LAPSE:2023.0897
Published Article

LAPSE:2023.0897
Machine Learning with Gradient-Based Optimization of Nuclear Waste Vitrification with Uncertainties and Constraints
February 21, 2023
Abstract
Gekko is an optimization suite in Python that solves optimization problems involving mixed-integer, nonlinear, and differential equations. The purpose of this study is to integrate common Machine Learning (ML) algorithms such as Gaussian Process Regression (GPR), support vector regression (SVR), and artificial neural network (ANN) models into Gekko to solve data based optimization problems. Uncertainty quantification (UQ) is used alongside ML for better decision making. These methods include ensemble methods, model-specific methods, conformal predictions, and the delta method. An optimization problem involving nuclear waste vitrification is presented to demonstrate the benefit of ML in this field. ML models are compared against the current partial quadratic mixture (PQM) model in an optimization problem in Gekko. GPR with conformal uncertainty was chosen as the best substitute model as it had a lower mean squared error of 0.0025 compared to 0.018 and more confidently predicted a higher waste loading of 37.5 wt% compared to 34 wt%. The example problem shows that these tools can be used in similar industry settings where easier use and better performance is needed over classical approaches. Future works with these tools include expanding them with other regression models and UQ methods, and exploration into other optimization problems or dynamic control.
Gekko is an optimization suite in Python that solves optimization problems involving mixed-integer, nonlinear, and differential equations. The purpose of this study is to integrate common Machine Learning (ML) algorithms such as Gaussian Process Regression (GPR), support vector regression (SVR), and artificial neural network (ANN) models into Gekko to solve data based optimization problems. Uncertainty quantification (UQ) is used alongside ML for better decision making. These methods include ensemble methods, model-specific methods, conformal predictions, and the delta method. An optimization problem involving nuclear waste vitrification is presented to demonstrate the benefit of ML in this field. ML models are compared against the current partial quadratic mixture (PQM) model in an optimization problem in Gekko. GPR with conformal uncertainty was chosen as the best substitute model as it had a lower mean squared error of 0.0025 compared to 0.018 and more confidently predicted a higher waste loading of 37.5 wt% compared to 34 wt%. The example problem shows that these tools can be used in similar industry settings where easier use and better performance is needed over classical approaches. Future works with these tools include expanding them with other regression models and UQ methods, and exploration into other optimization problems or dynamic control.
Record ID
Keywords
constrained optimization, dynamic optimization, glass formulation, low-activity waste, Machine Learning, prediction uncertainty, process uncertainty, uncertainty quantification
Subject
Suggested Citation
Gunnell LL, Manwaring K, Lu X, Reynolds J, Vienna J, Hedengren J. Machine Learning with Gradient-Based Optimization of Nuclear Waste Vitrification with Uncertainties and Constraints. (2023). LAPSE:2023.0897
Author Affiliations
Gunnell LL: Department of Chemical Engineering, Brigham Young University, Provo, UT 84602, USA [ORCID]
Manwaring K: Department of Chemical Engineering, Brigham Young University, Provo, UT 84602, USA
Lu X: Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, WA 99354, USA
Reynolds J: Washington River Protection Solutions, Richland, WA 99354, USA
Vienna J: Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, WA 99354, USA
Hedengren J: Department of Chemical Engineering, Brigham Young University, Provo, UT 84602, USA [ORCID]
Manwaring K: Department of Chemical Engineering, Brigham Young University, Provo, UT 84602, USA
Lu X: Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, WA 99354, USA
Reynolds J: Washington River Protection Solutions, Richland, WA 99354, USA
Vienna J: Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, WA 99354, USA
Hedengren J: Department of Chemical Engineering, Brigham Young University, Provo, UT 84602, USA [ORCID]
Journal Name
Processes
Volume
10
Issue
11
First Page
2365
Year
2022
Publication Date
2022-11-11
ISSN
2227-9717
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Original Submission
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PII: pr10112365, Publication Type: Journal Article
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LAPSE:2023.0897
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https://doi.org/10.3390/pr10112365
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