LAPSE:2023.31661
Published Article
LAPSE:2023.31661
Multiple-Load Forecasting for Integrated Energy System Based on Copula-DBiLSTM
Jieyun Zheng, Linyao Zhang, Jinpeng Chen, Guilian Wu, Shiyuan Ni, Zhijian Hu, Changhong Weng, Zhi Chen
April 19, 2023
With the tight coupling of multi-energy systems, accurate multiple-load forecasting will be the primary premise for the optimal operation of integrated energy systems. Therefore, this paper proposes a Copula correlation analysis combined with deep bidirectional long and short-term memory neural network forecasting model. First, Copula correlation analysis is used to conduct correlation analysis on multiple loads and various influencing factors. The influencing factors that have a great correlation with multiple loads were screened out as the input feature set of the model to eliminate the influence of interfering factors. Then, a deep bidirectional long and short-term memory neural network was constructed. Combined with the input feature set screened by the Copula correlation analysis method, the useful information contained in the historical data was more comprehensively learned from the forward and backward directions for training and forecasting. Through the actual calculation example analysis and comparison with other models, the forecasting accuracy of the method presented in this paper was improved to a certain extent.
Keywords
Copula, correlation analysis, deep bidirectional long and short-term memory, integrated energy system, multiple-load forecasting
Suggested Citation
Zheng J, Zhang L, Chen J, Wu G, Ni S, Hu Z, Weng C, Chen Z. Multiple-Load Forecasting for Integrated Energy System Based on Copula-DBiLSTM. (2023). LAPSE:2023.31661
Author Affiliations
Zheng J: Economic Technology Research Institute, State Grid Fujian Electric Power Co., Ltd., Fuzhou 350000, China
Zhang L: Economic Technology Research Institute, State Grid Fujian Electric Power Co., Ltd., Fuzhou 350000, China
Chen J: School of Electrical Engineering and Automation, Wuhan University, Wuhan 430000, China
Wu G: Economic Technology Research Institute, State Grid Fujian Electric Power Co., Ltd., Fuzhou 350000, China
Ni S: Economic Technology Research Institute, State Grid Fujian Electric Power Co., Ltd., Fuzhou 350000, China
Hu Z: School of Electrical Engineering and Automation, Wuhan University, Wuhan 430000, China
Weng C: School of Electrical Engineering and Automation, Wuhan University, Wuhan 430000, China
Chen Z: School of Electrical Engineering and Automation, Wuhan University, Wuhan 430000, China
Journal Name
Energies
Volume
14
Issue
8
First Page
2188
Year
2021
Publication Date
2021-04-14
Published Version
ISSN
1996-1073
Version Comments
Original Submission
Other Meta
PII: en14082188, Publication Type: Journal Article
Record Map
Published Article

LAPSE:2023.31661
This Record
External Link

doi:10.3390/en14082188
Publisher Version
Download
Files
[Download 1v1.pdf] (2.9 MB)
Apr 19, 2023
Main Article
License
CC BY 4.0
Meta
Record Statistics
Record Views
68
Version History
[v1] (Original Submission)
Apr 19, 2023
 
Verified by curator on
Apr 19, 2023
This Version Number
v1
Citations
Most Recent
This Version
URL Here
https://psecommunity.org/LAPSE:2023.31661
 
Original Submitter
Auto Uploader for LAPSE
Links to Related Works
Directly Related to This Work
Publisher Version