LAPSE:2023.26383
Published Article
LAPSE:2023.26383
Hybrid Ship Unit Commitment with Demand Prediction and Model Predictive Control
April 3, 2023
We present a novel methodology for the control of power unit commitment in complex ship energy systems. The usage of this method is demonstrated with a case study, where measured data was used from a cruise ship operating in the Caribbean and the Mediterranean. The ship’s energy system is conceptualized to feature a fuel cell and a battery along standard diesel generating sets for the purpose of reducing local emissions near coasts. The developed method is formulated as a model predictive control (MPC) problem, where a novel 2-stage predictive model is used to predict power demand, and a mixed-integer linear programming (MILP) model is used to solve unit commitment according to the prediction. The performance of the methodology is compared to fully optimal control, which was simulated by optimizing unit commitment for entire measured power demand profiles of trips. As a result, it can be stated that the developed methodology achieves close to optimal unit commitment control for the conceptualized energy system. Furthermore, the predictive model is formulated so that it returns probability estimates of future power demand rather than point estimates. This opens up the possibility for using stochastic or robust optimization methods for unit commitment optimization in future studies.
Keywords
Gaussian Process, maritime, mixed-integer linear programming, Model Predictive Control, Optimization, predictive model
Suggested Citation
Huotari J, Ritari A, Vepsäläinen J, Tammi K. Hybrid Ship Unit Commitment with Demand Prediction and Model Predictive Control. (2023). LAPSE:2023.26383
Author Affiliations
Huotari J: Department of Mechanical Engineering, Aalto University, Otakaari 4, 02150 Espoo, Finland [ORCID]
Ritari A: Department of Mechanical Engineering, Aalto University, Otakaari 4, 02150 Espoo, Finland
Vepsäläinen J: Department of Mechanical Engineering, Aalto University, Otakaari 4, 02150 Espoo, Finland [ORCID]
Tammi K: Department of Mechanical Engineering, Aalto University, Otakaari 4, 02150 Espoo, Finland [ORCID]
Journal Name
Energies
Volume
13
Issue
18
Article Number
E4748
Year
2020
Publication Date
2020-09-11
Published Version
ISSN
1996-1073
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Original Submission
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PII: en13184748, Publication Type: Journal Article
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LAPSE:2023.26383
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doi:10.3390/en13184748
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Apr 3, 2023
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