Abstract
Prospective life-cycle design of emerging technologies is important in discussions of decarbonization and resource circulation strategies. This study demonstrates the role of computer-aided process engineering in reflecting technology information with appropriate granularity and accuracy using air conditioning as a case study. Process simulations involving heat exchangers (indoor/outdoor units), compressors, and expansion valves were developed to model air conditioners to quantify changes in performance and heat exchanger size as existing and alternative refrigerants are introduced. The process simulation results were incorporated into a material flow analysis and life cycle assessment to quantify the change in life cycle greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions through 2050 for each refrigerant installed. The results show that operational emissions dominate the life cycle GHG emissions of air conditioners, that decarbonization of electricity can significantly reduce life cycle GHG emissions, with similar results regardless of which refrigerant is used, and that differences in design policies when alternative refrigerants are introduced strongly affect the breakdown of emissions in 2050.