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A Multi-Criteria Approach for the Evaluation of Low Risk Restoration Projects in Continuous Surface Lignite Mines
Philip-Mark Spanidis, Christos Roumpos, Francis Pavloudakis.
March 24, 2023 (v1)
Keywords: decision making, management, mines, multi-criteria analysis, project, restoration, risk.
The restoration of continuous surface lignite mines entering the closure phase is a long-term, complex and multidisciplinary project. During the evaluation of alternative restoration technologies, various environmental, technical, economic and social parameters are investigated. In this framework, for the selection of the lower risk restoration alternative, the analysis of the associated risks should be incorporated into the decision-making process. This work provides an overview of practical risk management problems and solutions in mining restoration projects. Moreover, it introduces a multi-criteria methodology for the improvement of the decision-making process in the evaluation of restoration alternatives and the selection of the optimal one, considering a continuous surface mining project. The proposed method is a combination of the analytical hierarchy process (AHP) for the quantification of risk factors and the technique for order of preference by similarity to ideal solution (T... [more]
A Robust q-Rung Orthopair Fuzzy Information Aggregation Using Einstein Operations with Application to Sustainable Energy Planning Decision Management
Muhammad Riaz, Wojciech Sałabun, Hafiz Muhammad Athar Farid, Nawazish Ali, Jarosław Wątróbski.
March 24, 2023 (v1)
Keywords: aggregation operators, Einstein norms, q-rung orthopair fuzzy numbers, sustainable planning decision management.
A q-rung orthopair fuzzy set (q-ROFS), an extension of the Pythagorean fuzzy set (PFS) and intuitionistic fuzzy set (IFS), is very helpful in representing vague information that occurs in real-world circumstances. The intention of this article is to introduce several aggregation operators in the framework of q-rung orthopair fuzzy numbers (q-ROFNs). The key feature of q-ROFNs is to deal with the situation when the sum of the qth powers of membership and non-membership grades of each alternative in the universe is less than one. The Einstein operators with their operational laws have excellent flexibility. Due to the flexible nature of these Einstein operational laws, we introduce the q-rung orthopair fuzzy Einstein weighted averaging (q-ROFEWA) operator, q-rung orthopair fuzzy Einstein ordered weighted averaging (q-ROFEOWA) operator, q-rung orthopair fuzzy Einstein weighted geometric (q-ROFEWG) operator, and q-rung orthopair fuzzy Einstein ordered weighted geometric (q-ROFEOWG) operato... [more]
Plug-In Electric Bus Depot Charging with PV and ESS and Their Impact on LV Feeder
Syed Muhammad Arif, Tek Tjing Lie, Boon Chong Seet, Syed Muhammad Ahsan, Hassan Abbas Khan.
March 24, 2023 (v1)
Keywords: bus depot operator, energy storage system, limited/unlimited charge scheduling algorithm, low voltage feeder, plug-in electric bus.
Plug-in electric buses (PEBs) are a promising alternative to conventional buses to provide a sustainable, economical, and efficient mode of transportation. However, electrification of public transportation leads to a phenomenon of peak load that impacts the stability of low voltage (LV) feeders. In this context, the effective integration of an energy storage system (ESS) and photovoltaic (PV) in a bus depot charging ecosystem can lead to i) peak load reduction and ii) charging cost reduction with low carbon emission. Therefore, a limited PEB charge scheduling algorithm is proposed for: i) bus depot operator (BDO) profit maximization and ii) grid stability enhancement considering the constraints of PEB charging and grids. A mixed integer linear programming (MILP) model for BDO profit maximization has been formulated and analyzed using IBM ILOG studio with CPLEX solver. Simulation has been performed for SkyBus electric fleet using real-world data such as actual bus arrival and departure... [more]
Analyzing Actors’ Engagement in Sustainable Energy Planning at the Local Level in Ghana: An Empirical Study
Hassan Qudrat-Ullah, Mark McCarthy Akrofi, Aymen Kayal.
March 24, 2023 (v1)
Keywords: actor analysis, decentralization, local government, Renewable and Sustainable Energy, socio-technical systems, sustainable energy planning.
Actors play a crucial role in sustainable energy development yet interaction in different contexts is an area that has not received much scholarly attention. Sustainable energy transitions theories such as the Multi-Level Perspective, for instance, have been criticized for not describing precisely the nature of the interactions between actors and institutions within socio-technical systems. The goal of this study was to empirically examine local actors’ engagement and its impact on the planning and implementation of sustainable energy initiatives in the villages and remote areas in Ghana. Using the mixed methodology approach, interviews were performed, focus discussion groups were held, and archival data were collected, and social network modeling and case study analysis was performed. Our findings showed that sustainable energy development at the local level depends on an interplay between local government agencies, Non-Governmental Organizations (NGOs), central government agencies, l... [more]
A Multi-Agent Reinforcement Learning Framework for Lithium-ion Battery Scheduling Problems
Yu Sui, Shiming Song.
March 24, 2023 (v1)
Keywords: battery scheduling, KiBaM, lithium-ion battery, reinforcement learning, thermal modeling.
This paper presents a reinforcement learning framework for solving battery scheduling problems in order to extend the lifetime of batteries used in electrical vehicles (EVs), cellular phones, and embedded systems. Battery pack lifetime has often been the limiting factor in many of today’s smart systems, from mobile devices and wireless sensor networks to EVs. Smart charge-discharge scheduling of battery packs is essential to obtain super linear gain of overall system lifetime, due to the recovery effect and nonlinearity in the battery characteristics. Additionally, smart scheduling has also been shown to be beneficial for optimizing the system’s thermal profile and minimizing chances of irreversible battery damage. The recent rapidly-growing community and development infrastructure have added deep reinforcement learning (DRL) to the available tools for designing battery management systems. Through leveraging the representation powers of deep neural networks and the flexibility and vers... [more]
Low-Capacity Exploitation of Distribution Networks and Its Effect on the Planning of Distribution Networks
Jorge A. Alarcon, Francisco Santamaria, Ameena S. Al-Sumaiti, Sergio Rivera.
March 24, 2023 (v1)
Keywords: capital investment, exploitation capacity, feeder’s efficiency, planning of distribution networks, power distribution networks.
The continuous variation and dispersion of the load demand during a 24-h day are uncontrolled aspects that affect the efficiency, operational conditions, and total cost of the power distribution network. The cost of the network is strongly related to the peak of demand, but the available capacity of the network is not used efficiently during the day because feeders and branches usually work under 70% of their full capacity. In this way, it is necessary to measure how efficiently the distribution network capacity is used and to identify the aspects that can be modified to improve it. This article proposes a new exploitation capacity index to measure the efficiency of a/the whole distribution network throughout the day in relation to the total available capacity of the branches that compose the network. The paper presents the mathematical formulation and the validation process of the index, and then it provides a planning case study in which the index and the total cost of the planning p... [more]
A Long-Term Evaluation on Transmission Line Expansion Planning with Multistage Stochastic Programming
Sini Han, Hyeon-Jin Kim, Duehee Lee.
March 24, 2023 (v1)
Keywords: decomposition method, mixed-integer linear programming, multistage stochastic optimisation, transmission line expansion planning.
The purpose of this paper is to apply multistage stochastic programming to the transmission line expansion planning problem, especially when uncertain demand scenarios exist. Since the problem of transmission line expansion planning requires an intensive computational load, dual decomposition is used to decompose the problem into smaller problems. Following this, progressive hedging and proximal bundle methods are used to restore the decomposed solutions to the original problems. Mixed-integer linear programming is involved in the problem to decide where new transmission lines should be constructed or reinforced. However, integer variables in multistage stochastic programming (MSSP) are intractable since integer variables are not restored. Therefore, the branch-and-bound algorithm is applied to multistage stochastic programming methods to force convergence of integer variables.In addition, this paper suggests combining progressive hedging and dual decomposition in stochastic integer pr... [more]
MILP-PSO Combined Optimization Algorithm for an Islanded Microgrid Scheduling with Detailed Battery ESS Efficiency Model and Policy Considerations
Rae-Kyun Kim, Mark B. Glick, Keith R. Olson, Yun-Su Kim.
March 24, 2023 (v1)
Keywords: battery energy storage system, islanded microgrid, linear programming, optimal scheduling, Particle Swarm Optimization.
This paper presents the optimal scheduling of a diesel generator and an energy storage system (ESS) while using a detailed battery ESS energy efficiency model. Optimal scheduling has been hampered to date by the nonlinearity and complexity of the battery ESS. This is due to the battery ESS efficiency being a multiplication of inverter and battery efficiency and the dependency of an inverter and any associated battery efficiencies on load and charging and discharging. We propose a combined mixed-integer linear programming and particle swarm optimization (MILP-PSO) algorithm as a novel means of addressing these considerations. In the algorithm, MILP is used to find some initial points of PSO, so that it can find better solution. Moreover, some additional algorithms are added into PSO to modify and, hence, improve its ability of dealing with constraint conditions and the local minimum problem. The simulation results show that the proposed algorithm performs better than MILP and PSO alone... [more]
EU-28 Residential Heat Supply and Consumption: Historical Development and Status
Nis Bertelsen, Brian Vad Mathiesen.
March 24, 2023 (v1)
Keywords: data quality, decarbonisation, Energy Efficiency, EU-28, heat, path dependency, residential heat supply, Supply Chain.
EU is moving towards a climate neutrality goal in 2050 with heating of buildings posing a major challenge. This paper provides a deep understanding of the historical development, path dependency and current status of the EU-28 residential heat sectors to inform strategy and policy makers and to open up this black box. Data is combined for buildings, installed technologies, fuel consumption and energy supply for Member States from 1990 to 2015, to analyse the importance of large-scale infrastructures and supply chains. Primary energy supply for residential heating is mainly based on fossil fuels; 70% in 2015 with 69% imported. The building level technologies are dominated by non-condensing boilers and stoves. Primary and final energy consumption decreased in spite of an increase in the total occupied living area in most countries. Path-dependency effects are found in the residential heat supply in EU. The analysis show path-dependent trajectories are present in most Member States, espec... [more]
Multi-Objective Optimal Operation for Steam Power Scheduling Based on Economic and Exergetic Analysis
Yu Huang, Weizhen Hou, Yiran Huang, Jiayu Li, Qixian Li, Dongfeng Wang, Yan Zhang.
March 24, 2023 (v1)
Keywords: exergetic analysis, multi-objective, steam supply scheduling, ε-constraint method.
Steam supply scheduling (SSS) plays an important role in providing uninterrupted reliable energy to meet the heat and electricity demand in both the industrial and residential sectors. However, the system complexity makes it challenging to operate efficiently. Besides, the operational objectives in terms of economic cost and thermodynamic efficiency are usually contradictory, making the online scheduling even more intractable. To this end, the thermodynamic efficiency is evaluated based on exergetic analysis in this paper, and an economic-exergetic optimal scheduling model is formulated into a mixed-integer linear programming (MILP) problem. Moreover, the ε-constraint method is used to obtain the Pareto front of the multi-objective optimization model, and fuzzy satisfying approach is introduced to decide the unique operation strategy of the SSS. In the single-period case results, compared with the optimal scheduling which only takes the economic index as the objective function, the ope... [more]
Integration of Smart Grid Resources into Generation and Transmission Planning Using an Interval-Stochastic Model
Guk-Hyun Moon, Rakkyung Ko, Sung-Kwan Joo.
March 24, 2023 (v1)
Keywords: electric vehicle, integrated generation and transmission planning, interval-stochastic programming, smart grid, wind power.
In the power industry, the deployment of smart grid resources in power systems has become an issue of major interest. The deployment of smart grid resources represents an additional uncertainty in the integrated generation and transmission planning that raises uncertainties in investment-related decision making. This paper presents a new power system planning method for the integration of electric vehicles (EVs) and wind power generators into power systems. An interval-stochastic programming method is used to account for the heterogeneous uncertainties attributable to natural variability and lack of knowledge. The numerical results compare the multiple integration scenarios and verifies the effectiveness of the proposed method in terms of cost distribution and regret cost.
Evaluating Line Capacity with an Analytical UIC Code 406 Compression Method and Blocking Time Stairway
Ruxin Wang, Lei Nie, Yuyan Tan.
March 24, 2023 (v1)
Keywords: blocking time theory, high-speed railway capacity, train headway, UIC Code 406.
Railways around the world are experiencing growth in traffic flow, but the problem concerning how to optimize the utilization of capacity is still demands significant research. To accommodate the increasing traffic demand, the high-speed railway operator in China is interested in understanding the potential benefit of adopting reasonable headway to balance the safety and efficiency of train operations. In this study, a compress timetable scheduling model based on the UIC Code 406 method is presented to evaluate the line capacity. In this model, train headway is not pre-fixed as in the existing research, but considers the actual operating conditions and is calculated using actual running data. The results of the case study show that refined headway calculations generally have positive capacity effects.
A Machine Learning Pipeline for Demand Response Capacity Scheduling
Gautham Krishnadas, Aristides Kiprakis.
March 24, 2023 (v1)
Keywords: data-driven, demand response, deployment, flexibility, large consumer building, load curtailment, Machine Learning, retail building, smart grid.
Demand response (DR) is an integral component of smart grid operations that offers the necessary flexibility to support its decarbonisation. In incentive-based DR programs, deviations from the scheduled DR capacity affect the grid’s energy balance and result in revenue losses for the DR participants. This issue aggravates with increasing DR delivery from participants such as large consumer buildings who have limited standard methods to follow for DR capacity scheduling. Load curtailment based DR capacity availability from such consumers can be forecasted reliably with the help of supervised machine learning (ML) models. This study demonstrates the development of data-driven ML based total and flexible load forecast models for a retail building. The ML model development tasks such as data pre-processing, training-testing dataset preparation, cross-validation, algorithm selection, hyperparameter optimisation, feature ranking, model selection and model evaluation are guided by deployment-... [more]
Optimal Asset Planning for Prosumers Considering Energy Storage and Photovoltaic (PV) Units: A Stochastic Approach
Eleonora Achiluzzi, Kirushaanth Kobikrishna, Abenayan Sivabalan, Carlos Sabillon, Bala Venkatesh.
March 24, 2023 (v1)
Keywords: battery energy storage system, mixed integer linear programming, photovoltaic, prosumer asset planning.
In the distribution system, customers have increasingly use renewable energy sources and battery energy storage systems (BESS), transforming traditional loads into active prosumers. Therefore, methodologies are needed to provide prosumers with tools to optimize their investments and increase business opportunities. In this paper, a stochastic mixed integer linear programming (MILP) formulation is proposed to solve for optimal sizes of prosumer assets, considering the use of a BESS and photovoltaic (PV) units. The objective is to minimize the total cost of the system, which is defined as the combination of a solar PV system investment, BESS investment, maintenance costs of assets, and the cost of electricity supplied by the grid. The developed method defines the optimal size of PV units, the power/energy capacities of the BESS, and the optimal value for initial energy stored in the BESS. Both deterministic and stochastic approaches were explored. For each approach, the proposed model wa... [more]
Operational Management Implemented in Biofuel Upstream Supply Chain and Downstream International Trading: Current Issues in Southeast Asia
Hoo Poh Ying, Cassendra Bong Phun Chien, Fan Yee Van.
March 24, 2023 (v1)
Keywords: bioenergy, biofuel, Indonesia, integrated assessment, interdisciplinary, Malaysia, Supply Chain, Thailand.
Bioenergy is one of the alternatives to secure energy demand, despite increasing debate on the sustainability of using bioenergy as a renewable source. As the source is disseminated over a large area and affected by seasonality, the potential benefit is highly dependent on other cost and benefit trade-offs along the supply chain. This review paper aims to assess operational management research methods used in biofuel supply chain planning, including both upstream production and international downstream trading. There have been considerable operational management studies done on upstream processes in biofuel production based on different strategic and tactical decision making of a single or multiple feedstocks, considering economic and environmental factor. However, the environmental consideration is often limited to carbon emission where the other environmental impact such as land-use change, biodiversity loss, irrigation and fertilisation are often being overlooked. Biofuel supply cha... [more]
Reconstruction of Multidecadal Country-Aggregated Hydro Power Generation in Europe Based on a Random Forest Model
Linh T. T. Ho, Laurent Dubus, Matteo De Felice, Alberto Troccoli.
March 24, 2023 (v1)
Keywords: climate variable, hydro power generation, lagged effect, random forest.
Hydro power can provide a source of dispatchable low-carbon electricity and a storage solution in a climate-dependent energy mix with high shares of wind and solar production. Therefore, understanding the effect climate has on hydro power generation is critical to ensure a stable energy supply, particularly at a continental scale. Here, we introduce a framework using climate data to model hydro power generation at the country level based on a machine learning method, the random forest model, to produce a publicly accessible hydro power dataset from 1979 to present for twelve European countries. In addition to producing a consistent European hydro power generation dataset covering the past 40 years, the specific novelty of this approach is to focus on the lagged effect of climate variability on hydro power. Specifically, multiple lagged values of temperature and precipitation are used. Overall, the model shows promising results, with the correlation values ranging between 0.85 and 0.98... [more]
Foresight as a Tool for the Planning and Implementation of Visions for Smart City Development
Danuta Szpilko.
March 24, 2023 (v1)
Keywords: co-creation, foresight, smart city, strategic planning, sustainable development, vision.
Global change, including population growth, economic development and climate change constitute urgent challenges for the smart cities of the 21st century. Cities need to effectively manage their development and meet challenges that have a significant impact on their economic activity, as well as health and quality of life for their citizens. In the context of continuous change, city decision-makers are constantly looking for new smart tools to tackle it. This article addresses this gap, indicating foresight as an effective tool that anticipates the future of a smart city. Its aim is to develop a methodology for planning and implementing a vision of smart city development based on foresight research. The proposed methodology consists of five stages and was developed with the use of methodology for designing hybrid systems. It is an organised, transparent and flexible process which can facilitate the development of sustainable and smart future visions of smart city development by virtue... [more]
Flow Shop Providing Frequency Regulation Service in Electricity Market
Yan Wang, Congxianzi Pei, Qiushuo Li, Jingbang Li, Deng Pan, Ciwei Gao.
March 24, 2023 (v1)
Keywords: automatic generation control (AGC) strategy, day-ahead energy market, flow shop scheduling, frequency regulation market, optimal bidding.
Electricity cost is one of main production costs for flow shops. Providing frequency regulation services can help electric loads reduce their electricity costs. Previous studies mostly focus on automatic generation control (AGC) strategies for other types of electric loads, such as air conditioners, EVs or battery storage. In this paper, we find flow shops competent to follow regulation signals and avoid interrupts of processing with the help of scheduling optimization. This finding may be an aid for flow shops by availing regulation services to the market and making a profit. Hence, we propose an AGC strategy for optimizing flow shop scheduling, without affecting the operation. To formulate the bidding strategy for flow shops in regulation market, we considered as many relevant factors as possible, including the regulation performance and yield of flow shops, constraints on load power, regulation reserve capacity and machines operation, inventory of each semi-finished product, AGC str... [more]
Probabilistic Load Flow Approach Considering Dependencies of Wind Speed, Solar Irradiance, Electrical Load and Energy Exchange with a Joint Probability Distribution Model
Marie-Louise Kloubert.
March 24, 2023 (v1)
Keywords: copula, dependencies, pair-copula, probabilistic load flow, probability density function, solar irradiance, transmission system planning, vine copula, wind speed.
The modelling of stochastic feed-ins and demands becomes essential for transmission grid operation and planning due to the extension of renewable energy sources (RES). Neglecting the correlation between uncertain variables and/or oversimplifying the distribution through the assumption of Normal distributions leads to the inaccurate determination of future network states. Therefore, the uncertainties need to be accurately modelled in order to be used in a probabilistic load flow approach. This paper analyses the characteristics of wind speed and solar irradiance for different locations throughout countries and models the dependencies between them. In addition, the total electrical load and the energy exchange between neighbouring countries are analysed. All of these uncertainties are modelled together in a high-dimensional joint probability distribution using pair-copula constructions. The model is applied to generate samples and determine the probability of extreme events, e.g. high RE... [more]
A New Power Sharing Scheme of Multiple Microgrids and an Iterative Pairing-Based Scheduling Method
Hong-Chao Gao, Joon-Ho Choi, Sang-Yun Yun, Seon-Ju Ahn.
March 24, 2023 (v1)
Keywords: energy storage system, microgrid, microgrid aggregator, multiple microgrids, power sharing schedule.
As the numbers of microgrids (MGs) and prosumers are increasing, many research efforts are proposing various power sharing schemes for multiple MGs (MMGs). Power sharing between MMGs can reduce the investment and operating costs of MGs. However, since MGs exchange power through distribution lines, this may have an adverse effect on the utility, such as an increase in peak demand, and cause local overcurrent issues. Therefore, this paper proposes a power sharing scheme that is beneficial to both MGs and the utility. This research assumes that in an MG, the energy storage system (ESS) is the major controllable resource. In the proposed power sharing scheme, an MG that sends power should discharge at least as much power from the ESS as the power it sends to other MGs, in order to actually decrease the total system demand. With these assumptions, methods for determining the power sharing schedule are proposed. Firstly, a mixed integer linear programming (MILP)-based centralized approach is... [more]
Multi-Time Scale Optimization Scheduling Strategy for Combined Heat and Power System Based on Scenario Method
Yunhai Zhou, Shengkai Guo, Fei Xu, Dai Cui, Weichun Ge, Xiaodong Chen, Bo Gu.
March 24, 2023 (v1)
Keywords: combined heat and power system, optimization scheduling, scenario method, temporal dependence, wind power uncertainty.
The wind−heat conflict and wind power uncertainty are the main factors leading to the phenomenon of wind curtailment during the heating period in the northern region of China. In this paper, a multi-time scale optimal scheduling strategy for combined heat and power system is proposed. Considering the temporal dependence of wind power fluctuation, the intra-day wind power scenario generation method is put forward, and both day-ahead and intra-day optimization scheduling models based on the scenario method are established to maximize the system’s revenue. The case analyzes the impacts of the initial heat storage capacity of a heat storage device and different scheduling strategies on system revenue. It is verified that the scheduling strategy can better adapt to wind power uncertainty and improve the absorption capacity of wind power, while ensuring the safety and economical efficiency of system operation.
A Through-Life Cost Analysis Model to Support Investment Decision-Making in Concentrated Solar Power Projects
Mahmood Shafiee, Adel Alghamdi, Chris Sansom, Phil Hart, Adriana Encinas-Oropesa.
March 24, 2023 (v1)
Keywords: benefit-cost ratio (BCR), concentrated solar power (CSP), discounted payback period (DPBP), internal rate of return (IRR), levelized cost of energy (LCoE), net present value (NPV), system advisor model (SAM), through-life cost analysis.
This research paper aims to propose a through-life cost analysis model for estimating the profitability of renewable concentrated solar power (CSP) technologies. The financial outputs of the model include net present value (NPV) and benefit-cost ratio (BCR) of the project, internal rate of return (IRR) and discounted payback period (DPBP) of the investment, and levelized cost of energy (LCoE) from the CSP technology. The meteorological data for a specific location in the city of Tucson in Arizona is collected from a network of automated weather stations, and the NREL System Advisor Model (SAM) is applied to simulate hourly energy output of the CSP plant. An Excel spreadsheet tool is designed to calculate, in a bottom-up approach, the financial metrics required for approval of CSP projects. The model is tested on a 50 MW parabolic trough CSP plant and the results show an annual energy production of 456,351,232 kWh, NPV of over $64 million and LCoE of 0.16 $/kWh. Finally, a sensitivity a... [more]
Artificial Learning Dispatch Planning for Flexible Renewable-Energy Systems
Ana Carolina do Amaral Burghi, Tobias Hirsch, Robert Pitz-Paal.
March 23, 2023 (v1)
Keywords: dispatch, energy markets, Machine Learning, Optimization, renewable systems, storage.
Environmental and economic needs drive the increased penetration of intermittent renewable energy in electricity grids, enhancing uncertainty in the prediction of market conditions and network constraints. Thereafter, the importance of energy systems with flexible dispatch is reinforced, ensuring energy storage as an essential asset for these systems to be able to balance production and demand. In order to do so, such systems should participate in wholesale energy markets, enabling competition among all players, including conventional power plants. Consequently, an effective dispatch schedule considering market and resource uncertainties is crucial. In this context, an innovative dispatch optimization strategy for schedule planning of renewable systems with storage is presented. Based on an optimization algorithm combined with a machine-learning approach, the proposed method develops a financial optimal schedule with the incorporation of uncertainty information. Simulations performed w... [more]
Optimum Renewable Energy Investment Planning in Terms of Current Deficit: Turkey Model
Sinem Yapar Saçık, Nihal Yokuş, Mehmet Alagöz, Turgut Yokuş.
March 23, 2023 (v1)
Keywords: energy economics, energy-based current deficit, investment optimization, Renewable and Sustainable Energy, solar and wind energy.
In this study, a methodology was suggested for wind and solar energy investment plans through linear optimization model for the countries with an energy-based current deficit problem. The originality of the study is that it is a renewable energy investment model based on the functioning of the balance of payments for current deficit reduction, which has not previously been encountered in the literature. While creating the model, without causing external economic imbalance, certain parameters were taken into consideration such as profit transfers for the foreign direct investments, interest payments for the domestic investments, import rates for the wind and solar energy systems, energy electric power production values, electric power load balance, electricity transmission infrastructure, CO2 emission, future electric power demand projection, and import source rates in the electric power production. It was proven that the model, for the 2019−2030 period in Turkey, not only is an opportu... [more]
Planning Annual LNG Deliveries with Transshipment
Mingyu Li, Peter Schütz.
March 23, 2023 (v1)
Keywords: annual delivery program, Liquified Natural Gas, maritime inventory routing, rolling horizon heuristic.
The introduction of transshipment ports in the liquefied natural gas (LNG) supply chain in recent years offers additional flexibility, but also challenges to the planning of the annual delivery program. We present a new variant of the LNG-annual delivery program (ADP) planning problem by considering transshipment as well as time-dependent sailing times. We present a continuous time formulation for the LNG-ADP problem and propose a rolling horizon heuristic to solve the problem. Both the model and heuristic were used to solve a case inspired by the Yamal LNG project. The computational results show that the heuristic provides good solutions within a relatively short amount of time, especially compared to the exact solution methods. However, there is a trade-off between computational time and solution quality when designing the rolling horizon heuristic. The results also show the impact storage capacity at the transshipment port has on the total cost.
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