Browse
Record Types
Records with Type: Published Article
12293. LAPSE:2023.26843
Specific Energy Consumption of a Belt Conveyor System in a Continuous Surface Mine
April 3, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Process Operations
Keywords: belt conveyor, energy consumption, sustainable operation.
Belt conveyor (BC) transportation systems are considered to be the most effective for handling large volumes of bulk material. With regards to the rules of sustainable development, the improvement of belt conveyor technology is, in many cases, focused on environmental issues, which include the idea of energy usage optimization. The key issue in an energy-efficient transportation system is reducing the value of specific energy consumption (SEC) by increasing conveyor capacity whilst decreasing belt conveyor motion resistance. The main idea of this paper is to conduct an analysis of the modernization of existing belt conveyor transportation systems operated in open-pit lignite mines, in order to achieve relatively small electric energy consumption for a considered transportation task. The first part of the paper investigates the relationship between a conveyor’s SEC and material flow rate for various conveyor design parameters. Then, based on multi-parameter simulations, an analysis of e... [more]
12294. LAPSE:2023.26842
Expansion of Operating Speed Range of High-Speed BLDC Motor Using Hybrid PWM Switching Method Considering Dead Time
April 3, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Process Control
Keywords: complementary and non-complementary switching, dead time, high-speed BLDC motors, PWM control, voltage utilization rate.
In vehicle electrical systems with limited battery power, the output torque and speed of high-speed brushless DC (BLDC) motors can decrease due to unstable and reduced supply voltage or manufacturing errors in the motor back electromotive force (EMF). This paper presents a method that can guarantee the output performance of an inverter through a control algorithm without a separate power supply system and DC-link voltage increase. The proposed control algorithm can increase the output torque and speed of a high-speed BLDC motor by using appropriate selection and change of the inverter’s pulse width modulation (PWM) control method. In this paper, the operation and electrical characteristics of various PWM methods of BLDC motors are analyzed, and the optimal PWM method for improving the control performance of high-speed BLDC motors is presented. In addition, the relationship between the switching frequency, dead time, and voltage utilization was mathematically analyzed. Based on the resu... [more]
12295. LAPSE:2023.26841
Very Short-Term Load Forecaster Based on a Neural Network Technique for Smart Grid Control
April 3, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Numerical Methods and Statistics
Keywords: energy demand, smart grid, very short-term forecaster.
Electrical load forecasting plays a crucial role in the proper scheduling and operation of power systems. To ensure the stability of the electrical network, it is necessary to balance energy generation and demand. Hence, different very short-term load forecast technologies are being designed to improve the efficiency of current control strategies. This paper proposes a new forecaster based on artificial intelligence, specifically on a recurrent neural network topology, trained with a Levenberg−Marquardt learning algorithm. Moreover, a sensitivity analysis was performed for determining the optimal input vector, structure and the optimal database length. In this case, the developed tool provides information about the energy demand for the next 15 min. The accuracy of the forecaster was validated by analysing the typical error metrics of sample days from the training and validation databases. The deviation between actual and predicted demand was lower than 0.5% in 97% of the days analysed... [more]
12296. LAPSE:2023.26840
Study on the Performance of Multiple Sources and Multiple Uses Heat Pump System in Three Different Cities
April 3, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Energy Systems
Keywords: air, ground heat exchanger, multiple sources and multiple uses heat pump, photovoltaic thermal system.
Various efforts have been made worldwide to reduce energy use for heating, ventilation, and air-conditioning (HVAC) systems and lower carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions. Research and development are essential to ensuring the efficient use of renewable energy systems. This study proposes a multiple sources and multiple uses heat pump (MMHP) system that can efficiently respond to heating, cooling, and domestic hot water (DHW) loads using multiple natural heat sources. The MMHP system uses ground and air heat as its primary heat sources and solar heat for heat storage operations and ground temperature recovery. For the efficient use of each heat source, it also determines the heat source required for operation by comparing the heat source temperatures in the same time zone. A model for predicting the heat source temperatures, electricity use, and coefficient of performance (COP) was constructed through simulation. To analyze the efficiency of the proposed system by comparing the existing air... [more]
12297. LAPSE:2023.26839
Optimal Combination Design of a Light Emitting Diode Matrix Applicable to a Single-Stage Flyback Driver
April 3, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Process Design
Keywords: flicker, flyback, LED, light-emmitting-diode, Taylor series.
The present study analyzed light emitting diodes (LEDs) as an output load and used a Taylor series to describe the characteristic curve based on the exponential characteristic of voltage and current. A prototype circuit of a flyback LED driver system was established to verify whether the theory is consistent with actual results. This study focused on the exponential relationship of LED voltage and current. Conventional simulations usually used linear models to present LED loads. However, the linear model resulted in considerable error between simulation and actual characteristics. Therefore, this study employed a Taylor series to describe the nonlinear characteristic of an LED load. Through precise calculations with Mathcad computation software, the error was effectively reduced. Moreover, the process clarified the influence of temperature on LEDs, which benefited the characteristic analysis of the entire system. Finally, a realized circuit of 120 W flyback LED drivers was established... [more]
12298. LAPSE:2023.26838
Role of Inflow Turbulence and Surrounding Buildings on Large Eddy Simulations of Urban Wind Energy
April 3, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Numerical Methods and Statistics
Keywords: energy harvesting, Large Eddy Simulation, turbulence statistics, urban wind energy.
Predicting flow patterns that develop on the roof of high-rise buildings is critical for the development of urban wind energy. In particular, the performance and reliability of devices largely depends on the positioning strategy, a major unresolved challenge. This work aims at investigating the effect of variations in the turbulent inflow and the geometric model on the flow patterns that develop on the roof of tall buildings in the realistic configuration of the University of Birmingham’s campus in the United Kingdom (UK). Results confirm that the accuracy of Large Eddy Simulation (LES) predictions is only marginally affected by differences in the inflow mean wind speed and turbulence intensity, provided that turbulence is not absent. The effect of the presence of surrounding buildings is also investigated and found to be marginal to the results if the inflow is turbulent. The integral length scale is the parameter most affected by the turbulence characteristics of the inflow, while gu... [more]
12299. LAPSE:2023.26837
A Novel Method to Achieve Selective Emitter Using Surface Morphology for PERC Silicon Solar Cells
April 3, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Materials
Keywords: doping process, PERC, selective emitter, solar cell, surface morphology.
Recently, selective emitter (SE) technology has attracted renewed attention in the Si solar cell industry to achieve an improved conversion efficiency of passivated-emitter rear-contact (PERC) cells. In this study, we presented a novel technique for the SE formation by controlling the surface morphology of Si wafers. SEs were formed simultaneously, that is, in a single step for the doping process on different surface morphologies, nano/micro-surfaces, which were formed during the texturing processes; in the same doping process, the nano- and micro-structured areas showed different sheet resistances. In addition, the difference in sheet resistance between the heavily doped and shallow emitters could be controlled from almost 0 to 60 Ω/sq by changing the doping process conditions, pre-deposition and driving time, and temperature. Regarding cell fabrication, wafers simultaneously doped in the same tube were used. The sheet resistance of the homogeneously doped-on standard micro-pyramid su... [more]
12300. LAPSE:2023.26836
Life Cycle Analysis of the Bioethanol Production from Food Waste—A Review
April 3, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Environment
Food Waste (FW) because of its composition is considered as an ideal feedstock for the production of biofuels and in particular bioethanol. The production of bioethanol from lignocellulosic materials has been studied over a long time. The process consists of the stages of pretreatment, enzymatic hydrolysis, fermentation and product recovery. However, the legal framework regarding biofuels has established specific environmental criteria for their production which are regularly updated. The most common tool for the assessment of the environmental performance of a process or product is the Life Cycle Analysis (LCA). In the present review, the results of LCA studies on the production of bioethanol from food waste are presented. Significant differences are observed among the studies in terms of the methodological choices made. Despite the high heterogeneity observed which does not allow a direct comparison among them, there is strong evidence that the production of bioethanol from food wast... [more]
12301. LAPSE:2023.26835
Pressure-Transient Performances of Fractured Horizontal Wells in the Compartmentalized Heterogeneous Unconventional Reservoirs
April 3, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Energy Systems
Keywords: Green function, multiple fractured horizontal well, semi-analytical solution, unconventional reservoir.
In order to investigate pressure performance of multiple fractured horizontal wells (MFHWs) penetrating heterogeneous unconventional reservoir and avoid the high computational cost of numerical simulation, a semi-analytical model for MFHWs combining Green function solution and boundary element method has been obtained, where the reservoir is divided into different homogeneous substructures and coupled at interface boundaries by plane source function in a closed rectangular parallelepiped. Hydraulic fractures are assumed uniform flux and dual porosity model is used for natural fractures system. Then the model is validated by compared with analytical solution of MFHWs in a homogeneous reservoir and trilinear flow model, which shows that this model can achieve high accuracy even with a small interface discretization number, and it can consider the radial flow around each hydraulic fractures. Finally, the pressure responses with heterogeneous parameters of reservoirs are discussed includin... [more]
12302. LAPSE:2023.26834
A Power Hardware-in-the-Loop Based Method for FAPR Compliance Testing of the Wind Turbine Converters Control
April 3, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Energy Systems
Keywords: converter control, FAPR, inertia emulation, power hardware-in-the-loop, wind turbine.
A task for new power generation technologies, interfaced to the electrical grid by power electronic converters, is to stiffen the rate of change of frequency (RoCoF) at the initial few milliseconds (ms) after any variation of active power balance. This task is defined in this article as fast active power regulation (FAPR), a generic definition of the FAPR is also proposed in this study. Converters equipped with FAPR controls should be tested in laboratory conditions before employment in the actual power system. This paper presents a power hardware-in-the-loop (PHIL) based method for FAPR compliance testing of the wind turbine converter controls. The presented PHIL setup is a generic test setup for the testing of all kinds of control strategies of the grid-connected power electronic converters. Firstly, a generic PHIL testing methodology is presented. Later on, a combined droop- anFd derivative-based FAPR control has been implemented and tested on the proposed PHIL setup for FAPR compli... [more]
12303. LAPSE:2023.26833
Experimental Methods for Investigation of Drilling Fluid Displacement in Irregular Annuli
April 3, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Modelling and Simulations
Keywords: cementing, drilling and well technology, electrical conductivity measurements, experimental methods, fluid-fluid displacement.
Experimental methods are still indispensable for fluid mechanics research, despite advancements in the modelling and computer simulation field. Experimental data are vital for validating simulations of complex flow systems. However, measuring the flow in industrially relevant systems can be difficult for several reasons. Here we address flow measurement challenges related to cementing of oil wells, where main experimental issues are related to opacity of the fluids and the sheer size of the system. The main objective is to track the propagation of a fluid-fluid interface during a two-fluid displacement process, and thereby to characterize the efficiency of the displacement process. We describe the implementation and use of an array of electrical conductivity probes, and demonstrate with examples how the signals can be used to recover relevant information about the displacement process. To our knowledge this is the most extensive use of this measurement method for studying displacement... [more]
12304. LAPSE:2023.26832
Methane Hydrate Formation and Dissociation in Sand Media: Effect of Water Saturation, Gas Flowrate and Particle Size
April 3, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Energy Systems
Keywords: gas flowrate, gas hydrate, kinetics, methane storage estimate, particle size, porous media, water saturation.
Assessing the influence of key parameters governing the formation of hydrates and determining the capacity of the latter to store gaseous molecules is needed to improve our understanding of the role of natural gas hydrates in the oceanic methane cycle. Such knowledge will also support the development of new industrial processes and technologies such as those related to thermal energy storage. In this study, high-pressure laboratory methane hydrate formation and dissociation experiments were carried out in a sandy matrix at a temperature around 276.65 K. Methane was continuously injected at constant flowrate to allow hydrate formation over the course of the injection step. The influence of water saturation, methane injection flowrate and particle size on hydrate formation kinetics and methane storage capacity were investigated. Six water saturations (10.8%, 21.6%, 33%, 43.9%, 55% and 66.3%), three gas flowrates (29, 58 and 78 mLn·min−1) and three classes of particle size (80−140, 315−45... [more]
12305. LAPSE:2023.26831
Assessing the Magnitude and Likely Causes of Summertime Overheating in Modern Flats in UK
April 3, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Process Design
Keywords: climate change, housing, monitoring, overheating, survey.
There has been increasing recognition that climate change may lead to risk of summertime overheating in UK dwellings with potentially adverse consequences for human comfort and health. This paper investigates the magnitude of summertime overheating over one month in 2017, in four new flats built to identical thermal standards, with similar occupancy patterns and located in the same block in a development in Southeast England. Both static and adaptive methods were used to assess the overheating risk, while the variation in indoor temperatures across the flats was examined through key building characteristics including floor level, glazing orientation, exposed surface area to floor area ratio (SA/FA), glazing area to floor area ratio, and ventilation. Data collection included continuous monitoring of indoor and outdoor temperature, relative humidity, CO2 levels and opening/closing of windows. Summertime overheating was found to be prevalent in all four flats but was most pronounced in tw... [more]
12306. LAPSE:2023.26830
The Influence of Winglet Pitching on the Performance of a Model Wind Turbine: Aerodynamic Loads, Rotating Speed, and Wake Statistics
April 3, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Numerical Methods and Statistics
Keywords: rotating speed, wake statistics, wind tunnel experiment, winglet pitching.
The objective of this study is to investigate the influence of winglet pitching as an aero-brake on the performance of a model wind turbine by wind tunnel experiments. Time-resolved particle image velocimetry, force sensor, and datalogger were used to characterize the coupling between wake statistics, aerodynamic loads, and rotation speed. Results highlighted that, for a winglet with 4% of the rotor diameter length, the increase of its pitching angle can significantly reduce the turbine rotation speed up to ∼28% and thrust coefficient of ∼20%. The winglet pitching induced minor influence on the velocity deficit in the very near wake regions, while its influence on accelerating the wake recovery become clear around three diameters downstream the turbine rotor. The turbulence kinetic energy exhibited a distinctive increase under large pitching angles in the near wake region at the turbine hub height due to the strong vertical flow fluctuations. Further investigation on the spectra of wak... [more]
12307. LAPSE:2023.26829
Experimental Evaluation of the Effect of the Anode Diffusion Layer Properties on the Performance of a Passive Direct Methanol Fuel Cell
April 3, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Materials
Keywords: anode diffusion layer, carbon-based materials, diffusion layer structure, electrochemical impedance spectroscopy, passive direct methanol fuel cell, performance.
Passive direct methanol fuel cells (pDMFCs) are promising devices to replace the conventional batteries in portable electronic devices, due to their higher energy densities, autonomies, and instant recharging. However, some challenges, such as their costs, efficiency, and durability, need to be overcome before their commercialization. Towards that, this work presents the effect of the anode diffusion layer (ADL) properties on the performance of a pDMFC using a membrane electrode assembly (MEA) with reduced loadings on both anode and cathode catalysts (3 mg/cm2 Pt/Ru on the anode and 1.3 mg/cm2 of Pt on the cathode). The pDMFC behavior was evaluated through polarization and electrochemical impedance spectroscopy measurements, which allow identifying and quantifying the different losses that affect these systems. The results showed better performances when a diffusion layer with a dual-layer structure was used using higher methanol concentrations. The maximum power density achieved was 3... [more]
12308. LAPSE:2023.26828
Coastal Wind Power in Southern Santa Catarina, Brazil
April 3, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Energy Systems
Keywords: coastal platform, LIDAR, offshore wind energy, Santa Catarina, South Atlantic subtropical high, Southern Brazil, wind power.
A light detection and ranging (LIDAR) wind profiler was used to estimate the wind speed in the southern coast of Santa Catarina State, Brazil. This profiler was installed on a coastal platform 250 m from the beach, and recorded wind speed and direction from January 2017 to December 2018. The power generation from three wind turbines was simulated, to obtain estimations of the average power, energy generation and capacity factor, as well as to assess the performance of a hypothetical wind farm. The scale and shape parameters of the Weibull distribution were evaluated and compared with those of other localities in the state. The prevailing winds tend to blow predominantly from the northeast and southwest directions. Wind magnitudes are higher for the NE and SW ocean sectors where the average wind power density can reach 610−820 W m−2. The Vestas 3.0 turbine spent the largest percentage of time in operation (>76%). The higher incidence of strong northeasterly winds in 2017 and more freque... [more]
12309. LAPSE:2023.26827
Selection of Solar Concentrator Design Concepts for Planar Photoelectrochemical Water Splitting Devices
April 3, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Process Design
Keywords: photoelectrochemical water splitting, solar collector, solar hydrogen production.
Photoelectrochemical water splitting is a promising pathway for solar-driven hydrogen production with a low environmental footprint. The utilization of solar concentrators to supply such water splitting devices with concentrated solar irradiation offers great potential to enhance the economic viability of water splitting at “sunny” site locations. In this work, we defined a set of functional requirements for solar concentrators to assess their suitability to power such water splitting devices, taking into account concentrator optical performance, device coupling efficiency, perceived system complexity, as well as technological costs and risks. We identified, classified and compared a broad range of existing solar concentrator design concepts. Our geometrical analysis, performed on a yearly basis with a one-minute time step, shows that two-axis tracking concentrators with water splitting devices positioned parallel to the optical aperture plane exhibit the highest potential, given the i... [more]
12310. LAPSE:2023.26826
Decoupled Modelling Approaches for Environmental Interactions with Monopile-Based Offshore Wind Support Structures
April 3, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Environment
Keywords: aerodynamic damping, design procedure, hydrodynamic loading, monopile support structures, soil-structure interaction.
To meet the political goals regarding renewable energy production, offshore wind keeps expanding to waters with larger depths and harsher conditions, while the turbine size continues to grow and ever-larger foundation structures are required. This development can only be successful if further cuts in the levelized cost of energy are established. Regarding the design of the foundation structures, a particular challenge in this respect relates to the reduction of the total computational time required for the design. For both practical and commercial reasons, the decoupled modelling of offshore wind support structures finds a common application, especially during the preliminary design stage. This modelling approach aims at capturing the relevant characteristics of the different environment-structure interactions, while reducing the complexity as much as possible. This paper presents a comprehensive review of the state-of-the-art modelling approaches of environmental interactions with off... [more]
12311. LAPSE:2023.26825
Ag-Modified LiMn2O4 Cathode for Lithium-Ion Batteries: Coating Functionalization
April 3, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Materials
Keywords: Ag nanoparticles, cathode, insertion electrode, Li-ion batteries, spinel LiMn2O4, surface modification.
In this work, the properties of silver-modified LiMn2O4 cathode materials are revisited. We study the influence of calcination atmosphere on the properties of the Ag-coated LiMn2O4 (Ag/LMO) and highlight the silver oxidation. The effect of the heat treatment in vacuum is compared with that in air by the characterization of the structure, specific surface area, Li transport properties and electrochemical performance of Ag/LMO composites. Surface analyses (XPS and Raman spectroscopy) show that the nature of the coating (~3 wt.%) differs with the calcination atmosphere: Ag/LMO(v) calcined in vacuum displays Ag nanospheres and minor AgO content on its surface (specific surface area of 4.1 m2 g−1), while Ag/LMO(a) treated in air is mainly covered by the AgO insulating phase (specific surface area of 0.6 m2 g−1). Electrochemical experiments emphasize that ~3 wt.% Ag coating is effective to minimize the drawbacks of the spinel LiMn2O4 (Mn dissolution, cycling instability, etc.). The Ag/LMO(v)... [more]
12312. LAPSE:2023.26824
Residential Natural Gas Demand Response Potential during Extreme Cold Events in Electricity-Gas Coupled Energy Systems
April 3, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Energy Systems
Keywords: building energy efficiency, building stock modeling, demand response, demand side management, energy resilience.
In regions where natural gas is used for both power generation and heating buildings, extreme cold weather events can place the electrical system under enormous stress and challenge the ability to meet residential heating and electric demands. Residential demand response has long been used in the power sector to curtail summer electric load, but these types of programs in general have not seen adoption in the natural gas sector during winter months. Natural gas demand response (NG-DR) has garnered interest given recent extreme cold weather events in the United States; however, the magnitude of savings and potential impacts—to occupants and energy markets—are not well understood. We present a case-study analysis of the technical potential for residential natural gas demand response in the northeast United States that utilizes diverse whole-building energy simulations and high-performance computing. Our results show that NG-DR applied to residential heating systems during extreme cold-we... [more]
12313. LAPSE:2023.26823
Big Data Analytics for Short and Medium-Term Electricity Load Forecasting Using an AI Techniques Ensembler
April 3, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Modelling and Simulations
Keywords: big data analytics, deep learning, load forecasting, optimization techniques.
Electrical load forecasting provides knowledge about future consumption and generation of electricity. There is a high level of fluctuation behavior between energy generation and consumption. Sometimes, the energy demand of the consumer becomes higher than the energy already generated, and vice versa. Electricity load forecasting provides a monitoring framework for future energy generation, consumption, and making a balance between them. In this paper, we propose a framework, in which deep learning and supervised machine learning techniques are implemented for electricity-load forecasting. A three-step model is proposed, which includes: feature selection, extraction, and classification. The hybrid of Random Forest (RF) and Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGB) is used to calculate features’ importance. The average feature importance of hybrid techniques selects the most relevant and high importance features in the feature selection method. The Recursive Feature Elimination (RFE) method is us... [more]
12314. LAPSE:2023.26822
Management of the Energy Mix and Emissivity of Individual Economies in the European Union as a Challenge of the Modern World Climate
April 3, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Energy Policy
Keywords: economic efficiency, energy sources, EU energy and climate policy, renewable energy sources (RES), sustainable development management.
The aim of the article is to present the most important elements to be implemented in the European Union energy policy in the 2030 perspective in the context of sustainable development of the Member States. The solution to the too high emissivity of individual economies in the European Union is the energy mix, which will establish a compromise in the so-called the triad of EU policy goals. This is undoubtedly a current climate challenge for the modern world, which also has a direct impact on the economic situation of EU countries. The basis of the presented considerations and recommendations is a literature review on the subject and a statistical analysis of empirical data of the largest statistical organizations in the EU and the world. The starting point for the analysis is the assessment of the state of the energy sector in the EU. Therefore, the goals and tasks until 2030 result from many conditions of the energy sector. The article provides recommendations for the EU on future cli... [more]
12315. LAPSE:2023.26821
A Review about the Modeling and Simulation of Electro-Quasistatic Fields in HVDC Cable Systems
April 3, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Modelling and Simulations
Keywords: electro-osmosis, high voltage direct current, nonlinear electric conductivity, numerical simulation, space charges.
In comparison to high-voltage alternating current (HVAC) cable systems, high-voltage direct current (HVDC) systems have several advantages, e.g., the transmitted power or long-distance transmission. The insulating materials feature a non-linear dependency on the electric field and the temperature. Applying a constant voltage, space charges accumulate in the insulation and yield a slowly time-varying electric field. As a complement to measurements, numerical simulations are used to obtain the electric field distribution inside the insulation. The simulation results can be used to design HVDC cable components such that possible failure can be avoided. This work is a review about the simulation of the time-varying electric field in HVDC cable components, using conductivity-based cable models. The effective mechanisms and descriptions of charge movement result in different conductivity models. The corresponding simulation results of the models are compared against measurements and analytic... [more]
12316. LAPSE:2023.26820
Electricity Price Forecasting Based on Self-Adaptive Decomposition and Heterogeneous Ensemble Learning
April 3, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Energy Management
Keywords: complementary ensemble empirical mode decomposition, electricity price forecasting, ensemble learning models, exogenous variables, short-term forecasting.
Electricity price forecasting plays a vital role in the financial markets. This paper proposes a self-adaptive, decomposed, heterogeneous, and ensemble learning model for short-term electricity price forecasting one, two, and three-months-ahead in the Brazilian market. Exogenous variables, such as supply, lagged prices and demand are considered as inputs signals of the forecasting model. Firstly, the coyote optimization algorithm is adopted to tune the hyperparameters of complementary ensemble empirical mode decomposition in the pre-processing phase. Next, three machine learning models, including extreme learning machine, gradient boosting machine, and support vector regression models, as well as Gaussian process, are designed with the intent of handling the components obtained through the signal decomposition approach with focus on time series forecasting. The individual forecasting models are directly integrated in order to obtain the final forecasting prices one to three-months-ahea... [more]
12317. LAPSE:2023.26819
Communication-Based Approach for Promoting Energy Consumer Switching: Some Evidence from Ofgem’s Database Trials in the United Kingdom
April 3, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Energy Policy
Keywords: behavioural economics, communication-based interventions, fairness, price discrimination, weak consumer switching.
Prompted by rising concern about weak consumer switching and the practice of price discrimination, over the period of 2016−2019, the Office of Gas and Electricity Markets (Ofgem) undertook a series of trials on communication-based interventions to encourage consumer switching in the United Kingdom. The main purpose of this paper is to assess the experience of these Ofgem trials with a view to draw some lessons for policy makers. The analytical framework adopted for this purpose is informed by existing literature on the barriers for consumer switching. The results of the analysis suggest that while the Ofgem trials have made positive impacts on consumer switching, these impacts varied significantly across the trials, suggesting that some interventions were more effective than others. Further, the overall impacts of the Ofgem trials were moderate, as around 70% of participants did not switch suppliers even in the most impactful trial. This reflects a general lack of understanding in the... [more]
[Show List of Record Types]

