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Records with Keyword: Artificial Intelligence
101. LAPSE:2023.23846
An Efficient Boosted C5.0 Decision-Tree-Based Classification Approach for Detecting Non-Technical Losses in Power Utilities
March 27, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Modelling and Simulations
Keywords: Artificial Intelligence, boosted C5.0 decision tree, electricity theft detection, machine learning algorithms, power utilities
Electricity fraud in billing are the primary concerns for Distribution System Operators (DSO). It is estimated that billions of dollars are wasted annually due to these illegal activities. DSOs around the world, especially in underdeveloped countries, still utilize conventional time consuming and inefficient methods for Non-Technical Loss (NTL) detection. This research work attempts to solve the mentioned problem by developing an efficient energy theft detection model in order to identify the fraudster customers in a power distribution system. The key motivation for the present study is to assist the DSOs in their fight against energy theft. The proposed computational model initially utilizes a set of distinct features extracted from the monthly consumers’ consumption data, obtained from Multan Electric Power Company (MEPCO) Pakistan, to segregate the honest and the fraudulent customers. The Pearson’s chi-square feature selection algorithm is adopted to select the most relevant feature... [more]
102. LAPSE:2023.23742
Using SCADA Data for Wind Turbine Condition Monitoring: A Systematic Literature Review
March 27, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Energy Systems
Keywords: Artificial Intelligence, condition monitoring, fault prediction, SCADA data, wind turbine
Operation and maintenance (O&M) activities represent a significant share of the total expenditure of a wind farm. Of these expenses, costs associated with unexpected failures account for the highest percentage. Therefore, it is clear that early detection of wind turbine (WT) failures, which can be achieved through appropriate condition monitoring (CM), is critical to reduce O&M costs. The use of Supervisory Control and Data Acquisition (SCADA) data has recently been recognized as an effective solution for CM since most modern WTs record large amounts of parameters using their SCADA systems. Artificial intelligence (AI) techniques can convert SCADA data into information that can be used for early detection of WT failures. This work presents a systematic literature review (SLR) with the aim to assess the use of SCADA data and AI for CM of WTs. To this end, we formulated four research questions as follows: (i) What are the current challenges of WT CM? (ii) What are the WT components to wh... [more]
103. LAPSE:2023.23717
Artificial Intelligence-Based Weighting Factor Autotuning for Model Predictive Control of Grid-Tied Packed U-Cell Inverter
March 27, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Process Control
Keywords: Artificial Intelligence, Model Predictive Control, packed U-cell (PUC) inverter, weighting factor autotuning
The tuning of weighting factor has been considered as the most challenging task in the implementation of multi-objective model predictive control (MPC) techniques. Thus, this paper proposes an artificial intelligence (AI)-based weighting factor autotuning in the design of a finite control set MPC (FCS-MPC) applied to a grid-tied seven-level packed U-cell (PUC7) multilevel inverter (MLI). The studied topology is capable of producing a seven-level output voltage waveform and inject sinusoidal current to the grid with high power quality while using a reduced number of components. The proposed cost function optimization algorithm ensures auto-adjustment of the weighting factor to guarantee low injected grid current total harmonic distortion (THD) at different power ratings while balancing the capacitor voltage. The optimal weighting factor value is selected at each sampling time to guarantee a stable operation of the PUC inverter with high power quality. The weighting factor selection is p... [more]
104. LAPSE:2023.23187
Using Machine Learning to Enrich Building Databases—Methods for Tailored Energy Retrofits
March 27, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Energy Policy
Keywords: Artificial Intelligence, building database enrichment, building-specific information, energy performance certificate, energy retrofitting, energy transition, Google Street View, long-term renovation strategy, Machine Learning, support vector machine
Building databases are important assets when estimating and planning for national energy savings from energy retrofitting. However, databases often lack information on building characteristics needed to determine the feasibility of specific energy conservation measures. In this paper, machine learning methods are used to enrich the Swedish database of Energy Performance Certificates with building characteristics relevant for a chosen set of energy retrofitting packages. The study is limited to the Swedish multifamily building stock constructed between 1945 and 1975, as these buildings are facing refurbishment needs that advantageously can be combined with energy retrofitting. In total, 514 ocular observations were conducted in Google Street View of two building characteristics that were needed to determine the feasibility of the chosen energy retrofitting packages: (i) building type and (ii) suitability for additional façade insulation. Results showed that these building characteristic... [more]
105. LAPSE:2023.23161
A Method for the Combined Estimation of Battery State of Charge and State of Health Based on Artificial Neural Networks
March 27, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Numerical Methods and Statistics
Keywords: Artificial Intelligence, artificial neural networks, battery, electric vehicles, estimation, hybrid vehicles, state of charge, state of health
This paper proposes a method for the combined estimation of the state of charge (SOC) and state of health (SOH) of batteries in hybrid and full electric vehicles. The technique is based on a set of five artificial neural networks that are used to tackle a regression and a classification task. In the method, the estimation of the SOC relies on the identification of the ageing of the battery and the estimation of the SOH depends on the behavior of the SOC in a recursive closed-loop. The networks are designed by means of training datasets collected during the experimental characterizations conducted in a laboratory environment. The lithium battery pack adopted during the study is designed to supply and store energy in a mild hybrid electric vehicle. The validation of the estimation method is performed by using real driving profiles acquired on-board of a vehicle. The obtained accuracy of the combined SOC and SOH estimator is around 97%, in line with the industrial requirements in the auto... [more]
106. LAPSE:2023.23055
A Novel Protection Scheme for Solar Photovoltaic Generator Connected Networks Using Hybrid Harmony Search Algorithm-Bollinger Bands Approach
March 27, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Numerical Methods and Statistics
Keywords: Artificial Intelligence, Bollinger Bands, directional overcurrent relay, Harmony Search Algorithm, microgrid protection, optimum relay coordination, power system protection, solar photovoltaic generator, statistical test, voltage restrained overcurrent relay
This paper introduces a new protection system for solar photovoltaic generator (SPVG)-connected networks. The system is a combination of voltage-restrained overcurrent relays (VROCRs) and directional overcurrent relays (DOCRs). The DOCRs are implemented to sense high fault current on the grid side, and VROCRs are deployed to sense low fault current supplied by the SPVG. Furthermore, a novel challenge for the optimal coordination of DOCRs-DOCRs and DOCRs-VROCRs is formulated. Due to the inclusion of additional constraints of VROCR, the relay coordination problem becomes more complicated. To solve this complex problem, a hybrid Harmony Search Algorithm-Bollinger Bands (HSA-BB) method is proposed. Also, the lower and upper bands in BB are dynamically adjusted with the generation number to assist the HSA in the exploration and exploitation stages. The proposed method is implemented on three different SPVG-connected networks. To exhibit the effectiveness of the proposed method, the obtained... [more]
107. LAPSE:2023.22752
Combining Artificial Intelligence with Physics-Based Methods for Probabilistic Renewable Energy Forecasting
March 24, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Energy Management
Keywords: Artificial Intelligence, Machine Learning, renewable energy forecasting, solar energy, wind energy
A modern renewable energy forecasting system blends physical models with artificial intelligence to aid in system operation and grid integration. This paper describes such a system being developed for the Shagaya Renewable Energy Park, which is being developed by the State of Kuwait. The park contains wind turbines, photovoltaic panels, and concentrated solar renewable energy technologies with storage capabilities. The fully operational Kuwait Renewable Energy Prediction System (KREPS) employs artificial intelligence (AI) in multiple portions of the forecasting structure and processes, both for short-range forecasting (i.e., the next six hours) as well as for forecasts several days out. These AI methods work synergistically with the dynamical/physical models employed. This paper briefly describes the methodology used for each of the AI methods, how they are blended, and provides a preliminary assessment of their relative value to the prediction system. Each operational AI component add... [more]
108. LAPSE:2023.22444
Examining the Potential of a Random Forest Derived Cloud Mask from GOES-R Satellites to Improve Solar Irradiance Forecasting
March 24, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Modelling and Simulations
Keywords: Artificial Intelligence, Machine Learning, random forests, remote sensing, solar power forecasting, supervised learning
In order for numerical weather prediction (NWP) models to correctly predict solar irradiance reaching the earth’s surface for more accurate solar power forecasting, it is important to initialize the NWP model with accurate cloud information. Knowing where the clouds are located is the first step. Using data from geostationary satellites is an attractive possibility given the low latencies and high spatio-temporal resolution provided nowadays. Here, we explore the potential of utilizing the random forest machine learning method to generate the cloud mask from GOES-16 radiances. We first perform a predictor selection process to determine the optimal predictor set for the random forest predictions of the horizontal cloud fraction and then determine the appropriate threshold to generate the cloud mask prediction. The results show that the random forest method performs as well as the GOES-16 level 2 clear sky mask product with the ability to customize the threshold for under or over predict... [more]
109. LAPSE:2023.21753
Energetic Map Data Imputation: A Machine Learning Approach
March 23, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Modelling and Simulations
Keywords: Artificial Intelligence, Big Data, classification, electric mobility, missing data imputation, regression, supervised machine learning
Despite a rapid increase of public interest for electric mobility, several factors still impede Battery Electric Vehicles’ (BEVs) acceptance. These factors include their limited range and inconvenient charging. For mitigating these limitations to users, certain BEV-specific services are required. Therefore, such services provide a reliable range prediction and routing, including charging-stop planning. The basis of these services is a precise and reliable Energy Demand (ED) prediction. For that matter, aggregated fleet-vehicle data combined with map-specific data (e.g., road slope) form an energetic map, which can serve for precise ED predictions. However, data coverage is paramount for these predictions, more specifically regarding gapless energetic maps. This work aims to eliminate the energetic map’s gaps using two Machine Learning (ML) approaches: regression and classification. The proposed ML solution builds upon the synergy between map-information and crowdsourced driving profile... [more]
110. LAPSE:2023.21448
Review of Computational Intelligence Methods for Local Energy Markets at the Power Distribution Level to Facilitate the Integration of Distributed Energy Resources: State-of-the-art and Future Research
March 22, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Process Operations
Keywords: aggregator, Artificial Intelligence, computational intelligence, distributed energy resources, distributed generation, distribution systems operation, local energy markets, smart distribution system, transactive energy
The massive integration of distributed energy resources in power distribution systems in combination with the active network management that is implemented thanks to innovative information and communication technologies has created the smart distribution systems of the new era. This new environment introduces challenges for the optimal operation of the smart distribution network. Local energy markets at power distribution level are highly investigated in recent years. The aim of local energy markets is to optimize the objectives of market participants, e.g., to minimize the network operation cost for the distribution network operator, to maximize the profit of the private distributed energy resources, and to minimize the electricity cost for the consumers. Several models and methods have been suggested for the design and optimal operation of local energy markets. This paper introduces an overview of the state-of-the-art computational intelligence methods applied to the optimal operatio... [more]
111. LAPSE:2023.20807
Forecasting Energy Consumption of a Public Building Using Transformer and Support Vector Regression
March 20, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Modelling and Simulations
Keywords: Artificial Intelligence, building energy performance, building physics, CO2 emissions, energy consumption, Machine Learning, net zero energy building, transformer
Most of the Artificial Intelligence (AI) models currently used in energy forecasting are traditional and deterministic. Recently, a novel deep learning paradigm, called ‘transformer’, has been developed, which adopts the mechanism of self-attention. Transformers are designed to better process and predict sequential data sets (i.e., historical time records) as well as to track any relationship in the sequential data. So far, a few transformer-based applications have been established, but no industry-scale application exists to build energy forecasts. Accordingly, this study is the world’s first to establish a transformer-based model to estimate the energy consumption of a real-scale university library and benchmark with a baseline model (Support Vector Regression) SVR. With a large dataset from 1 September 2017 to 13 November 2021 with 30 min granularity, the results using four historical electricity readings to estimate one future reading demonstrate that the SVR (an R2 of 0.92) presen... [more]
112. LAPSE:2023.20791
Gear Wear Detection Based on Statistic Features and Heuristic Scheme by Using Data Fusion of Current and Vibration Signals
March 20, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Numerical Methods and Statistics
Keywords: Artificial Intelligence, diagnosis, electrical machine, faults detection, industrial motors
Kinematic chains are ensembles of elements that integrate, among other components, with the induction motors, the mechanical couplings, and the loads to provide support to the industrial processes that require motion interchange. In this same line, the induction motor justifies its importance because this machine is the core that provides the power and generates the motion of the industrial process. However, also, it is possible to diagnose other types of faults that occur in other elements in the kinematic chain, which are reflected as problems in the motor operation. With this purpose, the coupling between the motor and the final load in the chain requires, in many situations, the use of a gearbox that balances the torque−velocity relationship. Thus, the gear wear in this component is addressed in many works, but the study of gradual wear has not been completely covered yet at different operating frequencies. Therefore, in this work, a methodology is proposed based on statistical fea... [more]
113. LAPSE:2023.20708
Parallel Automatic History Matching Algorithm Using Reinforcement Learning
March 20, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Modelling and Simulations
Keywords: Artificial Intelligence, history matching, parallel actor–critic, reinforcement learning, reservoir simulation
Reformulating the history matching problem from a least-square mathematical optimization problem into a Markov Decision Process introduces a method in which reinforcement learning can be utilized to solve the problem. This method provides a mechanism where an artificial deep neural network agent can interact with the reservoir simulator and find multiple different solutions to the problem. Such a formulation allows for solving the problem in parallel by launching multiple concurrent environments enabling the agent to learn simultaneously from all the environments at once, achieving significant speed up.
114. LAPSE:2023.20565
Conservation Voltage Reduction in Modern Power Systems: Applications, Implementation, Quantification, and AI-Assisted Techniques
March 20, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Energy Systems
Keywords: AI, conservation voltage reduction (CVR), dynamics frequency support, inverter-interfaced distributed generation units (IIDGs), microgrid (MG), power electronics (PE)-based grids
Conservation voltage reduction (CVR) is a potentially effective and efficient technique for inertia synthesis and frequency support in modern grids comprising power electronics (PE)-based components, aiming to improve dynamic stability. However, due to the complexities of PE-based grids, implementing the CVR methods cannot be performed using traditional techniques as in conventional power systems. Further, quantifying the CVR impacts in modern grids, while focusing on dynamic time scales, is critical, consequently making the traditional methods deficient. This is an important issue as CVR utilization/quantification depends on grid conditions and CVR applications. Considering these concerns, this work offers a thorough analysis of CVR applications, implementation, and quantification strategies, including data-driven AI-based methods in PE-based modern grids. To assess the CVR applications from a new perspective, aiming to choose the proper implementation and quantification techniques, t... [more]
115. LAPSE:2023.20521
Artificial Intelligence in Wind Speed Forecasting: A Review
March 20, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Numerical Methods and Statistics
Keywords: Artificial Intelligence, artificial neural networks, ensemble prediction, wind speed forecasting
Wind energy production has had accelerated growth in recent years, reaching an annual increase of 17% in 2021. Wind speed plays a crucial role in the stability required for power grid operation. However, wind intermittency makes accurate forecasting a complicated process. Implementing new technologies has allowed the development of hybrid models and techniques, improving wind speed forecasting accuracy. Additionally, statistical and artificial intelligence methods, especially artificial neural networks, have been applied to enhance the results. However, there is a concern about identifying the main factors influencing the forecasting process and providing a basis for estimation with artificial neural network models. This paper reviews and classifies the forecasting models used in recent years according to the input model type, the pre-processing and post-processing technique, the artificial neural network model, the prediction horizon, the steps ahead number, and the evaluation metric.... [more]
116. LAPSE:2023.20348
Fault Location for Distribution Smart Grids: Literature Overview, Challenges, Solutions, and Future Trends
March 17, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Process Monitoring
Keywords: Artificial Intelligence, fault classification, fault location, local measurement-based techniques, low-voltage and DC smart grids, microgrids, resiliency of smart grids, smart grids
Thanks to smart grids, more intelligent devices may now be integrated into the electric grid, which increases the robustness and resilience of the system. The integration of distributed energy resources is expected to require extensive use of communication systems as well as a variety of interconnected technologies for monitoring, protection, and control. The fault location and diagnosis are essential for the security and well-coordinated operation of these systems since there is also greater risk and different paths for a fault or contingency in the system. Considering smart distribution systems, microgrids, and smart automation substations, a full investigation of fault location in SGs over the distribution domain is still not enough, and this study proposes to analyze the fault location issues and common types of power failures in most of their physical components and communication infrastructure. In addition, we explore several fault location techniques in the smart grid’s distribu... [more]
117. LAPSE:2023.20338
Manufacturing Energy Efficiency and Industry 4.0
March 17, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Information Management
Keywords: Artificial Intelligence, big data management in manufacturing, green manufacturing, industrial internet of things, industrial sustainability, industry 4.0 industrial cyber-physical systems (ICPS), machine learning for energy-efficient manufacturing
This Special Issue of Energies was devoted to the topic of “Manufacturing Energy Efficiency and Industry 4.0”. To a great extent, this issue follows the successful previous Special Issue on “Energy Efficiency of Manufacturing Processes and Systems”, which attracted some significant attention from scholars, practitioners, and policy-makers from all over the world. In total, six papers were published. The main topics included energy efficiency improvement in both the manufacturing process and system levels, as well as how this can be facilitated through the use of Industry 4.0.
118. LAPSE:2023.20317
Artificial Intelligence for Electric Vehicle Infrastructure: Demand Profiling, Data Augmentation, Demand Forecasting, Demand Explainability and Charge Optimisation
March 17, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Energy Systems
Keywords: Artificial Intelligence, charge optimisation, demand explainability, demand forecasting, demand profiling, electric vehicles, EV data augmentation
Electric vehicles (EVs) are advancing the transport sector towards a robust and reliable carbon-neutral future. Given this increasing uptake of EVs, electrical grids and power networks are faced with the challenges of distributed energy resources, specifically the charge and discharge requirements of the electric vehicle infrastructure (EVI). Simultaneously, the rapid digitalisation of electrical grids and EVs has led to the generation of large volumes of data on the supply, distribution and consumption of energy. Artificial intelligence (AI) algorithms can be leveraged to draw insights and decisions from these datasets. Despite several recent work in this space, a comprehensive study of the practical value of AI in charge-demand profiling, data augmentation, demand forecasting, demand explainability and charge optimisation of the EVI has not been formally investigated. The objective of this study was to design, develop and evaluate a comprehensive AI framework that addresses this gap... [more]
119. LAPSE:2023.20182
AI and Energy Justice
March 17, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Modelling and Simulations
Keywords: Artificial Intelligence, energy justice, energy law, Machine Learning, PV curtailment, smart grids
Artificial intelligence (AI) techniques are increasingly used to address problems in electricity systems that result from the growing supply of energy from dynamic renewable sources. Researchers have started experimenting with data-driven AI technologies to, amongst other uses, forecast energy usage, optimize cost-efficiency, monitor system health, and manage network congestion. These technologies are said to, on the one hand, empower consumers, increase transparency in pricing, and help maintain the affordability of electricity in the energy transition, while, on the other hand, they may decrease transparency, infringe on privacy, or lead to discrimination, to name a few concerns. One key concern is how AI will affect energy justice. Energy justice is a concept that has emerged predominantly in social science research to highlight that energy related decisions—in particular, as part of the energy transition—should produce just outcomes. The concept has been around for more than a deca... [more]
120. LAPSE:2023.20152
Predicting the Parameters of Vortex Bladeless Wind Turbine Using Deep Learning Method of Long Short-Term Memory
March 10, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Modelling and Simulations
Keywords: Artificial Intelligence, Computational Fluid Dynamics, data science, deep learning, Energy, Energy Conversion, long short-term memory, Machine Learning, Renewable and Sustainable Energy, wind turbine
From conventional turbines to cutting-edge bladeless turbines, energy harvesting from wind has been well explored by researchers for more than a century. The vortex bladeless wind turbine (VBT) is considered an advanced design that alternatively harvests energy from oscillation. This research investigates enhancing the output electrical power of VBT through simulation of the fluid−solid interactions (FSI), leading to a comprehensive dataset for predicting procedure and optimal design. Hence, the long short-term memory (LSTM) method, due to its time-series prediction accuracy, is proposed to model the power of VBT from the collected data. To find the relationship between the parameters and the variables used in this research, a correlation matrix is further presented. According to the value of 0.3 for the root mean square error (RMSE), a comparative analysis between the simulation results and their predictions indicates that the LSTM method is suitable for modeling. Furthermore, the LST... [more]
121. LAPSE:2023.20003
A Simulation Environment for Training a Reinforcement Learning Agent Trading a Battery Storage
March 10, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Environment
Keywords: Artificial Intelligence, battery, electricity market, frequency containment reserve, frequency reserve, real-time, reinforcement learning, Simulation, timescale
Battery storages are an essential element of the emerging smart grid. Compared to other distributed intelligent energy resources, batteries have the advantage of being able to rapidly react to events such as renewable generation fluctuations or grid disturbances. There is a lack of research on ways to profitably exploit this ability. Any solution needs to consider rapid electrical phenomena as well as the much slower dynamics of relevant electricity markets. Reinforcement learning is a branch of artificial intelligence that has shown promise in optimizing complex problems involving uncertainty. This article applies reinforcement learning to the problem of trading batteries. The problem involves two timescales, both of which are important for profitability. Firstly, trading the battery capacity must occur on the timescale of the chosen electricity markets. Secondly, the real-time operation of the battery must ensure that no financial penalties are incurred from failing to meet the techn... [more]
122. LAPSE:2023.19674
A Multivariate Load Trading Optimization Method for Energy Internet Based on LSTM and Gaming Theory
March 9, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Optimization
Keywords: AI, hybrid game, multivariate load, orderly power consumption
Energy Internet is a complex nonlinear system. There are many stakeholders in the load trading market, which is usually regarded as a multi-player gaming. Although gaming theory has been introduced to solve Multivariate Load trading problems, different conditions should be considered to accurately optimize the multivariate load trading problem. For example, the selling side needs to reduce the reserve capacity and improve profits, but the consumer side needs to reduce costs and minimize the impact on its own electricity consumption. These contradictory conditions require multiple Nash equilibrium to achieve obviously. To address this issue, a unified architecture of the power system cloud trading is constructed in this paper, which is combined with the multiple load classification of the power system. In addition, according to the power market operation mechanism, a price-guided multivariate load trading game strategy is designed. More importantly, a multivariate load trading optimizat... [more]
123. LAPSE:2023.19573
Digital Twin in Electrical Machine Control and Predictive Maintenance: State-of-the-Art and Future Prospects
March 9, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Modelling and Simulations
Keywords: Artificial Intelligence, data handling, digital twin, electrical machines, Industry 4.0, life cycle, predictive maintenance
State-of-the-art Predictive Maintenance (PM) of Electrical Machines (EMs) focuses on employing Artificial Intelligence (AI) methods with well-established measurement and processing techniques while exploring new combinations, to further establish itself a profitable venture in industry. The latest trend in industrial manufacturing and monitoring is the Digital Twin (DT) which is just now being defined and explored, showing promising results in facilitating the realization of the Industry 4.0 concept. While PM efforts closely resemble suggested DT methodologies and would greatly benefit from improved data handling and availability, a lack of combination regarding the two concepts is detected in literature. In addition, the next-generation-Digital-Twin (nexDT) definition is yet ambiguous. Existing DT reviews discuss broader definitions and include citations often irrelevant to PM. This work aims to redefine the nexDT concept by reviewing latest descriptions in broader literature while es... [more]
124. LAPSE:2023.19545
A Digitalized Design Risk Analysis Tool with Machine-Learning Algorithm for EPC Contractor’s Technical Specifications Assessment on Bidding
March 9, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Process Control
Keywords: Artificial Intelligence, decision support, engineering procurement and construction (EPC), machine learning algorism, phrase matcher, risk phrase extraction, technical risk extraction, technical specifications, terms frequency, text and data mining
Engineering, Procurement, and Construction (EPC) projects span the entire cycle of industrial plants, from bidding to engineering, construction, and start-up operation and maintenance. Most EPC contractors do not have systematic decision-making tools when bidding for the project; therefore, they rely on manual analysis and experience in evaluating the bidding contract documents, including technical specifications. Oftentimes, they miss or underestimate the presence of technical risk clauses or risk severity, potentially create with a low bid price and tight construction schedule, and eventually experience severe cost overrun or/and completion delays. Through this study, two digital modules, Technical Risk Extraction and Design Parameter Extraction, were developed to extract and analyze risks in the project’s technical specifications based on machine learning and AI algorithms. In the Technical Risk Extraction module, technical risk keywords in the bidding technical specifications are c... [more]
125. LAPSE:2023.19504
Criticality Analysis and Maintenance of Solar Tower Power Plants by Integrating the Artificial Intelligence Approach
March 9, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Numerical Methods and Statistics
Keywords: Artificial Intelligence, bayesian network, criticality analysis, maintenance, solar tower power plants
Maintenance of solar tower power plants (STPP) is very important to ensure production continuity. However, random and non-optimal maintenance can increase the intervention cost. In this paper, a new procedure, based on the criticality analysis, was proposed to improve the maintenance of the STPP. This procedure is the combination of three methods, which are failure mode effects and criticality analysis (FMECA), Bayesian network and artificial intelligence. The FMECA is used to estimate the criticality index of the different elements of STPP. Moreover, corrections and improvements were introduced on the criticality index values based on the expert advice method. The modeling and the simulation of the FMECA estimations incorporating the expert advice method corrections were performed using the Bayesian network. The artificial neural network is used to predicate the criticality index of the STPP exploiting the database obtained from the Bayesian network simulations. The results showed a g... [more]
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