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Records with Subject: Modelling and Simulations
3770. LAPSE:2023.9768
Methodologies for Synthetic Spatial Building Stock Modelling: Data-Availability-Adapted Approaches for the Spatial Analysis of Building Stock Energy Demand
February 27, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Modelling and Simulations
Keywords: bottom-up model, building stock modelling, spatial building stock modelling, synthetic building stock.
Buildings are responsible for around 30 to 40% of the energy demand and greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions in European countries. Building stock energy models (BSEMs) are an established method to assess the energy demand and environmental impact of building stocks. Spatial analysis of building stock energy demand has so far been limited to cases where detailed, building specific data is available. This paper introduces two approaches of using synthetic building stock energy modelling (SBSEM) to model spatially distributed synthetic building stocks based on aggregate data. The two approaches build on different types of data that are implemented and validated for two separate case studies in Ireland and Austria. The results demonstrate the feasibility of both approaches to accurately reproduce the spatial distribution of the building stocks of the two cases. Furthermore, the results demonstrate that by using a SBSEM approach, a spatial analysis for building stock energy demand can be carried... [more]
3771. LAPSE:2023.9767
Valuation of the Extension Option in Time Charter Contracts in the LNG Market
February 27, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Modelling and Simulations
Keywords: Black–Scholes, LNG market, Machine Learning, option valuation, period extension option, time charter.
A rapid transition toward a decarbonized economy is underway, following the Paris Agreement and the International Maritime Organization 2030 decarbonization goals. However, due to the high cost of the rapid transition to eco-friendly energy and the geopolitical conflict in eastern Europe, liquefied natural gas (LNG), which emits less carbon than other fossil fuels, is gaining popularity. As the spot market grows due to increased LNG demand, the usage of period extension options in time charter (T/C) contracts is increasing; however, these options are generally provided free of charge in practice, without economic evaluation; this is because some shipowners want to make their time charter contracts more attractive to the more credible charterers. Essentially, the reason for why this option has not been evaluated is because there is no reliable evaluation model currently used in practice. That is, research on the evaluation model for the T/C extension option has been insufficient. Theref... [more]
3772. LAPSE:2023.9761
The Forced Convection Analysis of Water Alumina Nanofluid Flow through a 3D Annulus with Rotating Cylinders via κ−ε Turbulence Model
February 27, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Modelling and Simulations
Keywords: annular, COMSOL, rotation, three-dimensional, turbulence.
We investigated the dynamics of nanofluid and heat transfer in a three-dimensional circular annular using the κ−ε turbulence model and energy equations. The pipe contained two concentric and rotating cylinders with a constant speed in the tangential direction. A heat flux boundary condition was executed at the inner cylinder of the annular. The pipe was settled vertically, and water alumina nanofluid was allowed to enter, with the initial velocity depending on the Reynolds number, ranging from 30,000 to 60,000. The volume fraction of the solid particles was tested from 0.001 to 0.1. The speed of the rotation of the cylinders was tested in the range from 0.5 to 3.5. The simulations were developed using COMSOL Multiphysics 5.6, adopting the finite element procedure for governing equations. The results were validated using the mesh independent study and the average Nusselt number correlations. We found that the average Nusselt number in the middle of the channel decreases linearly with th... [more]
3773. LAPSE:2023.9759
A Review of Auto-Regressive Methods Applications to Short-Term Demand Forecasting in Power Systems
February 27, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Modelling and Simulations
Keywords: artificial intelligence methods, autoregressive forecasting methods, Big Data, classical forecasting methods, Data Mining, electrical power demand, Machine Learning, power systems, short-term forecasting.
The paper conducts a literature review of applications of autoregressive methods to short-term forecasting of power demand. This need is dictated by the advancement of modern forecasting methods and their achievement in good forecasting efficiency in particular. The annual effectiveness of forecasting power demand for the Polish National Power Grid for the next day is approx. 1%; therefore, the main objective of the review is to verify whether it is possible to improve efficiency while maintaining the minimum financial outlays and time-consuming efforts. The methods that fulfil these conditions are autoregressive methods; therefore, the paper focuses on autoregressive methods, which are less time-consuming and, as a result, cheaper in development and applications. The prepared review ranks the forecasting models in terms of the forecasting effectiveness achieved in the literature on the subject, which enables the selection of models that may improve the currently achieved effectiveness... [more]
3774. LAPSE:2023.9754
Reliability Evaluation of Smart Substation Based on Time-Varying Probabilistic Hybrid Attack Graph
February 27, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Modelling and Simulations
Keywords: cyber-physical attack, reliability evaluation, smart substation, TVHPAG.
A substation is the portion of a power grid that forms a link between the cyber system and the physical system. Reliability evaluation of smart substations based on a time-varying probabilistic hybrid attack graph (TVPHAG) is studied in this paper. First, the topology network of the smart substation is established, whose attributes are represented by probability. Then, in order to solve the problem of asynchrony in the cyber-physical system and the hybrid caused by heterogeneity, time-varying state equation in topology and cuts in algebra are introduced to TVPHAG. Based on TVPHAG, the evaluation of the reliability of cyber-physical systems with multiple equipment and multiple timescales is established. On this basis, the influences of physical conditions, cyberattacks, physical attacks, and cyber-physical attacks on substations are analyzed, respectively. Finally, the simulation shows that the method is effective in evaluating the reliability of smart substations, providing a new metho... [more]
3775. LAPSE:2023.9738
Economic Feasibility of Conventional and Building-Integrated Photovoltaics Implementation in Brazil
February 27, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Modelling and Simulations
Keywords: climate types, discounted cash flow, Monte Carlo simulation, NPV, solar energy.
Economic feasibility analysis is essential in the decision-making process regarding investment in photovoltaic projects. Project profitability must be measured based not only on the costs and revenues, but also on the climatic particularities of the different locations. Therefore, performing simulations of technical and economic performance of photovoltaic models is fundamental. Thus, the objective of this study was to analyze deterministic and stochastic models of investments in two types of photovoltaic systems, one incorporated into the enterprise’s architecture (a BIPV system) and the other, a conventional one, in different Brazilian locations, covering the predominant climatic factors in the country. The methodological proposal consisted of choosing a city in Brazil with each predominant climate type and compiling its data on irradiation, monthly sunshine hours, and tariffs of the electric power concessionaire, to simulate the electrical generation performance of the proposed phot... [more]
3776. LAPSE:2023.9737
Reliability Evaluation of Standalone Microgrid Based on Sequential Monte Carlo Simulation Method
February 27, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Modelling and Simulations
Keywords: energy storage system, load shedding, microgrid, reliability evaluation, sequential Monte Carlo simulation.
In order to analyze the influence of uncertainty and an operation strategy on the reliability of a standalone microgrid, a reliability evaluation method based on a sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) simulation was developed. Here, the duty cycles of a microturbine (MT), the stochastic performance of photovoltaics (PV), and wind turbine generators (WTG) were considered. Moreover, the time-varying load with random fluctuation was modeled. In this method, the available capacity of an energy storage system (ESS) was also comprehensively considered by the SMC simulation. Then, the reliability evaluation framework was established from the perspectives of probability, frequency, and duration, and reliability evaluation algorithms under different operation strategies were formulated. Lastly, the influence of WTG and PV penetration and equipment capacity on the reliability was evaluated in the test system. The results showed that the complementary characteristics of wind and solar and the enhancement... [more]
3777. LAPSE:2023.9734
Analyzing Porpoising on High Downforce Race Cars: Causes and Possible Setup Adjustments to Avoid It
February 27, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Modelling and Simulations
Keywords: aerodynamic efficiency, aerodynamic stability, high-downforce race cars, vehicle dynamics simulations.
The so-called porpoising is a well-known problem similar to bouncing that is affecting the dynamic behavior of basically all the field of 2022 Formula 1 racing cars. It is due to the extreme sensitivity of aerodynamic loads to ride height variations along a lap. Mid-way through the season race engineers are still struggling to cope with this phenomenon and its consequences, with regard to either physiological stress experienced by the drivers or to overall vehicle performance and stability. The paper introduces two kinds of models based on real-world chassis and aerodynamic data, where the above-mentioned downforce sensitivity has been arbitrarily recreated through the application of a decay function to aero maps. The first one is a quasi-static model, usually adopted as a trackside tool for controlling ride heights and aero balance, while the second, a fully dynamic model, recreates the interaction between oscillating aerodynamic loads and suspension dynamics resulting in a visible po... [more]
3778. LAPSE:2023.9727
A Method for Evaluating the Rock Breaking Efficiency of Cutters and Optimizing the PDC Cutter Profile—A Study of Igneous Rock Formations in Shunbei Oilfield
February 27, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Modelling and Simulations
Keywords: mechanical specific energy, rock breaking effect, Shunbei Oilfield, special-shaped cutters.
The Permian igneous rock in Shunbei Oilfield exhibits high rock strength, which results in a low rate of penetration (ROP) and shortens the cutter’s service life. It is necessary to analyze and evaluate the rock breaking effect of cutters. However, at this stage, the evaluation of the rock breaking effect has been limited to comparing the sizes of the mechanical specific energy (MSE), and the change in the rock breaking efficiency caused by the difference in the shape of the cutters’ surface has not been considered. Therefore, through the establishment of numerical simulation models of a circular cutter, bevel cutter, axe cutter, wedge cutter, and triangular cutter, the evaluation of the rock breaking efficiency of special-shaped cutters was completed. The results show that the triangular cutter and the wedge cutter are suitable for the front row cutter of the polycrystalline diamond compact bit (PDC); the triangular cutter is suitable for drilling into medium−hard formations, the wedg... [more]
3779. LAPSE:2023.9722
A Pipe Ultrasonic Guided Wave Signal Generation Network Suitable for Data Enhancement in Deep Learning: US-WGAN
February 27, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Modelling and Simulations
Keywords: data enhancement, deep learning, defect classification, EMAT, ultrasonic guided wave testing, Wasserstein generative adversarial network.
A network ultrasonic Wasserstein generative adversarial network (US-WGAN), which can generate ultrasonic guided wave signals, is proposed herein to solve the problem of insufficient datasets for pipe ultrasonic nondestructive testing based on deep neural networks. This network was trained with pre-enhanced and US-WGAN-enhanced datasets with 3000 epochs; the ultrasound signals generated by the US-WGAN were proved to be of high quality (peak signal-to-noise ratio scores in the range of 30−50 dB) and belong to the same population distribution as the original dataset. To verify the effectiveness of the US-WGAN, a fully connected neural network with seven layers was established, and the performances of the network after data enhancement using the US-WGAN and popular virtual defects were verified for the same network parameters and structures. The results show that adoption of the US-WGAN effectively suppresses the overfitting phenomenon while training the network and increases the dataset s... [more]
3780. LAPSE:2023.9721
Unsteady Effects of Wake on Downstream Rotor at Low Reynolds Numbers
February 27, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Modelling and Simulations
Keywords: low Reynolds number, numerical simulation, tip clearance vortex, unsteady effects, wake.
In a compressor, the periodic wake is an inherently unsteady phenomenon that affects the downstream flow conditions and loading distribution. Thus, understanding the physical mechanisms of these unsteady effects is important for eliminating flow losses and improving compressor performance, particularly at low Reynolds numbers. To understand the influence of the upstream wake on the downstream flow field structure, this paper describes numerical simulations of a one-stage high-pressure compressor at altitudes of 10−20 km. The influence of the wake on rotor flow blockage at different Reynolds numbers is analyzed, and the unsteady interaction between the upstream wake and boundary layer or tip leakage flow is discussed. The results indicate that the wake has a beneficial effect on the efficiency of the rotor at high Reynolds numbers, but this weakens and becomes negative as the Reynolds number decreases. The wake can reduce the flow blockage in the mainflow region. Due to the wake, the le... [more]
3781. LAPSE:2023.9714
The “D2P” Approach: Digitalisation, Production and Performance in the Standardised Sustainable Deep Renovation of Buildings
February 27, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Modelling and Simulations
Keywords: BIM, building energy performance simulation, building envelope technologies, digitalisation, in situ measurement, innovative production, off-site construction, prefabrication, residential case study, standardisation process.
The carbon neutrality of the built environment plays a key role in fighting the climate crisis and fully realising ecological transition. In this field, the aim of the paper is to promote a new production paradigm that enables an integrated process from the design phase to the production of high-performance building components, to their “tailor-made installation” for the efficiency enhancement of the national residential building stock, reducing resource consumptions, costs, construction time and the associated environmental impact. The methodological approach is based on three key elements: digitalisation, production and performance. Recent technologies make it possible to achieve important goals, through the creation of the digital cataloguing of existing buildings, advanced dynamic simulations, improved energy performance for building stock and industrial production chain optimisation of the construction sector according to off-site construction criteria. This strategy was tested on... [more]
3782. LAPSE:2023.9706
Proposal for an Improvement of Hard Coal Enrichment Accuracy in Systems with Secondary Beneficiation
February 27, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Modelling and Simulations
Keywords: hard coal enrichment, method of digital modelling, two-product jigs.
There are various ways to improve the accuracy of hard coal enrichment. This article discusses the possibility of improving the accuracy of beneficiation by using the same enrichment machines located in the processing plant, introducing only the multiple (secondary) enrichment of raw coal feed. Secondary enrichment is a technology that allows for an improvement of the accuracy of mineral separation. The main advantage of this solution compared to that currently used is the lack of the necessity of introducing the crushing process. Secondary enrichment without crushing is a simple solution, and at the same time beneficial from the point of view of obtaining a commercial product with specific quantitative and qualitative parameters. This article shows the effect of this type of enrichment on the improvement of the shape of partition curves in an example of systems with two-product jigs. On the basis of the results of simulation studies, it was shown that the use of secondary enrichment r... [more]
3783. LAPSE:2023.9705
Modelling and Performance Analysis of Cyclic Hydro-Pneumatic Energy Storage System Considering the Thermodynamic Characteristics
February 27, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Modelling and Simulations
Keywords: energy storage system (ESS), heavy mining dump trucks (HMDT), hydro-pneumatic, thermodynamics.
The energy storage system of electric-drive heavy mining trucks takes on a critical significance in the characteristics including excellent load capacity, economy, and high efficiency. However, the existing battery-based system does not apply to harsh cold environments, which is the common working condition for the above trucks. A type of cycle hydro-pneumatic energy storage system for the trucks was proposed in this study. The dynamic model of the system, including the dynamic and thermodynamic models of hydraulic and pneumatic parts, was built to analyze the performance of the system. Subsequently, the thermodynamic characteristics were clarified during the energy storage and released through the real test condition-based simulation. The power and energy performances of the system were studied in practice based on the above characteristics. The analysis of the results showed that the system reduced 22.03% driving power at the optimal braking energy recovery rate, the energy density w... [more]
3784. LAPSE:2023.9689
Deviation from Darcy Law in Porous Media Due to Reverse Osmosis: Pore-Scale Approach
February 27, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Modelling and Simulations
Keywords: chemical potential gradient, Darcy law, limiting pressure, reverse osmosis, sub-micron pore.
Shale and tight hydrocarbons are vital to global energy dynamics. The fluid flow in sub-micron pores of tight oil reservoirs varies from bulk fluid flow. The Darcy law is widely accepted to model creeping flow in petroleum reservoirs. However, traditional reservoir modeling approaches fail to account for the sub-micron mechanisms that govern fluid flow. The accuracy of tight oil reservoir simulators has been improved by incorporating the influence of sub-micron effects. However, there are still factors that affect sub-micron fluid mobility that need investigation. The influence of a chemical potential gradient on fluid flow in sub-micron pores was modeled by solving Darcy and the transport and diluted species equations. The findings indicate that when a chemical potential gradient acts in the opposite direction of a hydraulic pressure gradient (reverse osmosis), there exists a limiting pressure threshold below which a non-linear flow pattern deviating from the Darcy equation is observe... [more]
3785. LAPSE:2023.9683
Artificial Intelligence Approaches for Energies
February 27, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Modelling and Simulations
In recent years, it has been noted that deep learning, machine learning, and artificial intelligence models are growing in popularity when applying big data for energy control and decision-making processes [...]
3786. LAPSE:2023.9682
Aspects Regarding the Optimization of Cross Geometry in Traction Asynchronous Motors Using the Theory of Nonlinear Circuits
February 27, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Modelling and Simulations
Keywords: asynchronous motors for railway traction, optimal design, simulations.
Modern electrical traction uses asynchronous motors for driving railway vehicles because these motors have a lot of advantages in comparison with the classical, direct current motors. Reducing active and reactive electrical energy consumption is a concern in the case of these motors, meaning a decrease in exploitation costs. The research carried out shows, by results and simulations, the effects of the geometry optimization for the stator and rotor lamination and emphasizes how much the total and exploitation costs. Cross geometry optimization means preserving constant electromagnetic stresses, using the same gauge dimensions, preserving the constant ampere-turn for a pole pair, having a maximum torque exceeding the imposed limit, and increasing the air-gap magnetic induction. The results obtained indicatea decrease in the total cost, by 42,600 € (12.31%), for a asynchronous tractionmotor in comparison with the existing variant.
3787. LAPSE:2023.9681
Evaluating Performance Indices of Electrostatic Precipitators
February 27, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Modelling and Simulations
Keywords: collection efficiency, electrohydrodynamics, electrostatic precipitation, Modelling, particle removal, review.
Utilizing electrostatic precipitators (ESPs) is an efficient particle removal method that sees a wide usage in industrial environments. This is mainly because of the low drop of the pressure flow, while retaining high collection efficiency, alongside being cost-effective. This paper reviewed previous works concerning optimizing the performance of single- and multi-stage ESPs by changing several design parameters and evaluating the effects on different performance indices, such as the corona power ratio, current-voltage characteristics, and overall collection efficiency. The review then goes through several modelling methodologies, showcasing their shortcomings and developments, as well as the relationship between the electrohydrodynamic (EHD) flow and the precipitation performance. The performance effects of using different electrode configurations and designs in terms of the number of electrodes, relative dimensions, spacings, channel lengths, and overall design were also reviewed.
3788. LAPSE:2023.9664
Design and Implementation of a Real-Time Hardware-in-the-Loop Platform for Prototyping and Testing Digital Twins of Distributed Energy Resources
February 27, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Modelling and Simulations
Keywords: Digital Twin, Distributed Energy Resources, hardware-in-the-loop testing, real-time simulation.
Power systems worldwide are experiencing rapid evolvements with a massive increase of renewable generation in order to meet the ambitious decarbonization targets. A significant amount of renewable generation is from Distributed Energy Resources (DERs), upon which the system operators often have limited visibility. This can bring significant challenges as the increasing DERs’ can lead to network constraints being violated, presenting critical risks for network security. Enhancing the visibility of DERs can be achieved via the provision of communication links, but this can be costly, particularly for real time applications. Digital Twin (DT) is an emerging technology that is considered as a promising solution for enhancing the visibility of a physical system, where only a limited set of data is required to be transmitted with the rest data of interest can be estimated via the DT. The development and demonstration of DTs requires realistic testing and validation enviorment in order to acc... [more]
3789. LAPSE:2023.9651
Predicting Vehicle Refuelling Trips through Generalised Poisson Modelling
February 27, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Modelling and Simulations
Keywords: Poisson probability, prediction model, refuelling, trip counts, weather.
This paper presents a model to predict the number of refuelling trips by vehicles on any given day considering weather conditions and time of the year. The predicted refuelling trips were founded on count-based data, i.e., data that contain events that occur at a certain rate. The paper presents an algorithm developed using Python programming language and the statsmodels module to achieve this. The results indicate that the GP-1 model developed in this paper is statistically significant at the 95% confidence level as it was able to converge—however, precipitation and high ambient temperature conditions are considered statistically insignificant in this model. The viability of the model was further tested on the remaining 20% of the data. Sensitivity tests indicate that there is a good correlation between the actual trips and predicted trips when 70% of the data are used to train the model. Overall, the model presented can be used to predict the number of trips taken by vehicles to refu... [more]
3790. LAPSE:2023.9645
Validation through Experiment and Simulation of Internal Charging−Discharging Characteristics of Polyimide under High-Energy Electron Radiation
February 27, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Modelling and Simulations
Keywords: charging–discharging, evaluation, high-energy electron radiation, in-site PEA, Simulation.
Due to the injection of energetic particles, such as electrons in space environment, the internal charging−discharging characteristics of spacecraft dielectrics need to be evaluated for the safety of spacecraft, and the evaluation results from experiments and simulations should be comparatively validated. An in-site pulsed electroacoustic (PEA) measurement system under high-energy electron radiation was established for evaluating the charging characteristics of thick plate samples about 3 mm, while a joint simulation method based on Geant4 and COMSOL was also proposed. The deposited charge distributions were compared through experiment and joint simulation method under 0.7, 1.0 and 1.3 MeV for 30 min and 1.0 MeV for 10, 60 and 120 min, respectively. Meanwhile, the electrostatic discharging characteristics were also comparative evaluated by both methods under 0.3 MeV for 20 min under 5, 10 and 15 µA beam current, and the total discharging times and initial discharging time were compared... [more]
3791. LAPSE:2023.9642
Novel Multi-Physics Computational Simulation of a 10 kW Permanent Magnet Motor for Podded Propulsion
February 27, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Modelling and Simulations
Keywords: modal acoustic considering fluid-structure interaction (FSI), podded propulsion, surface-mounted permanent magnet synchronous motor, underwater radiated noise (URN).
This paper presents a 10 kW, 12-slot 10-pole surface-mounted permanent magnet synchronous motor (SPMSM) design with fractional-slot concentrated winding for a podded propulsion system. Its load is a propeller that is proportional to the square of the rotational speed and the fifth power of the propeller diameter. Taking this into account, three SPMSMs with rated rotational speeds of 600, 1200, and 1800 rpm with the same rated output power of 10 kW were analyzed. These were designed under the same conditions (i.e., torque per rotor volume, air-gap length, current density, power factor, fill-factor, and supply voltage). Based on the SPMSMs designed by electromagnetic analysis, the housing of a podded propulsor for each SPMSM was modeled for mechanical analysis, including such parameters as forced vibration, radiated noise, and modal acoustics analysis in air and water. From the modal acoustics analysis, it is confirmed that the natural frequencies of a structure in water are lower than t... [more]
3792. LAPSE:2023.9638
Contaminant Transport from a Deep Geological Repository: Lumped Parameters Derived from a 3D Hydrogeological Model
February 27, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Modelling and Simulations
Keywords: 3D modeling, groundwater, lumped parameter model, radioactive waste, repository, spent nuclear fuel, transport pathway.
A model of contaminant transport from a repository to the biosphere is one of the major needs in the safety assessment of the geological disposal of spent nuclear fuel. This work deals with the development of a procedure that obtained characteristic data from the transport path by postprocessing the results of the 3D flow and transport models, according to the repository concept for the Czech Republic. Postprocessing was used to map the entire transport pathway, which included the smallest tracer flows; therefore, it is called the “integral method”. The results are the characteristics of the storage system, such as: transport path length, flow time, total dilution, groundwater flow, longitudinal dispersivity, porosity, etc. These acquired characteristics can be used directly in safety analyses or to narrow the selection of candidate sites. Furthermore, these parameters were used to set up a model with lumped parameters (in this case, created in the GoldSim SW environment). Even only on... [more]
3793. LAPSE:2023.9634
An Experimental Study of Electromagnetic Field Propagation Due to Lightning Upward Leaders and Its Probability on Different Small-Scale Structures
February 27, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Modelling and Simulations
Keywords: Franklin rod, lightning impulse, lightning protection, lightning strikes.
In this paper, upward leader initiation and the probability of lightning flashes on different air terminal were analyzed in detail. With the growing global warming, lightning flash density has increased abruptly, especially in tropical countries. Upward leaders are the critical elements to be considered for defining comprehensive protective measures against lightning during thunderstorms. This article presents the lightning flashover phenomenon on scaled buildings with installed lightning rods. Moreover, the electric field and initialization of upward leaders from Lightning Air Terminals (LATs) were analyzed in detail using Ansys Maxwell as a simulation tool. For the experimental work, a high-voltage impulse generator was used. The air gap between the lightning rods and the top electrode was kept constant in all scaled structures. The purpose of using an identical air gap was to study the upward leader and its electric field for all structures. The effects of the upward leaders on the... [more]
3794. LAPSE:2023.9628
Overview of Arbitrarily High-Order Adjoint Sensitivity and Uncertainty Quantification Methodology for Large-Scale Systems
February 27, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Modelling and Simulations
Keywords: adjoint operators, chaotic dynamics, high-order sensitivities, large-scale systems, limit cycle oscillations, period-doubling bifurcations, predictive modeling, reactor physics benchmark, uncertainty analysis.
This work reviews from a unified viewpoint the concepts underlying the “nth-Order Comprehensive Adjoint Sensitivity Analysis Methodology for Response-Coupled Forward/Adjoint Linear Systems” (nth-CASAM-L) and the “nth-Order Comprehensive Adjoint Sensitivity Analysis Methodology for Nonlinear Systems” (nth-CASAM-N) methodologies. The practical application of the nth-CASAM-L methodology is illustrated for an OECD/NEA reactor physics benchmark, while the practical application of the nth-CASAM-N methodology is illustrated for a nonlinear model of reactor dynamics that exhibits periodic and chaotic oscillations. As illustrated both by the general theory and by the examples reviewed in this work, both the nth-CASAM-L and nth-CASAM-N methodologies overcome the curse of dimensionality in sensitivity analysis. The availability of efficiently and exactly computed sensitivities of arbitrarily high order can lead to major advances in all areas that need such high-order sensitivities, including data... [more]
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