LAPSE:2023.27996
Published Article
LAPSE:2023.27996
Efficient Integration of Machine Learning into District Heating Predictive Models
April 11, 2023
Modern control strategies for district-level heating and cooling supply systems pose a difficult challenge. In order to integrate a wide range of hot and cold sources, these new systems will rely heavily on accumulation and much lower operating temperatures. This means that predictive models advising the control strategy must take into account long-lasting thermal effects but must not be computationally too expensive, because the control would not be possible in practice. This paper presents a simple but powerful systematic approach to reducing the complexity of individual components of such models. It makes it possible to combine human engineering intuition with machine learning and arrive at comprehensive and accurate models. As an example, a simple steady-state heat loss of buried pipes is extended with dynamics observed in a much more complex model. The results show that the process converges quickly toward reasonable solutions. The new auto-generated model performs 5 × 104 times faster than its complex equivalent while preserving essentially the same accuracy. This approach has great potential to enhance the development of fast predictive models not just for district heating. Only open-source software was used, while OpenModelica, Python, and FEniCS were predominantly used.
Keywords
district heating, dynamics, Machine Learning, Modelling, Optimization, pipes, smart systems
Suggested Citation
Kudela L, Chýlek R, Pospíšil J. Efficient Integration of Machine Learning into District Heating Predictive Models. (2023). LAPSE:2023.27996
Author Affiliations
Kudela L: Energy Institute, Faculty of Mechanical Engineering, Brno University of Technology—VUT Brno, Technická 2896/2, 61669 Brno, Czech Republic [ORCID]
Chýlek R: Energy Institute, Faculty of Mechanical Engineering, Brno University of Technology—VUT Brno, Technická 2896/2, 61669 Brno, Czech Republic [ORCID]
Pospíšil J: Energy Institute, Faculty of Mechanical Engineering, Brno University of Technology—VUT Brno, Technická 2896/2, 61669 Brno, Czech Republic [ORCID]
Journal Name
Energies
Volume
13
Issue
23
Article Number
E6381
Year
2020
Publication Date
2020-12-02
Published Version
ISSN
1996-1073
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PII: en13236381, Publication Type: Journal Article
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LAPSE:2023.27996
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doi:10.3390/en13236381
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Apr 11, 2023
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