LAPSE:2023.34353
Published Article
LAPSE:2023.34353
Analyzing the Hydroelectricity Variability on Power Markets from a System Dynamics and Dynamic Systems Perspective: Seasonality and ENSO Phenomenon
April 25, 2023
In this paper, the variations in hydropower generation are addressed considering the seasonality and ENSO (El Niño-Southern Oscillation) episodes. The dynamic hypothesis and the stock-flow structure of the Colombian electricity market were analyzed. Moreover, its dynamic behavior was analyzed by using Dynamic Systems tools aimed at providing deep insight into the system. The MATLAB/Simulink model was used to evaluate the Colombian electricity market. Since we combine System Dynamics and Dynamic Systems, this methodology provides a novel insight and a deeper analysis compared with System Dynamics models and can be easily implemented by policymakers to suggest improvements in regulation or market structures. We also provide a detailed description of the Colombian electricity market dynamics under a broad range of demand growth rate scenarios inspired by the bifurcation and control theory of Dynamic Systems.
Keywords
bifurcations, dynamic systems, ENSO phenomenon, hydroelectricity variability, system dynamics
Suggested Citation
Morcillo JD, Angulo F, Franco CJ. Analyzing the Hydroelectricity Variability on Power Markets from a System Dynamics and Dynamic Systems Perspective: Seasonality and ENSO Phenomenon. (2023). LAPSE:2023.34353
Author Affiliations
Morcillo JD: Facultad de Ingeniería y Tecnologías, Universidad de Monterrey, Monterrey 66238, Mexico [ORCID]
Angulo F: Departamento de Ingeniería Eléctrica, Electrónica y Computación, Universidad Nacional de Colombia, Sede Manizales, Manizales 170003, Colombia
Franco CJ: Facultad de Minas, Universidad Nacional de Colombia, Sede Medellín, Medellín 050041, Colombia [ORCID]
Journal Name
Energies
Volume
13
Issue
9
Article Number
E2381
Year
2020
Publication Date
2020-05-09
Published Version
ISSN
1996-1073
Version Comments
Original Submission
Other Meta
PII: en13092381, Publication Type: Journal Article
Record Map
Published Article

LAPSE:2023.34353
This Record
External Link

doi:10.3390/en13092381
Publisher Version
Download
Files
[Download 1v1.pdf] (4.5 MB)
Apr 25, 2023
Main Article
License
CC BY 4.0
Meta
Record Statistics
Record Views
89
Version History
[v1] (Original Submission)
Apr 25, 2023
 
Verified by curator on
Apr 25, 2023
This Version Number
v1
Citations
Most Recent
This Version
URL Here
https://psecommunity.org/LAPSE:2023.34353
 
Original Submitter
Auto Uploader for LAPSE
Links to Related Works
Directly Related to This Work
Publisher Version