LAPSE:2023.31916
Published Article
LAPSE:2023.31916
Czech Building Stock: Renovation Wave Scenarios and Potential for CO2 Savings until 2050
Antonín Lupíšek, Tomáš Trubačík, Petr Holub
April 19, 2023
One of the major anthropogenic sources of greenhouse gases is the operation of building stock. Improving its energy efficiency has the potential to significantly contribute to achieving climate change mitigation targets. The purpose of this study was to roughly estimate such potential for the operation of the national building stock of Czechia to steer the national debate on the development of related national plans. The estimation is based on a simplified energy model of the Czech building stock that consists of sub-models of residential and nonresidential building stocks, for which their future energy consumptions, shares of energy carriers and sources, and emission factors were modeled in four scenarios. Uncertainties from the approximation of the emission factors were investigated in a sensitivity analysis. The results showed that the operation of the Czech building stock in 2016 totaled 36.9 Mt CO2, which represented 34.6% of the total national carbon dioxide emissions. The four building stock scenarios could produce reductions in the carbon dioxide emissions of between 28% and 93% by 2050, when also considering on-side production from photovoltaics. The implementation of the most ambitious scenario would represent a drop in national CO2 yearly emissions by 43.2% by 2050 (compared to 2016).
Keywords
Carbon Dioxide, climate change mitigation, Energy Efficiency, EU Green Deal, national building stock, Paris Agreement, scenarios modelling
Suggested Citation
Lupíšek A, Trubačík T, Holub P. Czech Building Stock: Renovation Wave Scenarios and Potential for CO2 Savings until 2050. (2023). LAPSE:2023.31916
Author Affiliations
Lupíšek A: University Centre for Energy Efficient Buildings, Czech Technical University in Prague, 273 43 Buštěhrad, Czech Republic [ORCID]
Trubačík T: Chance for Buildings, 155 00 Prague, Czech Republic
Holub P: Chance for Buildings, 155 00 Prague, Czech Republic
Journal Name
Energies
Volume
14
Issue
9
First Page
2455
Year
2021
Publication Date
2021-04-25
Published Version
ISSN
1996-1073
Version Comments
Original Submission
Other Meta
PII: en14092455, Publication Type: Journal Article
Record Map
Published Article

LAPSE:2023.31916
This Record
External Link

doi:10.3390/en14092455
Publisher Version
Download
Files
[Download 1v1.pdf] (1.2 MB)
Apr 19, 2023
Main Article
License
CC BY 4.0
Meta
Record Statistics
Record Views
128
Version History
[v1] (Original Submission)
Apr 19, 2023
 
Verified by curator on
Apr 19, 2023
This Version Number
v1
Citations
Most Recent
This Version
URL Here
https://psecommunity.org/LAPSE:2023.31916
 
Original Submitter
Auto Uploader for LAPSE
Links to Related Works
Directly Related to This Work
Publisher Version