LAPSE:2026.0518
Published Article

LAPSE:2026.0518
CMLM: A Cascade of Machine Learning Models to detect and diagnose the performance of model predictive controllers
June 12, 2026
Abstract
In this work, we propose a methodology for monitoring the performance of model predictive controllers (MPCs). A sequence of binary classification machine learning models, organized in cascade, called Cascade Machine Learning Models (CMLM), is evaluated to give a diagnosis of the control conditions. The proposed methodology was assessed using two case studies: a benchmark problem (the van de Vusse reactor under nonlinear MPC, NMPC) and a simulated industrial debutanizer column under commercial MPC. The ML models evaluated were the Random Forest and the Multilayer Perceptron. The results show that the proposed approach outperforms both a single multiclass model and traditional MPC performance monitoring methodologies, while remaining adaptable and scalable to larger applications.
In this work, we propose a methodology for monitoring the performance of model predictive controllers (MPCs). A sequence of binary classification machine learning models, organized in cascade, called Cascade Machine Learning Models (CMLM), is evaluated to give a diagnosis of the control conditions. The proposed methodology was assessed using two case studies: a benchmark problem (the van de Vusse reactor under nonlinear MPC, NMPC) and a simulated industrial debutanizer column under commercial MPC. The ML models evaluated were the Random Forest and the Multilayer Perceptron. The results show that the proposed approach outperforms both a single multiclass model and traditional MPC performance monitoring methodologies, while remaining adaptable and scalable to larger applications.
Record ID
Keywords
Artificial Intelligence, Fault Detection, Machine Learning, Nonlinear Model Predictive Control, Process Monitoring
Subject
Suggested Citation
Melo EV, Secchi AR, Souza MBD Jr. CMLM: A Cascade of Machine Learning Models to detect and diagnose the performance of model predictive controllers. Systems and Control Transactions 5:2518-2526 (2026) https://doi.org/10.69997/sct.124942
Author Affiliations
Melo EV: Chemical Engineering Program, PEQ/COPPE, Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil [ORCID]
Secchi AR: Chemical Engineering Program, PEQ/COPPE, Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. EPQB, School of Chemistry, Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil [ORCID]
Souza MBD Jr: Chemical Engineering Program, PEQ/COPPE, Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. EPQB, School of Chemistry, Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil [ORCID]
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Secchi AR: Chemical Engineering Program, PEQ/COPPE, Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. EPQB, School of Chemistry, Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil [ORCID]
Souza MBD Jr: Chemical Engineering Program, PEQ/COPPE, Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. EPQB, School of Chemistry, Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil [ORCID]
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Journal Name
Systems and Control Transactions
Volume
5
First Page
2518
Last Page
2526
Year
2026
Publication Date
2026-06-12
Version Comments
Original Submission
Other Meta
PII: 2518-2526-432-SCT-5-2026, Publication Type: Journal Article
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LAPSE:2026.0518
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https://doi.org/10.69997/sct.124942
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[v1] (Original Submission)
Jun 12, 2026
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References Cited
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