LAPSE:2023.16638
Published Article
LAPSE:2023.16638
Locational Marginal Price Forecasting Using SVR-Based Multi-Output Regression in Electricity Markets
March 3, 2023
Abstract
Electricity markets provide valuable data for regulators, operators, and investors. The use of machine learning methods for electricity market data could provide new insights about the market, and this information could be used for decision-making. This paper proposes a tool based on multi-output regression method using support vector machines (SVR) for LMP forecasting. The input corresponds to the active power load of each bus, in this case obtained through Monte Carlo simulations, in order to forecast LMPs. The LMPs provide market signals for investors and regulators. The results showed the high performance of the proposed model, since the average prediction error for fitting and testing datasets of the proposed method on the dataset was less than 1%. This provides insights into the application of machine learning method for electricity markets given the context of uncertainty and volatility for either real-time and ahead markets.
Keywords
electricity markets, locational marginal price (LMP), Machine Learning, multi-output regression
Suggested Citation
Cantillo-Luna S, Moreno-Chuquen R, Chamorro HR, Riquelme-Dominguez JM, Gonzalez-Longatt F. Locational Marginal Price Forecasting Using SVR-Based Multi-Output Regression in Electricity Markets. (2023). LAPSE:2023.16638
Author Affiliations
Cantillo-Luna S: Faculty of Engineering, Universidad Autónoma de Occidente, Cali 760030, Colombia [ORCID]
Moreno-Chuquen R: Faculty of Engineering, Universidad Autónoma de Occidente, Cali 760030, Colombia [ORCID]
Chamorro HR: Department of Electrical Engineering, KTH, Royal Institute of Technology, 11428 Stockholm, Sweden
Riquelme-Dominguez JM: Department of Electrical Engineering, Escuela Tecnica Superior de Ingenieros Industriales, Universidad Politecnica de Madrid, 28006 Madrid, Spain [ORCID]
Gonzalez-Longatt F: Department of Electrical Engineering, Information Technology and Cybernetics, University of South-Eastern Norway, 3918 Porsgrunn, Norway [ORCID]
Journal Name
Energies
Volume
15
Issue
1
First Page
293
Year
2022
Publication Date
2022-01-01
ISSN
1996-1073
Version Comments
Original Submission
Other Meta
PII: en15010293, Publication Type: Journal Article
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LAPSE:2023.16638
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https://doi.org/10.3390/en15010293
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