Accurate photovoltaic (PV) prediction has a very positive effect on many problems that power grids can face when there is a high penetration of variable energy sources. This problem can be addressed with computational intelligence algorithms such as neural networks and Evolutionary Optimization. The purpose of this article is to analyze three different hybridizations between physical models and artificial neural networks: the first hybridization combines neural networks with the output of the five-parameter physical model of a photovoltaic module in which the parameters are obtained from a datasheet. In the second hybridization, the parameters are obtained from a matching procedure with historical data exploiting Social Network Optimization. Finally, the third hybridization is PHANN, in which clear sky irradiation is used as an input. These three hybrid methods are compared with two physical approaches and simple neural network-based forecasting. The results show that the hybridization... [more]

In the past two decades, wind energy has been under fast development worldwide. The dramatic increase of wind power penetration in electricity production has posed a big challenge to grid integration due to the high uncertainty of wind power. Accurate real-time forecasts of wind farm power outputs can help to mitigate the problem. Among the various techniques developed for wind power forecasting, the hybridization of numerical weather prediction (NWP) and machine learning (ML) techniques such as artificial neural networks (ANNs) are attracting many researchers world-wide nowadays, because it has the potential to yield more accurate forecasts. In this paper, two hybrid NWP and ANN models for wind power forecasting over a highly complex terrain are proposed. The developed models have a fine temporal resolution and a sufficiently large prediction horizon (>6 h ahead). Model 1 directly forecasts the energy production of each wind turbine. Model 2 forecasts first the wind speed, then conver... [more]

In this study, coconut oils have been transesterified with ethanol using microwave technology. The product obtained (biodiesel and FAEE) was then fractional distillated under vacuum to collect bio-kerosene or bio-jet fuel, which is a renewable fuel to operate a gas turbine engine. This process was modeled using RSM and ANN for optimization purposes. The developed models were proved to be reliable and accurate through different statistical tests and the results showed that ANN modeling was better than RSM. Based on the study, the optimum bio-jet fuel production yield of 74.45 wt% could be achieved with an ethanol−oil molar ratio of 9.25:1 under microwave irradiation with a power of 163.69 W for 12.66 min. This predicted value was obtained from the ANN model that has been optimized with ACO. Besides that, the sensitivity analysis indicated that microwave power offers a dominant impact on the results, followed by the reaction time and lastly ethanol−oil molar ratio. The properties of the... [more]

The concept of sustainable economic development takes into account economic, social and environmental aspects and strives to achieve balance between them. One of the basic areas where it is required to revalue the current views on sustainable development is energy. The growing public awareness of environmental protection forces changes in this industry. Despite the global nature of this problem, its solution is perceived differently in various regions of the world. The unquestionable leader in introducing the idea of sustainable development economy is the European Union, where the energy sector is of key importance for the effectiveness of this process. In order to assess the sustainable energy development of the European Union countries, studies were conducted based on 13 selected indicators characterizing this sector in terms of energy, economy and environment. In order to assess the specificity of the European Union countries, these indicators were additionally compared to the gross... [more]

Methanol production via carbon dioxide (CO2) hydrogenation is a green chemical process, which can reduce CO2 emission. The operating conditions for minimum methanol production cost of three configurations were investigated in this work. An artificial neural network with Latin hypercube sampling technique was applied to construct model-represented methanol production. Price sensitivity was performed to study the impacts of the raw materials price on methanol production cost. Price sensitivity results showed that the hydrogen price has a large impact on the methanol production cost. In mathematical modeling using feedforward artificial neural networks, four different numbers of nodes were used to train artificial neural networks. The artificial neural network with eight numbers of nodes showed the most suitable configuration, which yielded the lowest percent error between the actual and predicted methanol production cost. The optimization results showed that the recommended process desig... [more]

Melanoma is a cancer that threatens life and leads to death. Effective detection of skin lesion types by images is a challenging task. Dermoscopy is an effective technique for detecting skin lesions. Early diagnosis of skin cancer is essential for proper treatment. Skin lesions are similar in their early stages, so manual diagnosis is difficult. Thus, artificial intelligence techniques can analyze images of skin lesions and discover hidden features not seen by the naked eye. This study developed hybrid techniques based on hybrid features to effectively analyse dermoscopic images to classify two datasets, HAM10000 and PH2, of skin lesions. The images have been optimized for all techniques, and the problem of imbalance between the two datasets has been resolved. The HAM10000 and PH2 datasets were classified by pre-trained MobileNet and ResNet101 models. For effective detection of the early stages skin lesions, hybrid techniques SVM-MobileNet, SVM-ResNet101 and SVM-MobileNet-ResNet101 wer... [more]

This study proposes a simple correlation for approximating hydrogen solubility in biomaterials as a function of pressure and temperature. The pre-exponential term of the proposed model linearly relates to the pressure, whereas the exponential term is merely a function of temperature. The differential evolution (DE) optimization algorithm helps adjust three unknown coefficients of the correlation. The proposed model estimates 134 literature data points for the hydrogen solubility in biomaterials with an excellent absolute average relative deviation (AARD) of 3.02% and a coefficient of determination (R) of 0.99815. Comparing analysis justifies that the developed correlation has higher accuracy than the multilayer perceptron artificial neural network (MLP-ANN) with the same number of adjustable parameters. Comparing analysis justifies that the Arrhenius-type correlation not only needs lower computational effort, it also has higher accuracy than the PR (Peng-Robinson), PC-SAFT (perturbed-c... [more]

Onions have a high moisture content, which makes them more susceptible to microbial growth. Drying is one of the postharvest preservation methods applied to decrease onion moisture content, thereby increasing its storage life. In this study, onions were peeled, washed, cut into quarters, hot water blanched, and pureed. The puree was further dried using two different drying methods: refractance window drying (RWD) (water temperature: 70 °C) and convective drying (CD) (50 °C). The puree was spread on prefabricated trays at varying thicknesses of 2 mm, 4 mm, and 6 mm. It was observed that, irrespective of the drying method, moisture ratio (MR) decreased and drying time and effective moisture diffusivity increased with respect to the thickness of the puree. In addition, the Lewis model and the Wang and Singh model showed the highest R2 and lowest SEE value for RWD and CD, respectively. Moreover, the MR of onion puree during RWD and CD was predicted using a multi-layer feed-forward (MLF) ar... [more]

High-impedance faults (HIFs) represent one of the biggest challenges in power distribution networks. An HIF occurs when an electrical conductor unintentionally comes into contact with a highly resistive medium, resulting in a fault current lower than 75 amperes in medium-voltage circuits. Under such condition, the fault current is relatively close in value to the normal drawn ampere from the load, resulting in a condition of blindness towards HIFs by conventional overcurrent relays. This paper intends to review the literature related to the HIF phenomenon including models and characteristics. In this work, detection, classification, and location methodologies are reviewed. In addition, diagnosis techniques are categorized, evaluated, and compared with one another. Finally, disadvantages of current approaches and a look ahead to the future of fault diagnosis are discussed.

An accurate monitoring of power system behavior is a hot-topic for modern grid operation. Low-frequency oscillations (LFO), such as inter-area electromechanical oscillations, are detrimental phenomena impairing the development of the grid itself and also the integration of renewable sources. An interesting countermeasure to prevent the occurrence of such oscillations is to continuously identify their characteristic electromechanical mode parameters, possibly realizing an online monitoring system. In this paper an attempt to develop an online modal parameters identification system is done using machine learning techniques. An approach based on the development of a proper artificial neural network exploiting the frequency measurements coming from actual PMU devices is presented. The specifically developed offline training stage is fully detailed. The output results from the dynamic mode decomposition method are considered as reference in order to validate the machine learning approach. S... [more]

A reasonable dataset, which is an essential factor of renewable energy forecasting model development, sometimes is not directly available. Waiting for a substantial amount of training data creates a delay for a model to participate in the electricity market. Also, inappropriate selection of dataset size may lead to inaccurate modeling. Besides, in a multivariate environment, the impact of different variables on the output is often neglected or not adequately addressed. Therefore, in this work, a novel Mode Adaptive Artificial Neural Network (MAANN) algorithm has been proposed using Spearman’s rank-order correlation, Artificial Neural Network (ANN), and population-based algorithms for the dynamic learning of renewable energy sources power generation forecasting model. The proposed algorithm has been trained and compared with three population-based algorithms: Advanced Particle Swarm Optimization (APSO), Jaya Algorithm, and Fine-Tuning Metaheuristic Algorithm (FTMA). Also, the gradient d... [more]

The article concerns the issue of automatic recognition of the moment of achieving the desired degree of training of an operator of devices used in precision agriculture. The aim of the research was to build a neural model that recognizes when an operator has acquired the skill of operating modern navigation on parallel strips used in precision agriculture. To conduct the test, a standard device to assist the operator in guiding the machine along given paths, eliminating overlaps, was selected. The thesis was proven that the moment of operator training (meaning driving along designated paths with an accuracy of up to eight centimeters) can be automatically recognized by a properly selected artificial neural network. This network was learned on the basis of data collected during the observation of the operator training process, using a criterion defined by experts. The data collected in the form of photos of the actual and designated route was converted into numerical data and entered i... [more]

Optimizing the operation of ground source heat pumps requires simulation of both short-term and long-term response of the borehole heat exchanger. However, the current physical and neural network based models are not suited to handle the large range of time scales, especially for large borehole fields. In this study, we present a hybrid model for long-term simulation of BHE with high resolution in time. The model uses an analytical model with low time resolution to guide an artificial neural network model with high time resolution. We trained, tuned, and tested the hybrid model using measured data from a ground source heat pump in real operation. The performance of the hybrid model is compared with an analytical model, a calibrated analytical model, and three different types of neural network models. The hybrid model has a relative RMSE of 6% for the testing period compared to 22%, 14%, and 12% respectively for the analytical model, the calibrated analytical model, and the best of the... [more]

With the increase of information processing speed, more and more engine optimization work can be processed automatically. The quick-response closed-loop control method is becoming an urgent demand for the combustion control of modern internal combustion engines. In this paper, artificial neural network (ANN) and polynomial functions are used to predict the emission and engine performance based on seven parameters extracted from the in-cylinder pressure trace information of over 3000 cases. Based on the prediction model, the optimal combustion parameters are found with two different intelligent algorithms, including genetical algorithm and fish swarm algorithm. The results show that combination of quadratic function with genetical algorithm is able to obtain the appropriate combustion control parameters. Both engine emissions and thermal efficiency can be virtually predicted in a much faster way, such that enables a promising way to achieve fast and reliable closed-loop combustion contr... [more]

For improving control methods in the thermal environment, various algorithms have been studied to satisfy the specific conditions required by the characteristics of building spaces and to reduce the energy consumed in operation. In this research, a network-based learning control equipped with an adaptive controller is proposed to investigate the control performance for supply air conditions with maintaining the levels of indoor thermal comfort. In order to examine its performance, the proposed model is compared to two different models in terms of the patterns of heating and cooling energy use and the characteristics of operational signals and overshoots. As a result, the energy efficiency of the proposed control has been slightly decreased due to the energy consumption increased by precise controls, but the thermal comfort has improved by about 10.7% more than a conventional thermostat and by about 19.8% more than a deterministic control, respectively. This result can contribute to the... [more]

Thermal energy is an important input of furniture components production. A thermal energy production system includes complex, non-linear, and changing combustion processes. The main focus of this article is the maximization of thermal energy production considering the inbuilt complexity of the thermal energy production system in a factory producing furniture components. To achieve this target, a data-driven prediction and optimization model to analyze and improve the performance of a thermal energy production system is implemented. The prediction models are constructed with daily data by using supervised machine learning algorithms. Importance analysis is also applied to select a subset of variables for the prediction models. The modeling accuracy of prediction algorithms is measured with statistical indicators. The most accurate prediction result was obtained using an artificial neural network model for thermal energy production. The integrated prediction and optimization model is des... [more]

In order to reduce the harm of induced earthquakes in the process of geothermal energy development, it is necessary to analyze and evaluate the induced earthquake risk of a geothermal site in advance. Based on the tectonic evolution and seismogenic history around the Qiabuqia geothermal field, the focal mechanism of the earthquake was determined, and then the magnitude and direction of in-situ stress were inversed with the survey data. At the depth of more than 5 km, the maximum principal stress is distributed along NE 37°, and the maximum principal stress reaches 82 MPa at the depth of 3500 m. The induced earthquakes are evaluated by using artificial neural network (ANN) combined with in-situ stress, focal mechanism, and tectonic conditions. The predicted earthquake maximum magnitude is close to magnitude 3.

We apply deep reinforcement learning to active closed-loop control of a two-dimensional flow over a cylinder oscillating around its axis with a time-dependent angular velocity representing the only control parameter. Experimenting with the angular velocity, the neural network is able to devise a control strategy based on low frequency harmonic oscillations with some additional modulations to stabilize the Kármán vortex street at a low Reynolds number Re=100. We examine the convergence issue for two reward functions showing that later epoch number does not always guarantee a better result. The performance of the controller provide the drag reduction of 14% or 16% depending on the employed reward function. The additional efforts are very low as the maximum amplitude of the angular velocity is equal to 8% of the incoming flow in the first case while the latter reward function returns an impressive 0.8% rotation amplitude which is comparable with the state-of-the-art adjoint optimization r... [more]

Facing the reinforced emission regulations and moving toward a clean powertrain, hydrogen has become one of the alternative fuels for the internal combustion engine. In this study, the prediction methodology of hydrogen yield by on-board fuel reforming under a diesel engine is introduced. An engine dynamometer test was performed, resulting in reduced particulate matter (PM) and NOx emission with an on-board reformer. Based on test results, the reformed gas production rate from the on-board reformer was trained and predicted using an artificial neural network with a backpropagation process at various operating conditions. Additional test points were used to verify predicted results, and sensitivity analysis was performed to obtain dominant parameters. As a result, the temperature at the reformer outlet and oxygen concentration is the most dominant parameters to predict reformed gas owing to auto-thermal reforming driven by partial oxidation reforming process, dominantly.

In recent years, the importance of operational flexibility has increased for gas turbines that can stably operate under various operation conditions. This study proposes advanced control logic using black box models based on an artificial neural network. The goals are to enhance the operational flexibility by increasing the ramp rate and to enhance the operational stability by overcoming the limitation of conventional schedule-based control. By applying the advanced control logic, the turbine inlet temperature (TIT) and turbine exhaust temperature (TET) can be maintained at the optimal values, resulting in efficiency improvement by 0.35%. Furthermore, the maximum deviation of the rotational speed was reduced from 0.22% to 0.061%, and the maximum variations of TIT and TET were reduced by 15−20 °C during the fluctuation of the gas turbine’s power output. In conclusion, high-efficiency operation and a reduction in the degradation of the high-temperature parts can be expected through optim... [more]

The application of advanced technologies for engine efficiency improvement and emissions reduction also increase the occurrence possibility of abnormal combustions such as incomplete combustion, misfire, knock or pre-ignition. Novel promising combustion modes, which are basically dominated by chemical reaction kinetics show a major difficulty in combustion control. The challenge in precise combustion control is hard to overcome by the traditional engine map-based control method because it cannot monitor the combustion state of each cycle, hence, real-time cycle-resolved in-cylinder combustion diagnosis and control are required. In the past, cylinder pressure and ion current sensors, as the two most commonly used sensors for in-cylinder combustion diagnosis and control, have enjoyed a seemingly competitive relationship, so all related researches only use one of the sensors. However, these two sensors have their own unique features. In this study, the idea is to combine the information o... [more]

Energy has a strategic role in the economic and social development of countries. In the last few decades, energy demand has been increasing exponentially across the world, and predicting energy demand has become one of the main concerns in many countries. The residential and commercial sectors constitute about 34.7% of global energy consumption. Anticipating energy demand in these sectors will help governments to supply energy sources and to develop their sustainable energy plans such as using renewable and non-renewable energy potentials for the development of a secure and environmentally friendly energy system. Modeling energy consumption in the residential and commercial sectors enables identification of the influential economic, social, and technological factors, resulting in a secure level of energy supply. In this paper, we forecast residential and commercial energy demands in Iran using three different machine learning methods, including multiple linear regression, logarithmic m... [more]

Molten gasification is considered as a promising technology for the processing and safe disposal of hazardous wastes. During this process, the organic components are completely converted while the hazardous materials are safely embedded in slag via the fusion-solidification-vitrification transformation. Ideally, the slag should be glassy with low viscosity to ensure the effective immobilization and steady discharge of hazardous materials. However, it is very difficult to predict the characteristics of slag using existing empirical equations or conventional mathematical methods, due to the complex non-linear relationship among the phase transformation, vitrification transition and chemical composition of slag. Equipped with a strong nonlinear mapping ability, an artificial neural network may be able to predict the properties of slags if a large amount of data is available for training. In this work, over 10,000 experimental data points were used to train and develop a slag classificatio... [more]

Global warming represents a serious challenge, which requires the adoption of renewable energy technologies worldwide. However, it can negatively affect the availability of renewable energy resources, such as wind, which are needed for electricity generation. In this context, there is an increasing need for more accurate evaluations of wind turbine power curves. A novel methodology to model the power curves of wind turbines, which combines the use of artificial neural networks (ANN) and Fuzzy logic rules, is proposed in this paper. This methodology assesses the role of environmental temperature in the power curve and the impact of temperature increases on wind energy production. The application of this methodology is illustrated with the simulation of the impact of global warming on the electricity generation of a wind farm. Due to the non-linear relationship between the power output of a turbine and its primary and derived parameters, it is shown that ANN combined with an expert syste... [more]

Soot formation in combustion systems is a growing concern due to its adverse environmental and health effects. It is considered to be a tremendously complicated phenomenon which includes multiphase flow, thermodynamics, heat transfer, chemical kinetics, and particle dynamics. Although various numerical approaches have been developed for the detailed modeling of soot evolution, most industrial device simulations neglect or rudimentarily approximate soot formation due to its high computational cost. Developing accurate, easy to use, and computationally inexpensive numerical techniques to predict or estimate soot concentrations is a major objective of the combustion industry. In the present study, a supervised Artificial Neural Network (ANN) technique is applied to predict the soot concentration fields in ethylene/air laminar diffusion flames accurately with a low computational cost. To gather validated data, eight different flames with various equivalence ratios, inlet velocities, and bu... [more]