LAPSE:2026.0316
Published Article

LAPSE:2026.0316
A Modeling Framework Integrating Data Trends and Reference Information for Predicting Temperature-Dependent Thermophysical Properties
June 12, 2026
Abstract
The availability of temperature-dependent physicochemical property data forms the cornerstone of process simulation, optimization, and sustainable molecular and product design. However, a critical data gap persists, as experimental measurements are accessible for only a small subset of known chemicals. This renders experimental characterization resource-prohibitive, often compelling reliance on empirical estimation methods. Moreover, although many models offer single-point predictions at fixed temperatures, accurately modeling continuous temperature-dependent behavior remains challenging. Conventional methods frequently overlook intermediate variations, resulting in limited extrapolation capability. To overcome these limitations, we introduce a mechanism-guided hybrid modeling framework that integrates physical insights into data-driven models. This framework is built on two strategies. Strategy ? targets trend correction by generating a continuous representation from discrete single-point predictions, incorporating descriptors and slopes. Strategy ? addresses bias removal by anchoring a baseline to a high-accuracy point estimate and fitting the remaining deviations. The framework's effectiveness is evidenced by evaluations across ten thermophysical properties: Strategy ? achieves MSE reductions of 19.23% and 20.33% for the quantitative structure-property relationship and group contribution methods, respectively. Strategy ? provides a more substantial improvement, attaining an 81.63% MSE reduction for the gradient boosting decision tree regression model. This work demonstrates that incorporating trend and slope constraints facilitates physically consistent, bias-corrected, and accurate predictions, offering a scalable approach to bridge the data gap and accelerate computer-aided engineering and design.
The availability of temperature-dependent physicochemical property data forms the cornerstone of process simulation, optimization, and sustainable molecular and product design. However, a critical data gap persists, as experimental measurements are accessible for only a small subset of known chemicals. This renders experimental characterization resource-prohibitive, often compelling reliance on empirical estimation methods. Moreover, although many models offer single-point predictions at fixed temperatures, accurately modeling continuous temperature-dependent behavior remains challenging. Conventional methods frequently overlook intermediate variations, resulting in limited extrapolation capability. To overcome these limitations, we introduce a mechanism-guided hybrid modeling framework that integrates physical insights into data-driven models. This framework is built on two strategies. Strategy ? targets trend correction by generating a continuous representation from discrete single-point predictions, incorporating descriptors and slopes. Strategy ? addresses bias removal by anchoring a baseline to a high-accuracy point estimate and fitting the remaining deviations. The framework's effectiveness is evidenced by evaluations across ten thermophysical properties: Strategy ? achieves MSE reductions of 19.23% and 20.33% for the quantitative structure-property relationship and group contribution methods, respectively. Strategy ? provides a more substantial improvement, attaining an 81.63% MSE reduction for the gradient boosting decision tree regression model. This work demonstrates that incorporating trend and slope constraints facilitates physically consistent, bias-corrected, and accurate predictions, offering a scalable approach to bridge the data gap and accelerate computer-aided engineering and design.
Record ID
Keywords
Bias correction, Hybrid modeling, Machine learning, Mechanistic constraints, Slope-based correction, Temperature-dependent property prediction
Subject
Suggested Citation
Zhang S, Alshehri AS, Alhoshan MS, Tula A. A Modeling Framework Integrating Data Trends and Reference Information for Predicting Temperature-Dependent Thermophysical Properties. Systems and Control Transactions 5:910-918 (2026) https://doi.org/10.69997/sct.112476
Author Affiliations
Zhang S: State Key Laboratory of Industrial Control Technology, College of Control Science and Engineering, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou 310027, China.
Alshehri AS: Chemical Engineering Department, College of Engineering, King Saud University, Riyadh 11421, KSA
Alhoshan MS: Chemical Engineering Department, College of Engineering, King Saud University, Riyadh 11421, KSA
Tula A: State Key Laboratory of Industrial Control Technology, College of Control Science and Engineering, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou 310027, China.
[Login] to see author email addresses.
Alshehri AS: Chemical Engineering Department, College of Engineering, King Saud University, Riyadh 11421, KSA
Alhoshan MS: Chemical Engineering Department, College of Engineering, King Saud University, Riyadh 11421, KSA
Tula A: State Key Laboratory of Industrial Control Technology, College of Control Science and Engineering, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou 310027, China.
[Login] to see author email addresses.
Journal Name
Systems and Control Transactions
Volume
5
First Page
910
Last Page
918
Year
2026
Publication Date
2026-06-12
Version Comments
Original Submission
Other Meta
PII: 0910-0918-66-SCT-5-2026, Publication Type: Journal Article
Record Map
Published Article

LAPSE:2026.0316
This Record
External Link

https://doi.org/10.69997/sct.112476
Publisher Version
Download
Meta
Record Statistics
Record Views
8
Version History
[v1] (Original Submission)
Jun 12, 2026
Verified by curator on
Jun 12, 2026
This Version Number
v1
Citations
Most Recent
This Version
URL Here
https://psecommunity.org/LAPSE:2026.0316
Record Owner
PSE Press
Links to Related Works
References Cited
- Hukkerikar AS, Sarup B, Ten Kate A, Abildskov J, Sin G, Gani R. Group-contribution+ (GC+) based estimation of properties of pure components: improved property estimation and uncertainty analysis. Fluid Phase Equilibria 321:25-43 (2012) https://doi.org/10.1016/j.fluid.2012.02.010
- Yalamanchi KK, van Oudenhoven VCO, Tutino F, Monge-Palacios M, Alshehri A, Gao X, Sarathy SM. Machine learning to predict standard enthalpy of formation of hydrocarbons. J. Phys. Chem. A 123:8305-8313 (2019) https://doi.org/10.1021/acs.jpca.9b04771
- Alshehri AS, Tula AK, You F, Gani R. Next generation pure component property estimation models: with and without machine learning techniques. AIChE Journal 68: (2021) https://doi.org/10.1002/aic.17469
- JOBACK KG, REID RC. ESTIMATION OF PURE-COMPONENT PROPERTIES FROM GROUP-CONTRIBUTIONS. Chemical Engineering Communications 57:233-243 (2007) https://doi.org/10.1080/00986448708960487
- Sosnowska A, Barycki M, Jagiello K, Haranczyk M, Gajewicz A, Kawai T, Suzuki N, Puzyn T. Predicting enthalpy of vaporization for persistent organic pollutants with quantitative structure-property relationship (QSPR) incorporating the influence of temperature on volatility. Atmospheric Environment 87:10-18 (2014) https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosenv.2013.12.036
- Yin J, Jia Q, Yan F, Wang Q. Predicting heat capacity of gas for diverse organic compounds at different temperatures. Fluid Phase Equilibria 446:1-8 (2017) https://doi.org/10.1016/j.fluid.2017.05.006
- Shan Y, Wu Q, Yuan H, Liu W. Develop machine learning-based model and automated process for predicting liquid heat capacity of organics at different temperatures. Fluid Phase Equilibria 584:114132 (2024) https://doi.org/10.1016/j.fluid.2024.114132
- Ye Z, Ouyang D. Prediction of small-molecule compound solubility in organic solvents by machine learning algorithms. J Cheminform 13: (2021) https://doi.org/10.1186/s13321-021-00575-3
- Ceriani R, Gani R, Meirelles AJA. Prediction of heat capacities and heats of vaporization of organic liquids by group contribution methods. Fluid Phase Equilibria 283:49-55 (2009) https://doi.org/10.1016/j.fluid.2009.05.016
- Ceriani R, Meirelles AJA. Predicting vapor-liquid equilibria of fatty systems. Fluid Phase Equilibria 215:227-236 (2004) https://doi.org/10.1016/j.fluid.2003.08.011
(0.09 seconds)
[0.09 s]

