition recognition diagram of the classification results is drawn, and the adaptation rules of the Stacking fusion model unde... [more]
A Day-Ahead Short-Term Load Forecasting Using M5P Machine Learning Algorithm along with Elitist Genetic Algorithm (EGA) and Random Forest-Based Hybrid Feature Selection
Ankit Kumar Srivastava, Ajay Shekhar Pandey, Mohamad Abou Houran, Varun Kumar, Dinesh Kumar, Saurabh Mani Tripathi, Sivasankar Gangatharan, Rajvikram Madurai Elavarasan
March 20, 2023 (v1)
Keywords: confidence interval, elitist genetic algorithm, feature selection, M5P forecaster, Machine Learning, short-term load forecasting
A hybrid feature selection (HFS) algorithm to obtain the optimal feature set to attain optimal forecast accuracy for short-term load forecasting (STLF) problems is proposed in this paper. The HFS employs an elitist genetic algorithm (EGA) and random forest method, which is embedded in the load forecasting algorithm for online feature selection (FS). Using selected features, the performance of the forecaster was tested to signify the utility of the proposed methodology. For this, a day-ahead STLF using the M5P forecaster (a comprehensive forecasting approach using the regression tree concept) was implemented with FS and without FS (WoFS). The performance of the proposed forecaster (with FS and WoFS) was compared with the forecasters based on J48 and Bagging. The simulation was carried out in MATLAB and WEKA software. Through analyzing short-term load forecasts for the Australian electricity markets, evaluation of the proposed approach indicates that the input feature selected by the HFS... [more]
PMV Dimension Reduction Utilizing Feature Selection Method: Comparison Study on Machine Learning Models
Kyung-Yong Park, Deok-Oh Woo
March 20, 2023 (v1)
Keywords: dimension reduction, feature selection, Machine Learning, PMV
Since P.O. Fanger proposed PMV, it has been the most widely used index to estimate thermal comfort. However, in some cases, it is challenging to measure all six parameters within indoor spaces, which are essential for PMV estimation; a couple of parameters, such as Clo or Met, tend to show a large deviation in accuracy. For these reasons, several studies have suggested methods to estimate PMV but their accuracies were significantly compromised. In this vein, this study proposed a way to reduce the dimensions of parameters for PMV prediction utilizing the machine learning method, in order to provide fast PMV calculations without compromising its prediction accuracy. Throughout this study, the most influential features for PMV were pinpointed using PCA, Best Subset, and the Gini Importance, with each model compared to the others. The results showed that PCA and ANN achieved the highest accuracy of 89.70%, and the combination of Best Subset and Random Forest showed the fastest prediction... [more]
Large Scale, Mid Term Wind Farms Power Generation Prediction
Marcin Blachnik, Sławomir Walkowiak, Adam Kula
March 17, 2023 (v1)
Keywords: forecasting, Machine Learning, renewable energy sources, wind turbines
Renewable energy sources, such as wind turbines, have become much more prevalent in recent years, and thus a popular form of energy generation. This is in part due to the ‘Fit for 55’ EU initiative, and in part, to rising fossil fuel prices, as well as the perceived requirement for nations to have power independence, and due to the influence of renewable energy sources we can see a marked increase in large wind farms in particular. However, wind farms by their very nature are highly inconsistent regarding power generation and are weather-dependent, thus presenting several challenges for transmission system operators. One of the options to overcome these issues is a system being able to forecast the generated power in a wide-ranging period—ranging from 15 min up to 36 h, and with an adequate resolution. Such a system would better help manage the power grid and allow for greater utilization of the green energy produced. In this document, we present a process of development for such a sys... [more]
Hydrogen Storage on Porous Carbon Adsorbents: Rediscovery by Nature-Derived Algorithms in Random Forest Machine Learning Model
Hung Vo Thanh, Sajad Ebrahimnia Taremsari, Benyamin Ranjbar, Hossein Mashhadimoslem, Ehsan Rahimi, Mohammad Rahimi, Ali Elkamel
March 17, 2023 (v1)
Keywords: hydrogen storage, Machine Learning, nature-based algorithms, random forest
Porous carbons as solid adsorbent materials possess effective porosity characteristics that are the most important factors for gas storage. The chemical activating routes facilitate hydrogen storage by adsorbing on the high surface area and microporous features of porous carbon-based adsorbents. The present research proposed to predict H2 storage using four nature-inspired algorithms applied in the random forest (RF) model. Various carbon-based adsorbents, chemical activating agents, ratios, micro-structural features, and operational parameters as input variables are applied in the ML model to predict H2 uptake (wt%). Particle swarm and gray wolf optimizations (PSO and GWO) in the RF model display accuracy in the train and test phases, with an R2 of ~0.98 and 0.91, respectively. Sensitivity analysis demonstrated the ranks for temperature, total pore volume, specific surface area, and micropore volume in first to fourth, with relevancy scores of 1 and 0.48. The feasibility of algorithms... [more]
A Wind Turbine Vibration Monitoring System for Predictive Maintenance Based on Machine Learning Methods Developed under Safely Controlled Laboratory Conditions
David Pérez Granados, Mauricio Alberto Ortega Ruiz, Joel Moreira Acosta, Sergio Arturo Gama Lara, Roberto Adrián González Domínguez, Pedro Jacinto Páramo Kañetas
March 17, 2023 (v1)
Keywords: accelerometer, Machine Learning, vibration monitoring, wind energy, wind turbine
Wind energy is one of the most relevant clean energies today, so wind turbines must have good health and be reliable in operation. Current wind turbines have slender and elastic structures that can be easily damaged through vibrations and compromise their health; therefore, vibration monitoring is essential to ensure safe operation. Here, we present a method for simple wind turbine vibration monitoring in the laboratory by means of an accelerometer placed on a weathervane under different scenarios, with recording of different amplitudes of vibrations caused at a constant speed of 10 km/h. The variables, trends, and data captured during vibration monitoring were then used to implement a prediction system of synthetic failure using machine learning methods such as: Medium Trees, Cubic SVN, Logistic Regression Kernel, Optimized Neural Network, and Bagged Trees, with the last demonstrating an accuracy of up to 0.87%.
Multi-Channel Assessment Policies for Energy-Efficient Data Transmission in Wireless Underground Sensor Networks
Rajasoundaran Soundararajan, Prince Mary Stanislaus, Senthil Ganesh Ramasamy, Dharmesh Dhabliya, Vivek Deshpande, Sountharrajan Sehar, Durga Prasad Bavirisetti
March 17, 2023 (v1)
Keywords: channel, distortion, Energy Efficiency, Machine Learning, quality assessment, reactive communication, wireless underground sensor networks
Wireless Underground Sensor Networks (WUGSNs) transmit data collected from underground objects such as water substances, oil substances, soil contents, and others. In addition, the underground sensor nodes transmit the data to the surface nodes regarding underground irregularities, earthquake, landslides, military border surveillance, and other issues. The channel difficulties of WUGSNs create uncertain communication barriers. Recent research works have proposed different types of channel assessment techniques and security approaches. Moreover, the existing techniques are inadequate to learn the real-time channel attributes in order to build reactive data transmission models. The proposed system implements Deep Learning-based Multi-Channel Learning and Protection Model (DMCAP) using the optimal set of channel attribute classification techniques. The proposed model uses Multi-Channel Ensemble Model, Ensemble Multi-Layer Perceptron (EMLP) Classifiers, Nonlinear Channel Regression models... [more]
Electrical Load Forecasting Using LSTM, GRU, and RNN Algorithms
Mobarak Abumohsen, Amani Yousef Owda, Majdi Owda
March 17, 2023 (v1)
Keywords: deep learning models, electric power system, load forecasting, Machine Learning, short-term load forecasting
Forecasting the electrical load is essential in power system design and growth. It is critical from both a technical and a financial standpoint as it improves the power system performance, reliability, safety, and stability as well as lowers operating costs. The main aim of this paper is to make forecasting models to accurately estimate the electrical load based on the measurements of current electrical loads of the electricity company. The importance of having forecasting models is in predicting the future electrical loads, which will lead to reducing costs and resources, as well as better electric load distribution for electric companies. In this paper, deep learning algorithms are used to forecast the electrical loads; namely: (1) Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), (2) Gated Recurrent Units (GRU), and (3) Recurrent Neural Networks (RNN). The models were tested, and the GRU model achieved the best performance in terms of accuracy and the lowest error. Results show that the GRU model achi... [more]
Machine Learning and Game-Theoretic Model for Advanced Wind Energy Management Protocol (AWEMP)
Imed Khabbouchi, Dhaou Said, Aziz Oukaira, Idir Mellal, Lyes Khoukhi
March 17, 2023 (v1)
Keywords: electric vehicles, game-theoretic model, Machine Learning, wind energy management system
To meet the target of carbon neutrality by the year 2050 and decrease the dependence on fossil fuels, renewable energy sources (RESs), specifically wind power, and Electric Vehicles (EVs) have to be massively deployed. Nevertheless, the integration of a large amount of wind power, with an intermittent nature, into the grid and the variability of the load on the demand side require an efficient and reliable energy management system (EMS) for operation, scheduling, maintenance and energy trading in the modern power system. This article proposes a new Energy Management Protocol (EMP) based on the combination of Machine Learning (ML) and Game-Theoretic (GT) algorithms to manage the operation of the charging/discharging of EVs from an energy storage system (ESS) via EV supply equipment (EVSE) when the main source of energy is wind power. The ESS can be linked to the grid to overcome downtimes of wind power production. Case study results of wind power forecasting using an ML algorithm and 10... [more]
Lithologic Identification of Complex Reservoir Based on PSO-LSTM-FCN Algorithm
Yawen He, Weirong Li, Zhenzhen Dong, Tianyang Zhang, Qianqian Shi, Linjun Wang, Lei Wu, Shihao Qian, Zhengbo Wang, Zhaoxia Liu, Gang Lei
March 17, 2023 (v1)
Keywords: complex reservoir, lithology identification, LSTM-FCN, Machine Learning, PSO optimization
Reservoir lithology identification is the basis for the exploration and development of complex lithological reservoirs. Efficient processing of well-logging data is the key to lithology identification. However, reservoir lithology identification through well-logging is still a challenge with conventional machine learning methods, such as Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN), and Long Short-term Memory (LSTM). To address this issue, a fully connected network (FCN) and LSTM were coupled for predicting reservoir lithology. The proposed algorithm (LSTM-FCN) is composed of two sections. One section uses FCN to extract the spatial properties, the other one captures feature selections by LSTM. Well-logging data from Hugoton Field is used to evaluate the performance. In this study, well-logging data, including Gamma-ray (GR), Resistivity (ILD_log10), Neutron-density porosity difference (DeltaPHI), Average neutron-density porosity(PHIND), and (Photoelectric effect) PE, are used for training and... [more]
Data-Driven Model for Real-Time Estimation of NOx in a Heavy-Duty Diesel Engine
Alessandro Falai, Daniela Anna Misul
March 17, 2023 (v1)
Keywords: combustion modeling, compression ignition engine, experimental data processing and analysis, Machine Learning, model validation
The automotive sector is greatly contributing to pollutant emissions and recent regulations introduced the need for a major control of, and reduction of, internal combustion engine emissions. Artificial intelligence (AI) algorithms have proven to hold the potential to be the thrust in the state-of-the-art for engine-out emission prediction, thus enabling tailored calibration modes and control solutions. More specifically, the scientific literature has recently witnessed strong efforts in AI applications for the development of nitrogen oxides (NOx) virtual sensors. These latter replace physical sensors and exploit AI algorithms to estimate NOx concentrations in real-time. Still, the calibration of the algorithms, together with the appropriate choice of the specific metric, strongly affects the prediction capability. In the present paper, a machine learning-based virtual sensor for NOx monitoring in diesel engines was developed, based on the Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) machine le... [more]
AI and Energy Justice
Merel Noorman, Brenda Espinosa Apráez, Saskia Lavrijssen
March 17, 2023 (v1)
Keywords: Artificial Intelligence, energy justice, energy law, Machine Learning, PV curtailment, smart grids
Artificial intelligence (AI) techniques are increasingly used to address problems in electricity systems that result from the growing supply of energy from dynamic renewable sources. Researchers have started experimenting with data-driven AI technologies to, amongst other uses, forecast energy usage, optimize cost-efficiency, monitor system health, and manage network congestion. These technologies are said to, on the one hand, empower consumers, increase transparency in pricing, and help maintain the affordability of electricity in the energy transition, while, on the other hand, they may decrease transparency, infringe on privacy, or lead to discrimination, to name a few concerns. One key concern is how AI will affect energy justice. Energy justice is a concept that has emerged predominantly in social science research to highlight that energy related decisions—in particular, as part of the energy transition—should produce just outcomes. The concept has been around for more than a deca... [more]
Data-Driven Prediction of Unsteady Vortex Phenomena in a Conical Diffuser
Sergey Skripkin, Daniil Suslov, Ivan Plokhikh, Mikhail Tsoy, Evgeny Gorelikov, Ivan Litvinov
March 17, 2023 (v1)
Keywords: Machine Learning, precessing vortex core (PVC), prediction of vortex, swirling flow
The application of machine learning to solve engineering problems is in extremely high demand. This article proposes a tool that employs machine learning algorithms for predicting the frequency response of an unsteady vortex phenomenon, the precessing vortex core (PVC), occurring in a conical diffuser behind a radial swirler. The model input parameters are the two components of the time-averaged velocity profile at the cone diffuser inlet. An empirical database was obtained using a fully automated experiment. The database associates multiple inlet velocity profiles with pressure pulsations measured in the cone diffuser, which are caused by the PVC in the swirling flow. In total, over 103 different flow regimes were measured by varying the swirl number and the cone angle of the diffuser. Pressure pulsations induced by the PVC were detected using two pressure fluctuations sensors residing on opposite sides of the conical diffuser. A classifier was constructed using the Linear Support Vec... [more]
New Method of Modeling Daily Energy Consumption
Krzysztof Karpio, Piotr Łukasiewicz, Rafik Nafkha
March 17, 2023 (v1)
Keywords: data mining, linear regression, Machine Learning, outliners, time series
At present, papers concerning energy consumption and forecasting are predominantly dedicated to various known techniques and their combinations. On the other hand, the research on load modeling and forecasting methodologies is quite limited. This paper presents a new approach concerning hourly energy consumption using a multivariate linear regression model. The proposed technique provides a way to accurately model day-to-day energy consumption using just a few selected variables. The number of data points required to describe a whole day’s consumption depends on the demanded precision, which is up to the user. This model is self-configurable and very fast. The applied model shows that four hours are sufficient to describe energy consumption during the remainder of a given day. We show that for about 84% of the data points, the relative error of the model is below 2.5%, and for all the data points the error does not exceed 7.5%. We obtained a mean relative uncertainty of 1.72% in the le... [more]
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