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Showing records 8778 to 8802 of 43292. [First] Page: 1 349 350 351 352 353 354 355 356 357 Last
Energy Processes, Systems and Equipment
Izabela Sówka, Sławomir Pietrowicz, Piotr Kolasiński
April 14, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Environment
Keywords: ecological and legal aspects, Energy Conversion, Energy Storage, fuels
The scientific and technical issues related to energy harvesting and conversion are inseparably bound to the issues of environmental protection. Energy conversion systems and devices that are applied for converting the chemical energy contained in different fuels into heat, electricity, and cold in industry and housing are sources of different gases and solid particle emissions. Thus, the development of different technologies for energy conversion and environmental protection that can be jointly applied to cover growing energy needs has become a crucial challenge for scientists and engineers around the world. Progress in the precise description, modeling, and optimization of physical and chemical phenomena related to these energy conversion systems is a key research and development field for the economy. Legal and social issues that are affecting key aspects and problems related to the energy conversion and power sector are also significant and worth investigating. The aim of Energy Pr... [more]
Per-Phase and 3-Phase Optimal Coordination of Directional Overcurrent Relays Using Genetic Algorithm
Ronald C. Matthews, Trupal R. Patel, Adam K. Summers, Matthew J. Reno, Shamina Hossain-McKenzie
April 14, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Optimization
Keywords: coordination time interval (CTI), genetic algorithm (GA), inverse time overcurrent relay, per-phase relay coordination, three-phase relay coordination, time dial settings (TDS), time overcurrent characteristic (TOC)
Penetration of the power grid by renewable energy sources, distributed storage, and distributed generators is becoming increasingly common. Increased utilization of these distributed energy resources (DERs) has given rise to additional protection coordination concerns, particularly where they are utilized in an unbalanced manner or where loading among phases is unbalanced. Digital relays such as the SEL-751 (produced by Schweitzer Engineering Laboratories, Pullman, WA, USA) series have the capability of being set on a per-phase basis. This capability is underutilized in common practice. Additionally, in optimization algorithms for determining relay settings, the time-overcurrent characteristics (TOCs) of relays are generally not treated as variables and are assigned before running the optimization algorithm. In this paper, TOC options themselves are treated as discrete variables to be considered in the optimization algorithm. A mixed integer nonlinear programming problem (MINLP) is set... [more]
Does Energy Poverty Affect Energy Efficiency Investment Decisions? First Evidence from a Stated Choice Experiment
Dimitris Damigos, Christina Kaliampakou, Anastasios Balaskas, Lefkothea Papada
April 14, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Energy Policy
Keywords: choice experiment, Energy Efficiency, energy poverty, willingness to pay
Energy poverty is a multidimensional and continuously growing societal problem, with political roots. In pursuit of mitigating the problem, the European Commission has adopted a bundle of policies, such as consumer protection measures, short-term financial interventions, motivations for energy efficiency (e.g., energy retrofits and replacement of old household appliance) and information campaigns, among others. There is no doubt, however, that increasing the income of vulnerable households would be the most preferred and effective option. Focusing on energy efficiency, a measure typically incorporated in the National Energy and Climate Plans (NECPs) of many Member States as a means to fight energy poverty, this paper aims to shed light on the need to gradually move towards more localized—not to say personalized—actions. In this direction, a labeled choice-based experiment is used, which involves a hypothetical selection between three alternative energy interventions, i.e., house retrof... [more]
Low Voltage Induction Motor Traction Drive Self-Commissioning Technique with the Advanced Measured Signal Processing Procedure
Mladen Vučković, Vladimir Popović, Djura Oros, Veran Vasić, Darko Marčetić
April 14, 2023 (v1)
Keywords: induction motor, parameter identification, parameter offline identification, signal injection, traction drive
In this paper, the enhanced auto-tuning technique based on the injection of two sinusoidal test signals of different frequencies applicable on the low voltage induction motor self-commissioning process is presented. The main feature of the proposed technique resides in the advanced signal processing of measured IM voltage and current signals based on the cascaded delay signal cancelation structure. This processing algorithm enables the filtering of the symmetry-related fundamental harmonic from the non-symmetrical test signal excitation typical for the self-commissioning process. Based upon the steady-state response from the proposed filtering block, the simple yet effective calculation method derives the complete parameter set of the IM equivalent circuit. The technique is validated through the variety of computer simulations and experimental tests on the digitally controlled low voltage IM traction drive.
Grid Support with Wind Turbines: The Case of the 2019 Blackout in Flensburg
Arne Gloe, Clemens Jauch, Thomas Räther
April 14, 2023 (v1)
Keywords: blackout, frequency support, primary frequency control, synthetic inertia, system split, wind turbines
The work presented in this paper aims to show how modern wind turbines can help to control the frequency in a small grid which suffers from large power imbalances. It is shown for an exemplary situation, which occurred in Flensburg’s distribution grid in 2019: a major blackout, which occurred after almost two hours in islanding operation, affecting almost the entire distribution grid, which supplies approximately 55,000 households and businesses. For the analysis, a wind turbine model and a grid support controller developed at the Wind Energy Technology Institute are combined with real measurements from the day of the blackout to generate a fictional yet realistic case study for such an islanding situation. For this case study, it is assumed that wind turbines with grid support functionalities are connected to the medium voltage distribution grid of the city. It is shown to what extent wind turbines can help to operate the grid by providing grid frequency support in two ways: By supply... [more]
Study on the Sensitivity of a Gyroscope System Homing a Quadcopter onto a Moving Ground Target under the Action of External Disturbance
Izabela Krzysztofik, Zbigniew Koruba
April 14, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Environment
Keywords: gyroscope system, optimal regulator, quadcopter, sensitivity
This paper investigates the sensitivity (resistance) of a quadcopter on-board gyroscope system for the observation and tracking of a moving ground target to changing parameters of its regulator under interference conditions. It was shown that the gain in matrix elements is most sensitive, and even their slightest deviation from optimal values can lead to reduced target tracking efficiency and even loss of control system stability. Furthermore, the authors studied the energy expenditure at various gyroscope system control parameter values, while homing a quadcopter onto a ground target. A Matlab/Simulink environment was used to conduct simulations of the controlled gyroscope system dynamics. Selected test results are shown in graphic form.
LCC-S-Based Integral Terminal Sliding Mode Controller for a Hybrid Energy Storage System Using a Wireless Power System
Naghmash Ali, Zhizhen Liu, Hammad Armghan, Iftikhar Ahmad, Yanjin Hou
April 14, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Other
Keywords: hybrid energy storage system, integral terminal sliding mode control, LCC-S, wireless power transfer
Unlike the plug-in charging system, which has safety concerns such as electric sparks, wireless power transfer (WPT) is less-time consuming, is environmentally friendly and can be used in a wet environment. The inclusion of hybrid energy storage systems (HESSs) in electric vehicles (EVs) has helped to increase their energy density as well as power density. Combined with static wireless power transfer, a WPT−HESS system is proposed in this article. The HESS system includes a battery and supercapacitor (SC) connected to a WPT system through DC−DC converters. To ensure a stable DC bus voltage, an inductor−capacitor−capacitor series (LCC-S) compensation network has been implemented in the WPT system. Utilizing the two-port network theory, the design equations of the LCC-S compensation network are derived in order to realize the maximum efficiency point for the WPT system. To ensure that the WPT system operates at this maximum efficiency point and that the SC is charged to its maximum capac... [more]
A Laboratory Study on the Shear Strength Behavior of Two Till Deposits from Northern Germany
Henok Hailemariam, Frank Wuttke
April 14, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Materials
Keywords: friction angle, glacial tills, shear strength, triaxial testing
This paper presents the findings of a laboratory study of the shear strength and yielding behavior of two glacial till soil deposits from the area of Heiligenhafen, northern Germany. The tests were conducted on reconstituted forms of the soils using a triaxial cell capable of controlling the temperature of the specimens. The experimental program included a series of multi-stage consolidated drained (CD) compression triaxial tests at temperature ranges between 20 and 60 °C. For the temperature range considered in this study, a mild reduction in the effective friction angle of the two till soils of less than 1° was observed due to an increase in temperature from 20 to 60 °C. All the results were carefully assessed in view of the intrinsic soil behavior and fabric, and existing trends are highlighted. The findings of this study provide valuable insights into the shearing properties of till deposits, and can contribute to the enhancement of existing soil constitutive models as well as the... [more]
The Changes in Thermal Transmittance of Window Insulating Glass Units Depending on Outdoor Temperatures in Cold Climate Countries
Karolis Banionis, Jurga Kumžienė, Arūnas Burlingis, Juozas Ramanauskas, Valdas Paukštys
April 14, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Environment
Keywords: insulating glass unit, Low-E coatings, thermal transmittance, window
Windows, which have a U-value that is governed by an insulating glass unit (IGU) U-value, must be a building’s only enclosure element, which has no design value concept. The declared U-value, which is calculated or measured with 0 °C of external ambient temperature, is used instead of the design value. For most of a building’s elements, its thermal transmittance with a decrease in the external temperature diminishes a little, i.e., improves. However, for modern window IGUs with Low-E coatings, it is the opposite: the thermal transmittance with a lowering external temperature increases. Therefore, for calculating the peak power for the heating of buildings it is necessary to pay attention to this phenomenon and, therefore, it would be wise to introduce the concept of design U-value for windows, recalculation rules, or affix their declared U-values. This is especially the case in modern times with the prevailing architectural tendencies for enlargement of transparent building elements. F... [more]
Techno-Economic Analysis of On-Site Energy Storage Units to Mitigate Wind Energy Curtailment: A Case Study in Scotland
Seda Canbulat, Kutlu Balci, Onder Canbulat, I. Safak Bayram
April 14, 2023 (v1)
Keywords: “Case of Scotland”, cost-benefit analysis, Energy Efficiency, storage technologies, Technoeconomic Analysis, wind energy curtailment, wind farms
Wind energy plays a major role in decarbonisation of the electricity sector and supports achieving net-zero greenhouse gas emissions. Over the last decade, the wind energy deployments have grown steadily, accounting for more than one fourth of the annual electricity generation in countries like the United Kingdom, Denmark, and Germany. However, as the share of wind energy increases, system operators face challenges in managing excessive wind generation due to its nondispatchable nature. Currently, the most common practice is wind energy curtailment in which wind farm operators receive constraint payments to reduce their renewable energy production. This practice not only leads to wastage of large volumes of renewable energy, but also the associated financial cost is reflected to rate payers in the form of increased electricity bills. On-site energy storage technologies come to the forefront as a technology option to minimise wind energy curtailment and to harness wind energy in a more... [more]
Efficiency Comparison of 2-Level SiC Inverter and Soft Switching-Snubber SiC Inverter for Electric Motor Drives
Marco di Benedetto, Luca Bigarelli, Alessandro Lidozzi, Luca Solero
April 14, 2023 (v1)
Keywords: a high-performance, electric motor overvoltage, power losses, snubber circuit, three-phase inverter
This paper focuses on the investigation and implementation of a high-performance power conversion system to reduce the overvoltage phenomenon in variable speed electric drive applications. Particularly, the pros and cons of using Silicon Carbide power MOSFETs in the power converter when a long power cable is employed in electric motor drive systems has been addressed. The three-phase two level inverter with the addition of snubber circuits that consist of capacitors and diodes has been investigated, designed and tested in order to mitigate the overvoltage problems without sacrificing the conversion efficiency. Given that the snubber circuit added to the switches can increase losses, an additional circuit is used to recover the energy from the snubber circuit. The proposed analysis has been then validated through an experimental campaign performed on the converter prototype. The experimental results show that the proposed converter can reduce the overvoltage at the electric motor termin... [more]
Uncontrolled Electric Vehicle Charging Impacts on Distribution Electric Power Systems with Primarily Residential, Commercial or Industrial Loads
C. Birk Jones, Matthew Lave, William Vining, Brooke Marshall Garcia
April 14, 2023 (v1)
Keywords: charging, distribution, electric vehicle, grid impacts, integration, profile
An increase in Electric Vehicles (EV) will result in higher demands on the distribution electric power systems (EPS) which may result in thermal line overloading and low voltage violations. To understand the impact, this work simulates two EV charging scenarios (home- and work-dominant) under potential 2030 EV adoption levels on 10 actual distribution feeders that support residential, commercial, and industrial loads. The simulations include actual driving patterns of existing (non-EV) vehicles taken from global positioning system (GPS) data. The GPS driving behaviors, which explain the spatial and temporal EV charging demands, provide information on each vehicles travel distance, dwell locations, and dwell durations. Then, the EPS simulations incorporate the EV charging demands to calculate the power flow across the feeder. Simulation results show that voltage impacts are modest (less than 0.01 p.u.), likely due to robust feeder designs and the models only represent the high-voltage (... [more]
Comparative Analysis of Long-Distance Transportation with the Example of Sea and Rail Transport
Tomasz Neumann
April 14, 2023 (v1)
Keywords: maritime transportation, multi-criteria analysis, railway transportation
The subject of the article is a comparative long-distance transport analysis based on the relationship between central and eastern China and Poland. It provides an overview of issues related to long-haul China−Poland. The technique for order of preference by similarity to ideal solution (TOPSIS) method was proposed in the multi-criteria analysis. This method was briefly discussed, and its choice was justified. Then, the criteria adopted in the analysis were presented, i.e., time, cost, maximum number of containers, and ecology index. Multi-criteria analysis was carried out for three cases: the transport of one loading unit, 82 loading units, and 200 loading units. The geopolitical and operational situation on the transport route for the analyzed modes of transport was discussed.
Roaming Service for Electric Vehicle Charging Using Blockchain-Based Digital Identity
Joao C. Ferreira, Catarina Ferreira da Silva, Jose P. Martins
April 14, 2023 (v1)
Keywords: blockchain, electric vehicle, EV charging process, IoT, mobile app, roaming
We present a suitable approach to address the electric vehicle charging roaming problem (e-roaming). Blockchain technologies are applied to support the identity management process of users charging their vehicles and to record energy transactions securely. At the same time, off-chain cloud-based storage is used to record the transaction details. A user wallet settled on a mobile application stores user verified credentials; a backend application in the vehicle charging station validates the user credentials to authorize the energy transaction. The current model can be applied to similar contexts where the user may be required to keep several credentials from different providers to authenticate digital transactions.
The Emerging Potential of Microgrids in the Transition to 100% Renewable Energy Systems
Richard Wallsgrove, Jisuk Woo, Jae-Hyup Lee, Lorraine Akiba
April 14, 2023 (v1)
Keywords: 100%, climate change, energy justice, Hawai‘i, microgrid, Puerto Rico, renewable, renewable portfolio standard, resilience, tariff
International, national, and subnational laws and policies call for rapidly decarbonizing energy systems around the globe. This effort relies heavily on renewable electricity and calls for a transition that is: (i) flexible enough to accommodate existing and new electricity end uses and users; (ii) resilient in response to climate change and other threats to electricity infrastructure; (iii) cost-effective in comparison to alternatives; and (iv) just in the face of energy systems that are often the result of—or the cause of—procedural, distributive, and historical injustices. Acknowledging the intertwined roles of technology and policy, this work provides a cross-disciplinary review of how microgrids may contribute to renewable electricity systems that are flexible, resilient, cost-effective, and just (including illustrative examples from Korea, California, New York, the European Union, and elsewhere). Following this review of generalized microgrid characteristics, we more closely exam... [more]
CdTe-Based Thin Film Solar Cells: Past, Present and Future
Alessandro Romeo, Elisa Artegiani
April 14, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Materials
Keywords: CdTe, solar cells, thin films
CdTe is a very robust and chemically stable material and for this reason its related solar cell thin film photovoltaic technology is now the only thin film technology in the first 10 top producers in the world. CdTe has an optimum band gap for the Schockley-Queisser limit and could deliver very high efficiencies as single junction device of more than 32%, with an open circuit voltage of 1 V and a short circuit current density exceeding 30 mA/cm2. CdTe solar cells were introduced at the beginning of the 70s and they have been studied and implemented particularly in the last 30 years. The strong improvement in efficiency in the last 5 years was obtained by a new redesign of the CdTe solar cell device reaching a single solar cell efficiency of 22.1% and a module efficiency of 19%. In this paper we describe the fabrication process following the history of the solar cell as it was developed in the early years up to the latest development and changes. Moreover the paper also presents future... [more]
Optimizing Docosahexaenoic Acid (DHA) Production by Schizochytrium sp. Grown on Waste Glycerol
Natalia Kujawska, Szymon Talbierz, Marcin Dębowski, Joanna Kazimierowicz, Marcin Zieliński
April 14, 2023 (v1)
Keywords: crude glycerin, docosahexaenoic acid, Optimization, Plackett–Burman design, response surface methodology, Schizochytrium sp.
The aim of this study was to optimize biomass and docosahexaenoic acid (DHA) production by Schizochytrium sp. grown on waste glycerol as an organic carbon source. Parameters having a significant effect on biomass and DHA yields were screened using the fractional Plackett−Burman design and the response surface methodology (RSM). Schizochytrium sp. growth was most significantly influenced by crude glycerin concentration in the growth medium (150 g/dm3), process temperature (27 °C), oxygen in the bioreactor (49.99% v/v), and the concentration of peptone as a source of nitrogen (9.99 g/dm3). The process parameter values identified as optimal for producing high DHA concentrations in the biomass were as follows: glycerin concentration 149.99 g/dm3, temperature 26 °C, oxygen concentration 30% (v/v), and peptone concentration 2.21 g/dm3. The dry cell weight (DCW) obtained under actual laboratory conditions was 66.69 ± 0.66 g/dm3, i.e., 1.27% lower than the predicted value. The DHA concentratio... [more]
Evolution of Internal Stress in Heterogeneous Electrode Composite during the Drying Process
Zuoquan Zhu, Yaolong He, Hongjiu Hu, Fangzhou Zhang
April 14, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Materials
Keywords: drying stress, electrode composite, gradient distributed ingredients, viscoelasticity
The mechanical behavior of electrode composite during the drying preparation has played a crucial role in the electrochemical performance of lithium-ion batteries (LIBs). Our work aimed at developing an integrated analysis method to study the component distribution, mechanical properties, and internal stress of composite coating in the process of electrode drying. The main influence factors of drying stress were thoroughly investigated. It was found that this present model could capture not only the heterogeneity effect of inactive ingredients but also the porosity-dependent viscoelasticity of electrode composite. Meanwhile, the calculated effective modulus and stress evolution upon drying time were in acceptable accord with the experimental data. Furthermore, the rapid solidification markedly increased the drying stress in electrodes and significantly impaired the tensile strength of electrode composite due to the highly gradient distributed constituents. However, the stress level at... [more]
Examining the Linkages among Carbon Dioxide Emissions, Electricity Production and Economic Growth in Different Income Levels
George E. Halkos, Eleni-Christina Gkampoura
April 14, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Environment
Keywords: CO2 emissions, economic growth, electricity production, Environmental Kuznets Curve, fossil fuels, income levels, renewables
Our industrialized world highly depends on fossil fuels to cover its energy needs. Although fossil fuels have been linked with economic growth, their use has also been found to have severe impacts on the environment. The linkages among carbon dioxide emissions, energy consumption and economic growth have been extensively examined in the current literature. The present study focuses on electricity production from fossil fuels, as well as from renewable sources and examines their linkages with CO2 emissions and economic growth in 119 world countries of different income levels, by assessing Granger causality. In addition, the Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC) hypothesis is tested, in order to evaluate whether economic growth and carbon dioxide emissions are linked with an inverse U-shaped relationship and with an N-shape relationship in higher income levels. The EKC hypothesis is confirmed for high income and upper-middle income countries, but not for lower-middle and low income levels an... [more]
The Efficiency of Circular Economies: A Comparison of Visegrád Group Countries
Roman Lacko, Zuzana Hajduová, Marcin Zawada
April 14, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Environment
Keywords: circular economy, DEA, efficiency, visegrád group
Efficiency of circular economies is one of the most important areas of the improvement of economic growth in a circular way, that is, improving worldwide GDP. The issue of circular economies, namely their efficiency, is a current topic of evidence of many literary sources in the literature. This issue is solved in the conditions of the Czech Republic, Poland, Hungary and Slovakia. The goal of the study is to compare the circular efficiency within the Visegrád Group and efficiency of Visegrád Group countries to the European Union 28 average. Data envelopment analysis slack-based models are implemented to evaluate the output efficiencies of the selected subjects. Truncated regression is used to measure the impact of selected indicators on circular efficiency. The Visegrád Group countries are not among the most advanced in terms of recycling and the use of the circular economy, which was confirmed by this research. However, developments suggest significant improvements. The significance o... [more]
Improving Blowout Performance of the Conical Swirler Combustor by Employing Two Parts of Fuel at Low Operating Condition
Yixiang Yuan, Qinghua Zeng, Jun Yao, Yongjun Zhang, Mengmeng Zhao, Lu Zhao
April 14, 2023 (v1)
Keywords: blowout, combustor, damkohler number, fuel distribution ratio, operating condition
Aiming at the problem of the narrow combustion stability boundary, a conical swirler was designed and constructed based on the concept of fuel distribution. The blowout performance was studied at specified low operating conditions by a combination of experimental testing and numerical simulations. Research results indicate that the technique of the fuel distribution can enhance the combustion stability and widen the boundary of flameout within the range of testing conditions. The increase of the fuel distribution ratio improves the combustion stability but leads to an increase in NOx emission simultaneously. The simulation results show the increase of the fuel distribution ratio causes contact ratio increase in the area of lower reference velocity and gas temperature increase. The increased contact ratio and temperature contribute to the blowout performance enhancement, which is identical to the analysis result of the Damkohler number. The reported work in this paper has potential appl... [more]
Comparison of Two Solar Probabilistic Forecasting Methodologies for Microgrids Energy Efficiency
Luis Mazorra-Aguiar, Philippe Lauret, Mathieu David, Albert Oliver, Gustavo Montero
April 14, 2023 (v1)
Keywords: CRPS, probabilistic solar forecasting, quantile regression models
In this paper, the performances of two approaches for solar probabilistic are evaluated using a set of metrics previously tested by the meteorology verification community. A particular focus is put on several scores and the decomposition of a specific probabilistic metric: the continuous rank probability score (CRPS) as they give extensive information to compare the forecasting performance of both methodologies. The two solar probabilistic forecasting methodologies are used to produce intra-day solar forecasts with time horizons ranging from 1 h to 6 h. The first methodology is based on two steps. In the first step, we generated a point forecast for each horizon and in a second step, we use quantile regression methods to estimate the prediction intervals. The second methodology directly estimates the prediction intervals of the forecasted clear sky index distribution using past data as inputs. With this second methodology we also propose to add solar geometric angles as inputs. Overall... [more]
Hydraulic Fracturing Simulations with Real-Time Evolution of Physical Parameters
Qiuping Qin, Qingfeng Xue, Zizhuo Ma, Yikang Zheng, Hongyu Zhai
April 14, 2023 (v1)
Keywords: hydraulic fracturing, numerical simulation, physical parameter evolution
During hydraulic fracturing, expansion of internal micro-fractures deforms the rock to different extents. Numerical studies typically assume fixed parameters; however, in the field site, parameters are likely to vary. Error accumulation underlies deviation of simulation results from actual data. In this study, it was found that the mean velocity of an in-lab active source obtained from the hydraulic fracturing experiment decreased. To explain the effect of physical parameter (velocity) on numerical simulation results, we performed numerical simulations based on the extended finite element method (XFEM) of indoor hydraulic fracturing considering the velocity variation. The simulation results considering the change of the physical parameter (velocity) of the rock sample reflect the rock damage evolution more exactly. Consequently, the real-time evolution of physical parameters during hydraulic fracturing should be considered in numerical simulations. Rock damage evolution can be better c... [more]
Development of a Software Tool for Seismic Probabilistic Safety Assessment Quantification with a Sufficiently Large Number of Bins for Enhanced Accuracy
Ji Suk Kim, Man Cheol Kim
April 14, 2023 (v1)
Keywords: discretization, ground motion level, numerical method, probabilistic safety assessment, quantification, seismic risk
Quantification in seismic probabilistic safety assessment (PSA) includes the convolution of hazard and fragility curves. Because it is difficult to find the closed-form integration for the convolution of two curves, numerical methods are widely used in practice. In practical applications, the number of ground motion level bins in numerical methods is limited, and it is not clear whether the limited number of bins leads to conservative or optimistic results. In this study, the effect of the number of bins on the quantification results with simplified assumptions is investigated. It is found that the quantification results mostly decrease as the number of bins increases. To enhance accuracy in the quantification results of seismic PSA, a method and a software tool that enable a sufficiently large number of bins to be used for the quantification of seismic PSA models are developed. The application of the developed software tool to an example seismic PSA model demonstrates how the quantifi... [more]
Forecasting Models of Daily Energy Generation by PV Panels Using Fuzzy Logic
Grzegorz Dec, Grzegorz Drałus, Damian Mazur, Bogdan Kwiatkowski
April 14, 2023 (v1)
Keywords: ANFIS, forecasting, fuzzy rules, mathematical models, solar PV system
This paper contains studies of daily energy production forecasting methods for photovoltaic solar panels (PV panel) by using mathematical methods and fuzzy logic models. Mathematical models are based on analytic equations that bind PV panel power with temperature and solar radiation. In models based on fuzzy logic, we use Adaptive-network-based Fuzzy Inference Systems (ANFIS) and the zero-order Takagi-Sugeno model (TS) with specially selected linear and non-linear membership functions. The use of mentioned membership functions causes that the TS system is equivalent to a polynomial and its properties can be compared to other analytical models of PV panels found in the literature. The developed models are based on data from a real system. The accuracy of developed prognostic models is compared, and a prototype software implementing the best-performing models is presented. The software is written for a generic programmable logic controller (PLC) compliant to the IEC 61131-3 standard.
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