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Showing records 27392 to 27416 of 43292. [First] Page: 1 1093 1094 1095 1096 1097 1098 1099 1100 1101 Last
27392. LAPSE:2023.11742
Natural Ventilation and Aerosol Particles Dispersion Indoors
February 28, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Modelling and Simulations
Keywords: aerosol hazard particles, Computational Fluid Dynamics, heat transfer, indoor air quality, modelling and simulation, natural ventilation, OpenFOAM
Aerosol pollutant particles indoors significantly affect public health. The conventional wisdom is that natural ventilation will alleviate the dispersion of airborne or aerosol particles. However, we show that the problem is far more complex and that natural ventilation should be applied under specific conditions to be effective. We performed several simulations of a simplified (and easily reproducible) room with a window opening and aerosol particles stratified layers. Opening a window can scatter particles present in stratified layers indoors and potentially contribute to the degradation of indoor air quality for a significant period of time. Moreover, we show that thermal instabilities arising from the temperature gradients due to temperature differences between the indoor and outdoor environment spread the particles randomly indoors, adversely affecting air quality and architectural design. Recommendations for more efficient natural ventilation minimizing aerosol pollutant particle... [more]
27393. LAPSE:2023.11741
Development of a Simple Experimental Setup for the Study of the Formation of Dry Bands on Composite Insulators
February 27, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Modelling and Simulations
Keywords: composite insulator, dry band formation, pollution layer, thermoelectric modeling
This paper introduces a new geometry for the study of dry band formation. Firstly, a thermoelectric simulation of a 69 kV uniformly polluted composite insulator was performed. The results obtained show that thermal stress is greater at the rod surface where current density is maximum. In order to experimentally reproduce the constriction of current density lines on the insulator rod surface, which is the cause of dry band formation, the development of a new simple geometric setup, which was then tested experimentally, was proposed. For this purpose, an ESDD value corresponding to a high level of pollution was used for each polluted sample, and the samples were placed in a climate chamber at constant 90% relative humidity and a constant ambient temperature of 20 °C. Low-voltage tests permitted the determination of the wetting duration, which corresponds to the maximum surface conductance of the polluted layer. The values obtained agree with the 10−40 min duration recommended in IEC 6050... [more]
27394. LAPSE:2023.11740
Unified Fuzzy Logic Based Approach for Detection and Classification of PV Faults Using I-V Trend Line
February 27, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Process Control
Keywords: fault detection and diagnosis (FDD), fuzzy logic controller (FLC), machine learning (ML), photovoltaic (PV) systems
Solar photovoltaic PV plants worldwide are continuously monitored and carefully protected to ensure safe and reliable operation through detecting and isolating faults. Faults are very common in modern solar PV systems which interrupt normal system operation adversely affecting the performance of the PV systems. When undetected, faults not only cause significant reduction in the efficiency and life span of the PV system, but also result in damage and fire hazards compromising their reliability. Therefore, early fault detection and diagnosis of photovoltaic plants is a necessity for safe and reliable operation required for growing solar PV systems. Unfortunately, several recent fire incidents have been reported recently caused by undetected faults in solar PV systems. Motivated by this challenge, this paper, utilizing a proposed fuzzy logic algorithm, presents a novel technique for detecting and classifying faults in solar PV systems. Furthermore, the proposed method introduces fault ind... [more]
27395. LAPSE:2023.11739
Technological, Economic, Social and Environmental Barriers to Adoption of Small-Scale Biogas Plants: Case of Indonesia
February 27, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Environment
Keywords: adoption barriers, biogas adoption, developing countries, small-scale biogas
By 2025, biogas is estimated to become a larger part of Indonesia’s energy mix. Biogas is a renewable energy source that also has economic and environmental advantages. Domestic biogas generation has been embraced in Indonesia as a response to the country’s energy security concerns in rural areas. Since the 1970s, 48,038 biogas plants have been built in the region. To fully develop this technology, Indonesia must discontinue relying on fossil fuels and substitute current fossil-fuel-based energy. This article provides an overview of renewable technology in Indonesia, as well as addressing domestic energy demands and referring to existing literature on the socio-technical and socio-economic barriers to biogas adoption in Indonesia. Based on a rigorous review of 71 publications published in Web of Science (WoS) between 2010 and 2021, this study explores existing barriers for biogas adoption by summarizing the current literature from technical, economic, social and environmental perspecti... [more]
27396. LAPSE:2023.11738
Classification of Photovoltaic Failures with Hidden Markov Modeling, an Unsupervised Statistical Approach
February 27, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Numerical Methods and Statistics
Keywords: classification, failure detection, hidden Markov model, operations and maintenance, photovoltaics, unsupervised statistical learning
Failure detection methods are of significant interest for photovoltaic (PV) site operators to help reduce gaps between expected and observed energy generation. Current approaches for field-based fault detection, however, rely on multiple data inputs and can suffer from interpretability issues. In contrast, this work offers an unsupervised statistical approach that leverages hidden Markov models (HMM) to identify failures occurring at PV sites. Using performance index data from 104 sites across the United States, individual PV-HMM models are trained and evaluated for failure detection and transition probabilities. This analysis indicates that the trained PV-HMM models have the highest probability of remaining in their current state (87.1% to 93.5%), whereas the transition probability from normal to failure (6.5%) is lower than the transition from failure to normal (12.9%) states. A comparison of these patterns using both threshold levels and operations and maintenance (O&M) tickets indi... [more]
27397. LAPSE:2023.11737
Stochastic Modeling of Renewable Energy Sources for Capacity Credit Evaluation
February 27, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Energy Systems
Keywords: capacity credit, copula function, dependable capacity, reliability evaluation, Renewable and Sustainable Energy, stochastic model
In power system planning, the growth of renewable energy generation leads to several challenges including system reliability due to its intermittency and uncertainty. To quantify the relatively reliable capacity of this generation, capacity credit is usually adopted for long-term power system planning. This paper proposes an evaluation of the capacity credit of renewable energy generation using stochastic models for resource availability. Six renewable energy generation types including wind, solar PV, small hydro, biomass, biogas, and waste were considered. The proposed models are based on the stochastic process using the Wiener process and other probability distribution functions to explain the randomness of the intermittency. Moreover, for solar PV—the generation of which depends on two key random variables, namely irradiance and temperature—a copula function is used to model their joint probabilistic behavior. These proposed models are used to simulate power outputs of renewable ene... [more]
27398. LAPSE:2023.11736
Optimised Adjoint Sensitivity Analysis Using Adjoint Guided Mesh Adaptivity Applied to Neutron Detector Response Calculations
February 27, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Materials
Keywords: adjoint sensitivity analysis, Boltzmann transport equation, goal-based mesh optimisation
This article presents a new approach for the efficient calculation of sensitivities in radiation dose estimates, subject to imprecisely known nuclear material cross-section data. The method is a combined application of adjoint-based models to perform, simultaneously, both the sensitivity calculation together with optimal adaptive mesh refinement. Adjoint-based sensitivity methods are known for their efficiency since they enable sensitivities of all parameters to be formed through only two solutions to the problem. However, the efficient solutions can also be obtained by their computation on optimal meshes, here guided by goal-based adjoint approaches. It is shown that both mesh adaptivity and sensitivity can be computed by the same adjoint solution, meaning both can be performed without additional costs. A simple demonstration is presented based on the Maynard fixed-source problem where uncertainties, with respect to material cross-sections, of doses received in local regions are exami... [more]
27399. LAPSE:2023.11735
Risk Management Using Network Thinking Methodology on the Example of Rail Transport
February 27, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Numerical Methods and Statistics
Keywords: network thinking methodology, railway transport, risk, risk factors, risk management
The purpose of the article is to define the risk factors in rail transport and to show that the lack of sufficient identification of risks in individual phases affects the implementation of this type of transport. A literature study has been conducted to identify key risk factors and their impact on rail transport in Poland. For this purpose, a list of railway accidents in 2010−2020 in which people were injured, or there were significant losses in terms of the environment was presented. The realization of the objective focused on research proceedings covering the theoretical and cognitive sphere. This study included an analysis of the existing theoretical heritage in the area of risk management processes in rail transport, as well as a survey of the empirical research, which concentrated on the identification and assessment of key factors that influence the realization of rail transport in Poland. The work is of a utilitarian nature, as the need for conscious risk management has been d... [more]
27400. LAPSE:2023.11734
Optimization of Non-Uniform Perforation Parameters for Multi-Cluster Fracturing
February 27, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Modelling and Simulations
Keywords: balanced growth, multi-cluster fracturing, non-uniform perforation, numerical simulation, PSO
Stress shadowing affects the simultaneous propagation of fractures from multiple perforation clusters. Employing uniform perforation parameters for all clusters cause the unbalanced growth of fractures, which arouses the demand of optimizing non-uniform perforation parameters. An optimization workflow combining a fracture propagation model and the particle swarm optimization method (PSO) is proposed for multi-cluster fracturing in this study. The fracture model considers the coupling of rock deformation and fluid flow along the wellbore and fractures, and it is solved by using the Newton iteration method. The optimization is performed by taking the variance of multiple fracture lengths as fitness value function in the frame of the PSO method. Numerical results show that using the same spacings and perforation parameters for all clusters is detrimental to the balanced growth of multiple fractures. The variance of fracture lengths drops greatly through optimization of cluster spacings an... [more]
27401. LAPSE:2023.11733
Development of a Linear Regression Model Based on the Most Influential Predictors for a Research Office Cooling Load
February 27, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Materials
Keywords: cooling load, linear regression, radiant time series
Energy consumption in the building sector is a major concern, particularly in this time of worldwide population and energy demand increases. To reduce energy consumption due to HVAC systems in the building sector, different models based on measured data have been developed to estimate the cooling load. The purpose of this work is to develop a linear regression model for cooling load of a research room based on the radiant time series (RTS) components of the cooling load that consider the building material and the environment. Using the forward step method, linear regression models were developed for both all-seasons and seasonal data from three years of cooling load data obtained from the RTS method for a research room at Mangosuthu University of Technology (MUT), South Africa. The male and female occupants, window cooling load, and roof cooling load were found to be the most influential predictors for the cooling load model. The obtained relative errors between the best all-seasons mo... [more]
27402. LAPSE:2023.11732
A Detailed Analysis of the H.B. Robinson-2 Reactor Pressure Vessel Dosimetry Benchmark
February 27, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Modelling and Simulations
Keywords: dosimetry benchmark, H.B. Robinson-2, neutronics, nuclear safety, validation, vessel aging, vessel embrittlement
The operation of many nuclear pressurized water reactors is being extended beyond their design lifetime limit. From the perspective of possible further lifetime extension, safety requirements are a priority. Therefore, the quantification of the neutron irradiation embrittlement of the reactor pressure vessel (RPV) is an important issue, as this is a guiding parameter that influences the reactor lifetime. In this context, the Institut de Radioprotection et de Sûreté Nucléaire developed a calculation scheme for the analysis of RPV aging under neutron irradiation, named VACS (vessel aging calculation scheme). VACS couples a deterministic approach (CASMO5 and SIMULATE5) to evaluate the full-core fission neutron source term and a Monte Carlo modeling (MCNP6) approach to model the neutron attenuation from the core to sites of interest (RPV, surveillance capsules, etc.). To ensure the reliability of aging predictions, this paper describes a detailed analysis of the neutron H.B. Robinson-2 rea... [more]
27403. LAPSE:2023.11731
A Novel Electronic Wedge Brake Based on Active Disturbance Rejection Control
February 27, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Process Control
Keywords: actuator, ADRC, brake-by-wire system, electronic wedge brake, screw-driven wedge, sliding mode control, space vector pulse width modulation
The electronic wedge brake system (EWB) used in the automotive industry is a new structure designed for brake-by-wire systems. This paper proposes a novel EWB system which is mainly composed of a screw-driven wedged inner brake pad, a fixed outer brake pad, a fixed caliper-flexible brake rotor and a hybrid stepper motor. The proposed EWB system does not have a planetary gear set or a ball screw mechanism, it simplified the existing EWB systems. The proposed EWB system is designed to take advantage of the self-interlocking ability of the screw mechanism to hold the brakes with zero-overhauling and the self-energizing ability of the wedge brake pad to reduce the braking effort. In the braking phase, the screw driven wedge inner brake pad forces the flexible rotor against a fixed flat brake pad. The rotor is elastically deformed to make the contact against the fixed pad. Except for the applied force, the friction force between the brake rotor and the wedge pad exerts additional force as t... [more]
27404. LAPSE:2023.11730
Selecting and Testing of Cement-Bonded Magnetite and Chalcopyrite as Oxygen Carrier for Chemical-Looping Combustion
February 27, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Food & Agricultural Processes
Keywords: cement binder, chemical-looping combustion, copper ore, iron ore, oxygen carrier
Combining iron and copper ores can generate an oxygen carrier that has a synergic effect of high temperature resistance and high reactivity. In this work, typical cements available in the market were studied as binders to bind magnetite and chalcopyrite to develop a suitable oxygen carrier for chemical-looping combustion (CLC). A first selection step suggested that an aluminate cement, namely CA70, could favor the generation of oxygen carrier particles having good crushing strength, good particle yield, and high reactivity. The CA70-bonded oxygen carrier was then subjected to cyclic tests with CH4, CO, and H2 in reduction and in air oxidation at temperatures of 850, 900, and 950 °C with gas concentrations of 5, 10, 15, and 20% in a batch-fluidized bed reactor. The increase in temperature promoted the fuel conversion. At 950 °C, the conversions of CH4 and CO reached up to 80.4% and 99.2%, respectively. During more than 30 cycles, the oxygen carrier kept a similar reactivity to the fresh... [more]
27405. LAPSE:2023.11729
Parametric Study on Thermo-Hydraulic Performance of NACA Airfoil Fin PCHEs Channels
February 27, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Energy Systems
Keywords: micro gas turbine recuperator, NACA airfoil fins, parametric study, printed circuit heat exchanger, thermo-hydraulic
In this work, a discontinuous airfoil fin printed circuit heat exchanger (PCHE) was used as a recuperator in a micro gas turbine system. The effects of the airfoil fin geometry parameters (arc height, maximum arc height position, and airfoil thickness) and the airfoil fin arrangements (horizontal and vertical spacings) on the PCHE channel’s thermo-hydraulic performance were extensively examined by a numerical parametric study. The flow features, local heat transfer coefficient, and wall shear stress were examined in detail to obtain an enhanced heat transfer mechanism for a better PCHE design. The results show that the heat transfer and flow resistance were mainly increased at the airfoil leading edge owing to a flow jet, whereas the airfoil trailing edge had little effect on the thermo-hydraulic performance. The airfoil thickness was the most significant while the arc height and the vertical spacing were moderately significant to the performance. Moreover, only the airfoil thickness h... [more]
27406. LAPSE:2023.11728
Mechanism of Methane Adsorption/Desorption in Low-Rank Vitrain and Durain Coal Affected by Pore Structure and Wettability: A Case Study in Dafosi Area, South Ordos Basin, China
February 27, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Materials
Keywords: adsorption heat, coal reservoir, Dafosi, desorption hysteresis, methane, wettability
Water content and water−coal interface wettability are always the difficult issues of coalbed methane adsorption/desorption. In order to study the effects of the pore structure and wettability of different macro coal components on methane adsorption and desorption, we compared and analyzed the wettability difference between vitrain and durain, and revealed the influence of wettability on methane adsorption and desorption through a pore structure analysis, wettability measurements, an adsorption−desorption experiment and adsorption heat calculations under different conditions, taking the No. 4 coal in Dafosi Coal Mine of the Huanglong coalfield as the research object. The results show that both vitrain and durain are relatively hydrophilic substances. However, vitrain has a low ash content, high volatility, and less oxygen, and the pores are mainly semi-closed pores compared with dark coal. Vitrain also has poor connectivity, poor sorting, a small pore diameter, and a coarser surface, r... [more]
27407. LAPSE:2023.11727
Green Energy: New Opportunities or Challenges to Energy Security for the Common Electricity Market of the Eurasian Economic Union Countries
February 27, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Energy Systems
Keywords: common electricity market (CEM), energy generation forecast, Eurasian Economic Union (EAEU), green energy, renewable energy sources (RES)
The article discusses alternatives to the development of the common electricity market of the Eurasian Economic Union countries. In the study, the authors identified three tasks: to analyze the process of forming a unified energy market for the EAEU countries; to assess the achievability of indicators of “greening” the economy of the EAEU countries according to the adopted Millennium Goals by 2025 and 2030; and to consider the impact of various factors on the development of the common electricity market of the Eurasian Economic Union countries in the conditions of the current economic crisis. The research hypothesis suggests that the energy unification of the countries will not lead to the abandonment of the use of traditional energy resources, but the need to increase the efficiency and environmental friendliness of their use will come into focus, and the active inclusion of the electric power industry in modern global “green” trends based on the development of renewable energy genera... [more]
27408. LAPSE:2023.11726
Modeling of an Elastocaloric Cooling System for Determining Efficiency
February 27, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Modelling and Simulations
Keywords: analytic model, efficiency, elastocaloric cooling, latent heat transfer, shape memory alloy, Simulation
When it comes to covering the growing demand for cooling power worldwide, elastocalorics offer an environmentally friendly alternative to compressor-based cooling technology. The absence of harmful and flammable coolants makes elastocalorics suitable for energy applications such as battery cooling. Initial prototypes of elastocaloric systems, which transport heat by means of thermal conduction or convection, have already been developed. A particularly promising solution is the active elastocaloric heat pipe (AEH), which works with latent heat transfer by the evaporation and condensation of a fluid. This enables a fast and efficient heat transfer in a compression-based elastocaloric cooling system. In this publication, we present a simulation model of the AEH based on MATLAB-Simulink. The model showed very good agreement with the experimental data pertaining to the maximum temperature span and maximum cooling power. Hereby, non-measurable variables such as efficiency and heat fluxes in... [more]
27409. LAPSE:2023.11725
Control Strategy of Dual-Winding Motor for Vehicle Electro-Hydraulic Braking Systems
February 27, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Process Control
Keywords: automotive vehicle, dual electronic control units, dual-winding permanent magnet synchronous motor, electro-hydraulic brake, functional safety, motor control, pressure control, redundant brake system
The electro-hydraulic brake (EHB) system of a vehicle should operate normally under all circumstances to ensure automotive safety. This redundant system guarantees the minimum required performance in the event of a critical failure of the brake system. In this study, we propose a redundant motor control strategy for the EHB to fully realize a functional safety design. The EHB system is composed of two identical electronic control units (ECUs), a dual three-phase dual-winding permanent magnet synchronous motor (DW-PMSM), and hydraulic components to generate brake pressure through the movement of an actuator. First, we propose a method to acquire the necessary motor current for generating brake pressure. Second, we present an initial driving method for the DW-PMSM for achieving stability before generating the braking pressure that involves setting the actuator’s origin position without a position sensor. Lastly, we describe a redundant motor control strategy for continuous brake operatio... [more]
27410. LAPSE:2023.11724
Physics-Based Method for Generating Fully Synthetic IV Curve Training Datasets for Machine Learning Classification of PV Failures
February 27, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Numerical Methods and Statistics
Keywords: IV curves, neural networks, photovoltaic systems, Simulation
Classification machine learning models require high-quality labeled datasets for training. Among the most useful datasets for photovoltaic array fault detection and diagnosis are module or string current-voltage (IV) curves. Unfortunately, such datasets are rarely collected due to the cost of high fidelity monitoring, and the data that is available is generally not ideal, often consisting of unbalanced classes, noisy data due to environmental conditions, and few samples. In this paper, we propose an alternate approach that utilizes physics-based simulations of string-level IV curves as a fully synthetic training corpus that is independent of the test dataset. In our example, the training corpus consists of baseline (no fault), partial soiling, and cell crack system modes. The training corpus is used to train a 1D convolutional neural network (CNN) for failure classification. The approach is validated by comparing the model’s ability to classify failures detected on a real, measured IV... [more]
27411. LAPSE:2023.11723
Criticalities of the Outdoor Infrared Inspection of Photovoltaic Modules by Means of Drones
February 27, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Energy Systems
Keywords: defects detection, emissivity, European Aviation Safety Agency, Federal Aviation Administration, infrared analysis, photovoltaic modules, unmanned aerial vehicle, view angle
Photovoltaic plants are helping to reduce CO2 emissions, but the energy performance of photovoltaic systems must remain high throughout their operational life. Supervision and monitoring are mandatory for large photovoltaic plants because failures can cause high power losses due to the large number of photovoltaic modules. Infrared analysis is effective and reliable in detecting anomalies or failures in photovoltaic modules, but it is time-consuming and expensive when the infrared inspection of large photovoltaic plants is manual. Nowadays, the diffusion of unmanned aerial vehicles equipped with infrared cameras can support the fast supervision of photovoltaic plants. Nevertheless, the use of drones is regulated by international and national rules; consequently, it is not always possible to use a drone, or its utilization is limited based on geographic areas and/or authorizations. Moreover, infrared analysis requires additional requirements when done by drone, because the mutual positi... [more]
27412. LAPSE:2023.11722
A Balancing Method for Multi-Disc Flexible Rotors without Trial Weights
February 27, 2023 (v1)
Subject: System Identification
Keywords: balance, rotor-bearing system, unbalance identification, vibration
Rotor dynamic balancing is a classical problem. Traditional balancing methods such as the influence coefficient method and the modal balancing method, have low balancing efficiency because they need to run many times to add trial weights. Although the model-based balancing method improves the balancing efficiency, it cannot accurately identify the position, amplitude and phase of each unbalance fault for rotors with multi-disc structures, so it is difficult to apply it to actual balancing. To solve the above problems, based on the traditional modal balancing theory, this paper deduces that the continuous and isolated unbalance in the rotor-bearing system can be represented by isolated unbalance on several balancing planes approximately. The model-based method is used to identify the above-mentioned equivalent isolated unbalances, and then the corrected mass is added to the balancing planes so as to complete the balance of multiple flexible rotor without trial weights. Considering the p... [more]
27413. LAPSE:2023.11721
Enhancement of Anaerobic Digestion with Nanomaterials: A Mini Review
February 27, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Materials
Keywords: anaerobic digestion, biogas, metallic nanoparticles, methane, nanomaterials, operation mode
In recent years, the number of articles reporting the addition of nanomaterials to enhance the process of anaerobic digestion has exponentially increased. The benefits of this addition can be observed from different aspects: an increase in biogas production, enrichment of methane in biogas, elimination of foaming problems, a more stable and robust operation, absence of inhibition problems, etc. In the literature, one of the current focuses of research on this topic is the mechanism responsible for this enhancement. In this sense, several hypotheses have been formulated, with the effect on the redox potential caused by nanoparticles probably being the most accepted, although supplementation with trace materials coming from nanomaterials and the changes in microbial populations have been also highlighted. The types of nanomaterials tested for the improvement of anaerobic digestion is today very diverse, although metallic and, especially, iron-based nanoparticles, are the most frequently... [more]
27414. LAPSE:2023.11720
Cluster Analysis of the EU-27 Countries in Light of the Guiding Principles of the European Green Deal, with Particular Emphasis on Poland
February 27, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Environment
Keywords: ARIMA model, cluster analysis, forecasting, GIS
The article presents a cluster analysis of the EU-27 countries. The clusters were built to identify groups of countries similar to each other in relation to the set of Eurostat indicators from the Climate Change Drivers and Environment and Energy sections. During the research, tools of spatial information systems were used, such as cluster analysis, diagram maps, rasterization and the TSA method. ARIMA prediction models were also used. The research aims to verify our hypotheses. Particular attention was paid to Poland; therefore, it was verified whether the composition of the country’s energy mix translated into excessive emissions of pollutants in relation to other EU countries. Furthermore, the level of integration of energy markets in the European Union and its changes over time were examined. The authors also proposed a methodology to create detailed energy and climate strategies for designated clusters. The results of the presented research are particularly important in light of r... [more]
27415. LAPSE:2023.11719
On Hourly Forecasting Heating Energy Consumption of HVAC with Recurrent Neural Networks
February 27, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Numerical Methods and Statistics
Keywords: district heating, Energy Efficiency, HVAC, Machine Learning, recurrent neural networks
Optimizing the heating, ventilation, and air conditioning (HVAC) system to minimize district heating usage in large groups of managed buildings is of the utmost important, and it requires a machine learning (ML) model to predict the energy consumption. An industrial use case to reach large building groups is restricted to using normal operational data in the modeling, and this is one reason for the low utilization of ML in HVAC optimization. We present a methodology to select the best-fitting ML model on the basis of both Bayesian optimization of black-box models for defining hyperparameters and a fivefold cross-validation for the assessment of each model’s predictive performance. The methodology was tested in one case study using normal operational data, and the model was applied to analyze the energy savings in two different practical scenarios. The software for the modeling is published on GitHub. The results were promising in terms of predicting the energy consumption, and one of t... [more]
27416. LAPSE:2023.11718
An Annual Electric Energy Trade Scheduling Model under the Dual Track Mode
February 27, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Planning & Scheduling
Keywords: annual electric energy trade scheduling, double-track operation, high penetration of clean energy
The annual electricity trade scheduling is the basis of long-term power generation scheduling. In recent decades, the ratio of new energy generation in China has increased annually, and the electricity market has operated under the “market electricity” and “planned electricity” double track mode in recent years. However, the existing annual electricity trade scheduling methods are extensive and cannot adapt to the new situation of “market electricity” and large-scale new energy generation. The annual scheduled energy of the power units is set as a decision variable, and a novel annual energy scheduling optimization model based on Gini coefficient of fairness is presented in this paper. In this model, “market electricity” capacity is conversed monthly, considering peaking reserve demand and monthly characteristics of new energy generation. The fairness constraint set based on Gini coefficient is introduced into the optimization model to solve various fairness problems. Simulation result... [more]
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