LAPSE:2023.20870v1
Published Article
LAPSE:2023.20870v1
Energy Scenario Analysis for the Nordic Transport Sector: A Critical Review
Raffaele Salvucci, Stefan Petrović, Kenneth Karlsson, Markus Wråke, Tanu Priya Uteng, Olexandr Balyk
March 21, 2023
Experiencing the highest growth in emissions since 1990 and relying mainly on oil, transport is considered the most complicated sector to decarbonize. Lately, the Nordic countries have shown remarkable success in reducing greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, especially in the power and heat sector. However, when it comes to transportation, the greatest source of Nordic GHG emissions, stronger measures are needed. Relying on a rich and diversified portfolio of renewable sources and expertise, the Nordic countries could benefit from a common mitigation strategy by encompassing a larger variety of solutions and potential synergies. This article reviews studies addressing integrated energy and transport scenario analysis for the Nordic region as a whole. The studies targeted are those applying energy system models, given their extensive adoption in supporting scenario analysis. Most notable of these studies is the “Nordic Energy Technology Perspectives 2016” to which a special focus is dedicated. The article reviews the methodological choices and the research content of the selected literature. Challenges/limitations are identified in light of recent transport research, and categorized as: “transport behavior”, “breakthrough technologies”, “domestic energy resources” and “geographical aggregation and system boundaries”. Lastly, a list of suggestions to tackle the identified gaps is provided based on the existing literature.
Keywords
Alternative Fuels, decarbonization, energy system modelling, low-carbon transition, NETP 2016, sustainable mobility, transport behavior
Suggested Citation
Salvucci R, Petrović S, Karlsson K, Wråke M, Uteng TP, Balyk O. Energy Scenario Analysis for the Nordic Transport Sector: A Critical Review. (2023). LAPSE:2023.20870v1
Author Affiliations
Salvucci R: DTU Management, Technical University of Denmark, Produktionstorvet, Building 424, 2800 Kgs. Lyngby, Denmark
Petrović S: DTU Management, Technical University of Denmark, Produktionstorvet, Building 424, 2800 Kgs. Lyngby, Denmark [ORCID]
Karlsson K: DTU Management, Technical University of Denmark, Produktionstorvet, Building 424, 2800 Kgs. Lyngby, Denmark
Wråke M: Energiforsk AB, Swedish Energy Research Centre, Olof Palmes gata 31, 101 53 Stockholm, Sweden
Uteng TP: Institute of Transport Economics, Norwegian Centre for Transport Research (TØI), Gaustadalléen 21, 0349 Oslo, Norway
Balyk O: DTU Management, Technical University of Denmark, Produktionstorvet, Building 424, 2800 Kgs. Lyngby, Denmark [ORCID]
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Journal Name
Energies
Volume
12
Issue
12
Article Number
E2232
Year
2019
Publication Date
2019-06-12
Published Version
ISSN
1996-1073
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PII: en12122232, Publication Type: Review
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doi:10.3390/en12122232
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Mar 21, 2023
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