LAPSE:2023.30820
Published Article
LAPSE:2023.30820
A Hybrid Feature Pyramid CNN-LSTM Model with Seasonal Inflection Month Correction for Medium- and Long-Term Power Load Forecasting
Zizhen Cheng, Li Wang, Yumeng Yang
April 17, 2023
Accurate medium- and long-term power load forecasting is of great significance for the scientific planning and safe operation of power systems. Monthly power load has multiscale time series correlation and seasonality. The existing models face the problems of insufficient feature extraction and a large volume of prediction models constructed according to seasons. Therefore, a hybrid feature pyramid CNN-LSTM model with seasonal inflection month correction for medium- and long-term power load forecasting is proposed. The model is constructed based on linear and nonlinear combination forecasting. With the aim to address the insufficient extraction of multiscale temporal correlation in load, a time series feature pyramid structure based on causal dilated convolution is proposed, and the accuracy of the model is improved by feature extraction and fusion of different scales. For the problem that the model volume of seasonal prediction is too large, a seasonal inflection monthly load correction strategy is proposed to construct a unified model to predict and correct the monthly load of the seasonal change inflection point, so as to improve the model’s ability to deal with seasonality. The model proposed in this paper is verified on the actual power data in Shaoxing City.
Keywords
causal dilated convolution, feature pyramid CNN-LSTM hybrid neural network, medium- and long-term load forecasting
Suggested Citation
Cheng Z, Wang L, Yang Y. A Hybrid Feature Pyramid CNN-LSTM Model with Seasonal Inflection Month Correction for Medium- and Long-Term Power Load Forecasting. (2023). LAPSE:2023.30820
Author Affiliations
Cheng Z: School of Electronics and Information Engineering, Hebei University of Technology, Tianjin 300401, China
Wang L: School of Electronics and Information Engineering, Hebei University of Technology, Tianjin 300401, China [ORCID]
Yang Y: School of Electronics and Information Engineering, Hebei University of Technology, Tianjin 300401, China
Journal Name
Energies
Volume
16
Issue
7
First Page
3081
Year
2023
Publication Date
2023-03-28
Published Version
ISSN
1996-1073
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PII: en16073081, Publication Type: Journal Article
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LAPSE:2023.30820
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doi:10.3390/en16073081
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