LAPSE:2023.12996
Published Article
LAPSE:2023.12996
Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic Crisis on the Efficiency of European Intraday Electricity Markets
Jan Niklas Buescher, Daria Gottwald, Florian Momm, Alexander Zureck
February 28, 2023
Our goal is to examine the efficiency of different intraday electricity markets and if any of their price prediction models are more accurate than others. This paper includes a comprehensive review of Germany, France, and Norway’s (NOR1) day-ahead and intraday electricity market prices. These markets represent different energy mixes which would allow us to analyze the impact of the energy mix on the efficiencies of these markets. To draw conclusions about extreme market conditions, (i) we reviewed the market data linked to COVID-19. We expected higher volatility in the lockdowns than before and therefore decrease in the efficiency of the prediction models. With our analysis, (ii) we want to draw conclusions as to whether a mix based mainly on renewable energies such as that in Norway implies lower volatilities even in times of crisis. This would answer (iii) whether a market with an energy mix like Norway is more efficient in highly volatile phases. For the analysis, we use data visualization and statistical models as well as sample and out-of-sample data. Our finding was that while the different price and volatility levels occurred, the direction of the market was similar. We could find evidence that our expectations (i−iii) were met.
Keywords
COVID-19, Energy Efficiency, energy markets, energy mix, out-of-sample data
Suggested Citation
Buescher JN, Gottwald D, Momm F, Zureck A. Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic Crisis on the Efficiency of European Intraday Electricity Markets. (2023). LAPSE:2023.12996
Author Affiliations
Buescher JN: Automatisierungstechnik, RWTH Aachen University, Templergraben 55, 52062 Aachen, Germany
Gottwald D: ISF Institute for Strategic Finance, FOM University of Applied Sciences for Economics and Management, 45127 Essen, Germany
Momm F: Energie- und Wasseroekonomik, Hochschule Ruhr West, Duisburger Str. 100, 45479 Muelheim an der Ruhr, Germany
Zureck A: ISF Institute for Strategic Finance, FOM University of Applied Sciences for Economics and Management, 45127 Essen, Germany [ORCID]
Journal Name
Energies
Volume
15
Issue
10
First Page
3494
Year
2022
Publication Date
2022-05-10
Published Version
ISSN
1996-1073
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Original Submission
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PII: en15103494, Publication Type: Journal Article
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LAPSE:2023.12996
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doi:10.3390/en15103494
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Feb 28, 2023
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