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Records with Subject: Numerical Methods and Statistics
526. LAPSE:2023.29526
Improving Non-Intrusive Load Disaggregation through an Attention-Based Deep Neural Network
April 13, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Numerical Methods and Statistics
Keywords: attention mechanism, deep neural network, energy disaggregation, non-intrusive load monitoring
Energy disaggregation, known in the literature as Non-Intrusive Load Monitoring (NILM), is the task of inferring the power demand of the individual appliances given the aggregate power demand recorded by a single smart meter which monitors multiple appliances. In this paper, we propose a deep neural network that combines a regression subnetwork with a classification subnetwork for solving the NILM problem. Specifically, we improve the generalization capability of the overall architecture by including an encoder−decoder with a tailored attention mechanism in the regression subnetwork. The attention mechanism is inspired by the temporal attention that has been successfully applied in neural machine translation, text summarization, and speech recognition. The experiments conducted on two publicly available datasets—REDD and UK-DALE—show that our proposed deep neural network outperforms the state-of-the-art in all the considered experimental conditions. We also show that modeling attention... [more]
527. LAPSE:2023.29506
Modelling of a Flow-Induced Oscillation, Two-Cylinder, Hydrokinetic Energy Converter Based on Experimental Data
April 13, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Numerical Methods and Statistics
Keywords: backpropagation neural network, flow-induced oscillation, galloping, harnessed power and efficiency, Modelling, two tandem cylinders, vortex-induced oscillation
The VIVACE Converter consists of cylindrical oscillators in tandem subjected to transverse flow-induced oscillations (FIOs) that can be improved by varying the system parameters for a given in-flow velocity: damping, stiffness, and in-flow center-to-center spacing. Compared to a single isolated cylinder, tandem cylinders can harness more hydrokinetic energy due to synergy in FIO. Experimental and numerical methods have been utilized to analyze the FIO and energy harnessing of VIVACE. A surrogate-based model of two tandem cylinders is developed to predict the power harvesting and corresponding efficiency by introducing a backpropagation neural network. It is then utilized to reduce excessive experimental or computational testing. The effects of spacing, damping, and stiffness on harvested power and efficiency of the established prediction-model are analyzed. At each selected flow velocity, optimization results of power harvesting using the prediction-model are calculated under different... [more]
528. LAPSE:2023.29480
Predicting Energy Demand in Semi-Remote Arctic Locations
April 13, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Numerical Methods and Statistics
Keywords: energy load predictions, longer forecasting horizons, short-term load forecasting, statistical- and machine-learning-based approaches, transferability predictions
Forecasting energy demand within a distribution network is essential for developing strategies to manage and optimize available energy resources and the associated infrastructure. In this study, we consider remote communities in the Arctic located at the end of the radial distribution network without alternative energy supply. Therefore, it is crucial to develop an accurate forecasting model to manage and optimize the limited energy resources available. We first compare the accuracy of several models that perform short-and medium-term load forecasts in rural areas, where a single industrial customer dominates the electricity consumption. We consider both statistical methods and machine learning models to predict energy demand. Then, we evaluate the transferability of each method to a geographical rural area different from the one considered for training. Our results indicate that statistical models achieve higher accuracy on longer forecast horizons relative to neural networks, while t... [more]
529. LAPSE:2023.29446
A Scalable Real-Time Non-Intrusive Load Monitoring System for the Estimation of Household Appliance Power Consumption
April 13, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Numerical Methods and Statistics
Keywords: convolutional neural network, energy consumption, energy data analytics, energy disaggregation, Machine Learning, non-intrusive load monitoring, real-time, smart meter data, smart meters, transient load signature
Smart-meter technology advancements have resulted in the generation of massive volumes of information introducing new opportunities for energy services and data-driven business models. One such service is non-intrusive load monitoring (NILM). NILM is a process to break down the electricity consumption on an appliance level by analyzing the total aggregated data measurements monitored from a single point. Most prominent existing solutions use deep learning techniques resulting in models with millions of parameters and a high computational burden. Some of these solutions use the turn-on transient response of the target appliance to calculate its energy consumption, while others require the total operation cycle. In the latter case, disaggregation is performed either with delay (in the order of minutes) or only for past events. In this paper, a real-time NILM system is proposed. The scope of the proposed NILM algorithm is to detect the turning-on of a target appliance by processing the me... [more]
530. LAPSE:2023.29438
Critical Review of EMC Standards for the Measurement of Radiated Electromagnetic Emissions from Transit Line and Rolling Stock
April 13, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Numerical Methods and Statistics
Keywords: antennas, electromagnetic compatibility, electromagnetic radiation, measurement standards, railway transportation, repeatability, reproducibility, transients, uncertainty
Accurate and comprehensive methods for the assessment of radiated electromagnetic emissions in modern electric transportation systems are a necessity. The characteristics and susceptibility of modern victim signaling and communication radio services, operating within and outside the right-of-way, require an update of the measurement methods integrating or replacing the swept frequency technique with time domain approaches. Applicable standards are the EN 50121 (equivalent to the IEC 62236) and Urban Mass Transport Association (UMTA) with additional specifications from project contracts. This work discusses the standardized methods and settings, and the representative operating conditions, highlighting areas where improvements are possible and opportune (statistical characterization of measurement results, identification and distinction of emissions and line resonances, and narrowband and broadband phenomena). In particular for the Electromagnetic Compatibility (EMC) assessment with new... [more]
531. LAPSE:2023.29437
Adaptive Online State of Charge Estimation of EVs Lithium-Ion Batteries with Deep Recurrent Neural Networks
April 13, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Numerical Methods and Statistics
Keywords: electric vehicles (EVs), Lithium-ion (Li-ion), Long Short-Term memory (LSTM), Recurrent Neural Network (RNN), robust adaptive online LSTM (RoLSTM), robust and adaptive online gradient learning method (RoAdam), state of charge (SOC)
The State of Charge (SOC) estimation is a significant issue for safe performance and the lifespan of Lithium-ion (Li-ion) batteries. In this paper, a Robust Adaptive Online Long Short-Term Memory (RoLSTM) method is proposed to extract SOC estimation for Li-ion Batteries in Electric Vehicles (EVs). This real-time, as its name suggests, method is based on a Recurrent Neural Network (RNN) containing Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) units and using the Robust and Adaptive online gradient learning method (RoAdam) for optimization. In the proposed architecture, one sequential model is defined for each of the three inputs: voltage, current, and temperature of the battery. Therefore, the three networks work in parallel. With this approach, the number of LSTM units are reduced. Using this suggested method, one is not dependent on precise battery models and can avoid complicated mathematical methods. In addition, unlike the traditional recursive neural network where content is re-written at any tim... [more]
532. LAPSE:2023.29435
Prediction Performance Analysis of Artificial Neural Network Model by Input Variable Combination for Residential Heating Loads
April 13, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Numerical Methods and Statistics
Keywords: artificial neural network model, heating load, input variable, predictive model
In Korea apartment buildings, most energy is consumed as heating energy. In order to reduce heating energy in apartment buildings, it is required to reduce the amount of energy used in heating systems. Energy saving in heating systems can be achieved through operation and control based on efficient operation plans. The efficient operation plan of the heating system should be based on the predicted heating load. Thus, various methods have been developed for predicting heating loads. Recently, artificial intelligence techniques (e.g., ANN: artificial neural network) have been used to predict heating loads. The process for determination of input data variables is necessary to obtain the accuracy of predicted results using an ANN model. However, there is a lack of studies to evaluate the accuracy level of the predicted results caused by the selection and combination of input variables. There is a need to evaluate the performance of an ANN model for prediction of residential heating loads.... [more]
533. LAPSE:2023.29434
Convolutional Neural Network for High-Resolution Cloud Motion Prediction from Hemispheric Sky Images
April 13, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Numerical Methods and Statistics
Keywords: all-sky image, cloud motion prediction, convolutional neural network
A novel high-resolution method for forecasting cloud motion from all-sky images using deep learning is presented. A convolutional neural network (CNN) was created and trained with more than two years of all-sky images, recorded by a hemispheric sky imager (HSI) at the Institute of Meteorology and Climatology (IMUK) of the Leibniz Universität Hannover, Hannover, Germany. Using the haze indexpostprocessing algorithm, cloud characteristics were found, and the deformation vector of each cloud was performed and used as ground truth. The CNN training process was built to predict cloud motion up to 10 min ahead, in a sequence of HSI images, tracking clouds frame by frame. The first two simulated minutes show a strong similarity between simulated and measured cloud motion, which allows photovoltaic (PV) companies to make accurate horizon time predictions and better marketing decisions for primary and secondary control reserves. This cloud motion algorithm principally targets global irradiance... [more]
534. LAPSE:2023.29393
A Data-Driven and Data-Based Framework for Online Voltage Stability Assessment Using Partial Mutual Information and Iterated Random Forest
April 13, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Numerical Methods and Statistics
Keywords: iterated random forest, online assessment, partial mutual information, voltage stability margin
Due to the rapid development of phasor measurement units (PMUs) and the wide area of interconnection of modern power systems, the security of power systems is confronted with severe challenges. A novel framework based on data for static voltage stability margin (VSM) assessment of power systems is presented. The proposed framework can select the key operation variables as input features for the assessment based on partial mutual information (PMI). Before the feature selection procedure is completed by PMI, a feature preprocessing approach is applied to remove redundant and irrelevant features to improve computational efficiency. Using the selected key variables, a voltage stability assessment (VSA) model based on iterated random forest (IRF) can rapidly provide the relative VSM results. The proposed framework is examined on the IEEE 30-bus system and a practical 1648-bus system, and a desirable assessment performance is demonstrated. In addition, the robustness and computational speed... [more]
535. LAPSE:2023.29387
Power Forecasting of a Photovoltaic Plant Located in ENEA Casaccia Research Center
April 13, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Numerical Methods and Statistics
Keywords: artificial neural network, forecasting, photovoltaic, PV power
This work proposes an Artificial Neural Network (ANN) able to provide an accurate forecasting of power produced by photovoltaic (PV) plants. The ANN is customized on the basis of the particular season of the year. An accurate analysis of input variables, i.e., solar irradiance, temperature and air humidity, carried out by means of Pearson Correlation, has allowed to select, day by day, the most suitable set of inputs and ANN architecture also to reduce the necessity of large computational resource. Thus, features are added to the ANN as needed, avoiding waste of computational resources. The method has been validated through data collected from a PV plant installed in ENEA (National agency for new technologies, energy and sustainable economic development) Research Center, located in Casaccia, Rome (Italy). The developed strategy is able to furnish accurate predictions even in the case of strong irregularities of solar irradiance, providing accurate results in rapidly changing scenarios.
536. LAPSE:2023.29375
Development of a Deep Neural Network Model for Estimating Joint Location of Occupant Indoor Activities for Providing Thermal Comfort
April 13, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Numerical Methods and Statistics
Keywords: deep neural network, human joint estimation, indoor activity, thermal comfort
The type of occupant activities is a significantly important factor to determine indoor thermal comfort; thus, an accurate method to estimate occupant activity needs to be developed. The purpose of this study was to develop a deep neural network (DNN) model for estimating the joint location of diverse human activities, which will be used to provide a comfortable thermal environment. The DNN model was trained with images to estimate 14 joints of a person performing 10 common indoor activities. The DNN contained numerous shortcut connections for efficient training and had two stages of sequential and parallel layers for accurate joint localization. Estimation accuracy was quantified using the mean squared error (MSE) for the estimated joints and the percentage of correct parts (PCP) for the body parts. The results show that the joint MSEs for the head and neck were lowest, and the PCP was highest for the torso. The PCP for individual activities ranged from 0.71 to 0.92, while typing and... [more]
537. LAPSE:2023.29278
An Unsupervised Learning Approach to Condition Assessment on a Wound-Rotor Induction Generator
April 13, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Numerical Methods and Statistics
Keywords: condition assessment, incipient fault, predictive maintenance, unsupervised learning, wound-rotor induction generator
Accurate online diagnosis of incipient faults and condition assessment on generators is especially challenging to automate through supervised learning techniques, because of data imbalance. Fault-condition training and test data are either not available or are experimentally emulated, and therefore do not precisely account for all the eventualities and nuances of practical operating conditions. Thus, it would be more convenient to harness the ability of unsupervised learning in these applications. An investigation into the use of unsupervised learning as a means of recognizing incipient fault patterns and assessing the condition of a wound-rotor induction generator is presented. High-dimension clustering is performed using stator and rotor current and voltage signatures measured under healthy and varying fault conditions on an experimental wound-rotor induction generator. An analysis and validation of the clustering results are carried out to determine the performance and suitability o... [more]
538. LAPSE:2023.29277
Assessment of TiO2 Nanoconcentration and Twin Impingement Jet of Heat Transfer Enhancement—A Statistical Approach Using Response Surface Methodology
April 13, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Numerical Methods and Statistics
Keywords: design of experiment (DOE), heat transfer, impingement jet, nano coating, response surface methodology (RSM), TiO2 nanoparticle
Impinging jets are considered to be a well-known technique that offers high local heat transfer rates. No correlation could be established in the literature between the significant parameters and the Nusselt number, and investigation of the interactions between the correlated factors has not been conducted before. An experimental analysis based on the twin impingement jet mechanism was achieved to study the heat transfer rate pertaining to the surface plate. In the current paper, four influential parameters were studied: the spacing between nozzles, velocity, concentration of Nano solution coating and nozzle-plate distance, which are considered to be effective parameters for the thermal conductivity and the heat transfer coefficient of TiO2 nanoparticle, an X-ray diffraction (XRD) and field emission scanning electron microscopy (FESEM) analysis were done, which highlighted the structure and showed that the nanosolution coated the surface homogenously. Moreover, a comparison was done fo... [more]
539. LAPSE:2023.29268
Complementary Analysis for DGA Based on Duval Methods and Furan Compounds Using Artificial Neural Networks
April 13, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Numerical Methods and Statistics
Keywords: dissolved gas analysis, feed forward neural network, furan compounds, insulation, power transformer, radial basis function neural network
Power transformers play an important role in electrical systems; being considered the core of electric power transmissions and distribution networks, the owners and users of these assets are increasingly concerned with adopting reliable, automated, and non-invasive techniques to monitor and diagnose their operating conditions. Thus, monitoring the conditions of power transformers has evolved, in the sense that a complete characterization of the conditions of oil−paper insulation can be achieved through dissolved gas analysis (DGA) and furan compounds analysis, since these analyses provide a lot of information about the phenomena that occur in power transformers. The Duval triangles and pentagons methods can be used with a high percentage of correct predictions compared to the known classical methods (key gases, International Electrotechnical Commission (IEC), Rogers, Doernenburg ratios), because, in addition to the six types of basic faults, they also identify four sub-types of thermal... [more]
540. LAPSE:2023.29251
On the Possible Introduction of Mini Gas Turbine Cycles Onboard Ships for Heat and Power Generation
April 13, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Numerical Methods and Statistics
Keywords: COGES, cruise ships, marine propulsion plant, mini gas turbines, statistical analysis, turbo-generators and steam turbines
The recent coming in force of MARPOL 2020 restrictions on shipping pollutant emissions highlights a growing interest in current times towards cleaner means of transport. One way to achieve more sustainable vessels is represented by updating onboard engines to suit current regulations and needs: Gas Turbines are not a novelty in the field and, despite the few applications in commercial shipping so far, this technology is again under evaluation for different reasons. Indeed, it is still a preferred choice in navy, where swift maneuvering is a key factor; it is employed by fast ferries and hydrofoils for its high power/weight ratio; it has been recently applied to LNG carriers to burn boil-off gas in a more efficient way and several studies in literature suggest its possible introduction on large Cruise Ships. Since there seems to be a lack of research concerning small size units, the present work attempts to evaluate the possible usages of Mini Gas Turbine Cycles in the range of 1 to 10... [more]
541. LAPSE:2023.29240
Assessment of the Risk of Damage to 110 kV Overhead Lines Due to Wind
April 13, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Numerical Methods and Statistics
Keywords: 110 kV overhead lines, damage, distribution grids, reliability, Wind
The article presents an assessment of the risk of damage to 110 kV overhead power lines as a result of the impact of wind of variable speeds on that equipment. A statistical method for the assessment of the reliability of power structures in conditions of variable strength of the structure and at variable exposure values is presented. This method is based on the analysis of the shape and mutual location of the distributions of the probability density of the momentary resistance (strength) of the tested structure and the exposures of variable values occurring in its surroundings. The risk of wind damage to 110 kV lines has been determined on the basis of many years of observations of wind speed and failure rate of the lines. Wind has been shown to be the fault factor or co-factor responsible for damage in one in five failures of such equipment. The final part of the article includes an analysis of the obtained results and their interpretation.
542. LAPSE:2023.29215
Melanopic Limits of Metamer Spectral Optimisation in Multi-Channel Smart Lighting Systems
April 13, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Numerical Methods and Statistics
Keywords: circadian photoentrainment, metamer spectra, multi-channel LED optimisation, non-image-forming vision, smart lighting
Modern indoor lighting faces the challenge of finding an appropriate balance between energy consumption, legal requirements, visual performance, and the circadian effectiveness of a spectrum. Multi-channel LED luminaires have the option of keeping image-forming metrics steady while varying the melanopic radiance through metamer spectra for non-visual purposes. Here, we propose the theoretical concept of an automated smart lighting system that is designed to satisfy the user’s visual preference through neural networks while triggering the non-visual pathway via metamers. To quantify the melanopic limits of metamers at a steady chromaticity point, we have used 561 chromaticity coordinates along the Planckian locus (2700 K to 7443 K, ±Duv 0 to 0.048) as optimisation targets and generated the spectra by using a 6-channel, 8-channel, and 11-channel LED combination at three different luminance levels. We have found that in a best-case scenario, the melanopic radiance can be varied up to 65%... [more]
543. LAPSE:2023.29204
A Novel Data-Driven Modeling and Control Design Method for Autonomous Vehicles
April 13, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Numerical Methods and Statistics
Keywords: LPV control design, machine learning in modeling, vehicle dynamics
This paper presents a novel modeling method for the control design of autonomous vehicle systems. The goal of the method is to provide a control-oriented model in a predefined Linear Parameter Varying (LPV) structure. The scheduling variables of the LPV model through machine-learning-based methods using a big dataset are selected. Moreover, the LPV model parameters through an optimization algorithm are computed, with which accurate fitting on the dataset is achieved. The proposed method is illustrated on the nonlinear modeling of the lateral vehicle dynamics. The resulting LPV-based vehicle model is used for the control design of path following functionality of autonomous vehicles. The effectiveness of the modeling and control design methods through comprehensive simulation examples based on a high-fidelity simulation software are illustrated.
544. LAPSE:2023.29200
A Revisit to CMFD Schemes: Fourier Analysis and Enhancement
April 13, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Numerical Methods and Statistics
Keywords: CMFD, Fourier analysis, lpCMFD, neutron transport, odCMFD, pCMFD, SOR
The coarse-mesh finite difference (CMFD) scheme is a very effective nonlinear diffusion acceleration method for neutron transport calculations. CMFD can become unstable and fail to converge when the computational cell optical thickness is relatively large in k-eigenvalue problems or diffusive fixed-source problems. Some variants and fixups have been developed to enhance the stability of CMFD, including the partial current-based CMFD (pCMFD), optimally diffusive CMFD (odCMFD), and linear prolongation-based CMFD (lpCMFD). Linearized Fourier analysis has proven to be a very reliable and accurate tool to investigate the convergence rate and stability of such coupled high-order transport/low-order diffusion iterative schemes. It is shown in this paper that the use of different transport solvers in Fourier analysis may have some potential implications on the development of stabilizing techniques, which is exemplified by the odCMFD scheme. A modification to the artificial diffusion coefficien... [more]
545. LAPSE:2023.29155
Analysis of Cavity PD Characteristics’ Sensitivity to Changes in the Supply Voltage Frequency
April 13, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Numerical Methods and Statistics
Keywords: 3-capacitor model, ABC model, frequent dependent mechanisms, partial discharges, statistical time lag, supply voltage frequency, surface conductivity
The supply voltage frequency effect on partial discharge (PD) phenomena has continued to draw research interest. Although most high voltage equipment operates at power frequency (50/60 Hz), testing is often done at different frequencies for various reasons. Despite some agreements and inconsistencies for the research findings of PD activity’s frequency dependence, there has been consensus on the recognition of the discharge mechanism parameters that influence how the supply voltage frequency affects PD activity. These parameters include statistical time lag, discharge area surface conductivity, and the residual charge decay. In this paper, a 3-capacitor model (ABC) is used to simulate how the changes in the discharge mechanism parameters influence PD characteristics as a function of the supply voltage frequency. The findings are that the phase-resolved partial discharge pattern (PRPDP) and PD repetition rate (PDRR) characteristics are more sensitive to variations in the probability of... [more]
546. LAPSE:2023.29128
Hybrid PV Power Forecasting Methods: A Comparison of Different Approaches
April 13, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Numerical Methods and Statistics
Keywords: artificial neural networks, evolutionary algorithms, hybrid models, PHANN, photovoltaic forecasting, Social Network Optimization
Accurate photovoltaic (PV) prediction has a very positive effect on many problems that power grids can face when there is a high penetration of variable energy sources. This problem can be addressed with computational intelligence algorithms such as neural networks and Evolutionary Optimization. The purpose of this article is to analyze three different hybridizations between physical models and artificial neural networks: the first hybridization combines neural networks with the output of the five-parameter physical model of a photovoltaic module in which the parameters are obtained from a datasheet. In the second hybridization, the parameters are obtained from a matching procedure with historical data exploiting Social Network Optimization. Finally, the third hybridization is PHANN, in which clear sky irradiation is used as an input. These three hybrid methods are compared with two physical approaches and simple neural network-based forecasting. The results show that the hybridization... [more]
547. LAPSE:2023.29122
Resource Intensity vs. Investment in Production Installations—The Case of the Steel Industry in Poland
April 13, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Numerical Methods and Statistics
Keywords: investment, Poland, resource intensity, steel industry
Resource intensity is a measure of the resources needed for the production, processing and disposal of good or services. Its level decides on the costs the companies have to bear both for production and for environmental protection, which in turn have a crucial importance for their competitiveness. Given these facts, our study analyses the issues of resource intensity in the Polish steel industry in correlation to investments made, and more specifically, to the impact of investments on the consumption of energy media used during steel production. Its key element is the development of econometric models presenting the impact of investments on resource consumption in steel production in Poland. Electricity and coke consumption were analysed according to manufacturing installation. The research was carried out on the basis of statistical data for the period of 2004−2018. The obtained findings confirmed the impact of the increase in investment on the decrease in the resource intensity in s... [more]
548. LAPSE:2023.29117
Review of Partial Discharge Activity Considering Very-Low Frequency and Damped Applied Voltage
April 13, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Numerical Methods and Statistics
Keywords: damped AC method, partial discharge, very low frequency method
When detecting the presence of partial discharge (PD) activity in the insulation system in high-voltage equipment, the excitation voltages at variable frequency have been widely used instead of power-frequency (50/60 Hz) sinusoidal voltage in order to reduce the charging power. This work reviews the relevant research on PD activity at very low frequency (VLF) method, including sinusoidal or cosine-rectangular voltage shape, and damped AC (DAC) method. Based on the research history and development status, some major PD characteristics, such as PD inception voltage (PDIV), PD amplitude, PD charge, PD phase-resolved pattern, and several hot issues, such as surface charge decay and statistical time lag, have been discussed. Moreover, the advantages, disadvantages, and applied conditions of two reviewed methods has been summarized. Finally, the prospects have been made on the main development trends of this research field in the future.
549. LAPSE:2023.29116
Detection of Knocking Combustion Using the Continuous Wavelet Transformation and a Convolutional Neural Network
April 13, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Numerical Methods and Statistics
Keywords: continuous wavelet transformation, convolutional neural networks, knocking combustion, pressure trace, SI engines, time series
The phenomenon of knock is an abnormal combustion occurring in spark-ignition (SI) engines and forms a barrier that prevents an increase in thermal efficiency while simultaneously reducing CO2 emissions. Since knocking combustion is highly stochastic, a cyclic analysis of in-cylinder pressure is necessary. In this study we propose an approach for efficient and robust detection and identification of knocking combustion in three different internal combustion engines. The proposed methodology includes a signal processing technique, called continuous wavelet transformation (CWT), which provides a simultaneous analysis of the in-cylinder pressure traces in the time and frequency domains with coefficients. These coefficients serve as input for a convolutional neural network (CNN) which extracts distinctive features and performs an image recognition task in order to distinguish between non-knock and knock. The results revealed the following: (i) The CWT delivered a stable and effective featur... [more]
550. LAPSE:2023.29112
Deep RNN-Based Photovoltaic Power Short-Term Forecast Using Power IoT Sensors
April 13, 2023 (v1)
Subject: Numerical Methods and Statistics
Keywords: Internet of Things (IoT), photovoltaic power forecasting algorithm, recurrent neural networks (RNN)
Photovoltaic (PV) power fluctuations caused by weather changes can lead to short-term mismatches in power demand and supply. Therefore, to operate the power grid efficiently and reliably, short-term PV power forecasts are required against these fluctuations. In this paper, we propose a deep RNN-based PV power short-term forecast. To reflect the impact of weather changes, the proposed model utilizes the on-site weather IoT dataset and power data, collected in real-time. We investigated various parameters of the proposed deep RNN-based forecast model and the combination of weather parameters to find an accurate prediction model. Experimental results showed that accuracies of 5 and 15 min ahead PV power generation forecast, using 3 RNN layers with 12 time-step, were 98.0% and 96.6% based on the normalized RMSE, respectively. Their R2-scores were 0.988 and 0.949. In experiments for 1 and 3 h ahead of PV power generation forecasts, their accuracies were 94.8% and 92.9%, respectively. Also,... [more]
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