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Records with Subject: Modelling and Simulations
2514. LAPSE:2023.19127
The Effect of OPV Module Size on Stability and Diurnal Performance: Outdoor Tests and Application of a Computer Model
March 9, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Modelling and Simulations
Keywords: modelling of OPVs, OPV, organic photovoltaic, outdoor testing, stability
The outdoor performance of large area Organic Photovoltaics (OPVs) is investigated in this work. Initially, the diurnal performance of the three modules is determined and found to be similar. Subsequently module degradation is monitored, and it is found that the larger area module displays a significantly greater stability as compared to the smallest area module; in fact the larger module displays a T50% (time to fall to 50% of its original value) of 191 days whilst the smallest module displays a T50% of 57 days. This is attributed to an increased level of water infiltration due to a larger perimeter-to-area ratio. These findings are then used to verify a computer simulation model which allows the model parameters, series and shunt resistances, to be calculated. It is determined that the series resistance is not an obvious obstruction at these module sizes. The findings of this work provide great promise for the application of OPV technology on a larger scale.
2515. LAPSE:2023.19117
Comparative Study on the Cooling Characteristics of Different Fill Layout Patterns on a Single Air Inlet Induced Draft Cooling Tower
March 9, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Modelling and Simulations
Keywords: crosswind angle, crosswind velocity, numerical simulation, stepped fill, thermal performance
To enhance the cooling capacity of a single air inlet induced draft cooling tower (SIDCT), the stepped fill layout pattern is proposed in this paper. A three-dimensional numerical model is established and validated by field measurement data. The cooling capacity of towers equipped with uniform fill and stepped fill is compared under various crosswind velocities (0 m/s−12 m/s) and crosswind angles (0°−180°). The results showed that the ventilation rate of the total tower with stepped fill is increased. Under the studied crosswind velocity and angle, the cooling capacity of the stepped fill tower is superior to the uniform fill tower. After using stepped fill, the mean drop of outlet water temperature rises by 0.29 °C, 0.27 °C, 0.17 °C, 0.10 °C, and 0.19 °C, corresponding to crosswind angles from 0° to 180°. The increment of cooling capacity is the maximum under the crosswind angles of 0° and 45° and is the minimum under the crosswind angles of 90° and 135°. The maximum increased value o... [more]
2516. LAPSE:2023.19111
Equivalent Parallel Strands Modeling of Highly-Porous Media for Two-Dimensional Heat Transfer: Application to Metal Foam
March 9, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Modelling and Simulations
Keywords: geometric modelling, graphite foam, heat transfer, metal foam, porous media
A new geometric modeling of isotropic highly-porous cellular media, e.g., open-cell metal, ceramic, and graphite foams, is developed. The modelling is valid strictly for macroscopically two-dimensional heat transfer due to the fluid flow in highly-porous media. Unlike the current geometrical modelling of such media, the current model employs simple geometry, and is derived from equivalency conditions that are imposed on the model’s geometry a priori, in order to ensure that the model produces the same pressure drop and heat transfer as the porous medium it represents. The model embodies the internal structure of the highly-porous media, e.g., metal foam, using equivalent parallel strands (EPS), which are rods arranged in a spatially periodic two-dimensional pattern. The dimensions of these strands and their arrangement are derived from equivalency conditions, ensuring that the porosity and the surface area density of the model and of the foam are indeed equal. In order to obtain the pr... [more]
2517. LAPSE:2023.19107
Thermodynamic Analysis of Negative CO2 Emission Power Plant Using Aspen Plus, Aspen Hysys, and Ebsilon Software
March 9, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Modelling and Simulations
Keywords: Aspen Hysys, Aspen Plus, CCS, CO2 negative power plant, Ebsilon
The article presents results of thermodynamic analysis using a zero-dimensional mathematical models of a negative CO2 emission power plant. The developed cycle of a negative CO2 emission power plant allows the production of electricity using gasified sewage sludge as a main fuel. The negative emission can be achieved by the use this type of fuel which is already a “zero-emissive” energy source. Together with carbon capture installation, there is a possibility to decrease CO2 emission below the “zero” level. Developed models of a novel gas cycle which use selected codes allow the prediction of basic parameters of thermodynamic cycles such as output power, efficiency, combustion composition, exhaust temperature, etc. The paper presents results of thermodynamic analysis of two novel cycles, called PDF0 and PFD1, by using different thermodynamic codes. A comparison of results obtained by three different codes offered the chance to verify results because the experimental data are currently... [more]
2518. LAPSE:2023.19087
Numerical Simulation of Leakage and Diffusion Process of LNG Storage Tanks
March 9, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Modelling and Simulations
Keywords: combustible cloud, leakage aperture, LNG leakage and diffusion, phase change, plume flow
To investigate the evolution process of LNG (Liquefied Natural Gas) liquid pool and gas cloud diffusion, the Realizable k-ε model and Eluerian model were used to numerically simulate the liquid phase leakage and diffusion process of LNG storage tanks. The experimental results showed that some LNG flashed and vaporized rapidly to form a combustible cloud during the continuous leakage. The diffusion of the explosive cloud was divided into heavy gas accumulation, entrainment heat transfer, and light gas drift. The vapor cloud gradually separated into two parts from the whole “fan leaf shape”. One part was a heavy gas cloud; the other part was a light gas cloud that spread with the wind in the downwind direction. The change of leakage aperture had a greater impact on the whole spill and dispersion process of the storage tank. The increasing leakage aperture would lead to 10.3 times increase in liquid pool area, 78.5% increase in downwind dispersion of methane concentration at 0.5 LFL, 22.6... [more]
2519. LAPSE:2023.19079
Liquid Propane Injection in Flash-Boiling Conditions
March 9, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Modelling and Simulations
Keywords: flash boiling, injection, LPG, multi-hole injector, propane, spray, spray collapse
This study aimed to investigate the influence of flash-boiling conditions on liquid propane sprays formed by a multi-hole injector at various injection pressures. The focus was on spray structures, which were analysed qualitatively and quantitatively by means of spray-tip penetration and global spray angle. The effect of flash boiling was evaluated in terms of trends observed for subcooled conditions. Propane was injected by a commercial gasoline direct injector into a constant volume vessel filled with nitrogen at pressures from 0.1 MPa up to 6 MPa. The temperature of the injected liquid was kept constant. The evolution of the spray penetration was observed by a high-speed camera with a Schlieren set-up. The obtained results provided information on the spray evolution in both regimes, above and below the saturation pressure of the propane. Based on the experimental results, an attempt to calibrate a simulation model has been made. The main advantage of the study is that the effects of... [more]
2520. LAPSE:2023.19057
A Rationalised CFD Design Methodology for Turgo Turbines to Enable Local Manufacture in the Global South
March 9, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Modelling and Simulations
Keywords: Computational Fluid Dynamics, hydropower, manufacture, optimisation, parametric, Turgo
In the Global South, pico- and micro-hydropower turbines are often made by local workshops. Despite several advantageous features, e.g., a high power density and capacity to handle silt, there is no commonly available Turgo turbine design appropriate for local manufacture. Technological developments including the internet, CAD, and additive manufacturing increase the opportunity to precisely transfer designs around the world. Consequently, design improvements can be shared digitally and used by manufacturers in their local context. In this paper, a rationalised CFD approach was used to guide simple design changes that improve the efficiency of a Turgo turbine blade. The typical manufacturing capacity of the micro-hydropower industry in Nepal was used to rationalise the variation of potential design changes. Using the geometry and operational parameters from an existing design as a benchmark, a two-blade, homogenous, multiphase model was developed and run using the commercial code ANSYS... [more]
2521. LAPSE:2023.19052
SPICE-Aided Modeling of Daily and Seasonal Changes in Properties of the Actual Photovoltaic Installation
March 9, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Modelling and Simulations
Keywords: Modelling, photovoltaic installation, SPICE, thermal phenomena, weather parameters
This article proposes a model of an actual photovoltaic installation situated in the Gdynia Maritime University, Poland. This model is formulated in the form of a SPICE network. In the presented model, the influence of selected weather parameters and thermal phenomena on the properties of the components of this installation are taken into account. The structure of the analyzed installation and the form of the formulated model are both presented. By means of this model, values of the power produced by the installation considered in different seasons and different times of the day are computed. The obtained computation results are compared to the measurement results. Good agreement between the results of measurements and computations is obtained. The obtained results of the investigations confirm the considerable influence of weather conditions, as well as daily and seasonal changes in solar irradiation and the ambient temperature, on the electrical energy produced. In the summer months,... [more]
2522. LAPSE:2023.19038
Numerical Modeling of Combustion and Detonation in Aqueous Foams
March 9, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Modelling and Simulations
Keywords: combustion, detonation, flame acceleration, microfoam, numerical analysis
Combustible aqueous foams and foamed emulsions represent prospective energy carriers. This paper is devoted to the overview of model assumptions required for numerical simulations of combustion and detonation processes in aqueous foams. The basic mathematical model is proposed and used for the analysis of the combustion development in the wet aqueous foam containing bubbles filled with reactive gas. The numerical results agree with the recent experimental data on combustion and detonation in aqueous foams containing premixed hydrogen−oxygen. The obtained results allowed for distinguishing the mechanisms of flame acceleration, transition to detonation, detonation propagation, and decay.
2523. LAPSE:2023.19031
Assessment of Riverbed Clogging in Reservoirs by Analysis of Periodic Oscillation of Reservoir Level and Groundwater Level
March 9, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Modelling and Simulations
Keywords: alluvial aquifer recharge, analytical modelling, riverbed clogging, time series
In the area of the the Krško alluvial field, the Brežice hydroelectric power plant (BHPP), with its surface water reservoir, was completed in 2017. The new BHPP reservoir dam is located approximately 7 km air distance downstream of the old Krško nuclear power plant (NEK) reservoir dam. The NEK dam was built in the 1970s. The primary purpose of the NEK reservoir is to provide fresh water for cooling the NEK nuclear reactor. To assess the impact of the newly built surface water reservoir on groundwater, we performed a series of data analyses prior to its construction. One part of the analysis relating to data from the monitoring facility of the NEK showed an interesting correspondence between the water level oscillation in the NEK reservoir and the groundwater oscillation in the nearby observation well. Based on measurements taken in 2000, we sought to estimate the clogging of the Sava riverbed sediments in the area of the old NEK surface water reservoir. To determine the permeability of... [more]
2524. LAPSE:2023.19019
Cascaded Voltage and Current Control for a Dual Active Bridge Converter with Current Filters
March 9, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Modelling and Simulations
Keywords: controller tuning, current filter, Dual Active Bridge (DAB), dynamic model, Single Phase Shift (SPS) modulation
The paper describes the cascaded voltage and current control for a bidirectional DC/DC converter in Dual Active Bridge (DAB) topology. The typical DAB converter circuit was extended by additional current filters, which allow it to operate in application fields with high requirements on current ripples. The core concept of the presented solution is usage of the modified Single Phase Shift (SPS) modulation, which allows to compensate for the DC-bias current occurring in dynamic states and provides a settling time of half switching cycle during transients. Its features were utilized to build a simplified dynamic model of the converter. The linear Proportional-Integral (PI) controllers are used in both voltage and current control loops. Based on the developed dynamic models, the tuning rules for both controllers were derived. In both cases, a number of the tuned parameters were reduced from two to one (which can present a great practical value for application engineers). The proposed solut... [more]
2525. LAPSE:2023.19002
Influence of the Variability of Compressed Air Temperature on Selected Parameters of the Deformation-Stress State of the Rock Mass Around a CAES Salt Cavern
March 9, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Modelling and Simulations
Keywords: Compressed Air Energy Storage (CAES), salt cavern, thermo-mechanical effects
The article presents the results of a numerical simulation of the deformation-stress state in the rock mass around a salt cavern which is a part of a CAES installation (Compressed Air Energy Storage). The model is based on the parameters of the Huntorf power plant installation. The influence of temperature and salt-creep speed on the stability of the storage cavern was determined on the basis of the three different stress criteria and the effort of the rock mass in three points of the cavern at different time intervals. The analysis includes two creep speeds, which represent two different types of salt. The solutions showed that the influence of temperature on the deformation-stress state around the CAES cavern is of importance when considering the stress state at a distance of less than 60 m from the cavern axis (at cavern diameter 30−35 m). With an increase in cavern diameter, it is possible that the impact range will be proportionately larger, but each case requires individual model... [more]
2526. LAPSE:2023.18992
Simulation and Experimental Analysis of Multi-Chamber Arc-Quenching Arresters (MCAA) for 10 kV Transmission Lines
March 9, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Modelling and Simulations
Keywords: arc, arc-quenching, high-speed airflow, lightning flashover, lightning protection, lightning tripping accidents
Since conventional lightning protection measures do not effectively extinguish subsequent arcs of electrical frequency after the passage of lightning, it is impossible to prevent lightning-related accidents on the distribution lines. To solve this problem, a 10 kV multi-chamber arc-quenching arrester (MCAA) applicable to transmission lines of different voltage levels is developed. In order to research the arc-quenching characteristics of the MCAA, COMSOL software was used to simulate and analyze the high-speed airflow coupled arc process. Under the action of a strong airflow at high speed, the arc is segmented, the temperature of the arc falls sharply, and eventually, the arc is extinguished. In the simulation process, the conductivity of the arc and the clouds of change of air speed were achieved. It may be concluded that arc segmentation time and airflow generation time are at a subtle level. Meanwhile, an experimental circuit was established to conduct the arc-quenching experiment.... [more]
2527. LAPSE:2023.18981
Optimizing TEG Dehydration Process under Metamodel Uncertainty
March 9, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Modelling and Simulations
Keywords: BONUS algorithm, BTEX mitigation, metamodeling uncertainty, support vector regression (SVR), TEG dehydration process, Value of Stochastic Solution (VSS)
Natural gas processing requires the removal of acidic gases and dehydration using absorption, mainly conducted in tri-ethylene glycol (TEG). The dehydration process is accompanied by the emission of volatile organic compounds, including BTEX. In our previous work, multi-objective optimization was undertaken to determine the optimal operating conditions in terms of the process parameters that can mitigate BTEX emission using data-driven metamodeling and metaheuristic optimization. Data obtained from a process simulation conducted using the ProMax® process simulator were used to develop a metamodel with machine learning techniques to reduce the computational time of the iterations in a robust process simulation. The metamodels were created using limited samples and some underlying phenomena must therefore be excluded. This introduces the so-called metamodeling uncertainty. Thus, the performance of the resulting optimized process variables may be compromised by the lack of adequately acco... [more]
2528. LAPSE:2023.18980
A CFD Design Approach for Industrial Size Tubular Reactors for SNG Production from Biogas (CO2 Methanation)
March 9, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Modelling and Simulations
Keywords: CO2 methanation, Computational Fluid Dynamics, multi-tubular reactor
A tubular reactor based on the disk and doughnut concept was designed as an engineering solution for biogas upgrading via CO2 methanation. CFD (Computational Fluid Dynamics) benchmarks agreed well with experimental and empirical (correlation) data, giving a maximum error of 8.5% and 20% for the chemical reaction and heat transfer models, respectively. Likewise, hot spot position was accurately predicted, with a 5% error. The methodology was used to investigate the effect of two commercially available coolants (thermal oil and molten salts) on overall reactor performance through a parametric study involving four coolant flow rates. Although molten salts did show higher heat transfer coefficients at lower coolant rates, 82% superior, it also increases, by five times, the pumping power. A critical coolant flow rate (3.5 m3/h) was found, which allows both a stable thermal operation and optimum pumping energy consumption. The adopted coolant flow range remains critical to guarantee thermal... [more]
2529. LAPSE:2023.18961
Quasi-Boundary Method for Design Consideration of Resonant DC-DC Converters
March 9, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Modelling and Simulations
Keywords: design consideration, modeling and simulation, resonant circuits, resonant DC-DC converters
The paper presents a new unified method for designing the two basic types of serial resonant DC-DC converters (series and with a parallel-loaded capacitor). The method is based on the use of a simplified generalized approach for the analysis of this type of power electronic devices. It is characterized by the fact that regardless of the specific operating mode, with a control frequency below or above the resonant of the series resonant circuit to determine the relationship between input and output voltage or current, it is assumed that the converter operates in resonance. In this sense, it is called a quasi-boundary method for analysis and design. The use of the quasi-boundary method significantly accelerates and facilitates the design of the considered power circuits, which is very useful for the purposes of engineering practice, as well as in the training of power electronics. The applicability of this approach is proven by the methods of mathematical modeling and computer simulation... [more]
2530. LAPSE:2023.18955
Modeling Dynamic Multifractal Efficiency of US Electricity Market
March 9, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Modelling and Simulations
Keywords: efficiency, electricity, MLM, multifractal detrended fluctuation analysis, multifractality, rolling window
The dramatic deregulatory reforms in US electricity markets increased competition, resulting in more complex prices compared to other commodities. This paper aims to investigate and compare the overall and time-varying multifractality and efficiency of four major US electricity regions: Mass Hub, Mid C, Palo Verde, and PJM West. Multifractal detrended fluctuation analysis (MFDFA) is employed to better quantify the intensity of self-similarity. Large daily data from 2001 to 2021 are taken in order to make a more conclusive analysis. The four electricity market returns showed strong multifractal features with PJM West having the highest multifractality (corresponding to lowest efficiency) and Mass Hub having the lowest multifractality (i.e., highest efficiency). Moreover, all series exhibited mean reverting (anti-persistent) behavior in the overall time period. The findings of MFDFA rolling window suggest Palo Verde as the most volatile index, while a significant upward trend in the effi... [more]
2531. LAPSE:2023.18953
Studies on Frequency Response Characteristics of High-Speed Railway Train End Relationship Test System with Flexible Bases
March 9, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Modelling and Simulations
Keywords: dynamic coupling, flexible reaction base, natural frequency, stewart parallel robot
A train end relationship test system was installed with a Stewart parallel robot on the reaction bases perpendicular to the ground, to test the fatigue and durability of train end relationship components, such as the transfixion way of a high-speed railway train. The flexibility of the reaction bases affected the test accuracy of the train end relationship components within a test frequency band range. In this paper, a coupling characteristic model was established between the flexible bases and the parallel robot. Then, the analytical relationship was analyzed between the natural frequency of the bases and the natural frequency of the parallel robot. Moreover, a design criterion was proposed for the natural frequency of the reaction bases. It was considered that when the natural frequency of the bases was not less than five times the natural frequency of the parallel robot, the influence of the flexibility of the bases on the test accuracy can be ignored. The validity of the design cri... [more]
2532. LAPSE:2023.18947
An Improved Fuzzy PID Control Method Considering Hydrogen Fuel Cell Voltage-Output Characteristics for a Hydrogen Vehicle Power System
March 9, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Modelling and Simulations
Keywords: electrochemical and dynamic model, hydrogen fuel cell vehicle, improved fuzzy PID control, voltage-output characteristics
The hydrogen fuel cell (HFC) vehicle is an important clean energy vehicle which has prospects for development. The behavior of the hydrogen fuel cell (HFC) vehicle power system, and in particular, the proton-exchange membrane fuel cell, has been extensively studied as of recent. The development of the dynamic system modeling technology is of paramount importance for HFC vehicle studies; however, it is hampered by the separation of the electrochemical properties and dynamic properties. In addition, the established model matching the follow-up control method lacks applicability. In attempts to counter these obstructions, we proposed an improved fuzzy (Proportional Integral Derivative) PID control method considering HFC voltage-output characteristics. By developing both the electrochemical and dynamic model for HFC vehicle, we can realize the coordinated control of HFC and power cell. The simulation results are in good agreement with the experimental results in the two models. The propose... [more]
2533. LAPSE:2023.18935
A Mapping Approach for Efficient CFD Simulation of Low-Speed Large-Bore Marine Engine with Pre-Chamber and Dual-Fuel Operation
March 9, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Modelling and Simulations
Keywords: Computational Fluid Dynamics, dual fuel, marine engine, multi-regime combustion, pre-chamber
A natural-gas-diesel dual-fuel marine engine with a pre-chamber is a promising solution for ocean transportation to meet the International Maritime Organization (IMO) emission regulations. This engine system employs a pre-chamber with direct injection of diesel to ignite premixed natural gas due to its higher ignition energy, which can enable lower lean limit and higher thermal efficiency. The dual-fuel pre-chamber marine engine presents complex multi-regime combustion characteristics in- and outside the pre-chamber, thus posing challenges in its numerical simulation in a cost-effective manner. Therefore, this paper presents a three-dimensional modeling study for the multi-regime combustion in a large-bore two-stroke marine dual-fuel engine, proposing a novel mapping approach, which couples the well-stirred reactor (WSR) model with the G-equation model to achieve high computational accuracy and efficiency simultaneously. In-depth analysis is performed using representative exothermic re... [more]
2534. LAPSE:2023.18930
A Study of Blockage Effects at the Wind Turbine and Wind Farm Scales
March 9, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Modelling and Simulations
Keywords: blockage effect, blockage interaction, Computational Fluid Dynamics, induction, wind farms
The paper provides novel insights into the physics behind the wind turbine and wind farm blockages as well as their effects on the energy yield based on the momentum and energy balance. The current work presents blockage effects at two scales: the local scale and the wind farm scale. We clarify the combined effect of local blockages when more than one turbine is present. The work demonstrates why two turbines, which are positioned one behind the other, induce a mutual decrease in energy yield. When the turbines are placed in a row, there is an increase of energy from the end to the middle of the row because of the restriction of the expansion flow. As in the case of two turbines placed behind each other, back rows induce a power decrease for the rows in front of them and the effect increases from the edge to the center. The work also elucidates for the first time how the power output of an isolated row has a maximum in the center, whereas, in a wind farm, wind turbines on the edge of t... [more]
2535. LAPSE:2023.18928
Sensitivity of Reservoir and Operational Parameters on the Energy Extraction Performance of Combined CO2-EGR−CPG Systems
March 9, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Modelling and Simulations
Keywords: CO2-plume geothermal (CPG), combined CO2-EGR–CPG system, enhanced gas recovery (EGR), geothermal power generation, reservoir simulation, sensitivity analysis
There is a potential for synergy effects in utilizing CO2 for both enhanced gas recovery (EGR) and geothermal energy extraction (CO2-plume geothermal, CPG) from natural gas reservoirs. In this study, we carried out reservoir simulations using TOUGH2 to evaluate the sensitivity of natural gas recovery, pressure buildup, and geothermal power generation performance of the combined CO2-EGR−CPG system to key reservoir and operational parameters. The reservoir parameters included horizontal permeability, permeability anisotropy, reservoir temperature, and pore-size-distribution index; while the operational parameters included wellbore diameter and ambient surface temperature. Using an example of a natural gas reservoir model, we also investigated the effects of different strategies of transitioning from the CO2-EGR stage to the CPG stage on the energy-recovery performance metrics and on the two-phase fluid-flow regime in the production well. The simulation results showed that overlapping the... [more]
2536. LAPSE:2023.18926
Economic Analysis and Generic Algorithm for Optimizing the Investments Decision-Making Process in Oil Field Development
March 9, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Modelling and Simulations
Keywords: costs, data analysis, decision making, economic model, forecast parameters, investments, Modelling, oil price, Optimization, Simulation
Due to the substantial amounts of money involved and the complex interactions of a number of different factors, managers of oil and gas companies are faced with significant challenges when making investment decisions that will increase business efficiency and achieve competitive advantages, especially through cost control. Due to the various uncertainties of the current period, optimal investment strategies are difficult to determine. Thus, through an economic analysis that includes data analysis, quantitative risk analysis scenarios, modelling and simulations, a work framework, in the form of a generic algorithm, is proposed with the aim of generating a complex procedure for optimizing investment decisions in oil field development. A complex set of elements is considered in the analysis: costs (operational expenditures (OPEX) and capital expenditures (CAPEX), daily drilling rig costs), prices (oil, gas, separation and water injection preparation), production profiles, different types... [more]
2537. LAPSE:2023.18906
A Pattern New in Every Moment: The Temporal Clustering of Markets for Crude Oil, Refined Fuels, and Other Commodities
March 9, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Modelling and Simulations
Keywords: Brent, clustering, COVID-19 pandemic, energy commodities, financial crises, Gasoline, Machine Learning, t-SNE, WTI
The identification of critical periods and business cycles contributes significantly to the analysis of financial markets and the macroeconomy. Financialization and cointegration place a premium on the accurate recognition of time-varying volatility in commodity markets, especially those for crude oil and refined fuels. This article seeks to identify critical periods in the trading of energy-related commodities as a step toward understanding the temporal dynamics of those markets. This article proposes a novel application of unsupervised machine learning. A suite of clustering methods, applied to conditional volatility forecasts by trading days and individual assets or asset classes, can identify critical periods in energy-related commodity markets. Unsupervised machine learning achieves this task without rules-based or subjective definitions of crises. Five clustering methods—affinity propagation, mean-shift, spectral, k-means, and hierarchical agglomerative clustering—can identify an... [more]
2538. LAPSE:2023.18904
A Geothermal Plant from a Time-Scale Perspective
March 9, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Modelling and Simulations
Keywords: heat production, Sønderborg geothermal plant, time scale, water chemistry
In recent years, geothermal energy use from low-temperature sandstone reservoirs has sharply increased. Nonetheless, the injection of heat-depleted geothermal fluids has not been an easy task because of well/formation damage and operational/economic issues. Sønderborg geothermal plant is a case example of heat-mining from a low-temperature reservoir. It is in the northeast of Sønderborg towards Augustenborg Fjord. The present work takes into consideration the regional and local geology of the Sønderborg area, construction of the wells, field experience and water chemistry. The main issues of the geothermal plant appear to be related to the construction of the wells and reinjection of the heat-depleted brine. Our water chemistry analysis and PHREEQC simulations indicate that geothermal brine was saturated with respect to carbonate and barite minerals. The excess of Ca2+ and SO42− ions could have led to the formation and precipitation of carbonate and sulfate scales. Moreover, the increm... [more]
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