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Records with Subject: Modelling and Simulations
3499. LAPSE:2023.11692
A Study Comparing the Subsurface Vortex Characteristics in Pump Sumps
February 27, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Modelling and Simulations
Keywords: computational fluid dynamics (CFD), particle image velocimetry (PIV), pump sump
The vortex generated around the suction region of the pump sump causes problems such as damage to the pump, increased maintenance costs, and failure to supply coolant smoothly. Therefore, analyzing vortices is essential in pump sump design. However, the CFD analysis alone is insufficient in pump sumps vortex analysis since the reliability of the results is doubtful in scaled model tests. This study conducted the model test to validate a suitable CFD simulation method by identifying the Type 2 vortex among the three types of subsurface vortices. The dye test and PIV technology were used to visualize the Type 2 subsurface vortices, whereas the PIV vorticity results were then compared to the CFD results. The average vorticity of 60.2 (1/s) was identified as the reference level of Type 2 subsurface vortices formation by mapping the dye test results with the PIV vorticity results. Furthermore, the average vorticities of 84.63 (1/s) and 85.15 (1/s) were recorded in the presence of Type 2 sub... [more]
3500. LAPSE:2023.11691
The Laminar Burning Velocities of Stoichiometric Methane−Air Mixture from Closed Vessels Measurements
February 27, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Modelling and Simulations
Keywords: baric coefficient, closed vessels, laminar burning velocity, methane, overall reaction order
The present work aims to evaluate the performance of the constant-volume method by several sets of experiments carried out in three different closed vessels (a sphere and two cylinders) analyzing the obtained results in order to obtain accurate laminar burning velocities. Accurate laminar burning velocities can be used in the development of computational fluid dynamics models in order to design new internal combustion engines with a higher efficiency and lower fuel consumption leading to a lower degree of environmental pollution. The pressure-time histories obtained at various initial pressures from 0.4 to 1.4 bar and ambient initial temperature were analyzed and processed using two different correlations (one implying the cubic low coefficient and the other implying the burnt mass fraction). The laminar burning velocities obtained at various initial pressures are necessary for the realization of a complete kinetic study regarding the combustion reaction and testing the actual reaction... [more]
3501. LAPSE:2023.11690
Study on a Two-Dimensional Supersonic Inlet with Inner Profile Adjustment
February 27, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Modelling and Simulations
Keywords: adjustable inlet, inner surface adjustment, performance boundary, resisting back pressure ability, supersonic inlet
According to the requirements of a wide speed range, a variable-geometry supersonic inlet with inner surface adjustment is studied. The basic design model of the inlet is established, and the influence of profile adjustment on the resisting back pressure ability and inlet performance boundary are analyzed using a theoretical method. Based on the numerical simulation method, the flow field simulation is carried out, and the flow field parameter distribution and performance of the adjustment inlet are studied in comparison with the fixed-geometry scheme. The results show that the starting Mach number is not changed for two inlet schemes because they have the same profile during low-speed flight. The fixed-geometry inlet has insufficient compression on the incoming flow, and the resisting back pressure ability decreases significantly during high-speed flight. The compression ratio and the compression wave system can be easily changed at the same time through the adjustment of the inner pr... [more]
3502. LAPSE:2023.11684
Improvement of Airflow Simulation by Refining the Inflow Wind Direction and Applying Atmospheric Stability for Onshore and Offshore Wind Farms Affected by Topography
February 27, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Modelling and Simulations
Keywords: atmospheric stability, inflow direction, large eddy simulation, topography, wind farm
For this study, the annual frequency of atmospheric stability and the effects of topography were investigated, using ERA5 data and data from wind observation masts installed at four locations on an island for a site under development, where bidding will soon begin. As a result, we found that a variety of atmospheric stabilities appeared at the site, and that the annual average events were not neutral but, instead, unstable. Moreover, the deviation from neutral varied depending on wind direction and the wind speed varied greatly, depending on the mast position and wind direction. Additionally, it was necessary to reproduce the wind flow separation due to topography, in order to predict the wind conditions of wind turbines located close to the island. The accuracy of the airflow simulation by large eddy simulation was validated using the mast-to-mast wind speed ratio. For simulations, we used the commercial software RIAM-COMPACT, which has been widely used in Japan, as it allows the atmo... [more]
3503. LAPSE:2023.11678
Falling Film Flow and Heat Transfer of Cryogenic Liquid Oxygen on Different Structural Surfaces
February 27, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Modelling and Simulations
Keywords: elliptical tube, falling film, film thickness, heat transfer, Simulation, VOF
The accurate prediction of the falling film characteristics of cryogenic liquids is necessary to ensure good evaporation performance, due to their special physical properties. In this study, the film flow and heat transfer characteristics on four different structures were investigated, and the performance of the cryogenic liquid oxygen was compared with other fluids with higher temperatures, which demonstrates the influence of structures and liquid mediums. The VOF model was used to capture the film surface in the simulation model. The results show that for the four structures, liquids with higher kinematic viscosity tend to have greater film thickness, and the sensible heat transfer coefficients are inversely related to the nominal thermal resistance of falling film flow. Both on the smooth plate and the corrugated plate, the film wettability depends on the kinematic viscosity, rather than the dynamic viscosity, and the effect of kinematic viscosity is greater than that of surface ten... [more]
3504. LAPSE:2023.11668
Combining Deep Learning and the Heat Flux Method for In-Situ Thermal-Transmittance Measurement Improvement
February 27, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Modelling and Simulations
Keywords: building physics, deep learning, Energy Efficiency, Machine Learning, thermal transmittance
Transmission losses through the building envelope account for a large proportion of building energy balance. One of the most important parameters for determining transmission losses is thermal transmittance. Although thermal transmittance does not take into account dynamic parameters, it is traditionally the most commonly used estimation of transmission losses due to its simplicity and efficiency. It is challenging to estimate the thermal transmittance of an existing building element because thermal properties are commonly unknown or not all the layers that make up the element can be found due to technical-drawing information loss. In such cases, experimental methods are essential, the most common of which is the heat-flux method (HFM). One of the main drawbacks of the HFM is the long measurement duration. This research presents the application of deep learning on HFM results by applying long-short term memory units on temperature difference and measured heat flux. This deep-learning r... [more]
3505. LAPSE:2023.11663
Analysis of AVAZ Seismic Forward Modeling of Fracture-Cavity Reservoirs of the Dengying Formation, Central Sichuan Basin
February 27, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Modelling and Simulations
Keywords: anisotropy, AVAZ, forward modeling, fracture-cavity reservoir, HTI medium
For the purpose of clarifying the seismic response characteristics of fractured-cavity reservoirs of Dengying Formation in the central Sichuan Basin, the paper first intends to establish three geological models of fracture cave reservoirs based on drilling, logging, and core data of the Dengying Formation in the central Sichuan Basin. Then, the formation reflection is calculated with reference to anisotropic Horizontal Transverse Isotropy (HTI) medium. Finally, further research on Amplitude Variation with Azimuth (AVAZ) seismic forward modeling has been conducted to clarify the seismic response characteristics of different reservoir types in the study area. The results suggest that: Seismic response characteristics of fractured-cavity reservoirs are controlled by incident angle and azimuth angle of seismic waves in different types of reservoirs. The incident angle of the seismic wave controls the difference in amplitude caused by different micro-fracture densities, and the azimuth angl... [more]
3506. LAPSE:2023.11660
Reviewing Explanatory Methodologies of Electricity Markets: An Application to the Iberian Market
February 27, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Modelling and Simulations
Keywords: autoregressive, electricity market, GARCHX, LASSO, linear regression, Machine Learning
In this paper, for the data set of the Iberian Electricity Market for the period 1 January 2015 to 30 June 2019, 19 different models are considered from econometrics, statistics, and artificial intelligence to explain how electricity markets work. This survey allows us to obtain a more complete, critical view of the most cited models. The machine learning models appear to be very good at selecting the best explanatory variables for the price. They provide an interesting insight into how much the price depends on each variable under a nonlinear perspective. Notwithstanding, it might be necessary to make the results understandable. Both the autoregressive models and the linear regression models can provide clear explanations for each explanatory variable, with special attention given to GARCHX and LASSO regression, which provide a cleaner linear result by removing variables that have a minimal linear impact.
3507. LAPSE:2023.11659
An Accurate Model for Estimating H2 Solubility in Pure Water and Aqueous NaCl Solutions
February 27, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Modelling and Simulations
Keywords: Hydrogen, numerical simulation, solubility
By employing a specific particle interaction theory and a high-precision equation of states for the liquid and vapor phases of H2, respectively, a new H2 solubility model in pure water and aqueous NaCl solutions is proposed in this study. The model established by fitting the experimental data of H2 solubility can be used to estimate H2 solubility in pure water at temperatures and pressures of 273.15−423.15 K and 0−1100 bar, respectively, and in salt solutions (NaCl concentration = 0−5 mol/kg) at temperatures and pressures of 273.15−373.15 K and 0−230 bar, respectively. By adopting the theory of liquid electrolyte solutions, the model can also be used to predict H2 solubility in seawater without fitting the experimental data of a seawater system. Within or close to experimental data uncertainty, the mean absolute percentage error between the model-predicted and experimentally obtained H2 solubilities was less than 1.14%.
3508. LAPSE:2023.11648
Deep Learning in High Voltage Engineering: A Literature Review
February 27, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Modelling and Simulations
Keywords: classification, deep learning, faults, high voltage apparatus, localization, outdoor insulators, partial discharge
Condition monitoring of high voltage apparatus is of much importance for the maintenance of electric power systems. Whether it is detecting faults or partial discharges that take place in high voltage equipment, or detecting contamination and degradation of outdoor insulators, deep learning which is a branch of machine learning has been extensively investigated. Instead of using hand-crafted manual features as an input for the traditional machine learning algorithms, deep learning algorithms use raw data as the input where the feature extraction stage is integrated in the learning stage, resulting in a more automated process. This is the main advantage of using deep learning instead of traditional machine learning techniques. This paper presents a review of the recent literature on the application of deep learning techniques in monitoring high voltage apparatus such as GIS, transformers, cables, rotating machines, and outdoor insulators.
3509. LAPSE:2023.11635
Transformer-Based Model for Electrical Load Forecasting
February 27, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Modelling and Simulations
Keywords: deep learning, electrical load forecasting, Machine Learning, sequence-to-sequence model, transformer architecture
Amongst energy-related CO2 emissions, electricity is the largest single contributor, and with the proliferation of electric vehicles and other developments, energy use is expected to increase. Load forecasting is essential for combating these issues as it balances demand and production and contributes to energy management. Current state-of-the-art solutions such as recurrent neural networks (RNNs) and sequence-to-sequence algorithms (Seq2Seq) are highly accurate, but most studies examine them on a single data stream. On the other hand, in natural language processing (NLP), transformer architecture has become the dominant technique, outperforming RNN and Seq2Seq algorithms while also allowing parallelization. Consequently, this paper proposes a transformer-based architecture for load forecasting by modifying the NLP transformer workflow, adding N-space transformation, and designing a novel technique for handling contextual features. Moreover, in contrast to most load forecasting studies... [more]
3510. LAPSE:2023.11631
Two-Phase Volumetric Expanders: A Review of the State-of-the-Art
February 27, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Modelling and Simulations
Keywords: review, two-phase, volumetric expander
Two-phase expansion is the process where a fluid undergoes a pressure drop through or in the liquid−vapor dome. This operation was historically avoided. However, currently it is studied for a multitude of processes. Due to the volume increase in volumetric expanders, a pressure drop occurs in the fluid resulting in flashing phenomena occurring. These phenomena have been studied before in other processes such as two-phase flows or static flash. However, this has not been extensively studied in volumetric expanders and is mostly neglected. Even if data has shown this is not always neglectable depending on the expander type. The thermal non-equilibrium occurring can be modeled on different principles of flashing flows, such as the mixture model, boiling delay model, and homogeneous relaxation model. The main application area in current literature for volumetric two-phase expansion machines, is in low-temperature two-phase heat-to-power cycles. These cycles have shown benefit over classic... [more]
3511. LAPSE:2023.11626
Numerical Simulation of Coastal Sub-Permafrost Gas Hydrate Formation in the Mackenzie Delta, Canadian Arctic
February 27, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Modelling and Simulations
Keywords: climate change, faults, gas hydrate, Mallik, methane, numerical simulations, permafrost
The Mackenzie Delta (MD) is a permafrost-bearing region along the coasts of the Canadian Arctic which exhibits high sub-permafrost gas hydrate (GH) reserves. The GH occurring at the Mallik site in the MD is dominated by thermogenic methane (CH4), which migrated from deep conventional hydrocarbon reservoirs, very likely through the present fault systems. Therefore, it is assumed that fluid flow transports dissolved CH4 upward and out of the deeper overpressurized reservoirs via the existing polygonal fault system and then forms the GH accumulations in the Kugmallit−Mackenzie Bay Sequences. We investigate the feasibility of this mechanism with a thermo−hydraulic−chemical numerical model, representing a cross section of the Mallik site. We present the first simulations that consider permafrost formation and thawing, as well as the formation of GH accumulations sourced from the upward migrating CH4-rich formation fluid. The simulation results show that temperature distribution, as well as... [more]
3512. LAPSE:2023.11625
Numerical Simulation of Gaseous Detonation Performance and Wall Reflection Effect of Acetylene-Rich Fuel
February 27, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Modelling and Simulations
Keywords: acetylene, detonation, polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons, reduced chemical reaction, rich fuel
The efficient utilization of energy in rich fuel detonation processes and the effective control method of soot are important topics in combustion research. In this paper, we numerically study the detonation wave behavior of acetylene−air systems in rich fuel condition by using a reduced reaction mechanism. The non-stiff terms of the governing equations are solved explicitly using the gas kinetic scheme, and the stiff terms are solved implicitly. Our results show that the acetylene pyrolysis is the dominant reaction process. The oxidation reaction is exploited to initiate the reaction induction process, providing the required energy to overcome the potential energy barrier. The secondary detonation structure is due to the stable interaction of the transverse waves and the combined action of the vinyl reaction system, thus effectively improve the energy release rate and providing a powerful solution for the fuel-rich high-energy release of advanced heat engines. The area of the unreacted... [more]
3513. LAPSE:2023.11615
Exergy Efficiency and COP Improvement of a CO2 Transcritical Heat Pump System by Replacing an Expansion Valve with a Tesla Turbine
February 27, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Modelling and Simulations
Keywords: CFD approach, Exergy Efficiency, exergy loss, heat pump cycle, Tesla turbine
The heat pump system has been widely used in residential and commercial applications due to its attractive advantages of high energy efficiency, reliability, and environmental impact. The massive exergy loss during the isenthalpic process in the expansion valve is a major drawback of the heat pump system. Therefore, the Tesla turbine exergy analysis in terms of transiting exergy efficiency is investigated and integrated with the transcritical heat pump system. The aim is to investigate the factors that reduce exergy losses and increase the coefficient of performance and exergy efficiency. The contribution of this paper is twofold. First, a three-dimensional numerical analysis of the supercritical CO2 flow simulation in the Tesla turbine in three different geometries is carried out. Second, the effect of the Tesla turbine on the coefficient of performance and exergy efficiency of the heat pump system is investigated. The effect of the rotor speed and disk spacing on the Tesla turbine po... [more]
3514. LAPSE:2023.11610
Numerical Investigation on the Performance of a 4-Stroke Engine with Different Passive Pre-Chamber Geometries Using a Detailed Chemistry Solver
February 27, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Modelling and Simulations
Keywords: 4-stroke, combustion, Computational Fluid Dynamics, CONVERGE, Gasoline, ICE, numerical simulation, pre-chamber, TJI
Pre-chamber turbulent jet ignition represents one of the most promising techniques to improve spark ignition engines efficiency and reduce pollutant emissions. This technique consists of igniting the air-fuel mixture in the main combustion chamber by means of several hot turbulent flame jets exiting a pre-chamber. In the present study, the combustion process of a 4-stroke, gasoline SI, PFI engine equipped with a passive pre-chamber has been investigated through three-dimensional CFD (Computational Fluid Dynamics) analysis. A detailed chemistry solver with a reduced reaction mechanism was employed to investigate ignition and flame propagation phenomena. Firstly, the combustion model was validated against experimental data for the baseline engine configuration (i.e., without pre-chamber). Eventually, the validated numerical model allowed for predictive simulations of the pre-chamber-equipped engine. By varying the shape of the pre-chamber body and the size of pre-chamber orifices, differ... [more]
3515. LAPSE:2023.11608
Application of Alternating Current Stress Measurement Method in the Stress Detection of Long-Distance Oil Pipelines
February 27, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Modelling and Simulations
Keywords: alternating current stress measurement, electromagnetic field simulation, long-distance oil pipeline inspection, pipe stress
With the development of pipeline networks, many safety accidents were caused by pipeline stress concentration; it is of great significance to accurately monitor the pipeline stress state for maintaining pipeline safety. In this paper, based on alternating current stress measurement (ACSM) methods, a 3D simulation model of a pipeline electromagnetic field was established by ANSYS software. The distribution law of the pipeline magnetic field and eddy current field were analyzed, and the influence of size and structure parameters of the coil inside the probe were studied. The internal stress detection system of the pipeline was designed, and the static tensile stress measurement experiment was carried out. Simulation and test results showed that the excitation coil with a larger diameter-to-height ratio had a higher measurement sensitivity. The sensitivity of the probe decreased monotonically with the increase of the difference between inner diameter and outer diameter of the detection co... [more]
3516. LAPSE:2023.11601
Prediction of the Absolute Methane Emission Rate for Longwall Caving Extraction Based on Rock Mass Modelling—A Case Study
February 27, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Modelling and Simulations
Keywords: absolute methane emission rate, destressing zone, empirical method, methane hazard, numerical modelling
This article presents a methodology for predicting the absolute methane emission rate for longwall caving extraction based on the determination of destressing zones generated by longwall mining operations, by means of numerical modelling. This methodology was applied for the conditions of the K-2 longwall panel in the KWK Pniówek mine. The finite difference method code FLAC2D was employed as an element of the methodology to determine the destressing zones. All results including the numerical modelling results, empirical results and the measured (in situ) results were gathered in the comparative analysis. As the final results, the accuracy and reliability of the proposed methodology were evaluated.
3517. LAPSE:2023.11600
Using Spatial Data Science in Energy-Related Modeling of Terraforming the Martian Atmosphere
February 27, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Modelling and Simulations
This paper proposes a methodology for numerical modeling of terraforming Mars’ atmosphere using high-energy asteroid impact and greenhouse gas production processes. The developed simulation model uses a spatial data science approach to analyze the Global Climate Model of Mars and cellular automata to model the changes in Mars’ atmospheric parameters. The developed model allows estimating the energy required to raise the planet’s temperature by sixty degrees using different variations of the terraforming process. Using a data science approach for spatial big data analysis has enabled successful numerical simulations of global and local atmospheric changes on Mars and an analysis of the energy potential required for this process.
3518. LAPSE:2023.11589
Performance Estimation: CCL WPT Topologies with Helical Coils
February 27, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Modelling and Simulations
Keywords: CCL circuit, helical coil, parasitic resistance, topology, wireless power transfer
The radius of the coil, the number of turns of the windings, and the parasitic resistances of energy-storing elements affect the performances of wireless power transfer systems. We aimed to study the effects of coil parameters on a wireless power transfer system with the capacitor−capacitor−coupling coil (CCL)-based circuit using numerical simulations. The power transfer system topologies, including series−CCL (S−CCL), CCL−S, and CCL−CCL, were studied vis-à-vis coil parameters. The helical coil and the system topologies were modeled using MATLAB, and the performances of the topologies were examined in comparison to the series−series (S−S) topology. The variables used in the simulations included the radius and number of turns, the parasitic resistance that was merged in the impedance, and the reactance of energy-storing elements. Subsequently, the performances of the topologies were estimated by numerical simulations under several circumstances. The simulation results showed that the pa... [more]
3519. LAPSE:2023.11566
Dynamic Analysis of the Lifting Arm System in the Integrated Offshore Platform Decommissioning Equipment in Complicated Sea States
February 27, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Modelling and Simulations
Keywords: dynamic analysis, dynamic test, integrated decommissioning, lifting arm system, transient dynamic analysis
With the further exploitation of offshore resources, there are more and more offshore oil and gas fields which cannot meet the production capacity requirements. So, it becomes extremely urgent to pay attention to the decommissioning of the exploitation equipment in abandoned offshore fields. A new decommissioning solution is offered by the double-ship integrated offshore platform decommissioning equipment comes. However, as the equipment will inevitably bear the combined actions of various dynamic and static loads during operation, the strength and stability of the overall unit and the connections between different modules will be greatly challenged by the complex ocean. Firstly, the dynamic characteristics of the integrated decommissioning system are analyzed in this paper. Mathematical modeling of the lifting arm system is established based on the unit characteristics matrix, and a dynamic equation of the flexible lifting arm unit and system is developed based on Lagrange’s equation... [more]
3520. LAPSE:2023.11565
CFD Modeling of an H-Type Darrieus VAWT under High Winds: The Vorticity Index and the Imminent Vortex Separation Condition
February 27, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Modelling and Simulations
Keywords: H-Darrieus, high winds, vortex separation, vorticity index
This study introduces a Vorticity Index (VI) and an Imminent Vortex Separation Condition (IVSC), which are considered valuable indicators to quantify the vorticity impact on vertical axis wind turbines (VAWTs) operation. The VI and IVSC are specifically applied to a H-Darrieus vertical axis wind turbine (VAWT). Findings show that these two parameters display a direct relationship with the aerodynamic forces that govern the performance of this type of VAWT. This analysis is accomplished via 2D-CFD simulations of a H-Darrieus with a symmetrical NACA 0018, powered by high winds (8 and 20 m/s), by using a Shear Stress Transport SST k-ω model. The 2D model used is validated for Class II winds (8 m/s), for tip speed ratios (λ) ranging from 0.4 to 0.9. Power coefficients (Cp) predictions are close to those obtained with both 3D simulations and with experimental data, reported in the technical literature. It is found with the numerical simulations developed, that despite the significant increa... [more]
3521. LAPSE:2023.11562
Surface Topography Model of Ultra-High Strength Steel AF1410 Based on Dynamic Characteristics of Milling System
February 27, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Modelling and Simulations
Keywords: dynamic displacement, flexible deformation, physical simulation, roughness, surface topography, ultra-high strength steel
AF1410 is a low carbon high alloy ultra-high strength steel. It not only has high strength and high toughness, but also has a high stress corrosion resistance. However, due to the characteristics of hard quality and poor thermal conductivity, AF1410 is a difficult material to process. In the process of milling, the geometric factors of process parameters, the flexible deformation of milling cutter and the flutter of the process system all affect the surface roughness, which makes it difficult to predict the surface roughness of milling parts. In order to solve this problem, a prediction model for surface topography of ultrahigh strength steel AF1410 was studied. To solve this problem, this paper studies the formation of milling surface topography, considers the dynamic displacement of the milling system, proposes a modeling method of surface topography based on the dynamic characteristics of the milling system and forms a prediction model. On this basis, the surface topography of ultra... [more]
3522. LAPSE:2023.11553
Prediction of Temperature and Viscosity Profiles in Heavy-Oil Producer Wells Implementing a Downhole Induction Heater
February 27, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Modelling and Simulations
Keywords: Computational Fluid Dynamics, downhole induction heater, enhanced oil recovery (EOR), heavy-oil producer wells, reservoir and well performance
Very high viscosity significantly impacts the mobility of heavy crude oil representing difficulties in production and a decrease in the well’s efficiency. Downhole electric heating delivers a uniform injection of heat to the fluid and reservoir, resulting in a substantial decrease in dynamic viscosity due to its exponential relationship with temperature and a drop in frictional losses between the production zone and the pump intake. Therefore, this study predicts temperature and viscosity profiles in heavy oil-production wells implementing a downhole induction heater employing a simplified CFD model. For the development of the research, the geometry model was generated in CAD software based on the geometry provided by the BCPGroup and simulated in specialized CFD software. The model confirmed a 46.1% effective decrease of mean 12° API heavy-oil dynamic viscosity compared with simulation results without heating. The developed model was validated with experimental data provided by the BC... [more]
3523. LAPSE:2023.11548
Modeling Vehicle Insurance Adoption by Automobile Owners: A Hybrid Random Forest Classifier Approach
February 27, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Modelling and Simulations
Keywords: class inconsistency, Machine Learning, ML, oversampling, PCA, random forest, SMOTE
This study presents a novel hybrid framework combining feature selection, oversampling, and machine learning (ML) to improve the prediction performance of vehicle insurance. The framework addresses the class imbalance problem in binary classification tasks by employing principal component analysis for feature selection, the synthetic minority oversampling technique for oversampling, and the random forest ML classifier for prediction. The results demonstrate that the proposed hybrid framework outperforms the conventional approach and achieves better accuracy. The purpose of this study is to provide insurance managers and practitioners with novel insights into how to improve prediction accuracy and decrease financial risks for the insurance industry.
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