LAPSE:2023.3713
Published Article

LAPSE:2023.3713
Projecting Annual Rainfall Timeseries Using Machine Learning Techniques
February 22, 2023
Abstract
Hydropower plays an essential role in Europe’s energy transition and can serve as an important factor in the stability of the electricity system. This is even more crucial in areas that rely strongly on renewable energy production, for instance, solar and wind power, as for example the Peloponnese and the Ionian islands in Greece. To safeguard hydropower’s contribution to total energy production, an accurate prediction of the annual precipitation is required. Valuable tools to obtain accurate predictions of future observations are firstly a series of sophisticated data preprocessing techniques and secondly the use of advanced machine learning algorithms. In the present paper, a complete procedure is proposed to obtain accurate predictions of meteorological data, such as precipitation. This procedure is applied to the Greek automated weather stations network, operated by the National Observatory of Athens, in the Peloponnese and the Ionian islands in Greece. The proposed prediction algorithm successfully identified the climatic zones based on their different geographic and climatic characteristics for most meteorological stations, resulting in realistic precipitation predictions. For some stations, the algorithm underestimated the annual total precipitation, a weakness also reported by other research works.
Hydropower plays an essential role in Europe’s energy transition and can serve as an important factor in the stability of the electricity system. This is even more crucial in areas that rely strongly on renewable energy production, for instance, solar and wind power, as for example the Peloponnese and the Ionian islands in Greece. To safeguard hydropower’s contribution to total energy production, an accurate prediction of the annual precipitation is required. Valuable tools to obtain accurate predictions of future observations are firstly a series of sophisticated data preprocessing techniques and secondly the use of advanced machine learning algorithms. In the present paper, a complete procedure is proposed to obtain accurate predictions of meteorological data, such as precipitation. This procedure is applied to the Greek automated weather stations network, operated by the National Observatory of Athens, in the Peloponnese and the Ionian islands in Greece. The proposed prediction algorithm successfully identified the climatic zones based on their different geographic and climatic characteristics for most meteorological stations, resulting in realistic precipitation predictions. For some stations, the algorithm underestimated the annual total precipitation, a weakness also reported by other research works.
Record ID
Keywords
Greece, hydropower, Machine Learning, precipitation, predictions
Subject
Suggested Citation
Skarlatos K, Bekri ES, Georgakellos D, Economou P, Bersimis S. Projecting Annual Rainfall Timeseries Using Machine Learning Techniques. (2023). LAPSE:2023.3713
Author Affiliations
Skarlatos K: Department of Business Administration, University of Piraeus, 18534 Piraeus, Greece
Bekri ES: Department of Civil Engineering, University of Patras, 26504 Patras, Greece [ORCID]
Georgakellos D: Department of Business Administration, University of Piraeus, 18534 Piraeus, Greece
Economou P: Department of Civil Engineering, University of Patras, 26504 Patras, Greece [ORCID]
Bersimis S: Department of Business Administration, University of Piraeus, 18534 Piraeus, Greece
Bekri ES: Department of Civil Engineering, University of Patras, 26504 Patras, Greece [ORCID]
Georgakellos D: Department of Business Administration, University of Piraeus, 18534 Piraeus, Greece
Economou P: Department of Civil Engineering, University of Patras, 26504 Patras, Greece [ORCID]
Bersimis S: Department of Business Administration, University of Piraeus, 18534 Piraeus, Greece
Journal Name
Energies
Volume
16
Issue
3
First Page
1459
Year
2023
Publication Date
2023-02-02
ISSN
1996-1073
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Original Submission
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PII: en16031459, Publication Type: Journal Article
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LAPSE:2023.3713
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https://doi.org/10.3390/en16031459
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Feb 22, 2023
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