LAPSE:2023.28618
Published Article
LAPSE:2023.28618
Power Generation Prediction of an Open Cycle Gas Turbine Using Kalman Filter
Christos Manasis, Nicholas Assimakis, Vasilis Vikias, Aphrodite Ktena, Tassos Stamatelos
April 12, 2023
The motivation for this paper is the enhanced role of power generation prediction in power plants and power systems in the smart grid paradigm. The proposed approach addresses the impact of the ambient temperature on the performance of an open cycle gas turbine when using the Kalman Filter (KF) technique and the power-temperature (P-T) characteristic of the turbine. Several Kalman Filtering techniques are tested to obtain improved temperature forecasts, which are then used to obtain output power predictions. A typical P-T curve of an open-cycle gas turbine is used to demonstrate the applicability of the proposed method. Nonlinear and linear discrete process models are studied. Extended Kalman Filters are proposed for the nonlinear model. The Time Varying, Time Invariant, and Steady State Kalman Filters are used with the linearized model. Simulation results show that the power generation prediction obtained using the Extended Kalman Filter with the piecewise linear model yields improved forecasts. The linear formulations, though less accurate, are a promising option when a power generation forecast for a small-term and short-term time window is required.
Keywords
electricity markets, Energy Efficiency, finite impulse response filters, forecasting, Kalman Filters, power generation planning, prediction, temperature
Suggested Citation
Manasis C, Assimakis N, Vikias V, Ktena A, Stamatelos T. Power Generation Prediction of an Open Cycle Gas Turbine Using Kalman Filter. (2023). LAPSE:2023.28618
Author Affiliations
Manasis C: Energy Systems Laboratory, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, 34400 Psachna Evia, Greece [ORCID]
Assimakis N: Energy Systems Laboratory, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, 34400 Psachna Evia, Greece
Vikias V: Energy Systems Laboratory, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, 34400 Psachna Evia, Greece
Ktena A: Energy Systems Laboratory, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, 34400 Psachna Evia, Greece [ORCID]
Stamatelos T: Thermodynamics and Thermal Engines Laboratory, Department of Mechanical Engineering, University of Thessaly, 38334 Volos, Greece [ORCID]
Journal Name
Energies
Volume
13
Issue
24
Article Number
E6692
Year
2020
Publication Date
2020-12-18
Published Version
ISSN
1996-1073
Version Comments
Original Submission
Other Meta
PII: en13246692, Publication Type: Journal Article
Record Map
Published Article

LAPSE:2023.28618
This Record
External Link

doi:10.3390/en13246692
Publisher Version
Download
Files
Apr 12, 2023
Main Article
License
CC BY 4.0
Meta
Record Statistics
Record Views
81
Version History
[v1] (Original Submission)
Apr 12, 2023
 
Verified by curator on
Apr 12, 2023
This Version Number
v1
Citations
Most Recent
This Version
URL Here
https://psecommunity.org/LAPSE:2023.28618
 
Original Submitter
Auto Uploader for LAPSE
Links to Related Works
Directly Related to This Work
Publisher Version