LAPSE:2023.22675v1
Published Article

LAPSE:2023.22675v1
Influence of Fluctuations in Fossil Fuel Commodities on Electricity Markets: Evidence from Spot and Futures Markets in Europe
March 24, 2023
Abstract
Using a fresh empirical approach to time-frequency domain frameworks, this study analyzes the return and volatility spillovers from fossil fuel markets (coal, natural gas, and crude oil) to electricity spot and futures markets in Europe. In the time domain, by an approach developed by Diebold and Yilmaz (2012) which can analyze the directional spillover effect across different markets, we find natural gas has the highest return spillover effect on electricity markets followed by coal and oil. We also find that return spillovers increase with the length of the delivery period of electricity futures. In the frequency domain, using the methodology proposed by Barunik and Krehlik (2018) that can decompose the spillover effect into different frequency bands, we find most of the return spillovers from fossil fuels to electricity are produced in the short term while most of the volatility spillovers are generated in the long term. Additionally, dynamic return spillovers have patterns corresponding to the use of natural gas for electricity generation, while volatility spillovers are sensitive to extreme financial events.
Using a fresh empirical approach to time-frequency domain frameworks, this study analyzes the return and volatility spillovers from fossil fuel markets (coal, natural gas, and crude oil) to electricity spot and futures markets in Europe. In the time domain, by an approach developed by Diebold and Yilmaz (2012) which can analyze the directional spillover effect across different markets, we find natural gas has the highest return spillover effect on electricity markets followed by coal and oil. We also find that return spillovers increase with the length of the delivery period of electricity futures. In the frequency domain, using the methodology proposed by Barunik and Krehlik (2018) that can decompose the spillover effect into different frequency bands, we find most of the return spillovers from fossil fuels to electricity are produced in the short term while most of the volatility spillovers are generated in the long term. Additionally, dynamic return spillovers have patterns corresponding to the use of natural gas for electricity generation, while volatility spillovers are sensitive to extreme financial events.
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Keywords
Coal, crude oil, electricity, Natural Gas, spillover effects
Subject
Suggested Citation
Liu T, He X, Nakajima T, Hamori S. Influence of Fluctuations in Fossil Fuel Commodities on Electricity Markets: Evidence from Spot and Futures Markets in Europe. (2023). LAPSE:2023.22675v1
Author Affiliations
Liu T: Graduate School of Economics, Kobe University, Kobe 657-8501, Japan
He X: Graduate School of Economics, Kobe University, Kobe 657-8501, Japan
Nakajima T: Graduate School of Economics, Kobe University, Kobe 657-8501, Japan; The Kansai Electric Power Company, Incorporated, Osaka 530-8270, Japan
Hamori S: Graduate School of Economics, Kobe University, Kobe 657-8501, Japan [ORCID]
He X: Graduate School of Economics, Kobe University, Kobe 657-8501, Japan
Nakajima T: Graduate School of Economics, Kobe University, Kobe 657-8501, Japan; The Kansai Electric Power Company, Incorporated, Osaka 530-8270, Japan
Hamori S: Graduate School of Economics, Kobe University, Kobe 657-8501, Japan [ORCID]
Journal Name
Energies
Volume
13
Issue
8
Article Number
E1900
Year
2020
Publication Date
2020-04-13
ISSN
1996-1073
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PII: en13081900, Publication Type: Journal Article
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LAPSE:2023.22675v1
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https://doi.org/10.3390/en13081900
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Mar 24, 2023
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