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Records with Subject: Numerical Methods and Statistics
Showing records 1607 to 1631 of 2174. [First] Page: 1 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 Last
Machine Learning-Based Load Forecasting for Nanogrid Peak Load Cost Reduction
Akash Kumar, Bing Yan, Ace Bilton
February 27, 2023 (v1)
Keywords: artificial neural network (ANN), load forecasting, Machine Learning, microgrids, nanogrids, peak load
Increased focus on sustainability and energy decentralization has positively impacted the adoption of nanogrids. With the tremendous growth, load forecasting has become crucial for their daily operation. Since the loads of nanogrids have large variations with sudden usage of large household electrical appliances, existing forecasting models, majorly focused on lower volatile loads, may not work well. Moreover, abrupt operation of electrical appliances in a nanogrid, even for shorter durations, especially in “Peak Hours”, raises the energy cost substantially. In this paper, an ANN model with dynamic feature selection is developed to predict the hour-ahead load of nanogrids based on meteorological data and a load lag of 1 h (t-1). In addition, by thresholding the predicted load against the average load of previous hours, peak loads, and their time indices are accurately identified. Numerical testing results show that the developed model can predict loads of nanogrids with the Mean Square... [more]
A Novel Condition Monitoring Method of Wind Turbines Based on GMDH Neural Network
Xiange Tian, Yongjian Jiang, Chen Liang, Cong Liu, You Ying, Hua Wang, Dahai Zhang, Peng Qian
February 27, 2023 (v1)
Keywords: condition monitoring, GMDH neural network, SCADA data, wind turbine
The safety of power transmission systems in wind turbines is crucial to the wind turbine’s stable operation and has attracted a great deal of attention in condition monitoring of wind farms. Many different intelligent condition monitoring schemes have been developed to detect the occurrence of defects via supervisory control and data acquisition (SCADA) data, which is the most commonly applied condition monitoring system in wind turbines. Normally, artificial neural networks are applied to establish prediction models of the wind turbine condition monitoring. In this paper, an alternative and cost-effective methodology has been proposed, based on the group method of data handling (GMDH) neural network. GMDH is a kind of computer-based mathematical modelling and structural identification algorithm. GMDH neural networks can automatically organize neural network architecture by heuristic self-organization methods and determine structural parameters, such as the number of layers, the number... [more]
Ensemble Learning Techniques-Based Monitoring Charts for Fault Detection in Photovoltaic Systems
Fouzi Harrou, Bilal Taghezouit, Sofiane Khadraoui, Abdelkader Dairi, Ying Sun, Amar Hadj Arab
February 27, 2023 (v1)
Keywords: anomaly detection, electrical faults, ensemble bagged trees, photovoltaic systems, shading, statistical control charts
Over the past few years, there has been a significant increase in the interest in and adoption of solar energy all over the world. However, despite ongoing efforts to protect photovoltaic (PV) plants, they are continuously exposed to numerous anomalies. If not detected accurately and in a timely manner, anomalies in PV plants may degrade the desired performance and result in severe consequences. Hence, developing effective and flexible methods capable of early detection of anomalies in PV plants is essential for enhancing their management. This paper proposes flexible data-driven techniques to accurately detect anomalies in the DC side of the PV plants. Essentially, this approach amalgamates the desirable characteristics of ensemble learning approaches (i.e., the boosting (BS) and bagging (BG)) and the sensitivity of the Double Exponentially Weighted Moving Average (DEWMA) chart. Here, we employ ensemble learning techniques to exploit their capability to enhance the modeling accuracy a... [more]
SENERGY: A Novel Deep Learning-Based Auto-Selective Approach and Tool for Solar Energy Forecasting
Ghadah Alkhayat, Syed Hamid Hasan, Rashid Mehmood
February 27, 2023 (v1)
Keywords: convolutional neural network (CNN), gated recurrent unit (GRU), generalizability, hybrid CNN-bidirectional LSTM, long short-term memory (LSTM), LSTM autoencoder, solar energy forecasting
Researchers have made great progress in developing cutting-edge solar energy forecasting methods. However, these methods are far from optimal in terms of their accuracy, generalizability, benchmarking, and other requirements. Particularly, no single method performs well across all climates and weather due to the large variations in meteorological data. This paper proposes SENERGY (an acronym for sustainable energy), a novel deep learning-based auto-selective approach and tool that, instead of generalizing a specific model for all climates, predicts the best performing deep learning model for global horizontal irradiance (GHI) forecasting in terms of forecasting error. The approach is based on carefully devised deep learning methods and feature sets created through an extensive analysis of deep learning forecasting and classification methods using ten meteorological datasets from three continents. We analyze the tool in great detail through a variety of metrics and means for performance... [more]
Numerical Prediction of Turbulent Drag Reduction with Different Solid Fractions and Distribution Shapes over Superhydrophobic Surfaces
Hoai Thanh Nguyen, Kyoungsik Chang, Sang-Wook Lee, Jaiyoung Ryu, Minjae Kim
February 27, 2023 (v1)
Keywords: DNS, drag reduction, superhydrophobic surface, turbulent flow
The exploration of superhydrophobic drag reduction has been and continues to be of significant interest to various industries. In the present work, direct numerical simulation (DNS) is utilized to investigate the effect of the parameters on the drag-reducing performance of superhydrophobic surfaces (SHS). Simulations with a friction Reynolds number of 180 were carried out at solid fraction values of ϕs=116,111, and 14, and three distribution shapes: aligned, staggered, and random. The top wall is the smooth one, and the bottom wall is a superhydrophobic surface (SHS). Drag reduction and Reynolds stress profiles are compared for all cases. The turbulent kinetic energy budget, including production, dissipation, and diffusion, is presented with respect to the solid fraction and type of distribution to investigate the drag reduction mechanism. The sizes of the longitudinal vortices and formation of hairpin vortices are investigated through the observation of coherent structures. The simula... [more]
Prediction of Voltage Sag Relative Location with Data-Driven Algorithms in Distribution Grid
Yunus Yalman, Tayfun Uyanık, İbrahim Atlı, Adnan Tan, Kamil Çağatay Bayındır, Ömer Karal, Saeed Golestan, Josep M. Guerrero
February 27, 2023 (v1)
Keywords: Artificial Intelligence, distribution system, power quality, voltage sag
Power quality (PQ) problems, including voltage sag, flicker, and harmonics, are the main concerns for the grid operator. Among these disturbances, voltage sag, which affects the sensitive loads in the interconnected system, is a crucial problem in the transmission and distribution systems. The determination of the voltage sag relative location as a downstream (DS) and upstream (US) is an important issue that should be considered when mitigating the sag problem. Therefore, this paper proposes a novel approach to determine the voltage sag relative location based on voltage sag event records of the power quality monitoring system (PQMS) in the real distribution system. By this method, the relative location of voltage sag is defined by Gaussian naive Bayes (Gaussian NB) and K-nearest neighbors (K-NN) algorithms. The proposed methods are compared with support vector machine (SVM) and artificial neural network (ANN). The results indicate that K-NN and Gaussian NB algorithms define the relati... [more]
Short-Term Solar Power Forecasting via General Regression Neural Network with Grey Wolf Optimization
Chia-Sheng Tu, Wen-Chang Tsai, Chih-Ming Hong, Whei-Min Lin
February 27, 2023 (v1)
Keywords: general regression neural network, grey wolf optimization, power generation system, solar power forecasting
With the increasing awareness of environmental protection and the support of national policy, as well as the maturing of solar power generation technology, solar power generation has become one of the most promising renewable energies. However, due to changes in external factors such as season, time, weather, cloud cover, etc., solar radiation is uncertain, and it is difficult to predict energy output, even for the next hour. This inherent instability is a particularly difficult issue for the prediction of energy output in the effective operation of solar power systems. This paper proposes a grey wolf optimization (GWO)-based general regression neural network (GRNN), which is expected to provide more accurate predictions with shorter computational times. Therefore, a self-organizing map (SOM) is utilized to realize the weather clustering and the training of the GRNN with a GWO model. The performance of the proposed model is investigated using short-term and ultra-short-term forecasting... [more]
Spark Ignition Engine Modeling Using Optimized Artificial Neural Network
Hilkija Gaïus Tosso, Saulo Anderson Bibiano Jardim, Rafael Bloise, Max Mauro Dias Santos
February 27, 2023 (v1)
Keywords: artificial neural network, genetic algorithm and optimization, Modelling, spark ignition engine
The spark ignition engine is a complex multi-domain system that contains many variables to be controlled and managed with the aim of attending to performance requirements. The traditional method and workflow of the engine calibration comprise measure and calibration through the design of an experimental process that demands high time and costs on bench testing. For the growing use of virtualization through artificial neural networks for physical systems at the component and system level, we came up with a likely efficiency adoption of the same approach for the case of engine calibration that could bring much better cost reduction and efficiency. Therefore, we developed a workflow integrated into the development cycle that allows us to model an engine black-box model based on an auto-generated feedfoward Artificial Neural Network without needing the human expertise required by a hand-crafted process. The model’s structure and parameters are determined and optimized by a genetic algorith... [more]
Influencer Marketing as a Tool in Modern Communication—Possibilities of Use in Green Energy Promotion amongst Poland’s Generation Z
Beata Zatwarnicka-Madura, Robert Nowacki, Iwona Wojciechowska
February 27, 2023 (v1)
Keywords: generation z, green energy, influencer marketing, social media
Generation Z is gaining more and more importance in the market—not only is it attaining purchasing power, but it is also setting trends. This is the generation that spends a lot of time on various social media channels, and the content posted there is a source of information, inspiration and motivation for them. Its representatives are very skeptical about traditional marketing messages, so the best way to reach them is to use influencer marketing. They are also sensitive to environmental problems and ecology. For this reason, the purpose of this paper was to identify the possibility of using influencer marketing to promote green energy in the perspective of Generation Z in Poland. The CAWI method of research was carried out April−June 2022 on a sample of 533 people aged 18 to 26, selected using a quota method. The analysis used statistically significant structure indices (percentages) and measures of correlations between the variables. The results presented confirmed the enormous popu... [more]
Power-Line Partial Discharge Recognition with Hilbert−Huang Transform Features
Yulu Wang, Hsiao-dong Chiang, Na Dong
February 27, 2023 (v1)
Keywords: feature extraction, Hilbert–Huang Transform, LightGBM, partial discharge
Partial discharge (PD) has caused considerable challenges to the safety and stability of high voltage equipment. Therefore, highly accurate and effective PD detection has become the focus of research. Hilbert−Huang Transform (HHT) features have been proven to have great potential in the PD analysis of transformer, gas insulated switchgear and power cable. However, due to the insufficient research available on the PD features of power lines, its application in the PD recognition of power lines has not yet been systematically studied. In the present study, an enhanced light gradient boosting machine methodology for PD recognition is proposed; the HHT features are extracted from the signal and added to the feature pool to improve the performance of the classifier. A public power-line PD recognition contest dataset is introduced to evaluate the effectiveness of the proposed feature. Numerical studies along with comparison results demonstrate that the proposed method can achieve promising p... [more]
Development of a Weighting Procedure for Geomechanical Risk Assessment
Ali Mortazavi, Nursultan Kuzembayev
February 27, 2023 (v1)
Keywords: geomechanics design, geotechnical risk assessment, underground mining, weighting procedure
Underground mining is one of the riskiest industries. It is well established that the investigation of geomechanical parameters at the design stage of an underground mine provides the approximate rock mass characteristics, which are associated with some risks in the design. From a realistic risk assessment point of view, it is essential to classify risky design parameters as relevant to risk groups and determine a suitable weighting strategy for risk-prone elements aiming at risk assessment. Therefore, a realistic weighting procedure is an essential step in making realistic design decisions to increase the safety of mining operations and economic vitality. This study aimed to develop a realistic weighting procedure to assess and compare various geomechanical parameters that pose a risk to opening stability. In this research, sub-level stoping mining methods, which are commonly used in the Kazakhstan mining industry, were selected to test the developed weighting algorithm. In this study... [more]
Numerical Analysis of Aeroacoustic Characteristics around a Cylinder under Constant Amplitude Oscillation
Peixun Yu, Jiakuan Xu, Heye Xiao, Junqiang Bai
February 27, 2023 (v1)
Keywords: aeroacoustic, aerodynamic, dynamic mode decomposition method, linearized perturbed compressible equations, low Reynolds number, oscillating motions
The present study numerically investigated a cylinder under oscillating motions at a low Reynolds number. The effects of two oscillation frequencies and amplitudes on the lift drag coefficient, near-field surface pressure fluctuation, and far-field noise were studied. The models were examined at a Mach number of 0.05, corresponding to a Reynolds number of 1.0 × 105. In this paper, the incompressible Navier−Stokes equations (INSE) and linearized perturbed compressible equations (LPCE) were coupled to form a hybrid noise prediction method, which was used to solve the flow field and acoustic radiation field. Based on the simulation results of the acoustic radiation field, the frequency characteristics of the acoustic waves were analyzed by the dynamic modal decomposition (DMD) method. It was observed that when the oscillation amplitude was the same, the variation amplitude and mean value of the lift-drag coefficient increased with the increase in the oscillation frequency. Under the same... [more]
A Hybrid Model for Electricity Demand Forecast Using Improved Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition and Recurrent Neural Networks with ERA5 Climate Variables
Karodine Chreng, Han Soo Lee, Soklin Tuy
February 27, 2023 (v1)
Keywords: Cambodia, climate variables, electricity demand, empirical mode decomposition, neural network
By conserving natural resources and reducing the consumption of fossil fuels, sustainable energy development plays a crucial role in energy planning. Specifically, demand-side planning must be researched and anticipated based on electricity consumption at the grounded level. Due to the global warming crisis, atmospheric conditions are among the most influential components that have altered electricity consumption patterns. In this study, 66 climate variables from the ERA5 reanalysis and the observed power demand at four grid substations (GSs) in Cambodia were examined using recurrent neural networks (RNNs). Using the cross-correlation function between power demand and each climate variable, statistically significant climate variables were sorted out. In addition, a wide range of feedback delays (FDs) was generated from the data on power demand and defined using 95% confidence intervals. The combination of the improved complete ensemble empirical mode decomposition with adaptive noise (... [more]
Development of Monitoring and Forecasting Technology Energy Efficiency of Well Drilling Using Mechanical Specific Energy
Andrey Kunshin, Mikhail Dvoynikov, Eduard Timashev, Vitaly Starikov
February 27, 2023 (v1)
Keywords: artificial neural networks, bit vibrations and shocks, control, drill string dynamics, operating parameters, Optimization, weight on the bit, well
This article is devoted to the development of technology for improving the efficiency of directional well drilling by predicting and adjusting the system of static and dynamic components of the actual weight on the bit, based on the real-time data interpretation from telemetry sensors of the bottom hole assembly (BHA). Studies of the petrophysical and geomechanical properties of rock samples were carried out. Based on fourth strength theory and the Palmgren−Miner fatigue stress theory, the mathematical model for prediction of effective distribution of mechanical specific energy, using machine learning methods while drilling, was developed. An algorithm was set for evaluation and estimation of effective destruction of rock by comparing petrophysical data in the well section and predicting the shock impulse of the bit. Based on the theory provided, it is assumed that the given shock impulse is an actual representation of an excessive energy, conveyed to BHA. This excessive energy was qua... [more]
How Can Sustainable Public Transport Be Improved? A Traffic Sign Recognition Approach Using Convolutional Neural Network
Jingjing Liu, Hongwei Ge, Jiajie Li, Pengcheng He, Zhangang Hao, Michael Hitch
February 27, 2023 (v1)
Keywords: convolutional neural network, k-means, maxout, sustainable public transport, traffic sign recognition
Sustainable public transport is an important factor to boost urban economic development, and it is also an important part of building a low-carbon environmental society. The application of driverless technology in public transport injects new impetus into its sustainable development. Road traffic sign recognition is the key technology of driverless public transport. It is particularly important to adopt innovative algorithms to optimize the accuracy of traffic sign recognition and build sustainable public transport. Therefore, this paper proposes a convolutional neural network (CNN) based on k-means to optimize the accuracy of traffic sign recognition, and it proposes a sparse maximum CNN to identify difficult traffic signs through hierarchical classification. In the rough classification stage, k-means CNN is used to extract features, and improved support vector machine (SVM) is used for classification. Then, in the fine classification stage, sparse maximum CNN is used for classificati... [more]
GIS Partial Discharge Pattern Recognition Based on Time-Frequency Features and Improved Convolutional Neural Network
Jianfeng Zheng, Zhichao Chen, Qun Wang, Hao Qiang, Weiyue Xu
February 27, 2023 (v1)
Keywords: convolutional neural network, partial discharge, pattern recognition, time-frequency features, wavelet transform
Different types of partial discharge (PD) in gas-insulated switchgear (GIS) cause different damage to GIS insulation, correctly identifying the PD type is very important for evaluating the insulation status of GIS. This paper proposes a PD pattern recognition method based on an improved feature fusion convolutional neural network (IFCNN) to fully use the time-frequency features of PD pulses to realize PD pattern recognition. Firstly, the one-dimensional time-domain feature sequence of the PD pulse and the corresponding wavelet time-frequency diagram are applied as inputs. Secondly, the convolutional neural network (CNN) with two parallel channels is used for feature extraction, the extracted fault information is fused, and the shallow features of the wavelet time-frequency diagram are fused to prevent feature loss caused by pooling operation. Finally, the extracted features are sent to the classifier to recognize different types of PD. The discharge data of different types of PD are ob... [more]
Challenges Facing Pressure Retarded Osmosis Commercialization: A Short Review
Bassel A. Abdelkader, Mostafa H. Sharqawy
February 27, 2023 (v1)
Keywords: osmotic power challenges, pressure retarded osmosis, PRO modules, review
Pressure-retarded osmosis (PRO) is a promising technology that harvests salinity gradient energy. Even though PRO has great power-generating potential, its commercialization is currently facing many challenges. In this regard, this review highlights the discrepancies between the reported power density obtained by lab-scale PRO systems, as well as numerical investigations, and the significantly low power density values obtained by PRO pilot plants. This difference in performance is mainly due to the effect of a pressure drop and the draw pressure effect on the feed channel hydrodynamics, which have significant impacts on large-scale modules; however, it has a minor or no effect on small-scale ones. Therefore, this review outlines the underlying causes of the high power density values obtained by lab-scale PRO systems and numerical studies. Moreover, other challenges impeding PRO commercialization are discussed, including the effect of concentration polarization, the solution temperature... [more]
Applying Intelligent Multi-Agents to Reduce False Alarms in Wind Turbine Monitoring Systems
Weldon Carlos Elias Teixeira, Miguel Ángel Sanz-Bobi, Roberto Célio Limão de Oliveira
February 27, 2023 (v1)
Keywords: artificial neural networks (ANN), condition monitoring, false alarm problem, multi-agent systems (MAS), wind turbines
This study proposes a method for improving the capability of a data-driven multi-agent system (MAS) to perform condition monitoring and fault detection in industrial processes. To mitigate the false fault-detection alarms, a co-operation strategy among software agents is proposed because it performs better than the individual agents. Few steps transform this method into a valuable procedure for improving diagnostic certainty. First, a failure mode and effects analysis are performed to select physical monitoring signals of the industrial process that allow agents to collaborate via shared signals. Next, several artificial neural network (ANN) models are generated based on the normal behavior operation conditions of various industrial subsystems equipped with monitoring sensors. Thereafter, the agents use the ANN-based expected behavior models to prevent false alarms by continuously monitoring the measurement samples of physical signals that deviate from normal behavior. Finally, this me... [more]
A Hybrid Algorithm for Short-Term Wind Power Prediction
Zhenhua Xiong, Yan Chen, Guihua Ban, Yixin Zhuo, Kui Huang
February 27, 2023 (v1)
Keywords: artificial neural network (ANN), back propagation neural network (BPNN), root mean square propagation (RMSProp), short term predict, shuffled frog leaping algorithm (SFLA), wind power forecasting
Accurate and effective wind power prediction plays an important role in wind power generation, distribution, and management. Inthis paper, a hybrid algorithm based on gradient descent and meta-heuristic optimization is designed to improve the accuracy of prediction and reduce the computational burden. The hybrid algorithm includes three steps: in the first step, we use the gradient descent algorithm to get the initial parameters. Secondly, we input the initial parameters into the meta-heuristic optimization algorithm to search for the “best parameters” (high-quality inferior solutions). Finally, we input optimized parameters into the RMSProp optimization algorithm and conduct gradient descent again to find a better solution. We used 2021 wind power data from Guangxi, China for the experiment. The results show that the hybrid prediction algorithm has better performance than the traditional Back Propagation (BP) in accuracy, stability, and efficiency.
The Disturbance Detection in the Outlet Temperature of a Coal Dust−Air Mixture on the Basis of the Statistical Model
Zofia M. Łabęda-Grudziak
February 27, 2023 (v1)
Keywords: additive regression model, anomaly detection, coal mills, monitoring of a combustion process, outlet temperature of a dust–air mixture
The reliability of a coal mill's operation is strongly connected with optimizing the combustion process. Monitoring the temperature of a dust−air mixture significantly increases the coal mill's operational efficiency and safety. Reliable and accurate information about disturbances can help with optimization actions. The article describes the application of an additive regression model and data mining techniques for the identification of the temperature model of a dust−air mixture at the outlet of a coal mill. This is a new approach to the problem of power unit modeling, which extends the possibilities of multivariate and nonlinear estimation by using the backfitting algorithm with flexible nonparametric smoothing techniques. The designed model was used to construct a disturbance detection system in the position of hot and cold air dampers. In order to achieve the robust properties of the detection systems, statistical measures of the differences between the real and modeled temperature... [more]
Experimental and Numerical Study on the Elimination of Severe Slugging by Riser Outlet Choking
Nailiang Li, Bin Chen, Xueping Du, Dongtai Han
February 27, 2023 (v1)
Keywords: choking, elimination method, multiphase flow pattern, OLGA predictions, severe slugging
Severe slugging is an unstable multiphase flow pattern occurs in a pipeline riser with low gas and liquid flowrates. It is highly undesired in practical operation because of the pressure and mass flow oscillations induced. Riser outlet choking has shown effectiveness in eliminating or reducing the severity of the slugging. This work presents an experimental and numerical study on the elimination of severe riser-induced slug by means of riser outlet choking. The test loop consists of a horizontal pipeline with 50 mm i.d. and 15 m in length, followed by a downward inclined section and a vertical riser of 2 m. It was found that by choking the flow at riser outlet, flow pattern in the riser changes from severe slugging first into slug flow and then into bubbly flow. The recognition of the flow regimes was basically according to the trends of the riser base pressure. The flow patterns were characterized in terms of pressure at riser base, as well as liquid holdup at riser top. A numerical m... [more]
A Spiking Neural Network Based Wind Power Forecasting Model for Neuromorphic Devices
Juan Manuel González Sopeña, Vikram Pakrashi, Bidisha Ghosh
February 27, 2023 (v1)
Keywords: neuromorphic computing, short-term wind power forecasting, spiking neural network
Many authors have reported the use of deep learning techniques to model wind power forecasts. For shorter-term prediction horizons, the training and deployment of such models is hindered by their computational cost. Neuromorphic computing provides a new paradigm to overcome this barrier through the development of devices suited for applications where latency and low-energy consumption play a key role, as is the case in real-time short-term wind power forecasting. The use of biologically inspired algorithms adapted to the architecture of neuromorphic devices, such as spiking neural networks, is essential to maximize their potential. In this paper, we propose a short-term wind power forecasting model based on spiking neural networks adapted to the computational abilities of Loihi, a neuromorphic device developed by Intel. A case study is presented with real wind power generation data from Ireland to evaluate the ability of the proposed approach, reaching a normalised mean absolute error... [more]
Reliability Analysis and Economic Evaluation of Thermal Reflective Insulators
Davide Borelli, Alessandro Cavalletti, Paolo Cavalletti, Luca Antonio Tagliafico
February 27, 2023 (v1)
Keywords: cost effectiveness, interstitial condensation, radiant barriers, reflective foils, thermal-reflective insulation, transmittance numerical evaluation
High-performance thermal insulators allow a dramatic reduction in the thickness of coatings, thanks to their low thermal conductivity. This study provides an overview about thermal insulation materials, with regards to heat reflective insulators in particular. Then, the numerical investigation method adopted to compute the thermal resistance associated with reflective insulators is introduced. This method has been used in turn to check the accuracy of the declared, measured performance of different, heat-reflective materials on the market. Many manufacturers of reflective insulators were available to provide information and a good agreement between the declared and expected thermal resistance has been found. The choice of a non-experimental approach is meant to check the validity of an already performed test on a reflective insulator using a predictive approach instead of standard, additional testing. Then, the insulation of five typical walls at three different sites in Italy has been... [more]
Application of the Analysis of Variance (ANOVA) in the Interpretation of Power Transformer Faults
Bonginkosi A. Thango
February 27, 2023 (v1)
Keywords: analysis of variance (ANOVA), descriptive statistics, frequency response analysis (FRA), power transformers
Electrical power transformers are the most exorbitant and tactically prominent components of the South African electrical power grid. In contrast, they are burdened by internal winding faults predominantly on account of insulation system failure. It is essential that these faults must be swiftly and precisely uncovered and suitable measures should be adopted to separate the faulty unit from the entire system. The frequency response analysis (FRA) is a technique for tracking a transformer’s mechanical integrity. Nevertheless, classifying the category of the fault and its gravity by benchmarking measured FRA responses is still backbreaking and for the most part, anchored in personnel proficiency. This work presents a quantum leap to normalize the FRA interpretation procedure by suggesting an interpretation code criteria based on an empirical survey of transformers ranging from 315 kVA to 40 MVA. The study then proposes an analysis of variance (ANOVA) based interpretation tool for diagnos... [more]
Machine Learning Analysis on the Performance of Dye-Sensitized Solar Cell—Thermoelectric Generator Hybrid System
Zoltan Varga, Ervin Racz
February 27, 2023 (v1)
Keywords: artificial neural network, decision tree regression, dye-sensitized solar cell, hybrid solar cell, k-nearest neighbors regression, Machine Learning, random forest regression, thermoelectric generator, waste heat
In cases where a dye-sensitized solar cell (DSSC) is exposed to light, thermal energy accumulates inside the device, reducing the maximum power output. Utilizing this energy via the Seebeck effect can convert thermal energy into electrical current. Similar systems have been designed and built by other researchers, but associated tests were undertaken in laboratory environments using simulated sunlight and not outdoor conditions with methods that belong to conventional data analysis and simulation methods. In this study four machine learning techniques were analyzed: decision tree regression (DTR), random forest regression (RFR), K-nearest neighbors regression (K-NNR), and artificial neural network (ANN). DTR algorithm has the least errors and the most R2, indicating it as the most accurate method. The DSSC-TEG hybrid system was extrapolated based on the results of the DTR and taking the worst-case scenario (node-6). The main question is how many thermoelectric generators (TEGs) are nee... [more]
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