LAPSE:2023.35986
Published Article
LAPSE:2023.35986
Predicting Octane Number of Petroleum-Derived Gasoline Fuels from MIR Spectra, GC-MS, and Routine Test Data
Alirio Benavides, Carlos Zapata, Pedro Benjumea, Camilo A. Franco, Farid B. Cortés, Marco A. Ruiz
June 7, 2023
Petroleum-derived gasoline is still the most widely used liquid automotive fuel for ground vehicles equipped with spark-ignition engines. One of the most important properties of gasoline fuels is their antiknock performance, which is experimentally evaluated via the octane number (ON). It is widely accepted that the standard methods for ON measuring (RON: research octane number and MON: motor octane number) are very expensive due to the costs of the experimental facilities and are generally not suitable for field monitoring or online analysis. To overcome these intrinsic problems, it is convenient that the ON of gasoline fuels is estimated via faster methods than the experimental tests and allows for acceptable results with acceptable reproducibility. Various ON prediction methods have been proposed in the literature. These methods differ in the type of fuels for which they are developed, the input features, and the analytical method used to underlie the link between input features and ON. The aim of this work is to develop and evaluate three empirical methods for predicting the ON of petroleum-derived gasoline fuels using MIR spectra, GC-MS, and routine test data as input features. In all cases, the chosen analytical method was partial least squares regression (PLSR). The best performance for both MON and RON prediction corresponded with the composition-based model, since it presented lesser evaluation indices (RMSE, MAE, and R2) and more than 80% of residuals were within the established criteria (sum of the reproducibility and the uncertainty of the standard method). Although the routine-test-data-based method performed poorly according to the established criterion, its use could be recommended in cases of scarce data since it showed an acceptable value of R2 and physical consistency. Despite their empirical nature, the proposed prediction models based on MIR (mid-infrared) spectra, GC-MS, and routine test data had the potential to predict the RON and MON of real gasoline fuels commercialized in Colombia.
Keywords
API gravity, Gasoline, GC-MS, MIR, octane number
Suggested Citation
Benavides A, Zapata C, Benjumea P, Franco CA, Cortés FB, Ruiz MA. Predicting Octane Number of Petroleum-Derived Gasoline Fuels from MIR Spectra, GC-MS, and Routine Test Data. (2023). LAPSE:2023.35986
Author Affiliations
Benavides A: Grupo de Yacimientos de Hidrocarburos, Departamento de Procesos y Energía, Facultad de Minas, Universidad Nacional de Colombia, Sede Medellín, Cra 80 65-223, Medellín 050034, Colombia
Zapata C: Grupo de Yacimientos de Hidrocarburos, Departamento de Procesos y Energía, Facultad de Minas, Universidad Nacional de Colombia, Sede Medellín, Cra 80 65-223, Medellín 050034, Colombia
Benjumea P: Grupo de Yacimientos de Hidrocarburos, Departamento de Procesos y Energía, Facultad de Minas, Universidad Nacional de Colombia, Sede Medellín, Cra 80 65-223, Medellín 050034, Colombia [ORCID]
Franco CA: Grupo de Investigación en Fenómenos de Superficie-Michael Polanyi, Departamento de Procesos y Energía, Facultad de Minas, Universidad Nacional de Colombia, Sede Medellín, Cra 80 65-223, Medellín 050034, Colombia [ORCID]
Cortés FB: Grupo de Investigación en Fenómenos de Superficie-Michael Polanyi, Departamento de Procesos y Energía, Facultad de Minas, Universidad Nacional de Colombia, Sede Medellín, Cra 80 65-223, Medellín 050034, Colombia [ORCID]
Ruiz MA: Grupo de Yacimientos de Hidrocarburos, Departamento de Procesos y Energía, Facultad de Minas, Universidad Nacional de Colombia, Sede Medellín, Cra 80 65-223, Medellín 050034, Colombia
Journal Name
Processes
Volume
11
Issue
5
First Page
1437
Year
2023
Publication Date
2023-05-09
Published Version
ISSN
2227-9717
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Original Submission
Other Meta
PII: pr11051437, Publication Type: Journal Article
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LAPSE:2023.35986
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doi:10.3390/pr11051437
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Jun 7, 2023
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Jun 7, 2023
 
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Calvin Tsay
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