LAPSE:2023.32575
Published Article
LAPSE:2023.32575
Model Validity and Transferability Informing Behavioral Energy Policies
Areti Kontogianni, Dimitris Damigos, Michail Skourtos, Christos Tourkolias, Eleanor Denny, Ibon Galarraga, Steffen Kallbekken, Edin Lakić
April 20, 2023
A number of microeconomic choice models are currently applied to demonstrate systematic biases in energy consumer behavior. The models highlight the hidden potential of energy savings from policies that target the so-called behavioral anomalies. Nevertheless, whether these patterns are repeatable or not is not clear, because the efforts to determine the transferability or generalizability of these models are practically nonexistent. This paper uses a unique collection of empirical data from five EU countries collected within the CONSEED project to refine and develop further the standard consumer decision model, validate it for policy purposes, and elaborate on its transferability between countries. The pooled samples allow for a more reliable investigation of the relative importance of the factors influencing consumers’ attitudes and beliefs towards energy investment decisions. Based on the statistical tests conducted to evaluate the “transferability” of the pooled models (i.e., the possibility of creating a “universal” model of EE from the pooled model), it can be argued that the models are transferable in specific cases since attitudinal factors and demographic characteristics play a significant role. Although the pooled models are validated, any extrapolation of the above-mentioned findings to specific populations in terms of “space” (i.e., country) and “target” (e.g., sectors and technologies) should be approached with caution from a policy perspective.
Keywords
behavioral models, Energy Efficiency, model validation
Suggested Citation
Kontogianni A, Damigos D, Skourtos M, Tourkolias C, Denny E, Galarraga I, Kallbekken S, Lakić E. Model Validity and Transferability Informing Behavioral Energy Policies. (2023). LAPSE:2023.32575
Author Affiliations
Kontogianni A: Department of Mechanical Engineering, University of Western Macedonia, 50100 Kozani, Greece
Damigos D: School of Mining and Metallurgical Engineering, National Technical University of Athens, 15780 Zografou Campus, Greece [ORCID]
Skourtos M: Department of Economics, College of Business Administration, University of Kuwait, Kuwait 13060, Kuwait
Tourkolias C: Center for Renewable Energy Sources, 19009 Pikermi, Greece
Denny E: Department of Economics, Trinity College, D02 PN40 Dublin, Ireland [ORCID]
Galarraga I: BC3 Basque Centre for Climate Change, 48940 Leioa, Spain
Kallbekken S: CICERO Center for International Climate Research, P.O. Box 1129 Blindern, 0349 Oslo, Norway [ORCID]
Lakić E: Faculty of Electrical Engineering, University of Ljubljana, 1000 Ljubljana, Slovenia [ORCID]
Journal Name
Energies
Volume
14
Issue
11
First Page
3122
Year
2021
Publication Date
2021-05-27
Published Version
ISSN
1996-1073
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Original Submission
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PII: en14113122, Publication Type: Journal Article
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LAPSE:2023.32575
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doi:10.3390/en14113122
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Apr 20, 2023
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