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Showing records 26145 to 26169 of 43292. [First] Page: 1 1043 1044 1045 1046 1047 1048 1049 1050 1051 Last
26145. LAPSE:2023.12989
Modeling and Analysis of the Harmonic Interaction between Grid-Connected Inverter Clusters and the Utility Grid
February 28, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Modelling and Simulations
Keywords: harmonic interaction, output impedance, resonance, virtual synchronous generator
The virtual synchronous generator (VSG) is a promising technology for future utility grids, since it can mimic the output characteristics of a synchronous generator, which provides the necessary inertia to a utility grid. However, the large-scale application of VSGs is limited due to the harmonic interaction between VSGs and the utility grid. Therefore, in order to investigate the stability issue as well as improve the practical application for large-scale power stations, the harmonic interaction mechanism between the VSG cluster and the utility grid is addressed. Firstly, the output impedance model of a single VSG is established, and it is found that the resonance frequency is related to parameters including the output filter, controller, and grid impedance. On this basis, the capacitor current control for a grid-connected inverter based on a VSG is proposed to enhance the resonance suppression. Furthermore, the output impedance of the VSG cluster is established, which reveals the har... [more]
26146. LAPSE:2023.12988
Load Frequency Control (LFC) Strategies in Renewable Energy-Based Hybrid Power Systems: A Review
February 28, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Numerical Methods and Statistics
Keywords: artificial neural networks, load frequency control, multi-area power system, multistage controllers, optimization algorithms, renewable energy systems, single-area power system, sliding mode controller
The hybrid power system is a combination of renewable energy power plants and conventional energy power plants. This integration causes power quality issues including poor settling times and higher transient contents. The main issue of such interconnection is the frequency variations caused in the hybrid power system. Load Frequency Controller (LFC) design ensures the reliable and efficient operation of the power system. The main function of LFC is to maintain the system frequency within safe limits, hence keeping power at a specific range. An LFC should be supported with modern and intelligent control structures for providing the adequate power to the system. This paper presents a comprehensive review of several LFC structures in a diverse configuration of a power system. First of all, an overview of a renewable energy-based power system is provided with a need for the development of LFC. The basic operation was studied in single-area, multi-area and multi-stage power system configura... [more]
26147. LAPSE:2023.12987
Closed-Loop Adaptive High-Starting Torque Scalar Control Scheme for Induction Motor Variable Speed Drives
February 28, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Process Control
Keywords: adaptive control, induction motors, nonlinear dynamical systems, variable speed drives
This article proposes a closed-loop (CL) high-starting torque (HST) scalar control scheme (SCS) for induction motors (IM). It endows the recently proposed HST-SCS with high-output torque capability beyond starting after using an outer speed control loop feeding an inner current control loop with adaptive controllers. Presenting a cascade normalized adaptive passivity-based controller (N-APBC) for nonlinear systems encompassing the IM allows obtaining this result. It extends the normalized adaptive controller for the cascade case. As a result, it keeps the HST-SCS simple control scheme without needing variable observers or parameter estimators and employing tuning information only from the motor nameplate and datasheet. Test bench experiments with a 10 HP motor validate the proposal’s effectiveness. Comparative experimental results show that the CL HST-SCS has a required stator phase voltage lower than HST-SCS. The CL HST-SCS applies the adaptive starting voltage curve for a more extend... [more]
26148. LAPSE:2023.12986
Evaluation of the Effects of Using the Giant Miscanthus (Miscanthus × Giganteus) Biomass in Various Energy Conversion Processes
February 28, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Energy Systems
Keywords: anaerobic digestion, Biomass, combustion, energy value, energy yield, giant miscanthus, heating boilers fouling
The giant miscanthus (Miscanthus × giganteus) is one of the most essential energy plants. It also finds various alternative uses, including installing belts to prevent soil erosion. Biomass from such belts should be removed and rationally managed every year. The parameters of miscanthus biomass were investigated in terms of its suitability for combustion and anaerobic fermentation. Under the conditions of the experiment, miscanthus achieved a stable yield already in the second year of vegetation, mainly due to the high planting density. Energy parameters turned out to be typical for straw biomass (calorific value 18.06 MJ/kg). Relatively low ash melting temperatures (<1400 °C) and their chemical composition meant a high risk of contamination depositing on heating devices, which is often indicated as a shortcoming of biomass compared to hard coal. Miscanthus silage can be a valuable substrate for anaerobic digestion, but it requires a sufficiently early harvest, which affects the yie... [more]
26149. LAPSE:2023.12985
A Hybrid Feature Selection Framework Using Improved Sine Cosine Algorithm with Metaheuristic Techniques
February 28, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Optimization
Keywords: feature selection, metaheuristic sine cosine algorithm (SCA), multilevel regulator
Feature selection is the procedure of extracting the optimal subset of features from an elementary feature set, to reduce the dimensionality of the data. It is an important part of improving the classification accuracy of classification algorithms for big data. Hybrid metaheuristics is one of the most popular methods for dealing with optimization issues. This article proposes a novel feature selection technique called MetaSCA, derived from the standard sine cosine algorithm (SCA). Founded on the SCA, the golden sine section coefficient is added, to diminish the search area for feature selection. In addition, a multi-level adjustment factor strategy is adopted to obtain an equilibrium between exploration and exploitation. The performance of MetaSCA was assessed using the following evaluation indicators: average fitness, worst fitness, optimal fitness, classification accuracy, average proportion of optimal feature subsets, feature selection time, and standard deviation. The performance w... [more]
26150. LAPSE:2023.12984
Evaluation of the Performance Degradation of a Metal Hydride Tank in a Real Fuel Cell Electric Vehicle
February 28, 2023 (v1)
Subject: System Identification
Keywords: fuel cell electric vehicle, hydrogen storage, metal hydride, optimisation algorithm, parameter identification
In a fuel cell electric vehicle (FCEV) powered by a metal hydride tank, the performance of the tank is an indicator of the overall health status, which is used to predict its behaviour and make appropriate energy management decisions. The aim of this paper is to investigate how to evaluate the effects of charge/discharge cycles on the performance of a commercial automotive metal hydride hydrogen storage system applied to a real FCEV. For this purpose, a mathematical model is proposed based on uncertain physical parameters that are identified using the stochastic particle swarm optimisation (PSO) algorithm combined with experimental measurements. The variation of these parameters allows an assessment of the degradation level of the tank’s performance on both the quantitative and qualitative aspects. Simulated results derived from the proposed model and experimental measurements were in good agreement, with a maximum relative error of less than 2%. The validated model was used to establi... [more]
26151. LAPSE:2023.12983
The Thermochemical Conversion of Forestry Residues from Silver Fir (Abies alba Mill.) by Torrefaction and Pyrolysis
February 28, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Materials
Keywords: coniferous waste, energy density, thermal valorization, thermogravimetry
Forestry residue is a renewable energy biomass whose valorization has increased due to the interest in replacing exhaustible and environmentally unfriendly fossil resources. Needles, cones and bark from silver fir were thermally processed by separated and combined torrefaction (250 °C) and pyrolysis (550 °C). The torrefaction removed the humidity and extractives and degraded the hemicelluloses, significantly decreasing the oxygen content to ~11 wt% and increasing the carbon content to ~80 wt%, while enhancing the calorific value of the solids (~32 MJ/kg). The pyrolysis produced solid materials with high amounts of fixed carbon (~60−70 wt%) and high heating values, of ~29 MJ/kg. The combined torrefaction + pyrolysis increased the energy yield of the process and decreased the O/C and H/C atomic ratios to about 0.1 and 0.5, respectively, which is close to those of coals. It also led to condensable products with more homogeneously distributed compounds, regardless of the initial biomass ty... [more]
26152. LAPSE:2023.12982
AIS-Based Estimation of Hydrogen Demand and Self-Sufficient Fuel Supply Systems for RoPax Ferries
February 28, 2023 (v1)
Subject: System Identification
Keywords: alternative marine fuels, emissions reduction, hydrogen technologies, ship energy use estimation
The International Maritime Organization (IMO) established new strategies that could lead to a significant reduction in the carbon footprint of the shipping sector to address global warming. A major factor in achieving this goal is transitioning to renewable fuels. This implies a challenge, as not only ship-innovative solutions but also a complete low-carbon fuel supply chain must be implemented. This work provides a method enabling the exploration of the potential of low-carbon fuel technologies for specific shipping routes up to larger sea regions. Several aspects including vessel sizes, impact of weather and shipping routes, emissions savings and costs are considered. The local energy use is determined with proven bottom-up prediction methods based on ship positioning data from the Automatic Identification System (AIS) in combination with weather and ship technical data. This methodology was extended by an approach to the generation of a basic low-carbon fuel system topology that ena... [more]
26153. LAPSE:2023.12981
Multi-Criteria Selection of Waste-to-Energy Technologies for Slum/Informal Settlements Using the PROMETHEE Technique: A Case Study of the Greater Karu Urban Area in Nigeria
February 28, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Environment
Keywords: informal waste, MCDM, PROMETHEE, slum electrification, waste to energy
Slum/informal settlements are an integral part of a city, with a population projected to reach 3 billion by 2030. It is also expected that the rate of waste generation will more than triple by 2050 in the cities of low-income countries of sub-Saharan Africa. At this rate, the risk to the environment and health of inhabitants are enormous, because the current waste management practices are not guided by legislation on proper use and disposal. This paper proposes the conversion of waste to energy as a solution to this problem. The aim of this study is to apply the PROMETHEE technique with a combination weighting method to obtain the most appropriate waste-to-energy technology for the slum/informal settlements of the Greater Karu Urban area in Nigeria. The findings reveal that the gasification technology outperformed the other technologies, and the affordability of electricity supply from this technology was determined by a general survey conducted on the slum/informal settlements.
26154. LAPSE:2023.12980
Enhanced Reactive Power Sharing and Voltage Restoration Based on Adaptive Virtual Impedance and Consensus Algorithm
February 28, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Energy Management
Keywords: consensus control, distributed generation, droop control, dSPACE controller, microgrids, virtual impedance
In this paper, power-sharing management control on an AC islanded microgrid is investigated to achieve accurate reactive power sharing. The droop control method is primarily used to manage the active and reactive power sharing among the DGs in the microgrid. However, the line impedance mismatch causes unbalanced reactive power sharing. As a solution a consensus-based adaptive virtual impedance controller is proposed, where the consensus algorithm is used to set the reactive power mismatch; then a virtual impedance correction term is generated through a proportional-integral controller to eliminate the line impedance mismatch. Thus, reactive power sharing is achieved without knowledge of the line impedances or using a central controller. Moreover, the consensus algorithm is used to restore the AC bus voltage to the nominal value by estimating the DGs average voltage using neighbor communication to compensate for the decreased magnitude of the voltage reference. Matlab/Simulink is used t... [more]
26155. LAPSE:2023.12979
Study on the Influence of Organic−Inorganic Interface Properties on Breakdown Strength and Thermal Properties of MgO/PLA Composites
February 28, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Modelling and Simulations
Keywords: electrical strength, MgO, molecular dynamics simulation, polylactic acid, thermal properties
Polylactic acid (PLA) is expected to be widely used in green power equipment manufacturing due to its good mechanical properties and biodegradability. In this paper, the effects of MgO with different particle sizes and mass fractions on the thermal and electrical properties of PLA composites were studied. The experiment found that with the increase in MgO particle sizes and mass fractions, the thermal conductivity of MgO/PLA composites showed a rising trend, which was up to 165.4% higher than that of pure PLA. However, the heat resistance first increases and then decreases. For the electrical properties of MgO/PLA composites, the breakdown strength and volume resistivity decrease with an increase in MgO particle size and mass fraction. In order to further study the influence mechanism of the introduction of MgO with different particle sizes and mass fractions on the thermal and electrical properties of MgO/PLA composites, molecular dynamics simulation was used to simulate the glass tra... [more]
26156. LAPSE:2023.12978
Role of On-Site Generation in Carbon Emissions and Utility Bill Savings under Different Electric Grid Scenarios
February 28, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Environment
Keywords: buildings, carbon footprint, electrical efficiency, Energy Storage, heat pumps, hybrid power generation
Energy-efficient and sustainable technologies are necessary to lower energy and carbon footprints. Many technologies are being pursued to meet the increasing energy demand in buildings. An attractive option is efficient utilization of available energy resources, including renewables, to support current and future building energy needs while targeting grid resiliency, energy, and environmental security at an affordable cost via on-site cogeneration-based approaches. This must include energy-efficient technologies with lower greenhouse gas emissions and optimized cost, performance, and reliability. This paper presents the economic and environmental benefits associated with power technologies such as thermionics and solid oxide fuel cells. Hybrid configurations consisting of heat pumps, power systems, and renewable photovoltaics in cogeneration and trigeneration modes of operation are presented. The role of such technologies in lowering CO2 emissions while improving energy resiliency and... [more]
26157. LAPSE:2023.12977
Advances in Automated Driving Systems
February 28, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Energy Systems
Electrification, automation of vehicle control, digitalization and new mobility are the mega trends in automotive engineering and they are strongly connected to each other [...]
26158. LAPSE:2023.12976
Blockage Corrections for Tidal Turbines—Application to an Array of Turbines in the Alderney Race
February 28, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Energy Systems
Keywords: actuator disk, Alderney Race, blockage, Telemac3D, tidal turbine
Tidal turbines are located in shallow water depths in comparison to their dimensions (15 m-diameter turbines in 40 m depths, typically). Constrained vertically by the water depth and laterally by neighbouring turbines, the flow within a tidal farm is subjected to blockage effects that influence the performance of individual devices. The Betz limit (which is the maximum power extractable from an unconstrained flow) can, therefore, be exceeded as demonstrated by Garrett and Cummins. Thus, beyond a significant blockage ratio, blockage effects should be considered when assessing the energy production of a tidal farm. The actuator disk method is particularly suited to simulate the flow field within an array of turbines under realistic tidal flow conditions. However, the implementation of actuator disks in coastal numerical models relies on relationships that neglect the blockage effects on the thrust and power of devices. We propose here an actuator disk formulation corrected to integrate t... [more]
26159. LAPSE:2023.12975
Effect of In-Pore Wettability on Mass Transfer Performance of Fuel Cell Gas Diffusion Layer
February 28, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Energy Systems
Keywords: fuel cell, mass transfer, wettability
The gas diffusion layer (GDL), as the main mass transfer carrier in a hydrogen fuel cell, transports fuel and discharges water, the only by-product of the electrochemical reaction. The dispersion process of water in the pore will hinder the diffusion of gas, thus reducing the concentration of fuel gas at the catalytic site, resulting in the decrease of the electrochemical reaction rate. In this paper, the effect of wettability in the GDL hole on the water transport process is studied. When the pore wall is hydrophilic, the liquid phase is affected by the gas phase eddy current velocity field, and the particles at the center advance to the edge, forming a liquid phase interface with a thin center and thick edge. With the increase of the wall contact angle, the curvature of the three-phase interface increases, the wall adhesion decreases, and the liquid phase is more likely to be discharged. When the contact angle is 130°, the liquid phase almost does not shift in the hole with a radius... [more]
26160. LAPSE:2023.12974
A Catalytic Effectiveness Factor for a Microbial Electrolysis Cell Biofilm Model
February 28, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Energy Systems
Keywords: biofilm, biohydrogen, effectiveness factor, microbial electrolysis cell, Modelling
The aim of this work is to propose a methodology to obtain an effectiveness factor for biofilm in a microbial electrolysis cell (MEC) system and use it to reduce a partial differential equation (PDE) biofilm MEC model to an ordinary differential equation (ODE) MEC model. The biofilm mass balances of the different species are considered. In addition, it is considered that all the involved microorganisms are attached to the anodic biological film. Three effectiveness factors are obtained from partial differential equations describing the spatial distributions of potential and substrate in the biofilm. Then, a model reduction is carried out using the global mass balances of the different species in the system. The reduced model with three uncertain but bounded effectiveness factors is evaluated numerically and analyzed in the sense of stability and parametric sensibility to demonstrate its applicability. The reduced ODE model is compared with a validated model taken from the literature, a... [more]
26161. LAPSE:2023.12973
Application of Microalgae Biomass for Biodiesel Fuel Production
February 28, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Energy Systems
Keywords: biodiesel, microalgal biomass, oil extraction, properties, transesterification
Recently, there has been a growing interest in the use of new types of cheaper raw materials for biodiesel production. There are many prospects for microalgae, which do not compete for land with conventional biodiesel raw materials, are characterized by rapid reproduction and high biomass accumulation, and under certain conditions, some are able to accumulate a large amount of oil. A number of studies have been conducted on the extraction of oil from microalgae cells and transesterification with various acyl receptors. This paper provides an overview of the results of research on microalgal biomass preparation and oil extraction. Indicators of the quality of the oil are presented and its suitability for biodiesel synthesis is analyzed. The homogeneous and heterogeneous catalysts used for oil transesterification are described and the optimal conditions of the process when using various alcohols as acyl receptors are presented. Much attention is paid to the parameters affecting the trans... [more]
26162. LAPSE:2023.12972
Power Production from Produced Waters via Reverse Electrodialysis: A Preliminary Assessment
February 28, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Environment
Keywords: energy production, ion exchange membranes, membrane fouling, membranes technology, produced water, wastewater valorization
Wastewaters generated by crude oil extraction processes, called “produced waters” (PWs), are complex solutions that contain organic compounds, mainly hydrocarbons, and often exhibit high salinity. The large amounts of PWs represent a global issue because of their environmental impact. An approach widely used in the oil industry is the reinjection of this wastewater into the extraction wells after a suitable treatment. The high salt concentration of such solutions may be used in salinity gradient technologies to produce green electricity. Among these technologies, reverse electrodialysis (RED) is one of the most promising. In this work, the application of RED for energy generation from two different real oil industry brines was investigated. An experimental campaign was performed by testing 10 × 10 cm2 units in long-run continuous operations, monitoring the performance for more than 25 days. Fouling phenomena, occurring during the continuous operation, decrease the unit performance and... [more]
26163. LAPSE:2023.12971
A Critical Review of Modular Multilevel Converter Configurations and Submodule Topologies from DC Fault Blocking and Ride-Through Capabilities Viewpoints for HVDC Applications
February 28, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Process Control
Keywords: bipolar SM, DC fault blocking submodule (SM), fault ride-through (FRT), high voltage direct current (HVDC) transmission, modular multilevel converter (MMC), static synchronous compensator (STATCOM)
Modular multilevel converters (MMCs) based on half-bridge submodules (HBSMs) are unable to prevent the AC side contribution to DC side fault currents, thus necessitating circuit breakers (CBs) for protection. A solution to this problem is using submodules (SMs) that are capable of blocking the flow of current from the AC grid to feed the DC side fault. The full-bridge submodule (FBSM) is one type of fault blocking SM where the presence of two extra switches ensures that in the event of a DC fault, the reverse voltage from the FBSM capacitor is placed in the path of the AC side current feeding the DC side fault through the antiparallel diodes. However, the additional semiconductor switches in the FBSMs increase the converter cost, complexity, and losses. Several SM configurations have been proposed in recent years that provide DC fault blocking capability with lower losses and device counts than those of FBSMs. Besides, many of the proposed hybrid converter configurations that combine d... [more]
26164. LAPSE:2023.12970
Thermal—Airflow Coupling in Hourly Energy Simulation of a Building with Natural Stack Ventilation
February 28, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Modelling and Simulations
Keywords: 5R1C model, buoyancy, EN ISO 13790, natural ventilation, ping-pong method, stack effect
Natural ventilation dominates in Polish residential buildings. It is a simple and low-cost system but its performance is affected by varying environmental conditions. Hence, setting up constant ventilation airflow results in errors when calculating heating and cooling energy. In this paper, an attempt to integrate the buoyancy effect in natural ventilation of a residential building at hourly resolution with the hourly simulation method of EN ISO 13790 to obtain energy use for space heating and cooling is presented. The ping-pong coupling algorithm was proposed and applied. Hourly variation of ventilation airflow rate was from −26.8 m3/h (flow from outdoor to the interior of the building) to 87.2 m3/h with 55 m3/h on average. The lack of a cooling system resulted in overheating during summer and indicated the necessity of its application or use of other techniques to reduce solar gains. Application of the cooling system resulted in an hourly ventilation rate from −38.0 m3/h to 87.2 m3/h... [more]
26165. LAPSE:2023.12969
A Core Damage Constitutive Model for the Time-Dependent Creep and Relaxation Behavior of Coal
February 28, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Energy Systems
Keywords: Coal, constitutive model, creep, damage, rock mechanics, stress relaxation
The creep and stress relaxation behaviors of coal are common in coal mining. The unified constitutive model is suitable to describe and predict both the creep and relaxation evolution characteristics of rocks. The generalized Kelvin model is the core element for traditional and improved component models to reflect both the nonlinear creep and relaxation. In this paper, an improved core damage model, which could both reflect the creep and stress relaxation in relation to the damage evolution, was established based on a comparison of the traditional and improved component models, and the responding constitutive equations (creep and stress relaxation equation) at constant stress/strain were deduced. Then, the core damage model was validated to the uniaxial compressive multistage creep and stress relaxation test results of coal, showing that the model curves had great accordance with the experimental data. Moreover, the model comparisons on accuracy, parameter meaning, and popularization a... [more]
26166. LAPSE:2023.12968
BIPV Modeling with Artificial Neural Networks: Towards a BIPV Digital Twin
February 28, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Modelling and Simulations
Keywords: ANN in PV modeling, BIPV, digital twin in PV, Machine Learning, partial shading of PV arrays, PV modeling
Modeling the photovoltaic (PV) energy output with high accuracy is essential for predicting and analyzing the performance of a PV system. In the particular cases of building-integrated and building-attached photovoltaic systems (BIPV and BAPV, respectively) the time-varying partial shading conditions are a relevant added difficulty for modeling the PV power conversion. The availability of laser imaging detection and ranging (LIDAR) data to create very-high-resolution elevation digital models can be effectively used for computing the shading at high resolution. In this work, an artificial neural network (ANN) has been used to model the power generation of different BIPV arrays on a 5 min basis using the meteorological and solar irradiance on-site conditions, as well as the shading patterns estimated from a digital surface model as inputs. The ANN model has been validated using three years of 5-min-basis monitored data showing very high accuracy (6−16% of relative error depending on the... [more]
26167. LAPSE:2023.12967
An Assessment Method for the Impact of Electric Vehicle Participation in V2G on the Voltage Quality of the Distribution Network
February 28, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Energy Management
Keywords: Latin hypercube sampling, probabilistic current, V2G, voltage mass
In order to further evaluate the impact of vehicle-to-grid (V2G) on the distribution network, this paper studies a method to assess the influence of electric vehicles participating in charge and discharge on the voltage quality of the distribution network. First, considering the state of charge of the EV, the participation of the owner and other factors, the charging and discharging model is built. Then, the probabilistic power flow calculation based on Latin hypercube sampling is used to obtain the probability distribution of the voltage amplitude of the charge and discharge load connected to the distribution network, and finally the evaluation index is established to quantify and calculate the voltage quality of the distribution network participating in the V2G process of electric vehicles. Simulation results show that the evaluation method has the advantage of fast calculation speed while ensuring known accuracy, introduces the probability distribution of expected value and variance... [more]
26168. LAPSE:2023.12966
Design of a Deflection Switched Reluctance Motor Control System Based on a Flexible Neural Network
February 28, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Numerical Methods and Statistics
Keywords: deflection type, flexible neural network, fuzzy controller, switched reluctance motor
Deflection switched reluctance motors (DSRM) are prone to chattering at low speeds, which always affects the output efficiency of the DSRM and the mechanical loss of the motor. Combining the characteristics of a traditional reluctance motor with the strong nonlinear and high coupling of the DSRM, a control system for a DSRM based on a flexible neural network (FNN) is proposed in this paper. Based on the better robustness and fault tolerance of fuzzy PI control, the given speed signal is adjusted and converted into a torque control signal. As a result, the FNN control module possesses the strong self-learning ability and adaptive adjustment ability necessary to obtain the control voltage signal. Through simulations and experiments, it was verified that the control system can run stably on DSRM and shows good dynamic performance and anti-interference ability.
26169. LAPSE:2023.12965
Short-Term PV Power Forecasting Using a Regression-Based Ensemble Method
February 28, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Numerical Methods and Statistics
Keywords: clustering method, ensemble method, linear regression, PV power forecasting, Random forest, support vector machine
One of the most critical aspects of integrating renewable energy sources into the smart grid is photovoltaic (PV) power generation forecasting. This ensemble forecasting technique combines several forecasting models to increase the forecasting accuracy of the individual models. This study proposes a regression-based ensemble method for day-ahead PV power forecasting. The general framework consists of three steps: model training, creating the optimal set of weights, and testing the model. In step 1, a Random forest (RF) with different parameters is used for a single forecasting method. Five RF models (RF1, RF2, RF3, RF4, and RF5) and a support vector machine (SVM) for classification are established. The hyperparameters for the regression-based method involve learners (linear regression (LR) or support vector regression (SVR)), regularization (least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) or Ridge), and a penalty coefficient for regularization (λ). Bayesian optimization is perf... [more]
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