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Records with Subject: Numerical Methods and Statistics
76. LAPSE:2024.0769
Response Surface Methodology—Central Composite Design Optimization Sugarcane Bagasse Activated Carbon under Varying Microwave-Assisted Pyrolysis Conditions
June 6, 2024 (v1)
Subject: Numerical Methods and Statistics
Keywords: activated carbon, microwave pyrolysis, Optimization, response surface methodology, sugarcane bagasse
Sugarcane bagasse (SB) is a widely available agro-industrial waste residue in China that has the potential to be converted into a cost-effective and renewable adsorbent. In this study, activated carbon (AC) was prepared from SB by microwave vacuum pyrolysis using H3PO4 as the activator. To enhance the sorption selectivity and yield, the pyrolysis process of SB-activated carbon (SBAC) should be well-designed. Central composite design was employed as an optimized experiment design, and response surface methodology was used to optimize the process parameters for maximized SBAC yield and its iodine number. The results showed that the optimized parameters obtained for the SBAC are 2.47 for the impregnation ratio (IR), 479.07 W for microwave power (MP), 23.86 mm for biomass bed depth, and 12.96 min for irradiation time, with responses of 868.7 mg/g iodine number and 43.88% yield. The anticipated outcomes were substantiated, revealing a marginal 5.4% variance in yield and a mere 1.9% discrepa... [more]
77. LAPSE:2024.0746
A Comprehensive Evaluation of Shale Oil Reservoir Quality
June 6, 2024 (v1)
Subject: Numerical Methods and Statistics
Keywords: fuzzy comprehensive evaluation, principal component analysis, reservoir quality, shale oil
To enhance the accuracy of the comprehensive evaluation of reservoir quality in shale oil fractured horizontal wells, the Pearson correlation analysis method was employed to study the correlations between geological parameters and their relationship with production. Through principal component analysis, the original factors were linearly combined into principal components with clear and specific physical meanings, aiming to eliminate correlations among factors. Furthermore, Gaussian membership functions were applied to delineate fuzzy levels, and the entropy weight method was used to determine the weights of principal components, establishing a fuzzy comprehensive evaluation model for reservoir quality. Without using principal component analysis, the correlation coefficient between production and evaluation results for the 40 wells in the Cangdong shale oil field was only 0.7609. However, after applying principal component analysis, the correlation coefficient increased to 0.9132. Fiel... [more]
78. LAPSE:2024.0720
A Numerical Study on the Process of the H2 Shaft Furnace Equipped with a Center Gas Distributor
June 6, 2024 (v1)
Subject: Numerical Methods and Statistics
Keywords: center gas distributor, CO2-lean steelmaking, gas utilization, H2 shaft furnace, solid reduction degree
In order to explore technically feasible options for improving the performance of the H2 shaft furnace (HSF), a previously built and validated computational fluid dynamics (CFD) model was employed in the current work to assess the potential of the operation based on a center gas distributor (CGD). A set of simulations was performed to mimic scenarios where different amounts of feed gas (0−30% of 1400 Nm3/t-pellet) are injected via the CGD located at the bottom of the HSF. The results showed that a relatively large stagnant zone (approximately 8.0-m in height and 0.3-m in diameter) exists in the furnace center where the gas flows are weak owing to an overly shortened penetration depth of the H2 stream solely injected from the circumferentially installed bustle-pipe. When adopting the CGD operation, however, the center gas flows can be effectively enhanced, consequently squeezing the stagnant zone and thus leading to a better overall performance of the HSF. In particular, the uniformity... [more]
79. LAPSE:2024.0679
Study on the Dynamic Characteristics of Single Cavitation Bubble Motion near the Wall Based on the Keller−Miksis Model
June 6, 2024 (v1)
Subject: Numerical Methods and Statistics
Keywords: Keller–Miksis model, near rigid walls, numerical method, single cavitation bubble
The dynamic model of cavitation bubbles serves as the foundation for the study of all cavitation phenomena. Solving the cavitation bubble dynamics equation can better elucidate the physical principles of bubble dynamics, assisting with the design of hydraulic machinery and fluid control. This paper employs a fourth-order explicit Runge−Kutta numerical method to solve the translational Keller−Miksis model for cavitation bubbles. It analyzes the collapse time, velocity, as well as the motion and force characteristics of bubbles under different wall distances γ values. The results indicate that as the distance between the cavitation bubble and the wall decreases, the cavitation bubble collapse time increases, the displacement of the center of mass and the amplitude of translational velocity of the cavitation bubble increase, and the minimum radius of the cavitation bubble gradually decreases linearly. During the stage when the cavitation bubble collapses to its minimum radius, the Bjerkne... [more]
80. LAPSE:2024.0665
Data-Driven Method for Vacuum Prediction in the Underwater Pump of a Cutter Suction Dredger
June 6, 2024 (v1)
Subject: Numerical Methods and Statistics
Keywords: cutter suction dredger, forecast, Machine Learning, vacuum for underwater pump
Vacuum is an important parameter in cutter suction dredging operations because the equipment is underwater and can easily fail. It is necessary to analyze other parameters related to the vacuum to make real-time predictions about it, which can improve the construction efficiency of the dredger under abnormal working conditions. In this paper, a data-driven method for predicting the vacuum of the underwater pump of the cutter suction dredger (CSD) is proposed with the help of big data, machine learning, data mining, and other technologies, and based on the historical data of “Hua An Long” CSD. The method eliminates anomalous data, standardizes the data set, and then relies on theory and engineering experience to achieve feature extraction using the Spearman correlation coefficient. Then, six machine learning methods were employed in this study to train and predict the data set, namely, lasso regression (lasso), elastic network (Enet), gradient boosting decision tree (including tradition... [more]
81. LAPSE:2024.0648
Development and Process Optimization of a Steamed Fish Paste Cake Prototype for Room Temperature Distribution
June 5, 2024 (v1)
Subject: Numerical Methods and Statistics
Keywords: gel strength, high-pressure processing, high-temperature processing, product optimization, response surface methodology, shelf-life, surimi-based products, trehalose
Surimi-based products typically demand cold storage and a cold chain distribution system, which not only affects their physical properties and flavor but also escalates production costs. In this study, we introduced a novel high-temperature and high-pressure retort processing method to enable room temperature storage and distribution of a surimi-based product, a fish paste cake. Our optimization efforts focused on refining the processing conditions for the fish paste cake. This included incorporating transglutaminase, sugar additives, natural herbal or seaweed extracts, and optimizing retort processing conditions to enhance textural properties, minimize browning and off flavor, and extend the shelf-life of the product. Our results demonstrated that the addition of 0.3% ACTIVA TG-K, 1.0% trehalose, and 0.5% sea tangle extract during the production process significantly enhanced the gel strength, minimized browning, and improved the overall flavor of the fish paste cake prototype. Import... [more]
82. LAPSE:2024.0633
Application of Intercriteria and Regression Analyses and Artificial Neural Network to Investigate the Relation of Crude Oil Assay Data to Oil Compatibility
June 5, 2024 (v1)
Subject: Numerical Methods and Statistics
Keywords: ANN, asphaltenes, intercriteria analysis, oil colloidal stability, Petroleum, regression, SARA
The compatibility of constituents making up a petroleum fluid has been recognized as an important factor for trouble-free operations in the petroleum industry. The fouling of equipment and desalting efficiency deteriorations are the results of dealing with incompatible oils. A great number of studies dedicated to oil compatibility have appeared over the years to address this important issue. The full analysis of examined petroleum fluids has not been juxtaposed yet with the compatibility characteristics in published research that could provide an insight into the reasons for the different values of colloidal stability indices. That was the reason for us investigating 48 crude oil samples pertaining to extra light, light, medium, heavy, and extra heavy petroleum crudes, which were examined for their colloidal stability by measuring solvent power and critical solvent power utilizing the n-heptane dilution test performed by using centrifuge. The solubility power of the investigated crude... [more]
83. LAPSE:2024.0570
A Comprehensive Analysis of Sensitivity in Simulation Models for Enhanced System Understanding and Optimisation
June 5, 2024 (v1)
Subject: Numerical Methods and Statistics
Keywords: metamodelling, production system, regression analysis, sensitivity analysis, simulation models, system optimisation
This article delves into sensitivity analysis within simulation models of real systems, focusing on the impact of variability in independent input factors (x) on dependent system outputs (y). It discusses linear and nonlinear regression to analyse and represent relationships between input factors and system responses. This study encompasses three sensitivity analysis areas: factor screening, local sensitivity analysis, and global sensitivity analysis, highlighting their roles in understanding the significance of factors in simulation models. The practical application of sensitivity analysis becomes clear through a case study in a manufacturing system. The case study utilises the Simio simulation system to investigate the impact of input factors on production lead time and work in process (WIP). The analysis uses regression to quantify the impact of seven factors, showcasing the most significant ones with tornado charts and emphasising the application of sensitivity analysis to optimise... [more]
84. LAPSE:2024.0541
Differential Analysis of Pomelo Peel Fermentation by Cordyceps militaris Based on Untargeted Metabolomics
June 5, 2024 (v1)
Subject: Numerical Methods and Statistics
Keywords: Cordyceps militaris, Fermentation, multivariate statistical analysis, pomelo peel, untargeted metabolomics
The content of differentially abundant metabolites in the fermentation broth of grapefruit peels fermented by Cordyceps militaris at different fermentation times was analyzed via LC−MS/MS. Small molecule metabolites and differential metabolic pathways were analyzed via multivariate analysis and Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes (KEGG) enrichment. A total of 423 metabolites were identified at 0, 2, 6, and 10 days after fermentation. Among them, 169 metabolites showed differential abundance, with significant differences observed between the fermentation liquids of every two experimental groups, and the metabolite composition in the fermentation liquid changed over the fermentation time. In summary, the upregulation and downregulation of metabolites in cancer metabolic pathways collectively promote the remodeling of cancer cell metabolism, facilitating increased glycolysis, alterations in TCA cycle flux, and enhanced biosynthesis of the macromolecules required for rapid proliferatio... [more]
85. LAPSE:2024.0540
Numerical Study of Cavitation Characteristics through Butterfly Valve under Different Regulation Conditions
June 5, 2024 (v1)
Subject: Numerical Methods and Statistics
Keywords: butterfly valve, cavitation, cavitation coefficient, flow coefficient, vapor volume fraction
Butterfly valves are widely used in the pipeline transportation industry due to their safety and reliability, as well as their low manufacturing and operation costs. Cavitation is a common phenomenon in the butterfly valve that can lead to serious damage to a valve’s components. Therefore, it is important to investigate the generation and evolution of cavitation in butterfly valves. In this study, LES and the Zwart model were used as the turbulence and cavitation models, respectively, to simulate cavitation through a butterfly valve. The influence of the valve opening degree and inlet flow velocity on dynamic cavitation through the butterfly valve were studied. Furthermore, the cavitated flow field was examined, along with the performance coefficients of the butterfly valve. With the increase in the incoming flow velocity, the high-speed jet zone over a large-range and low-pressure zone appeared inside the downstream of butterfly valve, which affected its stability and the cavitation g... [more]
86. LAPSE:2024.0520
PreSubLncR: Predicting Subcellular Localization of Long Non-Coding RNA Based on Multi-Scale Attention Convolutional Network and Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory Network
June 5, 2024 (v1)
Subject: Numerical Methods and Statistics
Keywords: attention mechanism, bi-directional long short-term memory, convolutional neural networks, subcellular localization of lncRNAs
The subcellular localization of long non-coding RNA (lncRNA) provides important insights and opportunities for an in-depth understanding of cell biology, revealing disease mechanisms, drug development, and innovation in the biomedical field. Although several computational methods have been proposed to identify the subcellular localization of lncRNA, it is difficult to accurately predict the subcellular localization of lncRNA effectively with these methods. In this study, a new deep-learning predictor called PreSubLncR has been proposed for accurately predicting the subcellular localization of lncRNA. This predictor firstly used the word embedding model word2vec to encode the RNA sequences, and then combined multi-scale one-dimensional convolutional neural networks with attention and bidirectional long short-term memory networks to capture the different characteristics of various RNA sequences. This study used multiple RNA subcellular localization datasets for experimental validation, a... [more]
87. LAPSE:2024.0518
A New Empirical Correlation for Pore Pressure Prediction Based on Artificial Neural Networks Applied to a Real Case Study
June 5, 2024 (v1)
Subject: Numerical Methods and Statistics
Keywords: artificial neural network, Epsilon oil field, pore pressure, well log data
Pore pressure prediction is a critical parameter in petroleum engineering and is essential for safe drilling operations and wellbore stability. However, traditional methods for pore pressure prediction, such as empirical correlations, require selecting appropriate input parameters and may not capture the complex relationships between these parameters and the pore pressure. In contrast, artificial neural networks (ANNs) can learn complex relationships between inputs and outputs from data. This paper presents a new empirical correlation for predicting pore pressure using ANNs. The proposed method uses 42 datasets of well log data, including temperature, porosity, and water saturation, to train ANNs for pore pressure prediction. The trained model, with the Bayesian regularization backpropagation function, predicts the pore pressure with an average absolute percentage error (AAPE) and correlation coefficient (R) of 4.22% and 0.875, respectively. The trained ANN is then used to develop a ne... [more]
88. LAPSE:2024.0489
A Production Prediction Model of Tight Gas Well Optimized with a Back Propagation (BP) Neural Network Based on the Sparrow Search Algorithm
June 5, 2024 (v1)
Subject: Numerical Methods and Statistics
Keywords: BP neural network, dense gas wells, sparrow search algorithm, yield prediction
The production of tight gas wells decreases rapidly, and the traditional method is difficult to accurately predict the production of tight gas wells. At present, intelligent algorithms based on big data have been applied in oil and gas well production prediction, but there are still some technical problems. For example, the traditional error back propagation neural network (BP) still has the problem of finding the local optimal value, resulting in low prediction accuracy. In order to solve this problem, this paper establishes the output prediction method of BP neural network optimized with the sparrow search algorithm (SSA), and optimizes the hyperparameters of BP network such as activation function, training function, hidden layer, and node number based on examples, and constructs a high-precision SSA-BP neural network model. Data from 20 tight gas wells, the SSA-BP neural network model, Hongyuan model, and Arps model are predicted and compared. The results indicate that when the prop... [more]
89. LAPSE:2024.0471
Optimizing Accumulator Performance in Hydraulic Systems through Support Vector Regression and Rotational Factors
June 5, 2024 (v1)
Subject: Numerical Methods and Statistics
Keywords: error compensation, millimeter-wave radar, neural network, piston accumulator
The piston-type accumulator is an energy storage device in hydraulic−pneumatic systems, playing a significant role in industries such as petrochemicals, heavy machinery, and steel metallurgy. The displacement parameters of the piston-type accumulator are vitally important for fault diagnosis and early warning in hydraulic systems. Traditional displacement measurement methods cannot meet the requirements of the internal testing environment of the accumulator. Therefore, this paper proposes an accumulator piston displacement signal compensation method based on rotational factors and support vector regression. Firstly, empirical mode decomposition is utilized to denoise the signal. Then, rotational factors are used to generate a delay compensation module to compensate for the signal attenuation and time delay caused by metallic reflection and scattering within the cylinder of the radar signal. The support vector regression model is improved based on a hash table to enhance its computation... [more]
90. LAPSE:2024.0435
Artificial Neural Network Modeling in the Presence of Uncertainty for Predicting Hydrogenation Degree in Continuous Nitrile Butadiene Rubber Processing
June 5, 2024 (v1)
Subject: Numerical Methods and Statistics
Keywords: hydrogenation, Machine Learning, mechanistic modeling, static mixer reactor, uncertainty
The transition from batch to continuous production in the catalytic hydrogenation of nitrile butadiene rubber (NBR) into hydrogenated NBR (HNBR) marks a significant advance for applications under demanding conditions. This study introduces a continuous process utilizing a static mixer (SM) reactor, which notably achieves a hydrogenation conversion rate exceeding 97%. We thoroughly review a mechanistic model of the SM reactor to elucidate the internal dynamics governing the hydrogenation process and address the inherent uncertainties in key parameters such as the Peclet number (Pe), dimensionless time (θτ), reaction coefficient (R), and flow rate coefficient (q). A comprehensive dataset generated from varied parameter values serves as the basis for training an artificial neural network (ANN), which is then compared against traditional models including linear regression, decision tree, and random forest in terms of efficacy. Our results clearly demonstrate the ANN’s superiority in predic... [more]
91. LAPSE:2024.0432
Assessment of Heavy Metal Contamination and Ecological Risk in Soil within the Zheng−Bian−Luo Urban Agglomeration
June 5, 2024 (v1)
Subject: Numerical Methods and Statistics
Keywords: heavy metals, pollution levels, risk assessment, Zheng–Bian–Luo urban agglomeration
As urbanization accelerates, the contamination of urban soil and the consequent health implications stemming from urban expansion are increasingly salient. In recent years, a plethora of cities and regions nationwide have embarked on rigorous soil geological surveys with a focus on environmental quality, yielding invaluable foundational data. This research aims to develop scientifically robust and rational land-use planning strategies while assessing the levels of heavy metal pollution and associated risks. The urban agglomeration encompassing Zhengzhou, Luoyang, and Kaifeng (referred to as Zheng−Bian−Luo Urban Agglomeration) in Henan Province was designated as the study area. Leveraging the Nemerow comprehensive index method alongside the Hakanson potential ecological risk assessment method, this study delved into the pollution levels and potential ecological ramifications of nine heavy metals, namely Cr, Mn, Ni, Cu, Zn, As, Cd, Pb, and Co. Research indicates that the hierarchy of ind... [more]
92. LAPSE:2024.0430
Plasma Processing of Rubber Powder from End-of-Life Tires: Numerical Analysis and Experiment
June 5, 2024 (v1)
Subject: Numerical Methods and Statistics
Keywords: experiment, kinetic calculation, plasma processing, synthesis gas, thermodynamic calculation, waste tire rubber powder
Tire recycling is becoming an increasingly important problem due to the growing number of end-of-life tires (ELTs). World-wide, ELTs account for more than 80 million tons. ELTs contribute to environmental pollution in the long term. They are flammable, toxic and non-biodegradable. At the same time, ELTs contain rubber, metal and textile cord, which are valuable raw materials. ELTs are buried in landfills, burned, crushed and restored. Most of these methods have a negative impact on the environment. From an environmental point of view, the most preferred ways to recycle tires are retreading and shredding. Rubber powder (RP) or crumb is mainly used for rubber pavers production, waterproofing, curbs, road slabs and various surfaces. An alternative method for RP processing, eliminating the disadvantages of the above approaches, is plasma gasification and pyrolysis. The paper presents a thermodynamic and kinetic analysis and an experiment on plasma processing of RP from worn tires to produc... [more]
93. LAPSE:2024.0411
Predicting Alloying Element Yield in Converter Steelmaking Using t-SNE-WOA-LSTM
June 5, 2024 (v1)
Subject: Numerical Methods and Statistics
Keywords: alloy element yield, converter steelmaking, industrial applications, prediction model, t-SNE
The performance and quality of steel products are significantly impacted by the alloying element control. The efficiency of alloy utilization in the steelmaking process was directly related to element yield. This study analyses the factors that influence the yield of elements in the steelmaking process using correlation analysis. A yield prediction model was developed using a t-distributed stochastic neighbor embedding (t-SNE) algorithm, a whale optimization algorithm (WOA), and a long short-term memory (LSTM) neural network. The t-SNE algorithm was used to reduce the dimensionality of the original data, while the WOA optimization algorithm was employed to optimize the hyperparameters of the LSTM neural network. The t-SNE-WOA-LSTM model accurately predicted the yield of Mn and Si elements with hit rates of 71.67%, 96.67%, and 99.17% and 57.50%, 89.17%, and 97.50%, respectively, falling within the error range of ±1%, ±2%, and ±3% for Mn and ±1%, ±3%, and ±5% for Si. The results demonstr... [more]
94. LAPSE:2024.0394
Confluence Effect of Debris-Filled Damage and Temperature Variations on Guided-Wave Ultrasonic Testing (GWUT)
June 5, 2024 (v1)
Subject: Numerical Methods and Statistics
Keywords: damage detection, guided wave, RMS, ultrasonic
Continuous monitoring of structural health is essential for the timely detection of damage and avoidance of structural failure. Guided-wave ultrasonic testing (GWUT) assesses structural damages by correlating its sensitive features with the damage parameter of interest. However, few or no studies have been performed on the detection and influence of debris-filled damage on GWUT under environmental conditions. This paper used the pitch−catch technique of GWUT, signal cross-correlation, statistical root mean square (RMS) and root mean square deviation (RMSD) to study the combined influence of varying debris-filled damage percentages and temperatures on damage detection. Through experimental result analysis, a predictive model with an R2 of about 78% and RMSE values of about 7.5×10−5 was established. When validated, the model proved effective, with a comparable relative error of less than 10%.
95. LAPSE:2024.0370
Production Prediction Model of Tight Gas Well Based on Neural Network Driven by Decline Curve and Data
June 5, 2024 (v1)
Subject: Numerical Methods and Statistics
Keywords: decline curve, dense gas wells, neural network, yield prediction
The accurate prediction of gas well production is one of the key factors affecting the economical and efficient development of tight gas wells. The traditional oil and gas well production prediction method assumes strict conditions and has a low prediction accuracy in actual field applications. At present, intelligent algorithms based on big data have been applied in oil and gas well production prediction, but there are still some limitations. Only learning from data leads to the poor generalization ability and anti-interference ability of prediction models. To solve this problem, a production prediction method of tight gas wells based on the decline curve and data-driven neural network is established in this paper. Based on the actual production data of fractured horizontal wells in three tight gas reservoirs in the Ordos Basin, the prediction effect of the Arps decline curve model, the SPED decline curve model, the MFF decline curve model, and the combination of the decline curve and... [more]
96. LAPSE:2024.0353
Statistical Reliability Assessment with Generalized Intuitionistic Fuzzy Burr XII Distribution
June 5, 2024 (v1)
Subject: Numerical Methods and Statistics
Keywords: Burr XII distribution, generalized intuitionistic fuzzy probability (GenIFP), generalized intuitionistic fuzzy reliability characteristics (GenIFRCs), new type generalized intuitionistic fuzzy set (GenIFS), α,β-cut sets
Intuitionistic fuzzy sets provide a viable framework for modelling lifetime distribution characteristics, particularly in scenarios with measurement imprecision. This is accomplished by utilizing membership and non-membership degrees to accurately express the complexities of data uncertainty. Nonetheless, the complexities of some cases necessitate a more advanced approach of imprecise data, motivating the use of generalized intuitionistic fuzzy sets (GenIFSs). The use of GenIFSs represents a flexible modeling strategy that is characterized by the careful incorporation of an extra level of hesitancy, which effectively clarifies the underlying ambiguity and uncertainty present in reliability evaluations. The study employs a methodology based on generalized intuitionistic fuzzy distributions to thoroughly examine the uncertainty related to the parameters and reliability characteristics present in the Burr XII distribution. The goal is to provide a more accurate evaluation of reliability m... [more]
97. LAPSE:2024.0341
Predicting Bulk Density for Agglomerated Raspberry Ketone via Integrating Morphological and Size Metrics Using Artificial Neural Networks
June 5, 2024 (v1)
Subject: Numerical Methods and Statistics
Keywords: artificial neural networks, bulk density, multi-objective optimization, neural architecture search, NSGA II algorithm, particle shape and size and roughness descriptors
The bulk density of the particles, which is directly related to transportation and storage costs, is an important basic characteristic of products as well as an important parameter in many processing systems. This work quantified the relationship between the tapped bulk density of raspberry ketone with different degrees of agglomeration and morphological metrics (particle shape descriptors and roughness descriptors) and size metrics (size descriptors) and developed an artificial neural network (ANN) prediction model for the tapped bulk density of raspberry ketone. Samples prepared under different conditions were sieved and remixed, the tapped bulk density of the particles was then measured, and the descriptor features of the particles were obtained by combining them with image processing. The dimensions of the variables were decreased by principal component analysis and variance processing. To overcome the hyperparameter estimation of the heuristic-based artificial neural networks, the... [more]
98. LAPSE:2024.0337
Method and Validation of Coal Mine Gas Concentration Prediction by Integrating PSO Algorithm and LSTM Network
June 5, 2024 (v1)
Subject: Numerical Methods and Statistics
Keywords: big data utilization, gas concentration prediction, LSTM, PSO
Gas concentration monitoring is an effective method for predicting gas disasters in mines. In response to the shortcomings of low efficiency and accuracy in conventional gas concentration prediction, a new method for gas concentration prediction based on Particle Swarm Optimization and Long Short-Term Memory Network (PSO-LSTM) is proposed. First, the principle of the PSO-LSTM fusion model is analyzed, and the PSO-LSTM gas concentration analysis and prediction model is constructed. Second, the gas concentration data are normalized and preprocessed. The PSO algorithm is utilized to optimize the training set of the LSTM model, facilitating the selection of the training data set for the LSTM model. Finally, the MAE, RMSE, and coefficient of determination R2 evaluation indicators are proposed to verify and analyze the prediction results. Gas concentration prediction comparison and verification research was conducted using gas concentration data measured in a mine as the sample data. The exp... [more]
99. LAPSE:2024.0331
Data-Driven-Based Intelligent Alarm Method of Ultra-Supercritical Thermal Power Units
June 5, 2024 (v1)
Subject: Numerical Methods and Statistics
Keywords: convolution optimization, false alarm rate, intelligent alarm, missed alarm rate, USCTPUs
In order to ensure the safe operation of the ultra-supercritical thermal power units (USCTPUs), this paper proposes an intelligent alarm method to enhance the performance of the alarm system. Firstly, addressing the issues of slow response and high missed alarm rate (MAR) in traditional alarm systems, a threshold optimization method is proposed by integrating kernel density estimation (KDE) and convolution optimization algorithm (COA). Based on the traditional approach, the expected detection delay (EDD) indicator is introduced to better evaluate the response speed of the alarm system. By considering the false alarm rate (FAR), and EDD, a threshold optimization objective function is constructed, and the COA is employed to obtain the optimal alarm threshold. Secondly, to address the problem of excessive nuisance alarms, this paper reduces the number of nuisance alarms by introducing an adaptive delay factor into the existing system. Finally, simulation results demonstrate that the propo... [more]
100. LAPSE:2024.0318
Forecasting Gas Well Classification Based on a Two-Dimensional Convolutional Neural Network Deep Learning Model
June 5, 2024 (v1)
Subject: Numerical Methods and Statistics
Keywords: deep learning, gas well development indicators, multi-class prediction, two-dimensional convolutional neural network, type of gas well
In response to the limitations of existing evaluation methods for gas well types in tight sandstone gas reservoirs, characterized by low indicator dimensions and a reliance on traditional methods with low prediction accuracy, therefore, a novel approach based on a two-dimensional convolutional neural network (2D-CNN) is proposed for predicting gas well types. First, gas well features are hierarchically selected using variance filtering, correlation coefficients, and the XGBoost algorithm. Then, gas well types are determined via spectral clustering, with each gas well labeled accordingly. Finally, the selected features are inputted, and classification labels are outputted into the 2D-CNN, where convolutional layers extract features of gas well indicators, and the pooling layer, which, trained by the backpropagation of CNN, performs secondary dimensionality reduction. A 2D-CNN gas well classification prediction model is constructed, and the softmax function is employed to determine well... [more]

