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Records with Subject: Numerical Methods and Statistics
Showing records 651 to 675 of 2221. [First] Page: 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 Last
Durability Assessment of Wooden Pellets in Relation with Vibrations Occurring in a Logistic Process of the Final Product
Andrzej Kuranc, Monika Stoma, Leszek Rydzak, Monika Pilipiuk
April 4, 2023 (v1)
Keywords: pellet mechanical durability, pellet transportation, transportation shock vibrations, wood pellets
Vibrations occurring during road transport can vary in a wide spectrum and they can lead to losses in quality of transported materials. However, the vibrations are definitely different than the loads experienced by pellet samples in the tester used for durability tests according to the standard ISO 17831-1. pThe aim of the study was to evaluate the durability of wood biomass pellets available for sale in large-area stores, in terms of loads occurring in transport. The durability of the ellets was tested by subjecting them to vertical and horizontal vibrations similar to those occurring during local transport of this type of fuel for the needs of households. Durability tests were also carried out in accordance with ISO 17831-1. The results were analyzed statistically. Among other, it was found that the vibration time impact on the tested pellet durability was significantly lower in case of horizontal vibrations than in vertical. Moreover, pellets with a diameter of 8 mm showed lower dur... [more]
Prediction of Reformed Gas Composition for Diesel Engines with a Reformed EGR System Using an Artificial Neural Network
Jiwon Park, Jungkeun Cho, Heewon Choi, Jungsoo Park
April 4, 2023 (v1)
Keywords: artificial neural network, diesel engine, Hydrogen, NOx reduction, reforming
Facing the reinforced emission regulations and moving toward a clean powertrain, hydrogen has become one of the alternative fuels for the internal combustion engine. In this study, the prediction methodology of hydrogen yield by on-board fuel reforming under a diesel engine is introduced. An engine dynamometer test was performed, resulting in reduced particulate matter (PM) and NOx emission with an on-board reformer. Based on test results, the reformed gas production rate from the on-board reformer was trained and predicted using an artificial neural network with a backpropagation process at various operating conditions. Additional test points were used to verify predicted results, and sensitivity analysis was performed to obtain dominant parameters. As a result, the temperature at the reformer outlet and oxygen concentration is the most dominant parameters to predict reformed gas owing to auto-thermal reforming driven by partial oxidation reforming process, dominantly.
Numerical Study on the Effects of Relative Diameters on the Performance of Small Modular Reactors Driven by Natural Circulation
Young Jin Kim, Byung Jin Lee, Kunwoo Yi, Yoon Jae Choe, Min Chul Lee
April 4, 2023 (v1)
Keywords: hydraulic diameters, natural circulation, numerical analysis, porous media, small modular reactor
Most of the small modular reactors (SMRs) under development worldwide present the same components: an integral reactor vessel with a low-positioned core as the heat source and a high-positioned steam generator as the heat sink. Moreover, some SMRs are being designed to be driven by natural circulation during normal power generation. This work focused on such designs and on their performance, considering the changes generated by the geometric and hydraulic parameters of the system. Numerical simulations using mass, momentum, and energy equations that considered buoyancy forces were performed to determine the effects of various geometric and hydraulic parameters, such as diameters and flow resistances, on the reactor’s performance. It was found that nonuniform diameters promote velocity changes that affect the natural circulation flow rate. Moreover, the reactor’s temperature distribution depends on the steam generator tube pitch. Therefore, the hydraulic diameters of the reactor’s coola... [more]
Permanent-Magnet Synchronous Motor Drive System Using Backstepping Control with Three Adaptive Rules and Revised Recurring Sieved Pollaczek Polynomials Neural Network with Reformed Grey Wolf Optimization and Recouped Controller
Chih-Hong Lin
April 4, 2023 (v1)
Keywords: backstepping control, grey wolf optimization, Lyapunov stability theorem, permanent-magnet synchronous motor, Sieved-Pollaczek polynomials neural network
Owing to some nonlinear characteristics in the permanent-magnet synchronous motor (SM), such as nonlinear friction, cogging torque, wind stray torque, external load torque, and unmodeled systems, fine control performances cannot be accomplished by utilizing the general linear controllers. Thereby, the backstepping approach adopting three adaptive rules and a swapping function is brought forward for controlling the rotor motion in the permanent-magnet SM drive system to reduce nonlinear uncertainties effects. To improve the chattering phenomenon, the backstepping control with three adaptive rules using a revised recurring sieved Pollaczek polynomials neural network (RRSPPNN) with reformed grey wolf optimization (RGWO) and a recouped controller is proposed to estimate the internal collection and external collection torque uncertainties, and to recoup the smallest fabricated error of the appraised rule. In the light of the Lyapunov stability, the on-line parametric training method of the... [more]
An Optimal Phase Arrangement of Distribution Transformers under Risk Assessment
Chia-Sheng Tu, Chung-Yuen Yang, Ming-Tang Tsai
April 4, 2023 (v1)
Keywords: distribution transformer, Monte Carlo method, Particle Swarm Optimization, value-at-risk
This paper presents a phase arrangement procedure for distribution transformers to improve system unbalance and voltage profile of distribution systems, while considering the location and uncertainties of the wind turbine (WT) and photovoltaics (PV). Based on historical data, the Monte Carlo method is used to calculate the power generation value-at-risk (VAR) of WTs/PVs installed under a given level of confidence. The main target of this paper is to reduce the line loss and unbalance factor during 24-hour intervals. Assessing the various confidence levels of risk, a feasible particle swarm optimization (FPSO) is proposed to solve the optimal location of WTs/PVs installed and transformer load arrangement. A three-phase power flow with equivalent current injection (ECI) is analyzed to demonstrate the operating efficiency of the FPSO in a Taipower feeder. Simulation results will support the planner in the proper location of WTs/PVs installed to reduce system losses and maintain the voltag... [more]
Statistical Methodology for the Definition of Standard Model for Energy Analysis of Residential Buildings in Korea
Hye-Ryeong Nam, Seo-Hoon Kim, Seol-Yee Han, Sung-Jin Lee, Won-Hwa Hong, Jong-Hun Kim
April 4, 2023 (v1)
Keywords: clustering, energy retrofit, representative building, standard model
This study was conducted to propose an optimal methodology for deriving a standard model from existing residential buildings. To strategically improve existing residential buildings, it is necessary to identify standard models that can be used as quantitative standards. In this study, a total of six methods were established for different algorithms in the dimensionality reduction and clustering stage of the data preprocessing stage. In addition, a total of 22,342 households’ data were analyzed, and a total of 26 variables were used to perform cluster analysis. The process of method 6 (data pre-processing, principal components analysis, clustering [K-medoids], verification) was proposed as a way to derive the standard model from the existing Korean housing. The method proposed in this study is capable of deriving a number of standard models considering all variables (n) in a single analysis. The representative building derived in this study contains a lot of building data, so it can be... [more]
Towards a Holistic Microgrid Performance Framework and a Data-Driven Assessment Analysis
Apostolos C. Tsolakis, Ilias Kalamaras, Thanasis Vafeiadis, Lampros Zyglakis, Angelina D. Bintoudi, Adamantia Chouliara, Dimosthenis Ioannidis, Dimitrios Tzovaras
April 4, 2023 (v1)
Keywords: dynamic time warping, key performance indicators, microgrid, performance, t-SNE
On becoming a commodity, Microgrids (MGs) have started gaining ground in various sizes (e.g., nanogrids, homegrids, etc.) and forms (e.g., local energy communities) leading an exponential growth in the respective sector. From demanding deployments such as military bases and hospitals, to tertiary and residential buildings and neighborhoods, MG systems exploit renewable and conventional generation assets, combined with various storage capabilities to deliver a completely new set of business opportunities and services in the context of the Smart Grid. As such systems involve economic, environmental and technical aspects, their performance is quite difficult to evaluate, since there are not any standards that cover all of these aspects, especially during operational stages. Towards allowing an holistic definition of a MG performance, for both design and operational stages, this paper first introduces a complete set of Key Performance Indicators to measure holistically the performance of a... [more]
A Novel Electricity Theft Detection Scheme Based on Text Convolutional Neural Networks
Xiaofeng Feng, Hengyu Hui, Ziyang Liang, Wenchong Guo, Huakun Que, Haoyang Feng, Yu Yao, Chengjin Ye, Yi Ding
April 4, 2023 (v1)
Keywords: data-driven approaches, electricity theft detection, smart meters, text convolutional neural networks (TextCNN), time-series classification
Electricity theft decreases electricity revenues and brings risks to power usage’s safety, which has been increasingly challenging nowadays. As the mainstream in the relevant studies, the state-of-the-art data-driven approaches mainly detect electricity theft events from the perspective of the correlations between different daily or weekly loads, which is relatively inadequate to extract features from hours or more of fine-grained temporal data. In view of the above deficiencies, we propose a novel electricity theft detection scheme based on text convolutional neural networks (TextCNN). Specifically, we convert electricity consumption measurements over a horizon of interest into a two-dimensional time-series containing the intraday electricity features. Based on the data structure, the proposed method can accurately capture various periodical features of electricity consumption. Moreover, a data augmentation method is proposed to cope with the imbalance of electricity theft data. Exten... [more]
Drivers behind Residential Electricity Demand Fluctuations Due to COVID-19 Restrictions
Stephen Snow, Richard Bean, Mashhuda Glencross, Neil Horrocks
April 4, 2023 (v1)
Keywords: behaviour, COVID-19, demand, Energy, energy literacy, household, human-computer interaction
The COVID-19 pandemic rapidly reoriented the lives of billions of people across the globe toward working, learning, and subsisting from home. This paper examines the consequences of this disruption of electricity use in Australian households. Using high-frequency electricity monitoring from 491 houses and per-circuit monitoring and in-depth interviews with 17 households, the paper (1) compares changes in energy use before and during COVID-19 lockdown, (2) quantifies the key drivers of changes in energy use experienced by households during lockdown, and (3) tracks households’ interactions with energy use feedback. The findings identify significant increases in certain aspects of household electricity use directly related to COVID-19, including increased cooking and digital device use. Yet despite the government mandate requiring a large proportion of the population to remain at home, overall energy use among the majority of Queensland households monitored actually decreased during lockd... [more]
Advanced Gas Turbine Control Logic Using Black Box Models for Enhancing Operational Flexibility and Stability
Seong Won Moon, Tong Seop Kim
April 4, 2023 (v1)
Keywords: advanced control logic, artificial neural network, efficiency, flexibility, gas turbine, ramp rate
In recent years, the importance of operational flexibility has increased for gas turbines that can stably operate under various operation conditions. This study proposes advanced control logic using black box models based on an artificial neural network. The goals are to enhance the operational flexibility by increasing the ramp rate and to enhance the operational stability by overcoming the limitation of conventional schedule-based control. By applying the advanced control logic, the turbine inlet temperature (TIT) and turbine exhaust temperature (TET) can be maintained at the optimal values, resulting in efficiency improvement by 0.35%. Furthermore, the maximum deviation of the rotational speed was reduced from 0.22% to 0.061%, and the maximum variations of TIT and TET were reduced by 15−20 °C during the fluctuation of the gas turbine’s power output. In conclusion, high-efficiency operation and a reduction in the degradation of the high-temperature parts can be expected through optim... [more]
The Effect of Selected Factors on Floor Upheaval in Roadways—In Situ Testing
Piotr Małkowski, Łukasz Ostrowski, Łukasz Bednarek
April 4, 2023 (v1)
Keywords: floor upheaval, mining excavations, statistical analysis, the fault, underground measurements, water influence on rocks
The phenomenon of the floor upheaval occurs in virtually every type of rock mass and at every depth, accompanying the process of excavation of tunnels and headings. Despite its inconvenience, it is rarely studied because of the complexity of the process and the multiplicity of the factors causing deformations in floor rocks. To quantify the effect of the selected factors on floor upheaval, this article presents an analysis of results of in situ measurements carried out in three coal mine roadways at 15 measuring stations. These measurements were taken over varying periods of time, between 129 and 758 days. Groundwater and fault zones intersecting the excavations were considered as the key factors that affect floor upheavals. Therefore, the measurement bases were located at local faults and sites of water inflow. To compare the results, the stations were also located where the rock mass was not exposed to any factors other than stresses resulting from the depth of the excavation. The ex... [more]
Development and Application of Ion Current/Cylinder Pressure Cooperative Combustion Diagnosis and Control System
Denghao Zhu, Jun Deng, Jinqiu Wang, Shuo Wang, Hongyu Zhang, Jakob Andert, Liguang Li
April 4, 2023 (v1)
Keywords: artificial neural network, cooperative combustion diagnosis and control, cylinder pressure, field-programmable gate array, Ion current
The application of advanced technologies for engine efficiency improvement and emissions reduction also increase the occurrence possibility of abnormal combustions such as incomplete combustion, misfire, knock or pre-ignition. Novel promising combustion modes, which are basically dominated by chemical reaction kinetics show a major difficulty in combustion control. The challenge in precise combustion control is hard to overcome by the traditional engine map-based control method because it cannot monitor the combustion state of each cycle, hence, real-time cycle-resolved in-cylinder combustion diagnosis and control are required. In the past, cylinder pressure and ion current sensors, as the two most commonly used sensors for in-cylinder combustion diagnosis and control, have enjoyed a seemingly competitive relationship, so all related researches only use one of the sensors. However, these two sensors have their own unique features. In this study, the idea is to combine the information o... [more]
Testing Platforms as Drivers for Positive-Energy Living Laboratories
Silvia Soutullo, Laura Aelenei, Per Sieverts Nielsen, Jose Antonio Ferrer, Helder Gonçalves
April 4, 2023 (v1)
Keywords: factsheets, positive energy districts labs, statistical studies, testing facilities
The development of city-driven urban laboratories was considered a priority by the European Commission through Action 3.2 of the Strategic Energy Technology Plan. In this context, positive-energy districts laboratories could take the role of urban drivers toward innovation and sustainability in cities. These urban labs can provide real-life facilities with innovative co-creation processes and, at the same time, provide testing, experimenting, and prototyping of innovative technologies. In this scope, the authors of this work want to share the very first results of an empirical study using the testing facilities provided by the members of the Joint Program on Smart Cities of the European Energy Research Alliance as positive-energy districts laboratories. Six climatic regions are studied as boundary conditions, covering temperate and continental climates. Four scales of action are analyzed: Building, campus, urban, and virtual, with building and campus scales being the most frequent. Mos... [more]
Optimization of a 660 MWe Supercritical Power Plant Performance—A Case of Industry 4.0 in the Data-Driven Operational Management. Part 2. Power Generation
Waqar Muhammad Ashraf, Ghulam Moeen Uddin, Ahmad Hassan Kamal, Muhammad Haider Khan, Awais Ahmad Khan, Hassan Afroze Ahmad, Fahad Ahmed, Noman Hafeez, Rana Muhammad Zawar Sami, Syed Muhammad Arafat, Sajawal Gul Niazi, Muhammad Waqas Rafique, Ahsan Amjad, Jawad Hussain, Hanan Jamil, Muhammad Shahbaz Kathia, Jaroslaw Krzywanski
April 4, 2023 (v1)
Keywords: Artificial Intelligence, combustion, generator power, industry 4.0 for the power sector, supercritical power plant
Modern data analytics techniques and computationally inexpensive software tools are fueling the commercial applications of data-driven decision making and process optimization strategies for complex industrial operations. In this paper, modern and reliable process modeling techniques, i.e., multiple linear regression (MLR), artificial neural network (ANN), and least square support vector machine (LSSVM), are employed and comprehensively compared as reliable and robust process models for the generator power of a 660 MWe supercritical coal combustion power plant. Based on the external validation test conducted by the unseen operation data, LSSVM has outperformed the MLR and ANN models to predict the power plant’s generator power. Later, the LSSVM model is used for the failure mode recovery and a very successful operation control excellence tool. Moreover, by adjusting the thermo-electric operating parameters, the generator power on an average is increased by 1.74%, 1.80%, and 1.0 at 50%... [more]
Deterministic and Interval Wind Speed Prediction Method in Offshore Wind Farm Considering the Randomness of Wind
Qin Chen, Yan Chen, Xingzhi Bai
April 4, 2023 (v1)
Keywords: deterministic prediction, hybrid model, interval prediction, VMD, wind characteristic
In order to improve the prediction accuracy of wind speed, this paper proposes a hybrid wind speed prediction (WSP) method considering the fluctuation, randomness and nonlinear of wind, which can be applied to short-term deterministic and interval prediction. Variational mode decomposition (VMD) decomposes wind speed time series into nonlinear series Intrinsic mode function 1 (IMF1), stationary time series IMF2 and error sreies (ER). Principal component analysis-Radial basis function (PCA-RBF) model is used to model the nonlinear series IMF1, where PCA is applied to reduce the redundant information. Long short-term memory (LSTM) is used to establish a stationary time series model for IMF2, which can better describe the fluctuation trend of wind speed; mixture Gaussian process regression (MGPR) is used to predict ER to obtain deterministic and interval prediction results simultaneously. Finally, above methods are reconstructed to form VMD-PRBF-LSTM-MGPR which is the abbreviation of hybr... [more]
Optimization of a 660 MWe Supercritical Power Plant Performance—A Case of Industry 4.0 in the Data-Driven Operational Management Part 1. Thermal Efficiency
Waqar Muhammad Ashraf, Ghulam Moeen Uddin, Syed Muhammad Arafat, Sher Afghan, Ahmad Hassan Kamal, Muhammad Asim, Muhammad Haider Khan, Muhammad Waqas Rafique, Uwe Naumann, Sajawal Gul Niazi, Hanan Jamil, Ahsaan Jamil, Nasir Hayat, Ashfaq Ahmad, Shao Changkai, Liu Bin Xiang, Ijaz Ahmad Chaudhary, Jaroslaw Krzywanski
April 4, 2023 (v1)
Keywords: Artificial Intelligence, combustion, industry 4.0 for the power sector, supercritical power plant, thermal efficiency
This paper presents a comprehensive step-wise methodology for implementing industry 4.0 in a functional coal power plant. The overall efficiency of a 660 MWe supercritical coal-fired plant using real operational data is considered in the study. Conventional and advanced AI-based techniques are used to present comprehensive data visualization. Monte-Carlo experimentation on artificial neural network (ANN) and least square support vector machine (LSSVM) process models and interval adjoint significance analysis (IASA) are performed to eliminate insignificant control variables. Effective and validated ANN and LSSVM process models are developed and comprehensively compared. The ANN process model proved to be significantly more effective; especially, in terms of the capacity to be deployed as a robust and reliable AI model for industrial data analysis and decision making. A detailed investigation of efficient power generation is presented under 50%, 75%, and 100% power plant unit load. Up to... [more]
Online Evaluation for the Accuracy of Electronic Voltage Transformer Based on Recursive Principal Components Analysis
Zhenhua Li, Yangang Zheng, Ahmed Abu-Siada, Mengyao Lu, Hongbin Li, Yanchun Xu
April 4, 2023 (v1)
Keywords: asset management, electronic voltage transformer, measurement accuracy, online evaluation, recursive principal components analysis
The electronic voltage transformer (EVT) has received much attention with the recent global trend to establish smart grids and digital substations. One of the main issues of the EVT is the deterioration of its performance with long-term operation which affects the control and protection systems it is employed for and hence the overall reliability of the power grids. This calls for the essential need for a reliable technique to regularly assess the accuracy of operating EVT in real-time. Unfortunately, traditional calibration methods cannot detect the incipient EVT performance change in real-time. As such, this paper presents a new online method to evaluate the accuracy of the EVT. In this regard, the Q-statistic is calculated based on the recursive principal components analysis (RPCA) using the output data of EVT to map up the changes of metering error on the electric−physics relationship. By employing the output data of the EVT along with the power grid characteristics, the performanc... [more]
Office Building Tenants’ Electricity Use Model for Building Performance Simulations
Andrea Ferrantelli, Helena Kuivjõgi, Jarek Kurnitski, Martin Thalfeldt
April 4, 2023 (v1)
Keywords: analytical modelling, building simulation, energy modelling, energy performance, HVAC, office buildings, statistical analysis
Large office buildings are responsible for a substantial portion of energy consumption in urban districts. However, thorough assessments regarding the Nordic countries are still lacking. In this paper we analyse the largest dataset to date for a Nordic office building, by considering a case study located in Stockholm, Sweden, that is occupied by nearly a thousand employees. Distinguishing the lighting and occupants’ appliances energy use from heating and cooling, we can estimate the impact of occupancy without any schedule data. A standard frequentist analysis is compared with Bayesian inference, and the according regression formulas are listed in tables that are easy to implement into building performance simulations (BPS). Monthly as well as seasonal correlations are addressed, showing the critical importance of occupancy. A simple method, grounded on the power drain measurements aimed at generating boundary conditions for the BPS, is also introduced; it shows how, for this type of d... [more]
Classification of Partial Discharge Images Using Deep Convolutional Neural Networks
Marek Florkowski
April 4, 2023 (v1)
Keywords: convolutional neural network, deep learning, diagnostics, high voltage insulation, Machine Learning, partial discharges, phase-resolved patterns
Artificial intelligence-based solutions and applications have great potential in various fields of electrical power engineering. The problem of the electrical reliability of power equipment directly refers to the immunity of high-voltage (HV) insulation systems to operating stresses, overvoltages and other stresses—in particular, those involving strong electric fields. Therefore, tracing material degradation processes in insulation systems requires dedicated diagnostics; one of the most reliable quality indicators of high-voltage insulation systems is partial discharge (PD) measurement. In this paper, an example of the application of a neural network to partial discharge images is presented, which is based on the convolutional neural network (CNN) architecture, and used to recognize the stages of the aging of high-voltage electrical insulation based on PD images. Partial discharge images refer to phase-resolved patterns revealing various discharge stages and forms. The test specimens w... [more]
PLS-CNN-BiLSTM: An End-to-End Algorithm-Based Savitzky−Golay Smoothing and Evolution Strategy for Load Forecasting
Mohamed Massaoudi, Shady S. Refaat, Haitham Abu-Rub, Ines Chihi, Fakhreddine S. Oueslati
April 3, 2023 (v1)
Keywords: Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory (BiLSTM), Convolutional Neural Network (CNN), evolution strategy, Partial Least Square (PLS) method, Savitzky–Golay, Short-Term Load Forecasting (STLF)
This paper proposes an effective deep learning framework for Short-Term Load Forecasting (STLF) of multivariate time series. The proposed model consists of a hybrid Convolutional neural network-Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory (CBiLSTM) based on the Evolution Strategy (ES) method and the Savitzky−Golay (SG) filter (SG-CBiLSTM). The adopted methodology incorporates the virtue of different prepossessing blocks to enhance the performance of the CBiLSTM model. In particular, a data-augmentation strategy is employed to synthetically improve the feature representation of the CBiLSTM model. The augmented data is forwarded to the Partial Least Square (PLS) method to select the most informative features above the predefined threshold. Next, the SG algorithm is computed for smoothing the load to enhance the learning capabilities of the underlying system. The structure of the SG-CBiLSTM for the ISO New England dataset is optimized using the ES technique. Finally, the CBiLSTM model generates o... [more]
Differential Equation Model of the LLC Resonant Converter in the Ideal Case
Fang Li, Haodong Lei, Ruixiang Hao, Siwei Liu, Xiaojie You, Jingmin Gao
April 3, 2023 (v1)
Keywords: differential equation model, ideal case, initial value, LLC resonant converter, numerical solution
The LLC resonant converter has been widely used in direct current (DC) power supply applications. However, fundamental harmonic approximation or other simplified analyses will introduce inevitable deviations. Therefore, the differential equation model with numerical solution of the LLC converter is proposed in this paper based on the operational principle of the ideal case. In order to solve the differential equation, initial values need to be substituted. The accurate LLC model based on time interval analysis is very complicated and cannot be used. In this paper, solution methods of the initial values corresponding to different switching frequencies are proposed. The initial values can be solved conveniently. Furthermore, the voltage gain curve is modified by the idealized analysis. Lastly, all the above research is verified by PSIM simulation. The work is helpful to understand the operational principle of the LLC resonant converter.
Machine Learning-Based Management of Electric Vehicles Charging: Towards Highly-Dispersed Fast Chargers
Mostafa Shibl, Loay Ismail, Ahmed Massoud
April 3, 2023 (v1)
Keywords: coordinated electric vehicles charging, cyber-physical systems (CPSs), Decision Tree (DT), Deep Neural Network (DNN), electric vehicles charging stations (EVCS), K-Nearest Neighbors (KNN), Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), machine learning (ML), Naïve Bayes (NB), power rating (PR), Random Forest (RF), Recurrent Neural Networks (RNN), smart grid, Support Vector Machine (SVM)
Coordinated charging of electric vehicles (EVs) improves the overall efficiency of the power grid as it avoids distribution system overloads, increases power quality, and decreases voltage fluctuations. Moreover, the coordinated charging supports flattening the load profile. Therefore, an effective coordination technique is crucial for the protection of the distribution grid and its components. The substantial power used through charging EVs has undeniable negative impacts on the power grid. Additionally, with the increasing use of EVs, an effective solution for the coordination of EVs charging, particularly when considering the anticipated proliferation of EV fast chargers, is imminently required. In this paper, different machine learning (ML) approaches are compared for the coordination of EVs charging. The ML models can predict the power to be used in EVs charging stations (EVCS). Due to its ability to use historical data to learn and identify patterns for making future decisions wi... [more]
A Comparative Analysis of Neutron Transport Calculations Based on Variational Formulation and Finite Element Approaches
Khashayar Sadeghi, Seyed Hadi Ghazaie, Ekaterina Sokolova, Ahmad Zolfaghari, Mohammad Reza Abbasi
April 3, 2023 (v1)
Keywords: comprehensive comparative analysis, conjoint variational principle, continuous finite element, discontinuous finite element, neutron transport equation, spatially adaptive approach
The application of continuous and discontinuous approaches of the finite element method (FEM) to the neutron transport equation (NTE) has been investigated. A comparative algorithm for analyzing the capability of various types of numerical solutions to the NTE based on variational formulation and discontinuous finite element method (DFEM) has been developed. The developed module is coupled to the program discontinuous finite element method for neutron (DISFENT). Each variational principle (VP) is applied to an example with drastic changes in the distribution of neutron flux density, and the obtained results of the continuous and discontinuous finite element (DFE) have been compared. The comparison between the level of accuracy of each approach using new module of DISFENT program has been performed based on the fine mesh solutions of the multi-PN (MPN) approximation. The obtained results of conjoint principles (CPs) have been demonstrated to be very accurate in comparison to other VPs.... [more]
The Ångström−Prescott Regression Coefficients for Six Climatic Zones in South Africa
Brighton Mabasa, Meena D. Lysko, Henerica Tazvinga, Sophie T. Mulaudzi, Nosipho Zwane, Sabata J. Moloi
April 3, 2023 (v1)
Keywords: Ångström–Prescott, climatic zone, global horizontal irradiance, radiometric network, South African Weather Services, sunshine duration
The South African Weather Service (SAWS) manages an in situ solar irradiance radiometric network of 13 stations and a very dense sunshine recording network, located in all six macroclimate zones of South Africa. A sparsely distributed radiometric network over a landscape with dynamic climate and weather shifts is inadequate for solar energy studies and applications. Therefore, there is a need to develop mathematical models to estimate solar irradiation for a multitude of diverse climates. In this study, the annual regression coefficients, a and b, of the Ångström−Prescott (AP) model, which can be used to estimate global horizontal irradiance (GHI) from observed sunshine hours, were calibrated and validated with observed station data. The AP regression coefficients were calibrated and validated for each of the six macroclimate zones of South Africa using the observation data that span 2013 to 2019. The predictive effectiveness of the calibrated AP model coefficients was evaluated by com... [more]
Ultra-Short-Term Prediction of Wind Power Based on Error Following Forget Gate-Based Long Short-Term Memory
Pei Zhang, Chunping Li, Chunhua Peng, Jiangang Tian
April 3, 2023 (v1)
Keywords: error following forget gate-based long short-term memory, long short-term memory, ultra-short-term prediction, wind power
To improve the accuracy of ultra-short-term wind power prediction, this paper proposed a model using modified long short-term memory (LSTM) to predict ultra-short-term wind power. Because the forget gate of standard LSTM cannot reflect the correction effect of prediction errors on model prediction in ultra-short-term, this paper develops the error following forget gate (EFFG)-based LSTM model for ultra-short-term wind power prediction. The proposed EFFG-based LSTM model updates the output of the forget gate using the difference between the predicted value and the actual value, thereby reducing the impact of the prediction error at the previous moment on the prediction accuracy of wind power at this time, and improving the rolling prediction accuracy of wind power. A case study is performed using historical wind power data and numerical prediction meteorological data of an actual wind farm. Study results indicate that the root mean square error of the wind power prediction model based o... [more]
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