Proceedings of ESCAPE 36ISSN: 2818-4734
Volume: 5 (2026)
Table of Contents
LAPSE:2026.0280v1
Published Article
LAPSE:2026.0280v1
Developing predictive models for batch cooling crystallization of APIs with limited data availability
Mauro Davanzo, Emanuele Tomba, Enrico Carlassare, Riccardo Motterle, Massimiliano Barolo, Zoltan K. Nagy, Fabrizio Bezzo
June 12, 2026
Abstract
The objective of this work is to investigate strategies for the calibration of crystallization models aimed at predicting particle size distributions (PSDs) of active pharmaceutical ingredients (APIs) when using industrial datasets, which are limited in terms of number or information for the modeling exercise. In this work, the calibration task relies on two kinds of measurements, commonly performed in industrial crystallization practice: offline measurements of PSDs and API solute concentration carried out only at the beginning and at the end of experiments, and online measurements of chord length distributions (CLDs). Particularly, a strategy is proposed to use CLDs data from focused beam reflectance measurement (FBRM) probes as proxies of the PSD, which is the main key performance indicator for the model exercise. Industrial data concerning a seeded batch cooling recrystallization of an API in an organic solvent are used as a case study. The PharmaPy process simulator is used for parameter estimation and process simulation. Results demonstrate that, with proper data processing and feature extraction, all parameters can be estimated with sufficient precision. The model performance is satisfactory for most of the batch duration, even though some shortcomings highlight possible limitations in the data and/or in the model itself. From the industrial perspective, results pave the way for a quantitative usage of FBRM probes to enhance process understanding and to guide process development and scale-up.
Keywords
Crystallization, Modelling, Parameter estimation, Pharmaceuticals, Population Balances
Suggested Citation
Davanzo M, Tomba E, Carlassare E, Motterle R, Barolo M, Nagy ZK, Bezzo F. Developing predictive models for batch cooling crystallization of APIs with limited data availability. Systems and Control Transactions 5:625-630 (2026) https://doi.org/10.69997/sct.126445
Author Affiliations
Davanzo M: University of Padova, Department of Industrial Engineering, Padova PD, Italy [ORCID]
Tomba E: F.I.S. Fabbrica Italiana Sintetici S.p, a., Montecchio Maggiore VI, Italy
Carlassare E: F.I.S. Fabbrica Italiana Sintetici S.p, a., Montecchio Maggiore VI, Italy
Motterle R: F.I.S. Fabbrica Italiana Sintetici S.p, a., Montecchio Maggiore VI, Italy
Barolo M: University of Padova, Department of Industrial Engineering, Padova PD, Italy [ORCID]
Nagy ZK: Purdue University, Davidson School of Chemical Engineering, West Lafayette, Indiana, USA [ORCID]
Bezzo F: University of Padova, Department of Industrial Engineering, Padova PD, Italy [ORCID]
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Journal Name
Systems and Control Transactions
Volume
5
First Page
625
Last Page
630
Year
2026
Publication Date
2026-06-12
Version Comments
Original Submission
Other Meta
PII: 0625-0630-94-SCT-5-2026, Publication Type: Journal Article
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LAPSE:2026.0280v1
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References Cited
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