LAPSE:2023.3615
Published Article

LAPSE:2023.3615
Transformers-Based Encoder Model for Forecasting Hourly Power Output of Transparent Photovoltaic Module Systems
February 22, 2023
Abstract
Solar power generation is usually affected by different meteorological factors, such as solar radiation, cloud cover, rainfall, and temperature. This variability has shown a negative impact on the large-scale integration of solar energy into energy supply systems. For successful integration of solar energy into the electrical grid, it is necessary to predict the accurate power generation by solar panels. In this work, solar power generation forecasting for two types of solar system (non-transparent and transparent panels) was configured by the smart artificial intelligence (AI) modelling. For deep learning models, the dataset obtained from the target value of electricity generation in kWh and other features, such as weather conditions, solar radiance, and insolation. In PV power generation values from non-transparent and transparent solar panels were collected from 1 January to 31 December 2021 with an hourly interval. To prove the efficiency of the proposed model, several deep learning approaches RNN models, such as LSTM, GRU, and transformers models, were implemented. Transformers model for forecasting power generation expressed the best model for non-transparent and transparent solar panels with lower error rates for MAE 0.05 and 0.04, and RMSE 0.24 and 0.21, respectively. The proposed model showed efficient performance and proved effective in forecasting time-series data.
Solar power generation is usually affected by different meteorological factors, such as solar radiation, cloud cover, rainfall, and temperature. This variability has shown a negative impact on the large-scale integration of solar energy into energy supply systems. For successful integration of solar energy into the electrical grid, it is necessary to predict the accurate power generation by solar panels. In this work, solar power generation forecasting for two types of solar system (non-transparent and transparent panels) was configured by the smart artificial intelligence (AI) modelling. For deep learning models, the dataset obtained from the target value of electricity generation in kWh and other features, such as weather conditions, solar radiance, and insolation. In PV power generation values from non-transparent and transparent solar panels were collected from 1 January to 31 December 2021 with an hourly interval. To prove the efficiency of the proposed model, several deep learning approaches RNN models, such as LSTM, GRU, and transformers models, were implemented. Transformers model for forecasting power generation expressed the best model for non-transparent and transparent solar panels with lower error rates for MAE 0.05 and 0.04, and RMSE 0.24 and 0.21, respectively. The proposed model showed efficient performance and proved effective in forecasting time-series data.
Record ID
Keywords
energy forecasting, GRU, LSTM, solar energy, time-series, transformers
Subject
Suggested Citation
Sherozbek J, Park J, Akhtar MS, Yang OB. Transformers-Based Encoder Model for Forecasting Hourly Power Output of Transparent Photovoltaic Module Systems. (2023). LAPSE:2023.3615
Author Affiliations
Sherozbek J: Graduate School of Integrated Energy-AI, Jeonbuk National University, Jeonju 54896, Republic of Korea [ORCID]
Park J: Graduate School of Integrated Energy-AI, Jeonbuk National University, Jeonju 54896, Republic of Korea
Akhtar MS: Graduate School of Integrated Energy-AI, Jeonbuk National University, Jeonju 54896, Republic of Korea; New and Renewable Energy Materials Development Center (NewREC), Jeonbuk National University, Buan-gun 56332, Republic of Korea [ORCID]
Yang OB: Graduate School of Integrated Energy-AI, Jeonbuk National University, Jeonju 54896, Republic of Korea; School of Semiconductor and Chemical Engineering, Jeonbuk National University, Jeonju 54896, Republic of Korea
Park J: Graduate School of Integrated Energy-AI, Jeonbuk National University, Jeonju 54896, Republic of Korea
Akhtar MS: Graduate School of Integrated Energy-AI, Jeonbuk National University, Jeonju 54896, Republic of Korea; New and Renewable Energy Materials Development Center (NewREC), Jeonbuk National University, Buan-gun 56332, Republic of Korea [ORCID]
Yang OB: Graduate School of Integrated Energy-AI, Jeonbuk National University, Jeonju 54896, Republic of Korea; School of Semiconductor and Chemical Engineering, Jeonbuk National University, Jeonju 54896, Republic of Korea
Journal Name
Energies
Volume
16
Issue
3
First Page
1353
Year
2023
Publication Date
2023-01-27
ISSN
1996-1073
Version Comments
Original Submission
Other Meta
PII: en16031353, Publication Type: Journal Article
Record Map
Published Article

LAPSE:2023.3615
This Record
External Link

https://doi.org/10.3390/en16031353
Publisher Version
Download
Meta
Record Statistics
Record Views
220
Version History
[v1] (Original Submission)
Feb 22, 2023
Verified by curator on
Feb 22, 2023
This Version Number
v1
Citations
Most Recent
This Version
URL Here
https://psecommunity.org/LAPSE:2023.3615
Record Owner
Auto Uploader for LAPSE
Links to Related Works
[0.69 s]
