LAPSE:2023.28582
Published Article
LAPSE:2023.28582
The Data-Driven Multi-Step Approach for Dynamic Estimation of Buildings’ Interior Temperature
April 12, 2023
Buildings are among the main protagonists of the world’s growing energy consumption, employing up to 45%. Wide efforts have been directed to improve energy saving and reduce environmental impacts to attempt to address the objectives fixed by policymakers in the past years. Meanwhile, new approaches using Machine Learning regression models surged in the modeling and simulation research context. This research develops and proposes an innovative data-driven black box predictive model for estimating in a dynamic way the interior temperature of a building. Therefore, the rationale behind the approach has been chosen based on two steps. First, an investigation of the extant literature on the methods to be considered for tests has been conducted, shrinking the field of investigation to non-recursive multi-step approaches. Second, the results obtained on a pilot case using various Machine Learning regression models in the multi-step approach have been assessed, leading to the choice of the Support Vector Regression model. The prediction mean absolute error on the pilot case is 0.1 ± 0.2 °C when the offset from the prediction instant is 15 min and grows slowly for further future instants, up to 0.3 ± 0.8 °C for a prediction horizon of 8 h. In the end, the advantages and limitations of the new data-driven multi-step approach based on the Support Vector Regression model are provided. Relying only on data related to external weather, interior temperature and calendar, the proposed approach is promising to be applicable to any type of building without needing as input specific geometrical/physical characteristics.
Keywords
Artificial Intelligence, cyber–physical system, data-driven model, energy and comfort management system, Industry 4.0, Machine Learning, multi-step model, Simulation, Support Vector Regression, temperature estimation
Suggested Citation
Villa S, Sassanelli C. The Data-Driven Multi-Step Approach for Dynamic Estimation of Buildings’ Interior Temperature. (2023). LAPSE:2023.28582
Author Affiliations
Villa S: Evogy srl, Via Pastrengo 9, 24068 Seriate, Italy [ORCID]
Sassanelli C: Department of Management, Economics and Industrial Engineering, Politecnico di Milano, Piazza Leonardo da Vinci 32, 20133 Milan, Italy [ORCID]
Journal Name
Energies
Volume
13
Issue
24
Article Number
E6654
Year
2020
Publication Date
2020-12-17
Published Version
ISSN
1996-1073
Version Comments
Original Submission
Other Meta
PII: en13246654, Publication Type: Journal Article
Record Map
Published Article

LAPSE:2023.28582
This Record
External Link

doi:10.3390/en13246654
Publisher Version
Download
Files
[Download 1v1.pdf] (2.8 MB)
Apr 12, 2023
Main Article
License
CC BY 4.0
Meta
Record Statistics
Record Views
85
Version History
[v1] (Original Submission)
Apr 12, 2023
 
Verified by curator on
Apr 12, 2023
This Version Number
v1
Citations
Most Recent
This Version
URL Here
https://psecommunity.org/LAPSE:2023.28582
 
Original Submitter
Auto Uploader for LAPSE
Links to Related Works
Directly Related to This Work
Publisher Version