LAPSE:2023.32861
Published Article

LAPSE:2023.32861
Revisiting the Environmental Kuznets Curve Hypothesis: A Case of Central Europe
April 20, 2023
Abstract
The rapid economic growth observed in Central European countries in the last thirty years has been the result of profound political changes and economic liberalization. This growth is partly connected with reducing carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions. However, the problem of CO2 emissions seems to remain unresolved. The aim of this paper is to test whether the Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC) hypothesis holds true for Central European countries in an annual sample data that covers 1995−2016 in most countries. We examine cointegration by applying the Autoregressive Distributed Lag bound testing. This is the first study examining the relationship between CO2 emissions and economic growth in individual Central European countries from a long-run perspective, which allows the results to be compared. We confirmed the cointegration, but our estimates confirmed the EKC hypothesis only in Poland. It should also be noted that in all nine countries, energy consumption leads to increased CO2 emissions. The long-run elasticity ranges between 1.5 in Bulgaria and 2.0 in Croatia. We observed exceptionally low long-run elasticity in Estonia (0.49). Our findings suggest that to solve the environmental degradation problem in Central Europe, it is necessary to individualize the policies implemented in the European Union.
The rapid economic growth observed in Central European countries in the last thirty years has been the result of profound political changes and economic liberalization. This growth is partly connected with reducing carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions. However, the problem of CO2 emissions seems to remain unresolved. The aim of this paper is to test whether the Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC) hypothesis holds true for Central European countries in an annual sample data that covers 1995−2016 in most countries. We examine cointegration by applying the Autoregressive Distributed Lag bound testing. This is the first study examining the relationship between CO2 emissions and economic growth in individual Central European countries from a long-run perspective, which allows the results to be compared. We confirmed the cointegration, but our estimates confirmed the EKC hypothesis only in Poland. It should also be noted that in all nine countries, energy consumption leads to increased CO2 emissions. The long-run elasticity ranges between 1.5 in Bulgaria and 2.0 in Croatia. We observed exceptionally low long-run elasticity in Estonia (0.49). Our findings suggest that to solve the environmental degradation problem in Central Europe, it is necessary to individualize the policies implemented in the European Union.
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Keywords
ARDL, Central Europe, CO2 emissions, environmental degradation, environmental Kuznets curve, time series
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Suggested Citation
Jóźwik B, Gavryshkiv AV, Kyophilavong P, Gruszecki LE. Revisiting the Environmental Kuznets Curve Hypothesis: A Case of Central Europe. (2023). LAPSE:2023.32861
Author Affiliations
Jóźwik B: The Institute of Economics and Finance, The John Paul II Catholic University of Lublin, Al. Racławickie 14, 20-950 Lublin, Poland [ORCID]
Gavryshkiv AV: The Institute of Economics and Finance, The John Paul II Catholic University of Lublin, Al. Racławickie 14, 20-950 Lublin, Poland [ORCID]
Kyophilavong P: Faculty of Economics and Business Management, National University of Laos, Vientiane 7322, Laos [ORCID]
Gruszecki LE: The Institute of Economics and Finance, The John Paul II Catholic University of Lublin, Al. Racławickie 14, 20-950 Lublin, Poland
Gavryshkiv AV: The Institute of Economics and Finance, The John Paul II Catholic University of Lublin, Al. Racławickie 14, 20-950 Lublin, Poland [ORCID]
Kyophilavong P: Faculty of Economics and Business Management, National University of Laos, Vientiane 7322, Laos [ORCID]
Gruszecki LE: The Institute of Economics and Finance, The John Paul II Catholic University of Lublin, Al. Racławickie 14, 20-950 Lublin, Poland
Journal Name
Energies
Volume
14
Issue
12
First Page
3415
Year
2021
Publication Date
2021-06-09
ISSN
1996-1073
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Original Submission
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PII: en14123415, Publication Type: Journal Article
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LAPSE:2023.32861
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