LAPSE:2023.29690
Published Article
LAPSE:2023.29690
Development of a Two-Stage DQFM to Improve Efficiency of Single- and Multi-Hazard Risk Quantification for Nuclear Facilities
April 13, 2023
The probabilistic safety assessment (PSA) of a nuclear power plant (NPP) under single and multiple hazards is one of the most important tasks for disaster risk management of nuclear facilities. To date, various approaches—including the direct quantification of the fault tree using the Monte Carlo simulation (DQFM) method—have been employed to quantify single- and multi-hazard risks to nuclear facilities. The major advantage of the DQFM method is its applicability to a partially correlated system. Other methods can represent only an independent or a fully correlated system, but DQFM can quantify the risk of partially correlated system components by the sampling process. However, as a sampling-based approach, DQFM involves computational costs which increase as the size of the system and the number of hazards increase. Therefore, to improve the computational efficiency of the conventional DQFM, a two-stage DQFM method is proposed in this paper. By assigning enough samples to each hazard point according to its contribution to the final risk, the proposed two-stage DQFM can effectively reduce computational costs for both single- and multi-hazard risk quantification. Using examples of single- and multi-hazard threats to nuclear facilities, the effectiveness of the proposed two-stage DQFM is successfully demonstrated. Especially, two-stage DQFM saves computation time of conventional DQFM up to 72% for multi-hazard example.
Keywords
direct quantification of the fault tree using Monte Carlo simulation (DQFM), multi-hazard, nuclear power plant (NPP), risk quantification, single hazard
Suggested Citation
Choi E, Kwag S, Ha JG, Hahm D. Development of a Two-Stage DQFM to Improve Efficiency of Single- and Multi-Hazard Risk Quantification for Nuclear Facilities. (2023). LAPSE:2023.29690
Author Affiliations
Choi E: Structural Safety and Prognosis Research Division, Korea Atomic Energy Research Institute (KAERI), Daejeon 34057, Korea [ORCID]
Kwag S: Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Hanbat National University, 125 Dongseo-daero, Yuseong-gu, Daejeon 34158, Korea [ORCID]
Ha JG: Structural Safety and Prognosis Research Division, Korea Atomic Energy Research Institute (KAERI), Daejeon 34057, Korea [ORCID]
Hahm D: Structural Safety and Prognosis Research Division, Korea Atomic Energy Research Institute (KAERI), Daejeon 34057, Korea
Journal Name
Energies
Volume
14
Issue
4
First Page
1017
Year
2021
Publication Date
2021-02-15
Published Version
ISSN
1996-1073
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Original Submission
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PII: en14041017, Publication Type: Journal Article
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LAPSE:2023.29690
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doi:10.3390/en14041017
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Apr 13, 2023
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