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Records with Type: Published Article
7851. LAPSE:2023.31285
A Study on the Acquisition Technology for Weak Seismic Signals from Deep Geothermal Reservoirs
April 18, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Energy Systems
Keywords: geothermal reservoir, high density, seismic acquisition, weak signal.
There are rich geothermal resources in China and they are widely distributed. After years of continuous exploration and production, most of the shallow geothermal resources have been explored and the current exploration mainly focuses on deep ones. Among a great many geophysical exploration methods, seismic survey is the most effective means of geothermal resource exploration and production, but its weak seismic reflection signal, low S/N ratio and poor imaging of thermal reservoirs due to the seismic geological conditions restrict the production and utilization of deep geothermal resources. It considers through the analysis of the geophysical characteristics of the thermal reservoir that the main causes for the weak seismic reflection signals from deep thermal reservoirs are (1) the shielding effect of the strong wave impedance interface between the thermal reservoir and the caprocks; (2) the small reflection coefficient inside the thermal reservoir; and (3) the serious absorption and... [more]
7852. LAPSE:2023.31284
A Triple-Layer Membrane with Hybrid Evaporation and Radiation for Building Cooling
April 18, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Materials
Keywords: building cooling, evaporative cooling, passive cooling, polyethylene aerogel, radiative cooling.
Passive cooling for thermal comfort improvement has received extensive attention for its low energy consumption. However, most of the existing passive cooling technologies require a complex system design and supporting equipment, since they cool the ambient air. Herein, we propose a hybrid evaporative and radiative cooling membrane with a hygroscopic hydrogel sandwiched by two layers of a porous polyethylene aerogel (PEA). The hydrogel implements evaporative cooling. Combining the high solar reflection of PEA and the high infrared emissivity of hydrogel, this hybrid membrane also possesses radiative cooling. In addition, the high infrared transmittance and low thermal conductivity of PEA allow direct heat transfer between the hydrogel and human body, instead of the ambient air. Through comparative experiments and theoretical calculations, it is indicated that the net cooling power delivered by the hybrid membrane to the human body is up to 78.45 W m−2, which is much higher than that of... [more]
7853. LAPSE:2023.31283
Influence of the Reward Function on the Selection of Reinforcement Learning Agents for Hybrid Electric Vehicles Real-Time Control
April 18, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Process Control
Keywords: Artificial Intelligence, fuel consumption, hybrid electric vehicles, real-time control, reinforcement learning.
The real-time control optimization of electrified vehicles is one of the most demanding tasks to be faced in the innovation progress of low-emissions mobility. Intelligent energy management systems represent interesting solutions to solve complex control problems, such as the maximization of the fuel economy of hybrid electric vehicles. In the recent years, reinforcement-learning-based controllers have been shown to outperform well-established real-time strategies for specific applications. Nevertheless, the effects produced by variation in the reward function have not been thoroughly analyzed and the potential of the adoption of a given RL agent under different testing conditions is still to be assessed. In the present paper, the performance of different agents, i.e., Q-learning, deep Q-Network and double deep Q-Network, are investigated considering a full hybrid electric vehicle throughout multiple driving missions and introducing two distinct reward functions. The first function aim... [more]
7854. LAPSE:2023.31282
Fuel Cell Products for Sustainable Transportation and Stationary Power Generation: Review on Market Perspective
April 18, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Energy Systems
Keywords: electric vehicles, energy scenario, fuel cell deployment, fuel cell vehicles, Fuel Cells, Hydrogen, hydrogen roadmaps, Renewable and Sustainable Energy, stationary fuel cells.
The present day energy supply scenario is unsustainable and the transition towards a more environmentally friendly energy supply system of the future is inevitable. Hydrogen is a potential fuel that is capable of assisting with this transition. Certain technological advancements and design challenges associated with hydrogen generation and fuel cell technologies are discussed in this review. The commercialization of hydrogen-based technologies is closely associated with the development of the fuel cell industry. The evolution of fuel cell electric vehicles and fuel cell-based stationary power generation products in the market are discussed. Furthermore, the opportunities and threats associated with the market diffusion of these products, certain policy implications, and roadmaps of major economies associated with this hydrogen transition are discussed in this review.
7855. LAPSE:2023.31281
Latent Heat Storage Systems for Thermal Management of Electric Vehicle Batteries: Thermal Performance Enhancement and Modulation of the Phase Transition Process Dynamics: A Literature Review
April 18, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Materials
Keywords: battery system, electric vehicle, Latent Heat Storage, phase change material, thermal management, thermal performance enhancement.
Electric vehicles battery systems (EVBS) are subject to complex charging/discharging processes that produce various amount of stress and cause significant temperature fluctuations. Due to the variable heat generation regimes, latent heat storage systems that can absorb significant amounts of thermal energy with little temperature variation are an interesting thermal management solution. A major drawback of organic phase change materials is their low thermal conductivity, which limits the material charging/discharging capacity. This review paper covers recent studies on thermal performance enhancement of PCM thermal management for electric vehicles batteries. A special focus is placed on the constraints related to electric vehicles battery systems, such as mass/volume minimization, integration with other battery thermal management systems, operational temperature range, adaptability to extreme regimes and modulation of the melting/solidification behavior. The main research outcomes are... [more]
7856. LAPSE:2023.31280
Evaluating Long-Term Performance of a Residential Ground-Source Heat Pump System under Climate Change in Cold and Warm Cities of Japan
April 18, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Energy Systems
Keywords: climate change, ground-source heat pump, seasonal performance factor, simple payback time, soil temperature.
A residential ground-source heat pump system often requires a long payback time to recover the capital cost. Long-term uncertainty in such a system’s performance increases as the climate changes. This study compares 20-years hourly heating/cooling demands of a typical residence in the present (2000−2020) and in the future (2076−2095) for two locations in Japan. This study also calculated soil temperatures as heat sources through 1D heat-transfer simulation based on the A1B climate scenario in the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change’s Special Report. System performance and simple payback times were compared in one cold and one warm city in Japan (Sapporo and Tokyo, respectively). Soil temperatures at a middle depth of a borehole heat exchanger were predicted to increase in the future by ~1 °C, with insignificant effects on a borehole heat exchanger. Seasonal performance factors increased in Sapporo because thermal demands would be kept even in the future, but decreased in Tokyo, w... [more]
7857. LAPSE:2023.31279
Experimental Study of Bio-Hydrogen Production by Clostridium beijerinckii from Different Substrates
April 18, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Energy Systems
Keywords: bio-hydrogen, Clostridium beijerinckii, dark fermentation, glycerol, hexoses.
Glucose, alcohol stillage and glycerol were used as substrates for bio-hydrogen production by the newly isolated strain Clostridium beijerinckii 6A1 under batch conditions. High molar yields of hydrogen from the studied organic substrates were observed. There was a neat difference in the metabolic pathways of substrate digestion when hexose-based substrate or glycerol were used. The products of glycerol digestion showed that a pathway with no formic acid formation as intermediate was probable. In this case, considerable concentrations of acetic and propionic acid (up to 6 g dm−3) and small amounts of butanol were observed after 48 h. When glucose or hexose-based substrates were used, considerable amounts of formic acid (up to 6 g dm−3), i.e., the pathway proposed for Clostridia mixed cultures, were appropriate for the observed process of hydrogen release. For these substrates, considerable amounts of propionic acid in concentrations up to 1 g dm−3 were observed. That is why the pathway... [more]
7858. LAPSE:2023.31278
Invited: Investigation of Carbon/Copper Multilayer to Examine the Influence of Copper Coating on the Li-Storage Performance of Carbon
April 18, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Energy Systems
Keywords: Carbon, copper, differential charge plots, impedance spectroscopy, lithium-ion battery, long-term cycling, rate capability, secondary ion mass spectrometry, supercapacitor, superlattice, X-ray reflectometry.
Thin copper and carbon coatings of electrodes of lithium-ion batteries (LIBs) have the potential to improve LIB operation by preserving electrode integrity during cycling, by developing a proper solid-electrolyte interphase (SEI) layer (e.g., by increasing the de-solvation rate), and by enhancing electric conductivity. In the structures, the thin coatings, e.g., copper thin films, must be permeable to Li+ ions in order to facilitate Li+ uptake and Li+ release in the electrochemically active material of coated electrodes beneath. The influences of copper and carbon thin coatings on LIB-electrode performance were investigated in this work by electrochemically cycling a [C(16 nm)/Cu(17 nm)] × 10 multilayer (ML) up to lithium plating. The C/Cu ML was deposited onto a copper current collector using ion beam sputtering. The rate capability and the long-time cycling were compared to the corresponding ones for the cycling of the bare copper substrate and 16 nm and 230 nm carbon single films (w... [more]
7859. LAPSE:2023.31277
Mixed-Mode Ventilation Based on Adjustable Air Velocity for Energy Benefits in Residential Buildings
April 18, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Numerical Methods and Statistics
Keywords: air-velocity adjustability, air-velocity adjustment interval, ASHRAE_db II database, envelope curve, mixed-mode ventilation, PMV model, SVM.
Energy efficiency and air quality in residential buildings have aroused intensive interest. Generally speaking, the heating, ventilation and air conditioning (HVAC) system is widely used to regulate indoor environmental spaces. Meanwhile, mixed-mode ventilation has been proven to reduce energy consumption and introduce fresh air effectively. This study aims to discuss the correlations between air velocity, temperature and indoor thermal comfort and establish corresponding statistical models based on the ASHRAE_db II database and the Predicted Mean Vote (PMV). On this basis, the air-velocity adjustment strategy, including determining adjustability and establishing adjustable intervals, is optimized based on support vector machine and envelope curve methods. The results show that the recognition accuracy of the adjustability determination model is over 98%, and the air-velocity adjustable interval in the envelope is increased, facilitating control of mixed-mode ventilation. The case show... [more]
7860. LAPSE:2023.31276
Numerical Investigation of Pelton Turbine Distributor Systems with Axial Inflow
April 18, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Energy Systems
Keywords: axial inflow, parametric study, Pelton turbine distributor, second law analysis, secondary flow.
In an agile power grid environment, hydroelectric power plants must operate flexibly to follow the demand. Their wide operating range and high part-load efficiencies allow for multi-injector Pelton turbines to fulfil these demands as long as the water jet quality is maintained. The water jet shape is governed by the flow in the distributor system. Pelton distributor systems with axial feed can potentially reduce the costs of the power station. Providing the flow quality at the nozzle outlet challenges the design of such Pelton distributors. Therefore, numerical simulations are performed to optimise a parameterised Pelton distributor system with axial feed. The effects of geometric parameter variations on its performance are studied. The criteria to evaluate the flow in distributor systems are presented, which are applied to quantify the power losses and secondary flows. Additionally, the second law analysis illustrates where the losses are generated. Due to various pipe bends, all desi... [more]
7861. LAPSE:2023.31275
The Use of Evolutionary Algorithms in the Modelling of Diffuse Radiation in Terms of Simulating the Energy Efficiency of Photovoltaic Systems
April 18, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Modelling and Simulations
Keywords: diffuse solar radiation, evolutionary algorithms, mathematical model, photovoltaic micro-grids.
In light of the rapidly growing number of photovoltaic micro-grids, the modelling of their short-term power yields based on meteorological measurements is increasing in significance. This requires the knowledge of total and diffuse instantaneous solar radiation; however, most meteorological stations conduct actinometric measurements only with regard to total solar radiation, especially on a minute scale. This paper contains an analysis of the currently used PV cell mathematical model and suggests its modification aimed at calculating PV cell power with satisfactory accuracy, without the knowledge of diffuse solar radiation. Three function families were proposed to approximate the relationship between diffuse irradiance and the total and theoretical total irradiance variance for a cloudless sky. A program has been implemented to identify functions from the aforementioned function families. It leverages an evolution strategy algorithm and a fitness function based on the least-squares poi... [more]
7862. LAPSE:2023.31274
First-Order Linear Active Disturbance Rejection Control for Turbofan Engines
April 18, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Energy Systems
Keywords: filter, first-order linear active disturbance rejection control, phase margin, PI control, speed control, turbofan engine.
Proportional-integral (PI) control is widely used in turbofan-engine control, while first-order linear active disturbance rejection control (FOLADRC) is a possible approach to update it. This paper investigates FOLADRC. In methodology, it proposes a new block diagram of FOLADRC, which shows that FOLADRC can be viewed as a PI controller, a low-pass feedback filter, and a pre-filter. The low-pass filter helps to reject high-frequency measurement noise, while the pre-filter can attenuate overshoot in step response. In simulation, 14 published linearized model matrices of NASA’s CMAPSS-1 90k engine model are used to verify the above theory. Simulations show one FOLADRC controller can be simultaneously used for the 14 linear models and guarantee that all the 14 low-pressure turbine speed control loops have enough phase margin and no overshoot. Thus, replacing several PI controllers with one FOLADRC controller is possible, and FOLADRC can be used to simplify the control system design of turb... [more]
7863. LAPSE:2023.31273
Optimization of Natural Circulation District Heating Reactor Primary Heat Exchangers
April 18, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Optimization
Keywords: cuckoo search, district heating, Optimization, shell-and-tube heat exchangers, small modular reactors.
Small modular reactors (SMRs) are gaining interest as a potential solution for cost-effective, carbon-neutral district heat (DH) production. The low pressures and temperatures permit much lighter and cheaper designs than in power plants, and efficiency is high as all heat generated can be sold to customers. In this work, the optimization of the primary heat exchangers in a natural-circulation 50-MW heating reactor concept was carried out to obtain an initial feasibility estimate for the concept for both baseload and load-following operation, as well as to obtain information on the characteristics of an optimized design. Studies on small natural circulation heat-only SMRs and the impact of heat exchanger design on the overall dimensions and economics have not been published before. Although a detailed heat exchanger cost model was used, the results should be considered tentative initial estimates, as much of the cost impact from the heat exchanger design comes from the effect the design... [more]
7864. LAPSE:2023.31272
Development of a High-Voltage Pulsed Electric Field Sterilization Power Supply Using a New Topology Circuit
April 18, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Food & Agricultural Processes
Keywords: all-solid-state, field programmable gate array, high-voltage pulse power supply, liquid sterilization, Marx generator, pulsed electric field.
Traditional thermal sterilization technology is easy to implement and safe, but it will destroy food nutrition and change food taste. Therefore, people began to turn their attention to non-thermal sterilization. High-voltage pulsed electric field sterilization technology is one of them; it has attracted much attention because of its high efficiency and little damage to food. Different types of loads will cause serious trailing of the pulse falling edge. In view of this situation, this paper proposes a new topology circuit that combines a solid-state switch with a half-bridge Marx generator. It can be used for high-voltage pulsed electric field sterilization. By improving the structure of the classical Marx circuit, the high-voltage pulse power supply of the new topology circuit has the characteristics of steep rising edge and short falling edge delay; does not require isolation inductance or isolation resistance, which solves the isolation problem between the DC charging power supply a... [more]
7865. LAPSE:2023.31271
Biodesulfurization Processes for the Removal of Sulfur from Diesel Oil: A Perspective Report
April 18, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Energy Systems
Keywords: biodesulfurization, dibenzothiophene, diesel fuel, recalcitrant organosulfur, sulfur.
The presence of elevated levels of sulfur in diesel oil results in an increased sulfur content in the process stream, which poses significant risks to human health, animals, the environment, vehicles, and infrastructure. Sulfur is a major contributor to particulate matter (PM) and total PM emissions. The level of pollutants emitted is correlated to the sulfur content in diesel fuel. Consequently, regulations regarding the sulfur content in crude oil products, particularly in diesel oil, have become increasingly stringent. Refiners are working to develop sulfur-free fuels with less than 10 ppm of sulfur. To address the impending threats to human health and the environment, and the impact of climate change on property, eco-friendly desulfurization techniques such as biodesulfurization (BDS) are being explored. Several bacterial species have been identified for the BDS of diesel oil, but extensive studies are needed to fully understand the mechanism. Further research on BDS is also requir... [more]
7866. LAPSE:2023.31270
Multi-Objective Parameter Optimization of Pulse Tube Refrigerator Based on Kriging Metamodel and Non-Dominated Ranking Genetic Algorithms
April 18, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Optimization
Keywords: heat and mass transfer, Kriging model, multi-objective optimization, NSGA II, pulse tube.
Structure parameters have an important influence on the refrigeration performance of pulse tube refrigerators. In this paper, a method combining the Kriging metamodel and Non-Dominated Sorting Genetic Algorithm II (NSGA II) is proposed to optimize the structure of regenerators and pulse tubes to obtain better cooling capacity. Firstly, the Kriging metamodel of the original pulse tube refrigerator CFD model is established to improve the iterative solution efficiency. On this basis, NSGA II was applied to the optimization iteration process to obtain the optimal and worst Pareto front solutions for cooling performance, the heat and mass transfer characteristics of which were further analyzed comparatively to reveal the influence mechanism of the structural parameters. The results show that the Kriging metamodel presents a prediction error of about 2.5%. A 31.24% drop in the minimum cooling temperature and a 31.7% increase in cooling capacity at 120 K are achieved after optimization, and t... [more]
7867. LAPSE:2023.31269
Statistical Analysis of Electric Vehicle Charging Based on AC Slow Chargers
April 18, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Numerical Methods and Statistics
Keywords: charging fee, charging time, Class 3 kW charger, electric vehicle (EV), fuel efficiency.
Regarding DC fast chargers, various studies, such as the charge scheduling, have been conducted. On the other hand, research on AC slow chargers has rarely been conducted due to the predictable and simple usage pattern. Despite the long charging times of AC slow chargers, which use the existing electric outlets with relatively low supplied power, these chargers are suitable for daily home charging of electric vehicles (EVs) during the night. Due to their low installation costs, they are likely to be the dominant type of charging equipment. In this paper, the EV charging process based on AC slow chargers, which supply a maximum power of 3 kW from an AC 220 V outlet, is analyzed by constructing a simple charging model. The charging time and fees are statistically derived and investigated. Furthermore, power load curves for charging EVs with the 3 kW charger are observed. From the statistical analyses, we conclude that daily charging of EVs can be an appropriate scenario in using the AC s... [more]
7868. LAPSE:2023.31268
Electricity Production from Yeast Wastewater in Membrane-Less Microbial Fuel Cell with Cu-Ag Cathode
April 18, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Environment
Keywords: bio-electricity, bio-electrochemical system, cathode, Cu-Ag alloy, Cu-Ag catalyst, electricity production, environmental engineering, MFC, microbial fuel cell, yeast wastewater.
Wastewater has high potential as an energy source. Therefore, it is important to recover even the smallest part of this energy, e.g., in microbial fuel cells (MFCs). The obtained electricity production depends on the process rate of the electrodes. In MFC, the microorganisms are the catalyst, and the cathode is usually made of carbon material (e.g., with the addition of Pt). To increase the MFC efficiency (and reduce costs by reducing use of the noble metals), it is necessary to search the new cathode materials. In this work, the electricity production from yeast wastewater in membrane-less microbial fuel cells with Cu-Ag cathode was analyzed. In the first place, the measurements of the stationary potential of the electrodes (with Cu-Ag catalyst obtained by the electrochemical deposition technique) were performed. Because the cathode is constantly oxidized during the operation of ML-MFC, it was necessary to pre-oxidize the cathodes. Without pre-oxidation, there is a risk of changing th... [more]
7869. LAPSE:2023.31267
Component-Oriented Modeling Method for Real-Time Simulation of Power Systems
April 18, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Modelling and Simulations
Keywords: component-oriented, node elimination strategy, real-time simulation, reconstruction technology, simulation modeling.
This paper proposes a component-oriented modeling method for power system simulation, which optimizes the modeling process of the FPGA-based real-time digital simulator (FRTDS) to enhance its computational efficiency. In this paper, a component modeling method for various types of elements in the power system is presented, which makes the modeling process in FRTDS more user-friendly and highly scalable. By applying the concepts of combination and reconstruction of components to electrical components, the component-oriented modeling method becomes better suited for combined elements with fixed connection modes and elements that require online model replacement in the power system. Utilizing the characteristics of component-oriented modeling, the variable declaration structure and node elimination strategy in the simulation script are optimized, enabling the simulation script to fit better with the hardware structure of FRTDS. Additionally, a substation is simulated in FRTDS with a simul... [more]
7870. LAPSE:2023.31266
Investigating the Spatial Spillover Effect of Transportation Infrastructure on Green Total Factor Productivity
April 18, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Environment
Keywords: green total factor productivity, spatial spillover effect, transportation infrastructure.
Green development and the high-quality economic growth model have replaced the extensive growth model in an effort to reduce the large amounts of energy consumption and pollution emissions. Green total factor productivity has become an important indicator to more accurately measure the quality of economic growth. Transportation infrastructure is a fundamental component that may effectively integrate regional resources, increase regional cooperation, and encourage the sensible use of resources, and is a key factor in increasing productivity. At present, transportation infrastructure should focus on the speed of construction and the quality level, expand the radiation range of the transportation system, improve the service level of transportation facilities, and promote the spatial coordination between transportation facilities and resources and the environment in each province. Therefore, it is of great significance to study the spatial effect of the transport infrastructure on green to... [more]
7871. LAPSE:2023.31265
Forecasting Energy Recovery from Municipal Waste in a Closed-Loop Economy
April 18, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Energy Systems
Keywords: biodegradable municipal waste, closed cycle, energy recovery, renewable energy sources.
Tackling climate change, implementing the principles of sustainable development and a closed-loop economy, and creating an economically and environmentally efficient waste management system are the most serious environmental and economic challenges today. One of the biggest problems with waste is that it causes water, soil, and air pollution. The combination of precipitation and septic processes produces leachates containing heavy metals and acids, which negatively affect surface and groundwater, changing their composition and pH, among other things. According to the Polish waste database, there are more than 2500 waste incineration plants operating worldwide, including more than 500 in Europe, while there are 8 in Poland. The concept of a closed-loop economy is based on the rational use of resources, i.e., less consumption of raw materials and energy by creating a closed loop of processes in which waste becomes raw materials in subsequent production stages. The aim of this study was t... [more]
7872. LAPSE:2023.31264
Moving towards Preventive Maintenance in Wind Turbine Structural Control and Health Monitoring
April 18, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Energy Systems
In recent years, the scope of structural health monitoring in wind turbines has broadened due to the development of innovative data-driven methodologies [...]
7873. LAPSE:2023.31263
Comparison of Control Techniques for Harmonic Isolation in Series VSC-Based Power Flow Controller in Distribution Grids
April 18, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Process Control
Keywords: distribution, harmonics, power flow control, series power filters, smart grid.
The application of power electronics equipment in medium voltage (MV) distribution grids can provide new management solutions for power flow control, load balancing and voltage problems. A series MV VSC-based power flow controller has recently been presented to interconnect two radial distribution feeders performing active and reactive power transfers to improve the flexibility and utilization of these circuits in a controlled and secure way. Although not previously explored, this power flow controller can integrate the functionality of a series power filter, accomplishing independent control of the fundamental power flow while isolating the harmonic content between the two interconnected feeders. This prevents harmonic pollution from one feeder from propagating to the other, improving the voltage quality. To implement the harmonic isolation, several control strategies can be used. Therefore, this paper provides a comparative analysis between two of the main harmonic control techniques... [more]
7874. LAPSE:2023.31262
Process Optimization and CO2 Emission Analysis of Coal/Biomass Gasification Integrated with a Chemical Looping Process
April 18, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Energy Systems
Biomass gasification is an attractive technology and one of the pathways for producing hydrogen. Due to the variable seasons and low calorific value of biomass, the addition of coal in the gasifier is suggested because coal has a high calorific value and carbon-to-hydrogen ratio. In general, the gaseous product obtained in gasification always contains a high amount of carbon dioxide, therefore, the co-gasification of biomass and coal should integrate with the calcium looping carbon dioxide capture process to provide purified hydrogen. In this work, the model of the co-gasification of biomass and coal integrated with the calcium looping carbon dioxide capture process was developed through an Aspen Plus simulator. The developed model was used to analyze the performance of this process. The sensitivity analysis demonstrated that increasing the gasification temperature, steam-to-feed (S/F) ratio, calcium oxide-to-feed (CaO/F) ratio, and regenerator temperature could improve hydrogen produc... [more]
7875. LAPSE:2023.31261
Ultra-Short-Term Prediction Method of Wind Power for Massive Wind Power Clusters Based on Feature Mining of Spatiotemporal Correlation
April 18, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Process Operations
Keywords: performance evaluation, spatial–temporal attention network, stable operation, ultra-short-term forecasting, wind power clusters in large-scale.
With the centralization of wind power development, power-prediction technology based on wind power clusters has become an important means to reduce the volatility of wind power, so a large-scale power-prediction method of wind power clusters is proposed considering the prediction stability. Firstly, the fluctuating features of wind farms are constructed by acquiring statistical features to further build a divided model of wind power clusters using fuzzy clustering algorithm. Then the spatiotemporal features of the data of wind power are obtained using a spatiotemporal attention network to train the prediction model of wind power clusters in a large scale. Finally, the stability of predictive performance of wind power is analyzed using the comprehensive index evaluation system. The results show that the RMSE of wind power prediction is lower than 0.079 at large-scale wind farms based on the prediction method of wind power proposed in this paper using experience based on the data of 159... [more]
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