LAPSE:2023.27757
Published Article
LAPSE:2023.27757
Using Agent-Based Models to Generate Transformation Knowledge for the German Energiewende—Potentials and Challenges Derived from Four Case Studies
Georg Holtz, Christian Schnülle, Malcolm Yadack, Jonas Friege, Thorben Jensen, Pablo Thier, Peter Viebahn, Émile J. L. Chappin
April 4, 2023
The German Energiewende is a deliberate transformation of an established industrial economy towards a nearly CO2-free energy system accompanied by a phase out of nuclear energy. Its governance requires knowledge on how to steer the transition from the existing status quo to the target situation (transformation knowledge). The energy system is, however, a complex socio-technical system whose dynamics are influenced by behavioural and institutional aspects, which are badly represented by the dominant techno-economic scenario studies. In this paper, we therefore investigate and identify characteristics of model studies that make agent-based modelling supportive for the generation of transformation knowledge for the Energiewende. This is done by reflecting on the experiences gained from four different applications of agent-based models. In particular, we analyse whether the studies have improved our understanding of policies’ impacts on the energy system, whether the knowledge derived is useful for practitioners, how valid understanding derived by the studies is, and whether the insights can be used beyond the initial case-studies. We conclude that agent-based modelling has a high potential to generate transformation knowledge, but that the design of projects in which the models are developed and used is of major importance to reap this potential. Well-informed and goal-oriented stakeholder involvement and a strong collaboration between data collection and model development are crucial.
Keywords
agent-based model, energiewende, Energy, feedback products, insulation, power-to-fuels, retail market, transformation knowledge, transition
Suggested Citation
Holtz G, Schnülle C, Yadack M, Friege J, Jensen T, Thier P, Viebahn P, Chappin ÉJL. Using Agent-Based Models to Generate Transformation Knowledge for the German Energiewende—Potentials and Challenges Derived from Four Case Studies. (2023). LAPSE:2023.27757
Author Affiliations
Holtz G: Wuppertal Institute for Climate, Environment and Energy, Döppersberg 19, 42103 Wuppertal, Germany
Schnülle C: Department of Technological Design and Development, University of Bremen, Badgasteiner Str. 1, 28359 Bremen, Germany [ORCID]
Yadack M: Centre for Sustainable Energy Technology Research, Stuttgart University of Applied Sciences, Schellingstraße 24, 70174 Stuttgart, Germany; Department of Innovation Economics (520i), University of Hohenheim, Schloss Hohenheim 1, 70599 Stuttgart, Germany
Friege J: Wuppertal Institute for Climate, Environment and Energy, Döppersberg 19, 42103 Wuppertal, Germany
Jensen T: Wuppertal Institute for Climate, Environment and Energy, Döppersberg 19, 42103 Wuppertal, Germany
Thier P: Department of Technological Design and Development, University of Bremen, Badgasteiner Str. 1, 28359 Bremen, Germany
Viebahn P: Wuppertal Institute for Climate, Environment and Energy, Döppersberg 19, 42103 Wuppertal, Germany [ORCID]
Chappin ÉJL: Wuppertal Institute for Climate, Environment and Energy, Döppersberg 19, 42103 Wuppertal, Germany; Energy and Industry Group, Faculty of Technology, Policy and Management, Delft University of Technology, 2628 BX Delft, The Netherlands [ORCID]
Journal Name
Energies
Volume
13
Issue
22
Article Number
E6133
Year
2020
Publication Date
2020-11-23
Published Version
ISSN
1996-1073
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PII: en13226133, Publication Type: Journal Article
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doi:10.3390/en13226133
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