LAPSE:2023.36705
Published Article
LAPSE:2023.36705
A Model Based on the Random Forest Algorithm That Predicts the Total Oil−Water Two-Phase Flow Rate in Horizontal Shale Oil Wells
Huimin Zhou, Junfeng Liu, Jiegao Fei, Shoubo Shi
September 20, 2023
Due to variables like wellbore deviation variation and flow rate, the local flow velocity in the output wellbore of horizontal shale oil wells varied significantly at various points in the wellbore cross-section, making it challenging to calculate the total single-layer production with accuracy. The oil−water two-phase flow rate calculation techniques for horizontal wells developed based on particular flow patterns and array spinners had excellent applicability in their respective niches but suffered from poor generalizability and demanding experience levels for logging interpreters. In this study, we employed five spinners in a triangular walled array instrument to create the multi-decision tree after figuring out how many leaf nodes there were and examining the defining characteristics of the observed values gathered under various experimental setups. The construction of the entire oil−water two-phase flow prediction model was made possible when the random forest regression approach was used with it. The total oil−water flow rate at each perforated layer was predicted using the model in sample wells, and the mean square error with the third party’s interpretation conclusion was 1.42, indicating that the model had an excellent application effect. The approach, which offered a new interpretation method for calculating the oil−water two-phase flow rate of horizontal wells based on multi-location local flow rate, required less interpretation knowledge from the interpreter and had a stronger generalization capacity.
Keywords
flow rate prediction, horizontal well, multi-location local flow velocity, oil–water two-phase, random forest algorithm
Suggested Citation
Zhou H, Liu J, Fei J, Shi S. A Model Based on the Random Forest Algorithm That Predicts the Total Oil−Water Two-Phase Flow Rate in Horizontal Shale Oil Wells. (2023). LAPSE:2023.36705
Author Affiliations
Zhou H: College of Geophysics and Petroleum Resources, Yangtze University, Wuhan 430100, China
Liu J: College of Geophysics and Petroleum Resources, Yangtze University, Wuhan 430100, China; Key Laboratory of Exploration Technologies for Oil and Gas Resources, Yangtze University, Ministry of Education, Wuhan 430100, China [ORCID]
Fei J: Changqing Downhole Technology Operation Company, Chuanqing Drilling Company, PetroChina, Xi’an 710000, China; National Engineering Laboratory of Exploration and Development of Low Permeability Oil and Gas Fields, Xi’an 710000, China
Shi S: College of Geophysics and Petroleum Resources, Yangtze University, Wuhan 430100, China
Journal Name
Processes
Volume
11
Issue
8
First Page
2346
Year
2023
Publication Date
2023-08-04
Published Version
ISSN
2227-9717
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Original Submission
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PII: pr11082346, Publication Type: Journal Article
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LAPSE:2023.36705
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doi:10.3390/pr11082346
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Sep 20, 2023
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CC BY 4.0
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[v1] (Original Submission)
Sep 20, 2023
 
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Sep 20, 2023
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Calvin Tsay
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