LAPSE:2023.34788
Published Article
LAPSE:2023.34788
Fuzzy-Based Failure Modes, Effects, and Criticality Analysis Applied to Cyber-Power Grids
April 28, 2023
Failure modes, effects, and criticality analysis (FMECA) is a qualitative risk analysis method widely used in various industrial and service applications. Despite its popularity, the method suffers from several shortcomings analyzed in the literature over the years. The classical approach to obtain the failure modes’ risk level does not consider any relative importance between the risk factors and may not necessarily represent the real risk perception of the FMECA team members, usually expressed by natural language. This paper introduces the application of Type-I fuzzy inference systems (FIS) as an alternative to improve the failure modes’ risk level computation in the classic FMECA analysis and its use in cyber-power grids. Our fuzzy-based FMECA considers first a set of fuzzy variables defined by FMECA experts to embody the uncertainty associated with the human language. Second, the “seven plus or minus two” criterion is used to set the number of fuzzy sets to each variable, forming a rule base consisting of 125 fuzzy rules to represent the risk perception of the experts. In the electrical power systems framework, the new fuzzy-based FMECA is utilized for reliability analysis of cyber-power grid systems, assessing its benefits relative to a classic FMECA. The paper provides the following three key contributions: (1) representing the uncertainty associated with the FMECA experts using fuzzy sets, (2) representing the FMECA experts’ reasoning and risk perception through fuzzy-rule-based reasoning, and (3) applying the proposed fuzzy approach, which is a promissory method to accurately define the prioritization of failure modes in the context of reliability analysis of cyber-power grid systems.
Keywords
cyber-power grids, FMECA, fuzzy inference systems, fuzzy-based FMECA, risk assessment
Suggested Citation
Zúñiga AA, Fernandes JFP, Branco PJC. Fuzzy-Based Failure Modes, Effects, and Criticality Analysis Applied to Cyber-Power Grids. (2023). LAPSE:2023.34788
Author Affiliations
Zúñiga AA: IDMEC, Instituto Superior Técnico, University of Lisboa, 1049-001 Lisboa, Portugal [ORCID]
Fernandes JFP: IDMEC, Instituto Superior Técnico, University of Lisboa, 1049-001 Lisboa, Portugal [ORCID]
Branco PJC: IDMEC, Instituto Superior Técnico, University of Lisboa, 1049-001 Lisboa, Portugal [ORCID]
Journal Name
Energies
Volume
16
Issue
8
First Page
3346
Year
2023
Publication Date
2023-04-10
Published Version
ISSN
1996-1073
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Original Submission
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PII: en16083346, Publication Type: Journal Article
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LAPSE:2023.34788
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doi:10.3390/en16083346
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Apr 28, 2023
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